TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Fifa International · resolved market

Ecuador vs. Germany: Ecuador O/U 0.5

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Overof Over, Under
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$61,668
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$67,219

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $61,668 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 111 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Fifa International
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x204f…5e14backed Over64c7,421$4,733 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,688.354,59540.3%1,850 W · 2,745 L-91.3wins-0.02per pick42cpaid-23.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xb10b…0b04backed Under37c6,666$2,466 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,466.4232029.4%94 W · 226 L-2.6wins-0.01per pick30cpaid-11.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x032e…2a9ebacked Under38c3,480$1,308 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,308.062,60337.8%984 W · 1,619 L-40.7wins-0.02per pick39cpaid-9.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xdb83…1e50backed Over63c3,277$2,065 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,212.672,81944.5%1,255 W · 1,564 L-36.2wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-9.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa697…59d5backed Under36c3,155$1,134 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,133.762,80555.1%1,546 W · 1,259 L+70.4wins+0.03per pick53cpaid+4.1%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x0189…5861backed Over65c2,020$1,313 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$706.8817636.4%64 W · 112 L+2.8wins+0.02per pick35cpaid-3.7%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x0c3a…a56bbacked Over64c2,000$1,280 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$72022643.4%98 W · 128 L+4.4wins+0.02per pick41cpaid+13.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc291…5d74backed Over66c1,990$1,313 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$676.434,45737.2%1,657 W · 2,800 L+31.0wins+0.01per pick36cpaid-8.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x476d…0c42backed Under36c1,757$630 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$630.097346.6%34 W · 39 L-1.6wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-3.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x815f…1eefbacked Over64c1,527$978 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$549.8661750.6%312 W · 305 L+4.4wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+1.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa664…f849backed Under37c1,500$555 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$55523729.1%69 W · 168 L-1.6wins-0.01per pick30cpaid-13%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xffda…c1fcbacked Over64c1,492$955 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$537.123372.7%24 W · 9 L+5.7wins+0.17per pick55cpaid+28.3%equal weight61+0.10 edge/pick
0x4536…4237backed Under33c1,470$485 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$484.941020%2 W · 8 L-1.9wins-0.19per pick39cpaid-41.9%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xd360…2eabbacked Over63c1,263$796 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$467.4922355.6%124 W · 99 L+6.2wins+0.03per pick53cpaid+2.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x01c0…9bf5backed Over64c1,058$677 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$380.882958.6%17 W · 12 L-0.1wins0.00per pick59cpaid-3.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0d2d…7ff5backed Under36c1,048$380 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$380.52,30737.6%867 W · 1,440 L-16.7wins-0.01per pick38cpaid-27.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x081e…f76ebacked Over65c923.08$600 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$323.0811645.7%53 W · 63 L-5.8wins-0.05per pick51cpaid-13.5%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x2d6a…8addbacked Under37c864.22$318 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$317.773,21347.2%1,517 W · 1,696 L-7.5wins0.00per pick47cpaid+0.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x271e…f001backed Over64c824$527 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$296.6412344.7%55 W · 68 L-0.2wins0.00per pick45cpaid+0.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x974b…7c8fbacked Over64c814$521 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$293.042564%16 W · 9 L+1.0wins+0.04per pick60cpaid+4.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe907…cff6backed Over65c776.26$507 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$268.818,61429.2%2,518 W · 6,096 L-166.6wins-0.02per pick31cpaid-32.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x228b…af4cbacked Under34c753.53$254 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$253.932,97328%831 W · 2,142 L-132.5wins-0.04per pick32cpaid-39%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x040d…1a5ebacked Under36c750$270 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$27012432.3%40 W · 84 L+1.6wins+0.01per pick31cpaid+16.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4132…a5a5backed Under37c675.68$250 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25022846.1%105 W · 123 L-0.9wins0.00per pick46cpaid-7.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x56ac…d77ebacked Over61c626$382 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$244.1470244.6%313 W · 389 L+13.8wins+0.02per pick43cpaid+10.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xcf73…0215backed Under37c615.86$228 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$227.873,07747%1,447 W · 1,630 L-11.5wins0.00per pick47cpaid-2.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc5a6…995cbacked Under33c603.12$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2004734%16 W · 31 L+1.7wins+0.04per pick30cpaid+0.3%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xdd88…dadbbacked Over65c577.43$375 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$202.123942.3%101 W · 138 L-4.6wins-0.02per pick44cpaid-3.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x0b14…3ca3backed Under36c550.41$198 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$197.9914839.9%59 W · 89 L-7.2wins-0.05per pick45cpaid-17.8%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xa70e…709fbacked Under37c540.54$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2001435.7%5 W · 9 L+0.1wins0.00per pick35cpaid-28.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x076d…8d4cbacked Over65c522.55$337 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$185.42,27139.5%896 W · 1,375 L+10.1wins0.00per pick39cpaid+1.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8583…3f3cbacked Over64c521.88$334 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$187.888652.3%45 W · 41 L-2.6wins-0.03per pick55cpaid-7.3%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x87b6…4ababacked Under35c500$175 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17545038.2%172 W · 278 L-28.4wins-0.06per pick45cpaid-18%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xa2c3…ac23backed Over65c500$325 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17595739.5%378 W · 579 L-18.4wins-0.02per pick41cpaid-0.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd01c…7f9dbacked Over63c396$249 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$146.522,41153%1,278 W · 1,133 L+75.2wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+4.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x52d9…fb1abacked Over62c358.51$222 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$136.211,94135.5%690 W · 1,251 L-25.4wins-0.01per pick37cpaid-11.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7300…e52cbacked Over61c354$216 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$138.0677845%350 W · 428 L+10.1wins+0.01per pick44cpaid+6.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf68a…5b1bbacked Under35c333.63$117 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$116.7774447.8%356 W · 388 L+11.3wins+0.02per pick46cpaid+1.2%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xe987…f0e1backed Over60c302.47$181 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$120.9938026.6%101 W · 279 L-10.0wins-0.03per pick29cpaid-21.6%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xbf40…527abacked Under37c300$111 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$111728.6%2 W · 5 L-0.3wins-0.05per pick33cpaid-42.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x45f2…722ebacked Under34c299.98$102 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$101.996338.1%24 W · 39 L-6.1wins-0.10per pick48cpaid-34.8%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xf7f0…912cbacked Over62c299.25$187 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$112.61,87348.4%906 W · 967 L+14.4wins+0.01per pick48cpaid-0.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xeeda…623fbacked Under39c256.41$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1001346.2%6 W · 7 L-1.2wins-0.09per pick55cpaid-16%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x8ef2…3c33backed Under40c250.07$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10018247.8%87 W · 95 L+2.4wins+0.01per pick46cpaid+2.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x60ef…b24bbacked Under40c250$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10022731.3%71 W · 156 L-4.8wins-0.02per pick33cpaid-12.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xadfb…c2efbacked Over62c241.4$149 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$92.521,94542.7%831 W · 1,114 L-11.2wins-0.01per pick43cpaid+6.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7d0c…a3b7backed Under31c230$71 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$70.73,73151.8%1,931 W · 1,800 L+55.2wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+7.9%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x7dae…ad8cbacked Over69c223.04$154 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$69.14875%6 W · 2 L+1.5wins+0.19per pick56cpaid+25.7%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xa9f5…937fbacked Under7c221$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.872,53346.3%1,174 W · 1,359 L+12.3wins0.00per pick46cpaid-12.3%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x8d0c…c90abacked Under36c220.01$79 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$78.921,61651.2%827 W · 789 L+11.6wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+1.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9714…5152backed Over66c214.42$142 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$72.99058.9%53 W · 37 L+3.1wins+0.03per pick55cpaid-0.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xe401…7b88backed Under35c193.37$68 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$67.8969534.8%242 W · 453 L-48.8wins-0.07per pick42cpaid-26.9%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xc1f4…dd7cbacked Over62c183$113 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$69.543348.5%16 W · 17 L+0.3wins+0.01per pick47cpaid+8.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x775d…6bebbacked Under34c167.05$57 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$56.81,43840.1%576 W · 862 L-40.1wins-0.03per pick43cpaid-24.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xda77…683fbacked Under9c166.35$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.282,79346.6%1,301 W · 1,492 L-10.3wins0.00per pick47cpaid-19.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xddb6…b9b3backed Under34c163.66$56 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$55.641,56339.8%622 W · 941 L-51.9wins-0.03per pick43cpaid-23.4%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x1e9e…ee7ebacked Over64c156.25$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$56.251172.7%8 W · 3 L+0.2wins+0.02per pick71cpaid+5.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5282…82fcbacked Over64c150.67$96 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$54.247044.3%31 W · 39 L+4.8wins+0.07per pick37cpaid+12.2%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x629d…756cbacked Under34c145$49 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$49.31,35438.9%527 W · 827 L-55.8wins-0.04per pick43cpaid-25.6%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x68c9…c73bbacked Under37c136$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50.3219641.8%82 W · 114 L-0.3wins0.00per pick42cpaid-10.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3c6f…902fbacked Under37c135.14$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$503132.3%10 W · 21 L-3.1wins-0.10per pick42cpaid-16.9%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x94cb…ad12backed Under39c128.21$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$505139.2%20 W · 31 L-1.1wins-0.02per pick41cpaid-24.9%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xb421…696cbacked Over64c125.11$80 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$45.0410849.1%53 W · 55 L+1.2wins+0.01per pick48cpaid-0.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xeb2e…7821backed Under35c120$42 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$421,42147.8%679 W · 742 L-0.5wins0.00per pick48cpaid+0.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x78f0…7bf4backed Under37c105.41$39 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3910646.2%49 W · 57 L+0.5wins0.00per pick46cpaid+0.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xea96…693abacked Over62c103.23$64 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$39.2314940.3%60 W · 89 L+0.7wins0.00per pick40cpaid-20.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x10d2…9096backed Under38c99.99$38 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$37.993435.3%12 W · 22 L-0.4wins-0.01per pick36cpaid-25.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2a69…d2f7backed Over67c87.54$59 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$28.893,99224.9%994 W · 2,998 L-47.0wins-0.01per pick26cpaid-19.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0fce…63d5backed Over64c81.39$52 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$29.031,31348.9%642 W · 671 L+12.3wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+3.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4d28…b027backed Under37c80$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$29.61136.4%4 W · 7 L-0.8wins-0.08per pick44cpaid-0.6%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xa313…eb44backed Under33c78$26 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25.7430344.2%134 W · 169 L+0.4wins0.00per pick44cpaid-6.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x729d…e139backed Over76c76$57 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18.569573.7%70 W · 25 L+15.1wins+0.16per pick58cpaid+37.1%equal weight64+0.13 edge/pick
0x67af…61eebacked Under31c75$23 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23.252,80446.2%1,295 W · 1,509 L-27.1wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-14.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2763…abe6backed Under33c59.42$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.6111331.9%36 W · 77 L-3.3wins-0.03per pick35cpaid-9.2%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x008d…6958backed Over64c59$38 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$21.051872.2%13 W · 5 L+0.4wins+0.02per pick70cpaid+5.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe619…6342backed Under37c54.05$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2047935.1%168 W · 311 L+4.5wins+0.01per pick34cpaid+6.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe4e3…b17fbacked Under37c54.05$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$202133.3%7 W · 14 L-2.4wins-0.11per pick45cpaid-34.1%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Over66c53.17$35 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18.083,69636.9%1,364 W · 2,332 L-44.0wins-0.01per pick38cpaid-23.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa3c2…df3dbacked Over62c52.97$33 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$20.023,28649.2%1,616 W · 1,670 L+6.2wins0.00per pick49cpaid-0.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Over63c52.44$33 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$19.4283153.3%443 W · 388 L+15.1wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xceb1…4249backed Over62c50$31 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1923143.7%101 W · 130 L-2.6wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-12.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x660c…7f7abacked Under40c50$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2019047.4%90 W · 100 L-9.7wins-0.05per pick52cpaid-12.3%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x5062…be14backed Over64c46.88$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16.8823863.4%151 W · 87 L+12.2wins+0.05per pick58cpaid+4.9%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x2b45…b98abacked Over65c46.15$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16.155453.7%29 W · 25 L+3.4wins+0.06per pick47cpaid+6.5%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x0637…0facbacked Over65c46.15$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16.155967.8%40 W · 19 L+4.7wins+0.08per pick60cpaid+10.5%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x2725…e7d1backed Over63c45.87$29 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16.8221341.3%88 W · 125 L-18.1wins-0.09per pick50cpaid-22%equal weight42-0.08 edge/pick
0x8df8…a552backed Over65c41.54$27 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14.548046.3%37 W · 43 L-8.0wins-0.10per pick56cpaid-23.5%equal weight42-0.08 edge/pick
0x32ca…2f70backed Over64c39.06$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14.068459.5%50 W · 34 L-0.2wins0.00per pick60cpaid-5.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x38e9…736dbacked Over62c38.71$24 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14.7129766.7%198 W · 99 L+14.0wins+0.05per pick62cpaid+6.5%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x3daa…524bbacked Over65c38.46$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13.463863.2%24 W · 14 L+3.6wins+0.09per pick54cpaid+15.9%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x5210…bd53backed Over63c35$22 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12.952,79656.7%1,585 W · 1,211 L-9.2wins0.00per pick57cpaid-1.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1f64…3633backed Over62c34$21 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12.926264.5%40 W · 22 L+8.2wins+0.13per pick51cpaid+33.1%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0xe840…733cbacked Over68c33.31$22 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10.8125857%147 W · 111 L-1.2wins0.00per pick57cpaid-1.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7fa4…7092backed Under39c33.13$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.841533.3%5 W · 10 L-1.6wins-0.11per pick44cpaid-40.2%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x8b87…0fddbacked Under37c32.43$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$123357.6%19 W · 14 L+1.1wins+0.03per pick54cpaid-1.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x8fee…850abacked Over64c31.25$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11.258661.6%53 W · 33 L+5.7wins+0.07per pick55cpaid+13.1%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x2dca…da77backed Over64c31.03$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11.177945.6%36 W · 43 L-1.0wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-3.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4ecf…75d2backed Over64c30.98$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11.1512340.7%50 W · 73 L-5.2wins-0.04per pick45cpaid-14.9%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x4a25…0d1abacked Over65c30.77$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10.776963.8%44 W · 25 L+2.8wins+0.04per pick60cpaid+4.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x1594…a834backed Over66c30.3$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10.39454.3%51 W · 43 L-2.4wins-0.03per pick57cpaid-9.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 41 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.