TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Fifa International · resolved market

Ecuador vs. Germany: Ecuador 2nd Half O/U 0.5

Rebuilt .

Winning outcome
Overof Over, Under
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$2,221
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$2,511

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $2,221 — the venue’s figure.

Open this market on Polymarket

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 14 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Fifa International
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xe907…cff6backed Under57c427.5$242 inLost-$242.28,61429.2%2,518 W · 6,096 L-166.6wins-0.02per pick31cpaid-32.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x53b4…2e88backed Over43c230.36$99 inWon+$131.3319.7%3 W · 28 L-4.3wins-0.14per pick24cpaid-70.6%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x4d02…bfecbacked Over43c195.5$85 inWon+$110.581,47544.9%663 W · 812 L-4.8wins0.00per pick45cpaid-4.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2d87…df1dbacked Over41c134.4$55 inWon+$79.31560%9 W · 6 L+3.2wins+0.22per pick38cpaid+103.4%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0xe231…93a5backed Over59c100.1$59 inWon+$41.15334%18 W · 35 L-1.8wins-0.03per pick37cpaid+3.7%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xd0e1…99dbbacked Under41c94.43$39 inLost-$38.7158049.1%285 W · 295 L+7.6wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+0.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1ceb…609dbacked Over42c85.95$36 inWon+$49.85540%2 W · 3 L-0.7wins-0.15per pick55cpaid-19.6%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x1341…0853backed Under42c62.52$26 inLost-$26.2653448.5%259 W · 275 L-7.7wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-7%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x2d6a…8addbacked Over42c54.02$22 inWon+$31.563,21347.2%1,517 W · 1,696 L-7.5wins0.00per pick47cpaid+0.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5210…bd53backed Over44c36.79$16 inWon+$20.62,79656.7%1,585 W · 1,211 L-9.2wins0.00per pick57cpaid-1.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4cfd…3d84backed Over41c36.59$15 inWon+$21.5937323.1%86 W · 287 L-9.1wins-0.02per pick26cpaid-9.7%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x1001…0cf1backed Over58c34.47$20 inWon+$14.484459.1%26 W · 18 L+3.4wins+0.08per pick51cpaid+33.2%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x4985…dce4backed Over58c25.86$15 inWon+$10.862626.9%7 W · 19 L-1.9wins-0.07per pick34cpaid-29.5%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xcf73…0215backed Under59c23.11$14 inLost-$13.633,07747%1,447 W · 1,630 L-11.5wins0.00per pick47cpaid-2.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 41 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.