TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Fifa International · resolved market

Ecuador vs. Germany: 1st Half O/U 0.5

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Overof Over, Under
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$76,226
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$77,819

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $76,226 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 93 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Fifa International
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x204f…5e14backed Under28c14,208$3,986 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,986.464,59540.3%1,850 W · 2,745 L-91.3wins-0.02per pick42cpaid-23.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf68a…5b1bbacked Over72c12,500$9,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,499.9874447.8%356 W · 388 L+11.3wins+0.02per pick46cpaid+1.2%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x67bf…f983backed Under5c5,000$250 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25027931.9%89 W · 190 L+11.4wins+0.04per pick28cpaid+60.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xe72b…b0a0backed Over71c3,850$2,733 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,116.522139.8%88 W · 133 L-8.7wins-0.04per pick44cpaid-12.9%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xb4d2…ce99backed Under12c3,596$414 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$414.492,62641.1%1,080 W · 1,546 L-11.6wins0.00per pick42cpaid-17.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3b99…4b3abacked Under26c3,128$813 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$813.174327.9%12 W · 31 L-2.3wins-0.05per pick33cpaid-23%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x0fa9…09fabacked Under14c3,035$418 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$417.822932.8%75 W · 154 L+9.3wins+0.04per pick29cpaid+37.3%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x46cd…6b95backed Under18c2,893$534 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$534.1813542.2%57 W · 78 L+4.3wins+0.03per pick39cpaid-9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x160b…4296backed Over74c2,217$1,641 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$576.421,04443.7%456 W · 588 L+20.7wins+0.02per pick42cpaid+14.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x39fc…e2f2backed Under2c2,049$41 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$40.981,60147.8%765 W · 836 L+51.5wins+0.03per pick45cpaid+3.7%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x56f4…9ec5backed Under5c1,833$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10041331%128 W · 285 L+0.8wins0.00per pick31cpaid-35.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb57f…0c96backed Under28c1,761$493 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4937153.5%38 W · 33 L+3.1wins+0.04per pick49cpaid+16.3%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x4d74…a37fbacked Under21c1,739$373 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$373.1920839.4%82 W · 126 L+0.6wins0.00per pick39cpaid+33%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x228b…af4cbacked Over71c1,696$1,208 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$488.72,97328%831 W · 2,142 L-132.5wins-0.04per pick32cpaid-39%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Under29c1,670$484 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$484.33,69636.9%1,364 W · 2,332 L-44.0wins-0.01per pick38cpaid-23.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x673d…1247backed Under1c1,500$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$209833.7%33 W · 65 L-6.4wins-0.07per pick40cpaid-26.1%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x2d6a…8addbacked Under28c1,466$404 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$404.183,21347.2%1,517 W · 1,696 L-7.5wins0.00per pick47cpaid+0.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x482a…c85dbacked Under22c1,365$298 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$298.3934731.1%108 W · 239 L-3.9wins-0.01per pick32cpaid+15.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc046…d8f0backed Under5c1,214$58 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$57.6914131.2%44 W · 97 L-6.5wins-0.05per pick36cpaid-15.5%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xe301…8654backed Under5c1,210$66 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6644130.8%136 W · 305 L-11.6wins-0.03per pick33cpaid-29.2%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x2c36…4da4backed Under5c926.42$49 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$49.3711126.1%29 W · 82 L+2.6wins+0.02per pick24cpaid+14.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x8857…4b5bbacked Under27c907.41$245 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24520053%106 W · 94 L+4.1wins+0.02per pick51cpaid-1.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe907…cff6backed Under19c889.37$168 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$167.838,61429.2%2,518 W · 6,096 L-166.6wins-0.02per pick31cpaid-32.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x56ac…d77ebacked Over74c826.5$612 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$214.8970244.6%313 W · 389 L+13.8wins+0.02per pick43cpaid+10.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6b23…04a3backed Under21c727.2$156 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$156.061,14146.2%527 W · 614 L+25.3wins+0.02per pick44cpaid-9.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6cfe…c83cbacked Under10c716.1$71 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$71.3136234%123 W · 239 L+6.9wins+0.02per pick32cpaid-10.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa9f5…937fbacked Under8c702.01$54 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$53.752,53346.3%1,174 W · 1,359 L+12.3wins0.00per pick46cpaid-12.3%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0xaf5b…5d3abacked Over75c668.48$500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$168.4814568.3%99 W · 46 L+3.1wins+0.02per pick66cpaid-1.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x3baf…7d44backed Under8c647.05$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$49.7427032.2%87 W · 183 L-3.6wins-0.01per pick34cpaid-6.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x976a…e8ecbacked Under2c646.55$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.931,11449.4%550 W · 564 L+57.3wins+0.05per pick44cpaid+11.4%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xe337…4ad6backed Under12c613.71$72 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7230054%162 W · 138 L+17.1wins+0.06per pick48cpaid+32.5%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xd360…2eabbacked Over75c556$417 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13922355.6%124 W · 99 L+6.2wins+0.03per pick53cpaid+2.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x5108…29cbbacked Over72c555.56$400 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$155.5637955.7%211 W · 168 L+3.2wins+0.01per pick55cpaid+2.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa697…59d5backed Over72c542.38$391 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$151.872,80555.1%1,546 W · 1,259 L+70.4wins+0.03per pick53cpaid+4.1%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x059c…050ebacked Under19c526.3$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10023637.7%89 W · 147 L-9.3wins-0.04per pick42cpaid-20.8%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x4502…9eedbacked Under12c509.61$60 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6030642.8%131 W · 175 L+0.2wins0.00per pick43cpaid-20%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0d2d…7ff5backed Under7c505.73$33 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$33.352,30737.6%867 W · 1,440 L-16.7wins-0.01per pick38cpaid-27.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x98f2…65dcbacked Over72c418.64$300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$118.6427655.1%152 W · 124 L+4.3wins+0.02per pick54cpaid+2%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xab45…f5e0backed Under25c399.97$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$99.995930.5%18 W · 41 L+0.6wins+0.01per pick30cpaid+19.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0693…9679backed Under5c356.52$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17.8322633.6%76 W · 150 L+2.4wins+0.01per pick33cpaid+27.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x61d4…3593backed Under4c345.13$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1535719.6%70 W · 287 L-13.8wins-0.04per pick23cpaid-24.5%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x545f…66dbbacked Under24c336.61$81 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$81.39650%3 W · 3 L+0.2wins+0.03per pick47cpaid-20.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0d1c…3347backed Under17c330.93$57 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$56.8146939.4%185 W · 284 L+3.4wins+0.01per pick39cpaid-7.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0fce…63d5backed Under28c245.83$69 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$68.811,31348.9%642 W · 671 L+12.3wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+3.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3f0f…0e48backed Under13c241.03$32 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$32.1939933.1%132 W · 267 L+6.7wins+0.02per pick31cpaid-20.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x4d3d…5fcfbacked Under8c236.11$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$206728.4%19 W · 48 L+1.9wins+0.03per pick26cpaid+0.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x4d1c…8408backed Over73c230.14$168 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$62.1415156.3%85 W · 66 L+1.8wins+0.01per pick55cpaid+1.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x032e…2a9ebacked Over71c188.44$134 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$53.962,60337.8%984 W · 1,619 L-40.7wins-0.02per pick39cpaid-9.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xadfb…c2efbacked Under27c175.24$47 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$47.311,94542.7%831 W · 1,114 L-11.2wins-0.01per pick43cpaid+6.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa3c2…df3dbacked Under26c173.48$46 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$45.663,28649.2%1,616 W · 1,670 L+6.2wins0.00per pick49cpaid-0.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xdb83…1e50backed Under27c172.93$47 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$47.462,81944.5%1,255 W · 1,564 L-36.2wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-9.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5b11…2976backed Over73c136.99$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$36.9917962.6%112 W · 67 L+4.4wins+0.02per pick60cpaid+4.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5777…f1a7backed Over71c125$89 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$36.2546247.6%220 W · 242 L-0.3wins0.00per pick48cpaid0%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4035…5e54backed Over73c119.5$87 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$32.269467%63 W · 31 L+4.8wins+0.05per pick62cpaid+5.3%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x5df5…c44cbacked Over75c117.38$88 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$29.4823345.1%105 W · 128 L-7.7wins-0.03per pick48cpaid-21.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x30c5…8511backed Under21c110.23$23 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23.221020%2 W · 8 L-3.1wins-0.31per pick51cpaid-69.5%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0x1597…6edebacked Under23c108$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24.8447029.1%137 W · 333 L-14.2wins-0.03per pick32cpaid-10.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x861b…d8cabacked Over75c101.33$76 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$25.334924.5%12 W · 37 L+0.9wins+0.02per pick23cpaid+19.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb8ee…9e81backed Under12c99.99$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.671,79544.2%794 W · 1,001 L-12.9wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-13%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa576…dfefbacked Under26c92.31$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$246253.2%33 W · 29 L+5.2wins+0.08per pick45cpaid+7.4%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xe562…4fa9backed Over72c73.75$53 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$20.7529338.2%112 W · 181 L+9.0wins+0.03per pick35cpaid+5.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xddb6…b9b3backed Over76c68.83$52 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16.711,56339.8%622 W · 941 L-51.9wins-0.03per pick43cpaid-23.4%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xfdae…6ad2backed Over74c67.57$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17.5763152.9%334 W · 297 L-9.7wins-0.02per pick54cpaid-3%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xee0c…3e4dbacked Over75c66.67$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16.6718158.6%106 W · 75 L+8.1wins+0.04per pick54cpaid+4.8%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x3b7a…3ce8backed Over73c66.56$49 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17.9712554.4%68 W · 57 L-7.4wins-0.06per pick60cpaid-16.2%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x67af…61eebacked Over78c61$47 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13.672,80446.2%1,295 W · 1,509 L-27.1wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-14.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x03ba…bebabacked Over77c60.42$46 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1423940.6%97 W · 142 L-9.1wins-0.04per pick44cpaid-21%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x2160…4c78backed Under21c59.13$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.4212359.3%73 W · 50 L+5.9wins+0.05per pick55cpaid+2.5%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xf7f0…912cbacked Over74c51.62$38 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13.421,87348.4%906 W · 967 L+14.4wins+0.01per pick48cpaid-0.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4836…859bbacked Over74c50$37 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13.252,23149.2%1,098 W · 1,133 L-21.2wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-3.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7d0c…a3b7backed Over70c42.11$29 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12.793,73151.8%1,931 W · 1,800 L+55.2wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+7.9%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xbbc8…4f5bbacked Over80c42$34 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8.415252.6%80 W · 72 L+0.2wins0.00per pick52cpaid+3.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x655a…5024backed Under29c41.94$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$121216.7%2 W · 10 L-1.1wins-0.10per pick26cpaid-48%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x5c20…41b3backed Under29c40$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.618118.2%33 W · 148 L-7.4wins-0.04per pick22cpaid-26.9%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x3e52…ec62backed Over75c40$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$104047.5%19 W · 21 L-0.7wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-11.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1e3b…e232backed Over71c37.5$27 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10.8781554.8%447 W · 368 L-5.9wins-0.01per pick56cpaid-5.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x539d…0213backed Over79c31$24 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6.512744.4%12 W · 15 L-0.6wins-0.02per pick47cpaid-4.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7a3f…6712backed Over78c30$23 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6.660752.4%318 W · 289 L+21.6wins+0.04per pick49cpaid+3.4%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x186a…559dbacked Over72c30$22 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8.414659.6%87 W · 59 L-7.4wins-0.05per pick65cpaid-11.2%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x5210…bd53backed Over71c30$21 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8.72,79656.7%1,585 W · 1,211 L-9.2wins0.00per pick57cpaid-1.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0e5c…ab50backed Over75c28.01$21 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7.088032.5%26 W · 54 L-4.1wins-0.05per pick38cpaid-35.5%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xc7d0…1f8abacked Over79c28$22 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5.882,45334.7%850 W · 1,603 L+84.3wins+0.03per pick31cpaid-10.8%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xfa2b…c626backed Over75c26.67$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6.671662.5%10 W · 6 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick63cpaid-2.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb3ca…7e4bbacked Over75c26.67$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6.6711034.5%38 W · 72 L-5.3wins-0.05per pick39cpaid-18.3%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xa067…4b35backed Over71c26.24$19 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7.515959.1%94 W · 65 L-0.1wins0.00per pick59cpaid-3.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5aea…34b7backed Over74c25.97$19 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6.751442.9%6 W · 8 L-1.5wins-0.11per pick54cpaid-27.2%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x7511…582ebacked Over79c25.23$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5.239456.4%53 W · 41 L+0.1wins0.00per pick56cpaid-1.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc3bc…1e7ebacked Over75c25.12$19 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6.286933.3%23 W · 46 L+2.9wins+0.04per pick29cpaid+4.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x1fff…a8e5backed Over71c21.13$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6.132751.9%14 W · 13 L-0.8wins-0.03per pick55cpaid-3.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x41ff…572cbacked Over74c20.27$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5.272665.4%17 W · 9 L-0.8wins-0.03per pick68cpaid-6.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1c34…266dbacked Over72c20$14 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5.625655.1%141 W · 115 L-10.9wins-0.04per pick59cpaid-11.7%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x2638…8e2dbacked Over72c19.23$14 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5.3836558.4%213 W · 152 L+2.6wins+0.01per pick58cpaid-1.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x66e7…8bcdbacked Over70c17$12 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5.187837.2%327 W · 551 L-41.2wins-0.05per pick42cpaid-33.2%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 41 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.