TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x8fee…850a

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
224
Categories scored
25
Categories below 50
14

Best Category: Fifa International, grading 56 out of 100 (+0.05 per pick).

Best Category Fifa International at 56 out of 100; worst Champions League at 42.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Jul 23, 2026, EDT8661.6%53 W · 33 L+5.7wins+0.07per pick55cpaid+13.1%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 86 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Trump be in the WC Champions Photo?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$21Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$21
World Cup: Unbeaten Champion?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$31Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT+33.9%+$10.5
Exact Score: England 1 - 1 Argentina?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Will A Nation That Has Never Won the World Cup Win in 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 12, 2026, EDT+42.9%+$21.43
Argentina vs. Switzerland: O/U 2.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 11, 2026, EDT+69.5%+$13.9
Norway vs. England: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 11, 2026, EDT+66.7%+$13.33
Norway vs. England: O/U 3.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 11, 2026, EDT+49.3%+$9.85
Norway vs. England: O/U 2.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 11, 2026, EDT+123.5%+$24.69
Spain vs. Belgium: Spain O/U 5.5 Cornersbacked Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Spain vs. Belgium: O/U 9.5 Total Cornersbacked Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
France vs. Morocco: France O/U 5.5 Cornersbacked Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Exact Score: France 2 - 0 Morocco?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 9, 2026, EDT+156.4%+$31.28
France vs. Morocco: O/U 2.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 9, 2026, EDT+88.7%+$17.74
Will Switzerland vs. Colombia end in a draw?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Switzerland vs. Colombia: Will the Match Go to a Penalty Shootout?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Will United States vs. Belgium end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Exact Score: Portugal 0 - 1 Spain?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 6, 2026, EDT+400%+$80
Portugal vs. Spain: O/U 9.5 Total Cornersbacked Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 6, 2026, EDT+85.2%+$17.04
Portugal vs. Spain: 1st Half O/U 3.5 Total Cornersbacked Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 6, 2026, EDT+51.5%+$10.3
Portugal vs. Spain: Spain O/U 5.5 Cornersbacked Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 6, 2026, EDT+85.2%+$17.04
Brazil vs. Norway: Norway O/U 0.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 5, 2026, EDT+96.1%+$19.22
Paraguay vs. France: Paraguay O/U 0.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 4, 2026, EDT+66.7%+$13.33
Will Morocco win on 2026-07-04?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 4, 2026, EDT+85.2%+$17.04
Canada vs. Morocco: Both Teams to Scorebacked No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 4, 2026, EDT+96.1%+$19.22
Argentina vs. Cabo Verde: Cabo Verde O/U 0.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Showing 25 of 86 picks, newest first.
Tennis Inactivelast resolved Jul 29, 2026, EDT2352.2%12 W · 11 L-1.2wins-0.05per pick58cpaid-1.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
Tennis — the 23 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tennis, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Samsun: Radu Albot vs Yanki Erelbacked Yanki Erel · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 29, 2026, EDT+65.1%+$13.03
Bonn: Olle Wallin vs Roberto Carballes Baenabacked Roberto Carballes Baena · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Mubadala Citi DC Open: Arthur Fils vs Rafael Jodarbacked Arthur Fils · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 28, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Targu Mures: Irene Burillo Escorihuela vs Sofya Lanserebacked Irene Burillo Escorihuela · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 27, 2026, EDT+132.3%+$66.13
San Marino: Daniel Rincon vs Juan Carlos Pradobacked Daniel Rincon · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 27, 2026, EDT-100%-$30
Livesport Prague Open, Qualification: Barbora Palicova vs Mai Hontamabacked Mai Hontama · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 18, 2026, EDT+56.3%+$16.88
Swiss Open (Doubles): Miedler/Polmans vs Paul/Seggermanbacked Miedler/Polmans · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 18, 2026, EDT+96.1%+$19.22
Croatia Open: Roman Andres Burruchaga vs Daniel Merida Aguilarbacked Daniel Merida Aguilar · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 17, 2026, EDT+63.9%+$19.18
Cordenons: Sumit Nagal vs Federico Bondiolibacked Sumit Nagal · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$25
Set Handicap: Vandromme (-1.5) vs Grabher (+1.5)backed Grabher · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 17, 2026, EDT+56.3%+$14.06
Swiss Open: Alexander Bublik vs Quentin Halysbacked Alexander Bublik · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Set Handicap: Tabilo (-1.5) vs Midon (+1.5)backed Tabilo · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$27Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$27.04
Kitzbuehel: Maria Lourdes Carle vs Barbora Palicovabacked Maria Lourdes Carle · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$40Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 16, 2026, EDT+72.7%+$29.07
Wimbledon ATP: Hubert Hurkacz vs Jan-Lennard Struffbacked Jan-Lennard Struff · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 5, 2026, EDT+334.8%+$50.22
Wimbledon ATP: Felix Auger-Aliassime vs Alejandro Davidovich Fokinabacked Alejandro Davidovich Fokina · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$15
Wimbledon WTA: Ekaterina Alexandrova vs Iva Jovicbacked Iva Jovic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 3, 2026, EDT+56.3%+$11.25
Wimbledon ATP: Karen Khachanov vs Yannick Hanfmannbacked Karen Khachanov · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 2, 2026, EDT+66.7%+$13.33
Wimbledon ATP: Brandon Nakashima vs Jan-Lennard Struffbacked Brandon Nakashima · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 2, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Wimbledon ATP: Arthur Fery vs Otto Virtanenbacked Otto Virtanen · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 2, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
ITF Ajaccio: Lucas Poullain vs Mathieu Scagliabacked Mathieu Scaglia · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT+47.1%+$9.41
Cary: Rio Noguchi vs Alex Martinezbacked Rio Noguchi · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Madrid Open: Jakub Mensik vs Alexander Zverevbacked Alexander Zverev · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$16Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 28, 2026, EDT+28.2%+$4.4
BNP Paribas Open: Daniil Medvedev vs Jannik Sinnerbacked Daniil Medvedev · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$55Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$54.6
All 23 picks, newest first.
Cricket Inactivelast resolved Jun 13, 2026, EDT2272.7%16 W · 6 L+0.7wins+0.03per pick70cpaid+2.6%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
Cricket — the 22 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Cricket, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
ODI Series India vs Afghanistan: India vs Afghanistanbacked India · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$42Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 13, 2026, EDT+33.3%+$14.08
ODI Series West Indies vs Sri Lanka: West Indies vs Sri Lankabacked Sri Lanka · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$200Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 3, 2026, EDT+93.1%+$186.24
T20 Series England vs. India, Women: England vs Indiabacked England · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$115Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 2, 2026, EDT+43.4%+$49.85
T20 Series England vs. India, Women: England vs Indiabacked India · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 28, 2026, EDT+42.9%+$42.86
Indian Premier League: Sunrisers Hyderabad vs Rajasthan Royalsbacked Rajasthan Royals · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 27, 2026, EDT+31.6%+$31.58
Indian Premier League: Kolkata Knight Riders vs Delhi Capitalsbacked Delhi Capitals · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$435Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 24, 2026, EDT+29.9%+$129.86
Indian Premier League: Mumbai Indians vs Rajasthan Royalsbacked Rajasthan Royals · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$466Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 24, 2026, EDT+37%+$172.5
Indian Premier League: Rajasthan Royals vs Lucknow Super Giantsbacked Rajasthan Royals · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$1,555Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 19, 2026, EDT+34.7%+$539.55
Indian Premier League: Kolkata Knight Riders vs Gujarat Titansbacked Kolkata Knight Riders · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 16, 2026, EDT+31.6%+$9.47
Indian Premier League: Punjab Kings vs Mumbai Indiansbacked Punjab Kings · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$106Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$105.72
Indian Premier League: Royal Challengers Bangalore vs Kolkata Knight Ridersbacked Royal Challengers Bangalore · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$16Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 13, 2026, EDT+45%+$7.16
Indian Premier League: Gujarat Titans vs Sunrisers Hyderabadbacked Gujarat Titans · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$41Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 12, 2026, EDT+30.7%+$12.62
Indian Premier League: Royal Challengers Bangalore vs Mumbai Indiansbacked Mumbai Indians · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$23Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$23
Indian Premier League: Sunrisers Hyderabad vs Kolkata Knight Ridersbacked Kolkata Knight Riders · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 3, 2026, EDT+25%+$12.5
Pakistan Super League: Peshawar Zalmi vs Islamabad Unitedbacked Peshawar Zalmi · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 28, 2026, EDT+58.7%+$58.73
Indian Premier League: Punjab Kings vs Rajasthan Royalsbacked Punjab Kings · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 28, 2026, EDT-100%-$16.6
Indian Premier League: Lucknow Super Giants vs Kolkata Knight Ridersbacked Kolkata Knight Riders · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$98Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 26, 2026, EDT+52%+$50.96
Pakistan Super League: Islamabad United vs Multan Sultansbacked Islamabad United · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$99Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 26, 2026, EDT+31.6%+$31.12
Pakistan Super League: Lahore Qalandars vs Peshawar Zalmibacked Peshawar Zalmi · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$19.6
Indian Premier League: Rajasthan Royals vs Sunrisers Hyderabadbacked Rajasthan Royals · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$19.64
Pakistan Super League: Lahore Qalandars vs Karachi Kingsbacked Lahore Qalandars · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$99Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$98.8
Pakistan Super League: Karachi Kings vs Islamabad Unitedbacked Islamabad United · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$55Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 16, 2026, EDT+35.9%+$19.74
All 22 picks, newest first.
World Politics Inactivelast resolved Jul 6, 2026, EDT1741.2%7 W · 10 L-0.8wins-0.05per pick46cpaid-26%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
World Politics — the 17 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in World Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Roberto Sánchez Palomino win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$126Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$126.4
Will Keiko Fujimori win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$102Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 6, 2026, EDT+194.1%+$198
Will Rafael López Aliaga win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$58Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$57.73
Will Ricardo Belmont win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$71Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 2, 2026, EDT-100%-$71.09
Will Carlos Álvarez win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 2, 2026, EDT-100%-$25
Will Mette Frederiksen be the next prime minister of Denmark after the 2026 parliamentary elections?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$500Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 4, 2026, EDT+25%+$125
Will Caroline Elliott win the 2026 Conservative Party of British Columbia leadership election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$42Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 31, 2026, EDT-100%-$42
Will Peter Milobar win the 2026 Conservative Party of British Columbia leadership election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$33Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 31, 2026, EDT-100%-$33.16
Will the Communist Party of India (Marxist) (CPI(M)) win the most seats in the 2026 Kerala Legislative Assembly election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Will Tisza win the most national list votes in the 2026 Hungarian parliamentary election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$113Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 18, 2026, EDT+32.7%+$37
Will voter turnout be 80%+ in the 2026 Hungarian parliamentary election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$93Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$93.36
Hungary Election: TISZA wins a constitutional majority?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$199Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$199.2
Will turnout in the 2025 Honduran general election be between 60% and 65%?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 13, 2026, EDT+141.6%+$21.24
Will TISZA – Respect and Freedom Party (TISZA) win the most seats in the next Hungarian parliamentary election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$132Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 12, 2026, EDT+51.5%+$68
Will Balendra “Balen” Shah be the next Prime Minister of Nepal?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 27, 2026, EDT+75.4%+$15.09
Will Rastriya Swatantra Party win the most seats in the Nepal House of Representatives election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 8, 2026, EDT+37%+$7.4
U.S. anti-cartel ground operation in Mexico by January 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$23Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 3, 2026, EST-100%-$23.44
All 17 picks, newest first.
Tweets Inactivelast resolved May 5, 2026, EDT1233.3%4 W · 8 L+1.0wins+0.08per pick25cpaid+21.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
Tweets — the 12 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tweets, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Elon Musk post 140-159 tweets from April 28 to May 5, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 5, 2026, EDT+43.1%+$8.61
Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from March 24 to March 31, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$21Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 31, 2026, EDT+42.9%+$9
Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from February 27 to March 6, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 6, 2026, EST+93.5%+$18.69
Will Elon Musk post 280-299 tweets from February 17 to February 24, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 23, 2026, EST-100%-$20
Will Elon Musk post 280-299 tweets from February 13 to February 20, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 20, 2026, EST-100%-$20
Will Elon Musk post 280-299 tweets from February 10 to February 17, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 17, 2026, EST-100%-$20
Will Elon Musk post 300-319 tweets from February 6 to February 13, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 12, 2026, EST-100%-$20
Will Elon Musk post 280-299 tweets from February 6 to February 13, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 11, 2026, EST-100%-$20
Will Elon Musk post 280-299 tweets from February 3 to February 10, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 10, 2026, EST-100%-$20
Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from February 3 to February 10, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 10, 2026, EST-100%-$16
Will Elon Musk post 340-359 tweets from January 27 to February 3, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 3, 2026, EST+877%+$96.47
Will Elon Musk post 320-339 tweets from January 27 to February 3, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 3, 2026, EST-100%-$11
All 12 picks, newest first.
Other European Leagues Inactivelast resolved Jul 27, 2026, EDT862.5%5 W · 3 L+0.5wins+0.07per pick56cpaid+5.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Other European Leagues — the 8 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Other European Leagues, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Olympics Inactivelast resolved Feb 22, 2026, EST742.9%3 W · 4 L-0.3wins-0.04per pick47cpaid-27.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Olympics — the 7 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Olympics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Commodities Inactivelast resolved Apr 30, 2026, EDT650%3 W · 3 L0.0wins0.00per pick50cpaid-22.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Commodities — the 6 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Commodities, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

La Ligalast resolved Aug 22, 2026, EDT560%3 W · 2 L+1.0wins+0.20per pick40cpaid+19.7%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
La Liga — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in La Liga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Crypto Milestones Inactivelast resolved May 1, 2026, EDT540%2 W · 3 L-0.2wins-0.04per pick44cpaid-13%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Crypto Milestones — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Crypto Milestones, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Premier League Inactivelast resolved May 24, 2026, EDT475%3 W · 1 L+0.9wins+0.22per pick53cpaid+29.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
Premier League — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Premier League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Middle East Inactivelast resolved Mar 8, 2026, EDT425%1 W · 3 L0.0wins+0.01per pick24cpaid-54.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Middle East — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Middle East, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Golf Inactivelast resolved Apr 12, 2026, EDT333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.3wins-0.10per pick43cpaid-54.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Golf — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Golf, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Us Politics Inactivelast resolved Feb 3, 2026, EST30%0 W · 3 L-0.6wins-0.20per pick20cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Us Politics — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Us Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Music Inactivelast resolved May 16, 2026, EDT333.3%1 W · 2 L-1.1wins-0.36per pick69cpaid-54.3%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
Music — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Music, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Champions League Inactivelast resolved Jul 28, 2026, EDT30%0 W · 3 L-1.9wins-0.64per pick64cpaid-100%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
Champions League — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Champions League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Ncaa Basketball Inactivelast resolved Apr 7, 2026, EDT250%1 W · 1 L+0.4wins+0.21per pick29cpaid+117.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Ncaa Basketball — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ncaa Basketball, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Michigan win the 2026 NCAA Tournament?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 7, 2026, EDT+334.8%+$38.5
Will Arizona win the 2026 NCAA Tournament?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$17.45
All 2 picks, newest first.
AI Inactivelast resolved Apr 30, 2026, EDT250%1 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.04per pick54cpaid+25%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
AI — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in AI, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

NHL Inactivelast resolved Jun 15, 2026, EDT250%1 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.17per pick67cpaid-24.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
NHL — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NHL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Weather Inactivelast resolved Apr 29, 2026, EDT250%1 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.30per pick80cpaid-37.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Weather — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Weather, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Stocks Inactivelast resolved Apr 1, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.55per pick45cpaid+120.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Stocks — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Stocks, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will S&P 500 (SPX) hit $6,300 (LOW) in March 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$44Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT+120.9%+$53.26
All 1 picks, newest first.
Movies Inactivelast resolved Mar 16, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.45per pick55cpaid+82.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Movies — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Movies, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will All the Empty Rooms win Best Documentary Short Film at the 98th Academy Awards?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 16, 2026, EDT+82.8%+$16.81
All 1 picks, newest first.
Europa Conference League Inactivelast resolved Jul 29, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.39per pick61cpaid+63.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Europa Conference League — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Europa Conference League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will FC København win on 2026-07-29?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 29, 2026, EDT+63.9%+$12.79
All 1 picks, newest first.
Fed Rates Inactivelast resolved Mar 18, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.18per pick18cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Fed Rates — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fed Rates, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the March 2026 meeting?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$30
All 1 picks, newest first.
Boxing Inactivelast resolved Feb 16, 2026, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.60per pick60cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
Boxing — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Boxing, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Logan Paul’s PSA 10 Pokémon Illustrator Sale Price be over $10 million?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 16, 2026, EST-100%-$100
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.