Fifa International · resolved market
Portugal vs. Spain: Spain O/U 6.5 Corners
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x715b44b996020705d3d26dd19b41cff185a52a36f47c2b3ff32703ea8995ecad
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $2,829
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $3,392
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $2,829 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 20 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Fifa International | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x4d02…bfecbacked Under | 63c | 926.71$584 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$584.38 | 1,475 | 44.9%663 W · 812 L | -4.8wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7de3…d59bbacked Under | 62c | 499.99$310 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$309.99 | 1,206 | 50.2%606 W · 600 L | +44.5wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +7.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Over | 37c | 308.15$115 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$193.11 | 8,614 | 29.2%2,518 W · 6,096 L | -166.6wins | -0.02per pick | 31cpaid | -32.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3de6…e560backed Over | 37c | 235.36$88 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$147.34 | 423 | 36.9%156 W · 267 L | -5.7wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -20.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6a32…0086backed Under | 62c | 220.47$138 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$137.69 | 864 | 52.7%455 W · 409 L | +26.7wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfb4d…bb58backed Over | 38c | 202$77 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$125.24 | 347 | 51%177 W · 170 L | +19.5wins | +0.06per pick | 45cpaid | +19.7%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7c31…5380backed Over | 38c | 155$59 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$96.1 | 277 | 44.8%124 W · 153 L | +8.7wins | +0.03per pick | 42cpaid | +20.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdba1…a269backed Over | 35c | 142.86$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$92.86 | 45 | 57.8%26 W · 19 L | +2.8wins | +0.06per pick | 52cpaid | +21.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1d2d…bfcbbacked Over | 38c | 131.58$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$81.58 | 94 | 37.2%35 W · 59 L | +2.6wins | +0.03per pick | 34cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x786c…dd20backed Over | 35c | 85.71$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55.71 | 108 | 43.5%47 W · 61 L | +3.3wins | +0.03per pick | 40cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x89a7…3610backed Over | 38c | 78.95$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.95 | 113 | 51.3%58 W · 55 L | -0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6db6…5176backed Over | 38c | 78.95$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.95 | 76 | 15.8%12 W · 64 L | -0.9wins | -0.01per pick | 17cpaid | -32.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1619…05fbbacked Over | 38c | 74.58$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.24 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | -1.5wins | -0.21per pick | 35cpaid | -62.4%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xef3a…dc6bbacked Over | 38c | 50$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31 | 138 | 38.4%53 W · 85 L | -8.6wins | -0.06per pick | 45cpaid | -21.6%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd800…c256backed Over | 36c | 50$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32 | 313 | 58.1%182 W · 131 L | +6.0wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa882…e517backed Over | 38c | 39.47$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.47 | 164 | 42.1%69 W · 95 L | -5.1wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -12.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5210…bd53backed Under | 64c | 33.6$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.62 | 2,796 | 56.7%1,585 W · 1,211 L | -9.2wins | 0.00per pick | 57cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8812…c41abacked Under | 62c | 33.37$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.69 | 452 | 54.6%247 W · 205 L | +13.0wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x47c9…2038backed Over | 36c | 30.83$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.73 | 149 | 55%82 W · 67 L | +13.9wins | +0.09per pick | 46cpaid | +21.1%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xd2ae…f36bbacked Over | 38c | 30$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.6 | 1,306 | 44.7%584 W · 722 L | -9.6wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 21 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Portugal vs. Spain: Spain O/U 6.5 Cornersthis page
- Portugal vs. Spain: 1st Half O/U 3.5 Total CornersOver won
- Portugal vs. Spain: 1st Half O/U 4.5 Total CornersOver won
- Portugal vs. Spain: 1st Half O/U 5.5 Total CornersUnder won
- Portugal vs. Spain: 2nd Half O/U 3.5 Total CornersOver won
- Portugal vs. Spain: 2nd Half O/U 4.5 Total CornersOver won
- Portugal vs. Spain: 2nd Half O/U 5.5 Total CornersUnder won
- Portugal vs. Spain: O/U 10.5 Total CornersUnder won
- Portugal vs. Spain: O/U 11.5 Total CornersUnder won
- Portugal vs. Spain: O/U 12.5 Total CornersUnder won
- Portugal vs. Spain: O/U 6.5 Total CornersOver won
- Portugal vs. Spain: O/U 7.5 Total CornersOver won
- Portugal vs. Spain: O/U 8.5 Total CornersOver won
- Portugal vs. Spain: O/U 9.5 Total CornersOver won
- Portugal vs. Spain: Portugal O/U 2.5 CornersOver won
- Portugal vs. Spain: Portugal O/U 3.5 CornersUnder won
- Portugal vs. Spain: Portugal O/U 4.5 CornersUnder won
- Portugal vs. Spain: Spain O/U 4.5 CornersOver won
- Portugal vs. Spain: Spain O/U 5.5 CornersOver won
- Portugal vs. Spain: Team to Take First CornerPortugal won
- Portugal vs. Spain: Total Corners Odd or Even?Even won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.