Fifa International · resolved market
Ecuador vs. Germany: 1st Half O/U 0.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x84d11c4a92bfd696b895b8894e5a1e69e029e16d026f34e7be574b1d583d24fe
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $76,226
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $77,819
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $76,226 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 93 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Fifa International | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Under | 28c | 14,208$3,986 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,986.46 | 4,595 | 40.3%1,850 W · 2,745 L | -91.3wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -23.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf68a…5b1bbacked Over | 72c | 12,500$9,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,499.98 | 744 | 47.8%356 W · 388 L | +11.3wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x67bf…f983backed Under | 5c | 5,000$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250 | 279 | 31.9%89 W · 190 L | +11.4wins | +0.04per pick | 28cpaid | +60.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe72b…b0a0backed Over | 71c | 3,850$2,733 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,116.5 | 221 | 39.8%88 W · 133 L | -8.7wins | -0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -12.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb4d2…ce99backed Under | 12c | 3,596$414 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$414.49 | 2,626 | 41.1%1,080 W · 1,546 L | -11.6wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -17.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3b99…4b3abacked Under | 26c | 3,128$813 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$813.17 | 43 | 27.9%12 W · 31 L | -2.3wins | -0.05per pick | 33cpaid | -23%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0fa9…09fabacked Under | 14c | 3,035$418 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$417.8 | 229 | 32.8%75 W · 154 L | +9.3wins | +0.04per pick | 29cpaid | +37.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x46cd…6b95backed Under | 18c | 2,893$534 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$534.18 | 135 | 42.2%57 W · 78 L | +4.3wins | +0.03per pick | 39cpaid | -9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x160b…4296backed Over | 74c | 2,217$1,641 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$576.42 | 1,044 | 43.7%456 W · 588 L | +20.7wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | +14.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x39fc…e2f2backed Under | 2c | 2,049$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.98 | 1,601 | 47.8%765 W · 836 L | +51.5wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x56f4…9ec5backed Under | 5c | 1,833$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 413 | 31%128 W · 285 L | +0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 31cpaid | -35.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb57f…0c96backed Under | 28c | 1,761$493 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$493 | 71 | 53.5%38 W · 33 L | +3.1wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +16.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4d74…a37fbacked Under | 21c | 1,739$373 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$373.19 | 208 | 39.4%82 W · 126 L | +0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | +33%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x228b…af4cbacked Over | 71c | 1,696$1,208 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$488.7 | 2,973 | 28%831 W · 2,142 L | -132.5wins | -0.04per pick | 32cpaid | -39%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Under | 29c | 1,670$484 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$484.3 | 3,696 | 36.9%1,364 W · 2,332 L | -44.0wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -23.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x673d…1247backed Under | 1c | 1,500$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 98 | 33.7%33 W · 65 L | -6.4wins | -0.07per pick | 40cpaid | -26.1%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2d6a…8addbacked Under | 28c | 1,466$404 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$404.18 | 3,213 | 47.2%1,517 W · 1,696 L | -7.5wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x482a…c85dbacked Under | 22c | 1,365$298 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$298.39 | 347 | 31.1%108 W · 239 L | -3.9wins | -0.01per pick | 32cpaid | +15.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc046…d8f0backed Under | 5c | 1,214$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57.69 | 141 | 31.2%44 W · 97 L | -6.5wins | -0.05per pick | 36cpaid | -15.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe301…8654backed Under | 5c | 1,210$66 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$66 | 441 | 30.8%136 W · 305 L | -11.6wins | -0.03per pick | 33cpaid | -29.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2c36…4da4backed Under | 5c | 926.42$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.37 | 111 | 26.1%29 W · 82 L | +2.6wins | +0.02per pick | 24cpaid | +14.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8857…4b5bbacked Under | 27c | 907.41$245 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$245 | 200 | 53%106 W · 94 L | +4.1wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Under | 19c | 889.37$168 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$167.83 | 8,614 | 29.2%2,518 W · 6,096 L | -166.6wins | -0.02per pick | 31cpaid | -32.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x56ac…d77ebacked Over | 74c | 826.5$612 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$214.89 | 702 | 44.6%313 W · 389 L | +13.8wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | +10.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6b23…04a3backed Under | 21c | 727.2$156 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$156.06 | 1,141 | 46.2%527 W · 614 L | +25.3wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6cfe…c83cbacked Under | 10c | 716.1$71 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$71.31 | 362 | 34%123 W · 239 L | +6.9wins | +0.02per pick | 32cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f5…937fbacked Under | 8c | 702.01$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53.75 | 2,533 | 46.3%1,174 W · 1,359 L | +12.3wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xaf5b…5d3abacked Over | 75c | 668.48$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$168.48 | 145 | 68.3%99 W · 46 L | +3.1wins | +0.02per pick | 66cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3baf…7d44backed Under | 8c | 647.05$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.74 | 270 | 32.2%87 W · 183 L | -3.6wins | -0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x976a…e8ecbacked Under | 2c | 646.55$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.93 | 1,114 | 49.4%550 W · 564 L | +57.3wins | +0.05per pick | 44cpaid | +11.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe337…4ad6backed Under | 12c | 613.71$72 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$72 | 300 | 54%162 W · 138 L | +17.1wins | +0.06per pick | 48cpaid | +32.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd360…2eabbacked Over | 75c | 556$417 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$139 | 223 | 55.6%124 W · 99 L | +6.2wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5108…29cbbacked Over | 72c | 555.56$400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$155.56 | 379 | 55.7%211 W · 168 L | +3.2wins | +0.01per pick | 55cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa697…59d5backed Over | 72c | 542.38$391 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$151.87 | 2,805 | 55.1%1,546 W · 1,259 L | +70.4wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x059c…050ebacked Under | 19c | 526.3$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 236 | 37.7%89 W · 147 L | -9.3wins | -0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -20.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4502…9eedbacked Under | 12c | 509.61$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 306 | 42.8%131 W · 175 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -20%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2d…7ff5backed Under | 7c | 505.73$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.35 | 2,307 | 37.6%867 W · 1,440 L | -16.7wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -27.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x98f2…65dcbacked Over | 72c | 418.64$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$118.64 | 276 | 55.1%152 W · 124 L | +4.3wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xab45…f5e0backed Under | 25c | 399.97$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.99 | 59 | 30.5%18 W · 41 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 30cpaid | +19.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0693…9679backed Under | 5c | 356.52$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.83 | 226 | 33.6%76 W · 150 L | +2.4wins | +0.01per pick | 33cpaid | +27.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x61d4…3593backed Under | 4c | 345.13$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 357 | 19.6%70 W · 287 L | -13.8wins | -0.04per pick | 23cpaid | -24.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x545f…66dbbacked Under | 24c | 336.61$81 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$81.39 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +0.2wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -20.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0d1c…3347backed Under | 17c | 330.93$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56.81 | 469 | 39.4%185 W · 284 L | +3.4wins | +0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0fce…63d5backed Under | 28c | 245.83$69 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$68.81 | 1,313 | 48.9%642 W · 671 L | +12.3wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3f0f…0e48backed Under | 13c | 241.03$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.19 | 399 | 33.1%132 W · 267 L | +6.7wins | +0.02per pick | 31cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4d3d…5fcfbacked Under | 8c | 236.11$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 67 | 28.4%19 W · 48 L | +1.9wins | +0.03per pick | 26cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4d1c…8408backed Over | 73c | 230.14$168 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$62.14 | 151 | 56.3%85 W · 66 L | +1.8wins | +0.01per pick | 55cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x032e…2a9ebacked Over | 71c | 188.44$134 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.96 | 2,603 | 37.8%984 W · 1,619 L | -40.7wins | -0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xadfb…c2efbacked Under | 27c | 175.24$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.31 | 1,945 | 42.7%831 W · 1,114 L | -11.2wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa3c2…df3dbacked Under | 26c | 173.48$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.66 | 3,286 | 49.2%1,616 W · 1,670 L | +6.2wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed Under | 27c | 172.93$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.46 | 2,819 | 44.5%1,255 W · 1,564 L | -36.2wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5b11…2976backed Over | 73c | 136.99$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.99 | 179 | 62.6%112 W · 67 L | +4.4wins | +0.02per pick | 60cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5777…f1a7backed Over | 71c | 125$89 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.25 | 462 | 47.6%220 W · 242 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | 0%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4035…5e54backed Over | 73c | 119.5$87 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.26 | 94 | 67%63 W · 31 L | +4.8wins | +0.05per pick | 62cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5df5…c44cbacked Over | 75c | 117.38$88 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.48 | 233 | 45.1%105 W · 128 L | -7.7wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -21.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x30c5…8511backed Under | 21c | 110.23$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.22 | 10 | 20%2 W · 8 L | -3.1wins | -0.31per pick | 51cpaid | -69.5%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x1597…6edebacked Under | 23c | 108$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.84 | 470 | 29.1%137 W · 333 L | -14.2wins | -0.03per pick | 32cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x861b…d8cabacked Over | 75c | 101.33$76 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.33 | 49 | 24.5%12 W · 37 L | +0.9wins | +0.02per pick | 23cpaid | +19.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb8ee…9e81backed Under | 12c | 99.99$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.67 | 1,795 | 44.2%794 W · 1,001 L | -12.9wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -13%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa576…dfefbacked Under | 26c | 92.31$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24 | 62 | 53.2%33 W · 29 L | +5.2wins | +0.08per pick | 45cpaid | +7.4%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe562…4fa9backed Over | 72c | 73.75$53 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.75 | 293 | 38.2%112 W · 181 L | +9.0wins | +0.03per pick | 35cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xddb6…b9b3backed Over | 76c | 68.83$52 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.71 | 1,563 | 39.8%622 W · 941 L | -51.9wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -23.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfdae…6ad2backed Over | 74c | 67.57$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.57 | 631 | 52.9%334 W · 297 L | -9.7wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -3%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xee0c…3e4dbacked Over | 75c | 66.67$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.67 | 181 | 58.6%106 W · 75 L | +8.1wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3b7a…3ce8backed Over | 73c | 66.56$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.97 | 125 | 54.4%68 W · 57 L | -7.4wins | -0.06per pick | 60cpaid | -16.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x67af…61eebacked Over | 78c | 61$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.67 | 2,804 | 46.2%1,295 W · 1,509 L | -27.1wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x03ba…bebabacked Over | 77c | 60.42$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14 | 239 | 40.6%97 W · 142 L | -9.1wins | -0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -21%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2160…4c78backed Under | 21c | 59.13$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.42 | 123 | 59.3%73 W · 50 L | +5.9wins | +0.05per pick | 55cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf7f0…912cbacked Over | 74c | 51.62$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.42 | 1,873 | 48.4%906 W · 967 L | +14.4wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4836…859bbacked Over | 74c | 50$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.25 | 2,231 | 49.2%1,098 W · 1,133 L | -21.2wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7d0c…a3b7backed Over | 70c | 42.11$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.79 | 3,731 | 51.8%1,931 W · 1,800 L | +55.2wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbbc8…4f5bbacked Over | 80c | 42$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.4 | 152 | 52.6%80 W · 72 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x655a…5024backed Under | 29c | 41.94$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 12 | 16.7%2 W · 10 L | -1.1wins | -0.10per pick | 26cpaid | -48%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5c20…41b3backed Under | 29c | 40$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.6 | 181 | 18.2%33 W · 148 L | -7.4wins | -0.04per pick | 22cpaid | -26.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3e52…ec62backed Over | 75c | 40$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10 | 40 | 47.5%19 W · 21 L | -0.7wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1e3b…e232backed Over | 71c | 37.5$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.87 | 815 | 54.8%447 W · 368 L | -5.9wins | -0.01per pick | 56cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x539d…0213backed Over | 79c | 31$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.51 | 27 | 44.4%12 W · 15 L | -0.6wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7a3f…6712backed Over | 78c | 30$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.6 | 607 | 52.4%318 W · 289 L | +21.6wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x186a…559dbacked Over | 72c | 30$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.4 | 146 | 59.6%87 W · 59 L | -7.4wins | -0.05per pick | 65cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5210…bd53backed Over | 71c | 30$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.7 | 2,796 | 56.7%1,585 W · 1,211 L | -9.2wins | 0.00per pick | 57cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0e5c…ab50backed Over | 75c | 28.01$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.08 | 80 | 32.5%26 W · 54 L | -4.1wins | -0.05per pick | 38cpaid | -35.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc7d0…1f8abacked Over | 79c | 28$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.88 | 2,453 | 34.7%850 W · 1,603 L | +84.3wins | +0.03per pick | 31cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfa2b…c626backed Over | 75c | 26.67$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.67 | 16 | 62.5%10 W · 6 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 63cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb3ca…7e4bbacked Over | 75c | 26.67$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.67 | 110 | 34.5%38 W · 72 L | -5.3wins | -0.05per pick | 39cpaid | -18.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa067…4b35backed Over | 71c | 26.24$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.5 | 159 | 59.1%94 W · 65 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 59cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5aea…34b7backed Over | 74c | 25.97$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.75 | 14 | 42.9%6 W · 8 L | -1.5wins | -0.11per pick | 54cpaid | -27.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7511…582ebacked Over | 79c | 25.23$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.23 | 94 | 56.4%53 W · 41 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 56cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc3bc…1e7ebacked Over | 75c | 25.12$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.28 | 69 | 33.3%23 W · 46 L | +2.9wins | +0.04per pick | 29cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1fff…a8e5backed Over | 71c | 21.13$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.13 | 27 | 51.9%14 W · 13 L | -0.8wins | -0.03per pick | 55cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x41ff…572cbacked Over | 74c | 20.27$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.27 | 26 | 65.4%17 W · 9 L | -0.8wins | -0.03per pick | 68cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1c34…266dbacked Over | 72c | 20$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.6 | 256 | 55.1%141 W · 115 L | -10.9wins | -0.04per pick | 59cpaid | -11.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2638…8e2dbacked Over | 72c | 19.23$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.38 | 365 | 58.4%213 W · 152 L | +2.6wins | +0.01per pick | 58cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x66e7…8bcdbacked Over | 70c | 17$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.1 | 878 | 37.2%327 W · 551 L | -41.2wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -33.2%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 41 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Ecuador vs. Germany: 1st Half O/U 0.5this page
- Ecuador vs. Germany: 1st Half O/U 1.5Over won
- Ecuador vs. Germany: 1st Half O/U 2.5Under won
- Ecuador vs. Germany: 2nd Half O/U 0.5Over won
- Ecuador vs. Germany: 2nd Half O/U 1.5Under won
- Ecuador vs. Germany: 2nd Half O/U 2.5Under won
- Ecuador vs. Germany: Both Teams to ScoreYes won
- Ecuador vs. Germany: Both Teams to Score in First HalfYes won
- Ecuador vs. Germany: Both Teams to Score in Second HalfNo won
- Ecuador vs. Germany: Ecuador 1st Half O/U 0.5Over won
- Ecuador vs. Germany: Ecuador 1st Half O/U 1.5Under won
- Ecuador vs. Germany: Ecuador 2nd Half O/U 0.5Over won
- Ecuador vs. Germany: Ecuador 2nd Half O/U 1.5Under won
- Ecuador vs. Germany: Ecuador O/U 0.5Over won
- Ecuador vs. Germany: Ecuador O/U 1.5Over won
- Ecuador vs. Germany: Ecuador O/U 2.5Under won
- Ecuador vs. Germany: Germany 1st Half O/U 0.5Over won
- Ecuador vs. Germany: Germany 1st Half O/U 1.5Under won
- Ecuador vs. Germany: Germany 2nd Half O/U 0.5Under won
- Ecuador vs. Germany: Germany 2nd Half O/U 1.5Under won
- Ecuador vs. Germany: Germany O/U 0.5Over won
- Ecuador vs. Germany: Germany O/U 1.5Under won
- Ecuador vs. Germany: Germany O/U 2.5Under won
- Ecuador vs. Germany: O/U 0.5Over won
- Ecuador vs. Germany: O/U 1.5Over won
- Ecuador vs. Germany: O/U 2.5Over won
- Ecuador vs. Germany: O/U 3.5Under won
- Ecuador vs. Germany: O/U 4.5Under won
- Ecuador vs. Germany: O/U 5.5Under won
- Ecuador vs. Germany: O/U 6.5Under won
- Ecuador vs. Germany: O/U 7.5Under won
- Ecuador vs. Germany: O/U 8.5Under won
- Spread: Ecuador (-1.5)Germany won
- Spread: Ecuador (-2.5)Germany won
- Spread: Ecuador (-4.5)Germany won
- Spread: Ecuador (-5.5)Germany won
- Spread: Germany (-1.5)Ecuador won
- Spread: Germany (-2.5)Ecuador won
- Spread: Germany (-3.5)Ecuador won
- Spread: Germany (-4.5)Ecuador won
- Spread: Germany (-5.5)Ecuador won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.