Fifa International · resolved market
Portugal vs. Spain: 2nd Half O/U 4.5 Total Corners
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x9abbc62781f5f4f399009600b18ddfc3b74b6fc0587b6c1bb27439c32dd5b047
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $10,974
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $12,470
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $10,974 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 40 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Fifa International | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x4d02…bfecbacked Under | 42c | 2,152$895 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$895.04 | 1,475 | 44.9%663 W · 812 L | -4.8wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4c25…c3bebacked Under | 46c | 1,600$742 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$741.98 | 706 | 48.2%340 W · 366 L | +0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0659…d74dbacked Under | 37c | 1,168$432 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$432.12 | 94 | 50%47 W · 47 L | +4.6wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | +11.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1e3b…c850backed Over | 55c | 909.09$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$409.09 | 301 | 40.5%122 W · 179 L | +1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb238…4961backed Under | 45c | 838.46$380 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$380.01 | 75 | 54.7%41 W · 34 L | +5.7wins | +0.08per pick | 47cpaid | +14.8%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Over | 57c | 654.16$376 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$278.48 | 8,614 | 29.2%2,518 W · 6,096 L | -166.6wins | -0.02per pick | 31cpaid | -32.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0321…24aabacked Over | 62c | 644.23$399 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$244.99 | 26 | 57.7%15 W · 11 L | -1.1wins | -0.04per pick | 62cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa76e…dcb6backed Under | 40c | 588.32$235 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$235.33 | 232 | 51.7%120 W · 112 L | +2.2wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbe56…093dbacked Over | 60c | 585.02$350 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$235.02 | 50 | 56%28 W · 22 L | -2.3wins | -0.05per pick | 61cpaid | -12%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9629…ee15backed Over | 60c | 500$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$200 | 94 | 46.8%44 W · 50 L | -0.9wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x077c…98abbacked Over | 63c | 463.95$292 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$171.95 | 195 | 53.3%104 W · 91 L | +4.2wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9516…0bcbbacked Over | 54c | 370.37$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$170.37 | 562 | 40.6%228 W · 334 L | -11.6wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbfbb…de86backed Under | 47c | 315.96$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 62 | 51.6%32 W · 30 L | +1.0wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2c09…ed31backed Over | 58c | 261$153 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$108.41 | 144 | 40.3%58 W · 86 L | +2.9wins | +0.02per pick | 38cpaid | 0%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xde6d…b6f2backed Over | 53c | 240.68$128 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$113.12 | 16 | 43.8%7 W · 9 L | +1.3wins | +0.08per pick | 35cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf25b…82d0backed Under | 42c | 206.56$87 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$87.26 | 63 | 38.1%24 W · 39 L | +1.5wins | +0.02per pick | 36cpaid | -16.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa3c2…df3dbacked Under | 43c | 192.71$82 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$82.21 | 3,286 | 49.2%1,616 W · 1,670 L | +6.2wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6a2c…5cd2backed Over | 54c | 183.33$99 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$84.33 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.46per pick | 54cpaid | +85.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7e3f…d4bfbacked Over | 55c | 157.58$87 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$70.91 | 158 | 37.3%59 W · 99 L | -4.6wins | -0.03per pick | 40cpaid | -16%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf751…65ccbacked Over | 71c | 141.41$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.41 | 99 | 49.5%49 W · 50 L | +2.6wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x06c9…424fbacked Over | 63c | 126.98$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.98 | 98 | 40.8%40 W · 58 L | -5.3wins | -0.05per pick | 46cpaid | -20.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe6d3…71cfbacked Over | 56c | 100$56 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.14 | 119 | 39.5%47 W · 72 L | -9.9wins | -0.08per pick | 48cpaid | -22.5%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x7a18…a0f3backed Over | 63c | 95.24$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.24 | 62 | 48.4%30 W · 32 L | +1.3wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +13.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7d85…5c50backed Over | 53c | 94.34$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.34 | 106 | 46.2%49 W · 57 L | +2.7wins | +0.03per pick | 44cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x71ef…c362backed Over | 54c | 92.98$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.98 | 37 | 62.2%23 W · 14 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 61cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf348…e543backed Under | 29c | 87.42$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.35 | 401 | 63.3%254 W · 147 L | +57.7wins | +0.14per pick | 49cpaid | +25.7%equal weight | 65+0.14 edge/pick |
| 0x9ae4…4cc2backed Over | 58c | 84.62$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.54 | 14 | 50%7 W · 7 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb9c1…2848backed Over | 63c | 81$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.97 | 25 | 52%13 W · 12 L | -2.2wins | -0.09per pick | 61cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5210…bd53backed Under | 45c | 75$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.75 | 2,796 | 56.7%1,585 W · 1,211 L | -9.2wins | 0.00per pick | 57cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5cc7…164ebacked Over | 60c | 56.74$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.73 | 7 | 85.7%6 W · 1 L | +2.2wins | +0.32per pick | 54cpaid | +69.2%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xceae…1cedbacked Over | 63c | 50$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.5 | 40 | 30%12 W · 28 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 30cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0bf7…0fb8backed Over | 63c | 47.62$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.62 | 143 | 58.7%84 W · 59 L | -2.4wins | -0.02per pick | 60cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9b50…c5f9backed Over | 63c | 47.62$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.62 | 66 | 53%35 W · 31 L | -0.8wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x85b5…c3bcbacked Over | 55c | 29.99$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.5 | 49 | 71.4%35 W · 14 L | +4.6wins | +0.09per pick | 62cpaid | +14%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4143…3783backed Over | 61c | 27.37$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.67 | 157 | 46.5%73 W · 84 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4358…3e76backed Under | 42c | 25.85$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.82 | 210 | 51.4%108 W · 102 L | +1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa697…59d5backed Over | 52c | 24.73$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.87 | 2,805 | 55.1%1,546 W · 1,259 L | +70.4wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb5a0…ae08backed Over | 63c | 20.63$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.63 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -2.0wins | -0.41per pick | 61cpaid | -68.3%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xa270…ecadbacked Over | 62c | 20$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.6 | 282 | 51.4%145 W · 137 L | +10.7wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe8f1…478bbacked Over | 54c | 20$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.2 | 129 | 48.8%63 W · 66 L | -2.9wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 21 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Portugal vs. Spain: 2nd Half O/U 4.5 Total Cornersthis page
- Portugal vs. Spain: 1st Half O/U 3.5 Total CornersOver won
- Portugal vs. Spain: 1st Half O/U 4.5 Total CornersOver won
- Portugal vs. Spain: 1st Half O/U 5.5 Total CornersUnder won
- Portugal vs. Spain: 2nd Half O/U 3.5 Total CornersOver won
- Portugal vs. Spain: 2nd Half O/U 5.5 Total CornersUnder won
- Portugal vs. Spain: O/U 10.5 Total CornersUnder won
- Portugal vs. Spain: O/U 11.5 Total CornersUnder won
- Portugal vs. Spain: O/U 12.5 Total CornersUnder won
- Portugal vs. Spain: O/U 6.5 Total CornersOver won
- Portugal vs. Spain: O/U 7.5 Total CornersOver won
- Portugal vs. Spain: O/U 8.5 Total CornersOver won
- Portugal vs. Spain: O/U 9.5 Total CornersOver won
- Portugal vs. Spain: Portugal O/U 2.5 CornersOver won
- Portugal vs. Spain: Portugal O/U 3.5 CornersUnder won
- Portugal vs. Spain: Portugal O/U 4.5 CornersUnder won
- Portugal vs. Spain: Spain O/U 4.5 CornersOver won
- Portugal vs. Spain: Spain O/U 5.5 CornersOver won
- Portugal vs. Spain: Spain O/U 6.5 CornersOver won
- Portugal vs. Spain: Team to Take First CornerPortugal won
- Portugal vs. Spain: Total Corners Odd or Even?Even won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.