Fifa International · resolved market
Portugal vs. Spain: 1st Half O/U 3.5 Total Corners
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xa4b17156804eceb1eaf17affb51b3e341033a95c64246217e402afff9f591069
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $18,548
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $25,678
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $18,548 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 52 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Fifa International | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xd452…51bbbacked Over | 70c | 4,539$3,170 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,369.24 | 46 | 54.3%25 W · 21 L | +1.9wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6a32…0086backed Under | 30c | 4,373$1,312 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,311.98 | 864 | 52.7%455 W · 409 L | +26.7wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4d02…bfecbacked Under | 33c | 2,091$694 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$693.5 | 1,475 | 44.9%663 W · 812 L | -4.8wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x71ef…c362backed Over | 65c | 606.31$397 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$209.31 | 37 | 62.2%23 W · 14 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 61cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Over | 68c | 573.11$391 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$182.03 | 8,614 | 29.2%2,518 W · 6,096 L | -166.6wins | -0.02per pick | 31cpaid | -32.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0dbe…9013backed Over | 61c | 404.72$247 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$157.84 | 97 | 45.4%44 W · 53 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +6.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xad1c…7c56backed Under | 33c | 302.76$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 10 | 10%1 W · 9 L | -0.6wins | -0.06per pick | 16cpaid | -34.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8d93…b34dbacked Over | 66c | 299.98$198 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$101.99 | 245 | 55.1%135 W · 110 L | +5.4wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc337…5984backed Under | 34c | 294.12$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 196 | 18.4%36 W · 160 L | -3.5wins | -0.02per pick | 20cpaid | -31.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8412…55f3backed Under | 12c | 238.57$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29 | 44 | 40.9%18 W · 26 L | +4.1wins | +0.09per pick | 32cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc730…c568backed Under | 35c | 212.24$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75 | 660 | 56.8%375 W · 285 L | +34.2wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +10.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x35ab…79e1backed Over | 62c | 161.29$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61.29 | 28 | 28.6%8 W · 20 L | -1.5wins | -0.05per pick | 34cpaid | -51.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf751…65ccbacked Over | 65c | 153.85$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.85 | 99 | 49.5%49 W · 50 L | +2.6wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb581…0308backed Under | 34c | 149.98$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.99 | 470 | 49.4%232 W · 238 L | +5.3wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x83bf…8aa4backed Over | 68c | 147$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.04 | 123 | 48%59 W · 64 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0321…24aabacked Over | 69c | 144.93$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.93 | 26 | 57.7%15 W · 11 L | -1.1wins | -0.04per pick | 62cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4d35…29d6backed Over | 70c | 142.86$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.86 | 24 | 58.3%14 W · 10 L | +2.6wins | +0.11per pick | 47cpaid | +22.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x802d…55b5backed Over | 70c | 142.86$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.86 | 12 | 25%3 W · 9 L | -1.1wins | -0.09per pick | 34cpaid | -55.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x851f…642fbacked Under | 38c | 131.58$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 174 | 44.8%78 W · 96 L | -10.3wins | -0.06per pick | 51cpaid | -20.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb896…f19fbacked Over | 65c | 123.08$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.08 | 11 | 63.6%7 W · 4 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 62cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2843…b3d2backed Over | 66c | 100$66 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34 | 210 | 58.1%122 W · 88 L | +2.9wins | +0.01per pick | 57cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe809…039bbacked Over | 66c | 100$66 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34 | 73 | 49.3%36 W · 37 L | -3.1wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -11.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe6d3…71cfbacked Over | 65c | 100$65 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35 | 119 | 39.5%47 W · 72 L | -9.9wins | -0.08per pick | 48cpaid | -22.5%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xa3c2…df3dbacked Under | 31c | 87.5$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.91 | 3,286 | 49.2%1,616 W · 1,670 L | +6.2wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x329d…5a92backed Under | 33c | 79.26$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.96 | 2,576 | 46.3%1,192 W · 1,384 L | +35.9wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x38e9…736dbacked Over | 68c | 73.53$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.53 | 297 | 66.7%198 W · 99 L | +14.0wins | +0.05per pick | 62cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x58cf…6b6fbacked Over | 68c | 73.53$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.53 | 85 | 62.4%53 W · 32 L | +1.5wins | +0.02per pick | 61cpaid | +8.1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb116…c4e1backed Over | 69c | 72.46$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.46 | 149 | 53%79 W · 70 L | +4.0wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +8.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9ecc…415abacked Over | 70c | 71.43$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.43 | 287 | 47%135 W · 152 L | +2.2wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0d89…dc09backed Over | 70c | 71.43$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.43 | 153 | 44.4%68 W · 85 L | -4.7wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -11.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xaa28…3b01backed Over | 70c | 71.43$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.43 | 18 | 55.6%10 W · 8 L | -1.3wins | -0.07per pick | 63cpaid | -19.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5210…bd53backed Under | 39c | 52.84$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.58 | 2,796 | 56.7%1,585 W · 1,211 L | -9.2wins | 0.00per pick | 57cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1a67…52edbacked Over | 69c | 50.72$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.72 | 109 | 52.3%57 W · 52 L | -0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x26e8…1c01backed Over | 70c | 48.47$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.54 | 52 | 63.5%33 W · 19 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 63cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9b50…c5f9backed Over | 69c | 43.48$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.48 | 66 | 53%35 W · 31 L | -0.8wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb7b1…5e42backed Over | 69c | 43.48$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.48 | 48 | 45.8%22 W · 26 L | -1.0wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6b57…263ebacked Over | 70c | 42.86$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.86 | 397 | 52.1%207 W · 190 L | +6.0wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x957e…3621backed Under | 52c | 38.81$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 221 | 47.1%104 W · 117 L | +4.3wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x28ac…a5ecbacked Over | 65c | 30.77$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.77 | 52 | 53.8%28 W · 24 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8fee…850abacked Over | 66c | 30.3$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.3 | 86 | 61.6%53 W · 33 L | +5.7wins | +0.07per pick | 55cpaid | +13.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7a93…f34cbacked Over | 70c | 28.57$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.57 | 62 | 59.7%37 W · 25 L | -2.6wins | -0.04per pick | 64cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcb70…01c0backed Over | 71c | 28.17$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.17 | 96 | 59.4%57 W · 39 L | -3.4wins | -0.04per pick | 63cpaid | -10.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe05c…6ac6backed Over | 71c | 28.17$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.17 | 33 | 72.7%24 W · 9 L | +3.8wins | +0.12per pick | 61cpaid | +22.4%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x876b…7acfbacked Over | 69c | 24.04$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.45 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.12per pick | 62cpaid | -27.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3e47…0720backed Over | 65c | 23.08$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.08 | 27 | 74.1%20 W · 7 L | +0.8wins | +0.03per pick | 71cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x51dd…8294backed Over | 67c | 22.38$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.38 | 94 | 55.3%52 W · 42 L | +3.9wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa4d7…b06cbacked Over | 68c | 22.06$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.06 | 43 | 72.1%31 W · 12 L | +5.6wins | +0.13per pick | 59cpaid | +16.7%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x77fa…32c6backed Over | 69c | 21.74$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.74 | 10 | 70%7 W · 3 L | +0.9wins | +0.09per pick | 61cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa270…ecadbacked Over | 70c | 20$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6 | 282 | 51.4%145 W · 137 L | +10.7wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4502…9eedbacked Over | 69c | 19.99$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.11 | 306 | 42.8%131 W · 175 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -20%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd9dd…b525backed Over | 80c | 19.98$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4 | 246 | 35.8%88 W · 158 L | +4.5wins | +0.02per pick | 34cpaid | -14.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x82ca…3135backed Over | 62c | 19.88$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.6 | 205 | 61%125 W · 80 L | +7.8wins | +0.04per pick | 57cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 21 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Portugal vs. Spain: 1st Half O/U 3.5 Total Cornersthis page
- Portugal vs. Spain: 1st Half O/U 4.5 Total CornersOver won
- Portugal vs. Spain: 1st Half O/U 5.5 Total CornersUnder won
- Portugal vs. Spain: 2nd Half O/U 3.5 Total CornersOver won
- Portugal vs. Spain: 2nd Half O/U 4.5 Total CornersOver won
- Portugal vs. Spain: 2nd Half O/U 5.5 Total CornersUnder won
- Portugal vs. Spain: O/U 10.5 Total CornersUnder won
- Portugal vs. Spain: O/U 11.5 Total CornersUnder won
- Portugal vs. Spain: O/U 12.5 Total CornersUnder won
- Portugal vs. Spain: O/U 6.5 Total CornersOver won
- Portugal vs. Spain: O/U 7.5 Total CornersOver won
- Portugal vs. Spain: O/U 8.5 Total CornersOver won
- Portugal vs. Spain: O/U 9.5 Total CornersOver won
- Portugal vs. Spain: Portugal O/U 2.5 CornersOver won
- Portugal vs. Spain: Portugal O/U 3.5 CornersUnder won
- Portugal vs. Spain: Portugal O/U 4.5 CornersUnder won
- Portugal vs. Spain: Spain O/U 4.5 CornersOver won
- Portugal vs. Spain: Spain O/U 5.5 CornersOver won
- Portugal vs. Spain: Spain O/U 6.5 CornersOver won
- Portugal vs. Spain: Team to Take First CornerPortugal won
- Portugal vs. Spain: Total Corners Odd or Even?Even won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.