Portugal vs. Spain: 1st Half O/U 4.5 Total Corners

https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x7deeb9e470934d0454c813324ee31f89cdf23cabfd511dcf371b184e6e7c74a9

Rebuilt 1 day ago.

Winning outcome: Overof Over, Under
Resolved: Jul 6, 2026, EDTUS/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in: Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s

Volume Polymarket published: $21,267
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed: $24,605

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $21,267 — the venue’s figure.

Open this market on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 66 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this market					This wallet’s whole record in Fifa International
Wallet	Entry	Position	Result	P/L held	Qualified picks	Win rate	vs expected	Realizable edge	Avg entry	ROI per pick	Tail Score
0x6a32…0086backed Under	46c	2,361$1,086 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,085.94	864	52.7%455 W · 409 L	+26.7wins	+0.03per pick	50cpaid	+8%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x4d02…bfecbacked Under	50c	1,933$960 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$959.55	1,475	44.9%663 W · 812 L	-4.8wins	0.00per pick	45cpaid	-4.8%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x2795…fd6bbacked Over	53c	1,845$978 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$867.28	18	50%9 W · 9 L	-0.2wins	-0.01per pick	51cpaid	+0.2%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x1e3b…c850backed Over	50c	1,587$800 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$786.54	301	40.5%122 W · 179 L	+1.0wins	0.00per pick	40cpaid	+4.8%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x65b5…aa71backed Over	52c	1,560$819 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$741.02	406	55.7%226 W · 180 L	+17.8wins	+0.04per pick	51cpaid	+9.4%equal weight	55+0.04 edge/pick
0x0c05…fabfbacked Under	47c	1,500$705 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$704.99	70	78.6%55 W · 15 L	+8.6wins	+0.12per pick	66cpaid	+18.9%equal weight	60+0.09 edge/pick
0x4c25…c3bebacked Under	55c	1,500$825 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$824.98	706	48.2%340 W · 366 L	+0.8wins	0.00per pick	48cpaid	-3.2%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x8dee…412bbacked Over	54c	925.93$500 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$425.93	894	43.4%388 W · 506 L	+18.6wins	+0.02per pick	41cpaid	+8.5%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x7de3…d59bbacked Under	46c	750.56$346 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$345.75	1,206	50.2%606 W · 600 L	+44.5wins	+0.04per pick	47cpaid	+7.4%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0xd679…91a0backed Over	45c	728.02$328 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$400.41	69	52.2%36 W · 33 L	+1.7wins	+0.02per pick	50cpaid	+4.6%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa3c2…df3dbacked Under	49c	691.95$338 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$338.14	3,286	49.2%1,616 W · 1,670 L	+6.2wins	0.00per pick	49cpaid	-0.8%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xe27a…9798backed Under	48c	625$300 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$300	25	20%5 W · 20 L	-2.9wins	-0.11per pick	31cpaid	-22%equal weight	44-0.06 edge/pick
0xa697…59d5backed Over	53c	515.85$273 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$242.67	2,805	55.1%1,546 W · 1,259 L	+70.4wins	+0.03per pick	53cpaid	+4.1%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0xec54…e8c1backed Over	51c	474.98$242 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$232.74	227	52.4%119 W · 108 L	+7.3wins	+0.03per pick	49cpaid	+5.2%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x8d93…b34dbacked Over	53c	377.36$200 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$177.36	245	55.1%135 W · 110 L	+5.4wins	+0.02per pick	53cpaid	+2.5%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xbc83…fdd4backed Under	40c	363.84$147 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$147.01	34	58.8%20 W · 14 L	+4.9wins	+0.14per pick	44cpaid	+15.1%equal weight	59+0.08 edge/pick
0xa936…5d19backed Over	50c	300$150 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$150	41	53.7%22 W · 19 L	+0.1wins	0.00per pick	53cpaid	-8.8%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x2c09…ed31backed Over	54c	274.94$148 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$126.47	144	40.3%58 W · 86 L	+2.9wins	+0.02per pick	38cpaid	0%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5de7…5417backed Under	47c	250$118 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$117.5	149	49.7%74 W · 75 L	+10.3wins	+0.07per pick	43cpaid	+22.1%equal weight	57+0.06 edge/pick
0x4f1d…8de2backed Over	45c	247.33$111 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$135.87	1,135	40.2%456 W · 679 L	+5.2wins	0.00per pick	40cpaid	-6.8%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x9516…0bcbbacked Over	45c	222.22$100 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$122.22	562	40.6%228 W · 334 L	-11.6wins	-0.02per pick	43cpaid	-9.6%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x21f4…81a6backed Under	7c	214.29$15 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$15	30	13.3%4 W · 26 L	+0.9wins	+0.03per pick	10cpaid	+121.2%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x40b5…6b5fbacked Under	47c	212.77$100 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$100	200	25.5%51 W · 149 L	-3.2wins	-0.02per pick	27cpaid	-17.6%equal weight	48-0.01 edge/pick
0x8ef2…3c33backed Under	47c	212.77$100 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$100	182	47.8%87 W · 95 L	+2.4wins	+0.01per pick	46cpaid	+2.6%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8833…3ea1backed Under	56c	210.25$117 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$116.71	617	52%321 W · 296 L	-13.4wins	-0.02per pick	54cpaid	-3.7%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xcbb4…ec61backed Over	55c	200$110 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$90	130	31.5%41 W · 89 L	-0.7wins	-0.01per pick	32cpaid	-21%equal weight	490.00 edge/pick
0xaffc…cddcbacked Over	44c	200$88 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$112	69	37.7%26 W · 43 L	+2.3wins	+0.03per pick	34cpaid	+1.3%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0xbb42…6e09backed Under	49c	179.59$88 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$88	624	52.7%329 W · 295 L	+10.6wins	+0.02per pick	51cpaid	+3.5%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2889…5922backed Under	47c	142.13$67 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$66.9	14	50%7 W · 7 L	+1.1wins	+0.08per pick	42cpaid	+57.1%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0xe196…7976backed Over	53c	138.51$74 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$64.51	235	28.1%66 W · 169 L	+2.7wins	+0.01per pick	27cpaid	+0.5%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc730…c568backed Under	52c	124.83$64 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$64.37	660	56.8%375 W · 285 L	+34.2wins	+0.05per pick	52cpaid	+10.5%equal weight	56+0.05 edge/pick
0x3c60…dd8dbacked Under	47c	114.89$54 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$54	4	0%0 W · 4 L	-1.0wins	-0.26per pick	26cpaid	-100%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0x3b28…7f1bbacked Over	44c	113.64$50 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$63.64	140	42.1%59 W · 81 L	-2.2wins	-0.02per pick	44cpaid	-4.9%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb581…0308backed Under	49c	109.99$54 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$53.9	470	49.4%232 W · 238 L	+5.3wins	+0.01per pick	48cpaid	+6.3%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1f35…ee57backed Under	47c	106.38$50 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$50	6	0%0 W · 6 L	-1.0wins	-0.17per pick	17cpaid	-100%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0xe6d3…71cfbacked Over	49c	100$49 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$50.54	119	39.5%47 W · 72 L	-9.9wins	-0.08per pick	48cpaid	-22.5%equal weight	42-0.07 edge/pick
0xd8ef…7690backed Over	53c	100$53 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$47	36	50%18 W · 18 L	+1.5wins	+0.04per pick	46cpaid	+22.7%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0x42fc…a43cbacked Over	67c	98.02$65 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$32.71	37	56.8%21 W · 16 L	+0.2wins	+0.01per pick	56cpaid	-5.5%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xe907…cff6backed Over	53c	95.23$50 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$44.79	8,614	29.2%2,518 W · 6,096 L	-166.6wins	-0.02per pick	31cpaid	-32.3%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xcf27…8f82backed Over	53c	94.34$50 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$44.34	43	27.9%12 W · 31 L	+1.5wins	+0.03per pick	24cpaid	+92.4%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x06c9…424fbacked Over	54c	92.59$50 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$42.59	98	40.8%40 W · 58 L	-5.3wins	-0.05per pick	46cpaid	-20.6%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0xfff3…e2c5backed Under	34c	92.47$31 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$31.44	144	50.7%73 W · 71 L	+3.8wins	+0.03per pick	48cpaid	-1.1%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xb9c1…2848backed Over	54c	91$49 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$41.86	25	52%13 W · 12 L	-2.2wins	-0.09per pick	61cpaid	-20.1%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0x8138…80acbacked Under	47c	85.11$40 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$40	135	28.1%38 W · 97 L	-0.6wins	0.00per pick	29cpaid	+27%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xf9f1…23eebacked Under	49c	60$29 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$29.4	559	42.4%237 W · 322 L	+0.6wins	0.00per pick	42cpaid	+1.3%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x6b57…263ebacked Over	54c	55.56$30 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$25.56	397	52.1%207 W · 190 L	+6.0wins	+0.02per pick	51cpaid	-1.4%equal weight	52+0.01 edge/pick
0x1897…2a42backed Over	54c	55.56$30 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$25.56	404	35.6%144 W · 260 L	+1.0wins	0.00per pick	35cpaid	+0.8%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x557e…5007backed Over	56c	54.66$31 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$24.05	217	55.3%120 W · 97 L	+13.2wins	+0.06per pick	49cpaid	+14.3%equal weight	56+0.05 edge/pick
0xd916…526fbacked Under	50c	50$25 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$25	42	38.1%16 W · 26 L	+0.1wins	0.00per pick	38cpaid	-10.4%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x54fb…e7f3backed Over	53c	47.17$25 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$22.17	105	33.3%35 W · 70 L	-2.1wins	-0.02per pick	35cpaid	+24.6%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4726…ff2bbacked Under	43c	46.81$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20	49	30.6%15 W · 34 L	-4.6wins	-0.09per pick	40cpaid	-26.6%equal weight	43-0.06 edge/pick
0x957e…3621backed Under	44c	45.97$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20	221	47.1%104 W · 117 L	+4.3wins	+0.02per pick	45cpaid	+5.6%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1594…a834backed Over	45c	44.44$20 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$24.44	94	54.3%51 W · 43 L	-2.4wins	-0.03per pick	57cpaid	-9.5%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x8812…c41abacked Under	47c	40$19 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$18.8	452	54.6%247 W · 205 L	+13.0wins	+0.03per pick	52cpaid	+6.5%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0xb96d…6af2backed Over	53c	37.74$20 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$17.74	20	50%10 W · 10 L	-0.9wins	-0.05per pick	55cpaid	-6.5%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa882…e517backed Over	54c	37.04$20 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$17.04	164	42.1%69 W · 95 L	-5.1wins	-0.03per pick	45cpaid	-12.9%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x4358…3e76backed Over	52c	34.15$18 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$16.31	210	51.4%108 W · 102 L	+1.0wins	0.00per pick	51cpaid	-1.6%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x6511…5f44backed Over	57c	33.81$19 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$14.54	55	34.5%19 W · 36 L	-1.5wins	-0.03per pick	37cpaid	-24.6%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x82ca…3135backed Over	69c	32.16$22 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$9.81	205	61%125 W · 80 L	+7.8wins	+0.04per pick	57cpaid	+2.4%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0x0898…53b3backed Over	53c	32.08$17 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$15.08	32	40.6%13 W · 19 L	-0.4wins	-0.01per pick	42cpaid	-7.1%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xfb39…aeafbacked Under	48c	30.9$15 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$14.83	1	0%0 W · 1 L	-0.5wins	-0.48per pick	48cpaid	-100%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x0e41…36f2backed Over	54c	30$16 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$13.8	98	50%49 W · 49 L	-2.6wins	-0.03per pick	53cpaid	-8.1%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xdf8d…0de5backed Over	52c	29$15 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$13.92	60	46.7%28 W · 32 L	+1.5wins	+0.02per pick	44cpaid	-0.3%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa6b8…4bdfbacked Over	51c	25.83$13 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$12.69	54	29.6%16 W · 38 L	+3.2wins	+0.06per pick	24cpaid	+16.9%equal weight	55+0.04 edge/pick
0x46e8…a63dbacked Over	54c	21.28$11 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$9.79	11	54.5%6 W · 5 L	+1.1wins	+0.10per pick	45cpaid	+25.8%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x37e9…ab9fbacked Over	54c	21$11 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$9.66	145	26.2%38 W · 107 L	-11.8wins	-0.08per pick	34cpaid	-27.8%equal weight	42-0.07 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 21 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Portugal vs. Spain: 1st Half O/U 4.5 Total Cornersthis page
Portugal vs. Spain: 1st Half O/U 3.5 Total CornersOver won
Portugal vs. Spain: 1st Half O/U 5.5 Total CornersUnder won
Portugal vs. Spain: 2nd Half O/U 3.5 Total CornersOver won
Portugal vs. Spain: 2nd Half O/U 4.5 Total CornersOver won
Portugal vs. Spain: 2nd Half O/U 5.5 Total CornersUnder won
Portugal vs. Spain: O/U 10.5 Total CornersUnder won
Portugal vs. Spain: O/U 11.5 Total CornersUnder won
Portugal vs. Spain: O/U 12.5 Total CornersUnder won
Portugal vs. Spain: O/U 6.5 Total CornersOver won
Portugal vs. Spain: O/U 7.5 Total CornersOver won
Portugal vs. Spain: O/U 8.5 Total CornersOver won
Portugal vs. Spain: O/U 9.5 Total CornersOver won
Portugal vs. Spain: Portugal O/U 2.5 CornersOver won
Portugal vs. Spain: Portugal O/U 3.5 CornersUnder won
Portugal vs. Spain: Portugal O/U 4.5 CornersUnder won
Portugal vs. Spain: Spain O/U 4.5 CornersOver won
Portugal vs. Spain: Spain O/U 5.5 CornersOver won
Portugal vs. Spain: Spain O/U 6.5 CornersOver won
Portugal vs. Spain: Team to Take First CornerPortugal won
Portugal vs. Spain: Total Corners Odd or Even?Even won

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

The market traded at least $500.
The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.

Portugal vs. Spain: 1st Half O/U 4.5 Total Corners

What this market resolved to

Who was on this market

The rest of this event