Portugal vs. Spain: Portugal O/U 4.5 Corners

https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x2888f7659960d28002638297d4fb35b0f2760d7ca2b886f7371b83fb9186f0e7

Rebuilt 2 hours ago.

Winning outcome: Underof Over, Under
Resolved: Jul 6, 2026, EDTUS/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in: Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s

Volume Polymarket published: $17,076
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed: $16,898

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $17,076 — the venue’s figure.

Open this market on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 62 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this market					This wallet’s whole record in Fifa International
Wallet	Entry	Position	Result	P/L held	Qualified picks	Win rate	vs expected	Realizable edge	Avg entry	ROI per pick	Tail Score
0x37f4…49afbacked Under	62c	7,887$4,899 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$2,988.47	190	37.4%71 W · 119 L	+1.5wins	+0.01per pick	37cpaid	+31.5%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x84cf…2f63backed Over	39c	6,146$2,411 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$2,411.11	2,439	29%707 W · 1,732 L	-65.3wins	-0.03per pick	32cpaid	-21%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0xe907…cff6backed Over	42c	1,681$710 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$710.24	8,614	29.2%2,518 W · 6,096 L	-166.6wins	-0.02per pick	31cpaid	-32.3%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4d02…bfecbacked Under	60c	1,626$969 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$657.27	1,475	44.9%663 W · 812 L	-4.8wins	0.00per pick	45cpaid	-4.8%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x3999…f793backed Over	38c	1,281$487 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$486.73	37	37.8%14 W · 23 L	-1.4wins	-0.04per pick	42cpaid	-14.8%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0x9f15…bdb3backed Over	37c	837.59$310 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$309.91	465	50.3%234 W · 231 L	+5.1wins	+0.01per pick	49cpaid	+2.4%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x42b7…77dcbacked Under	59c	699.93$410 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$289.97	141	34.8%49 W · 92 L	+1.7wins	+0.01per pick	34cpaid	-5.5%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xce7c…17cfbacked Under	59c	684.43$403 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$281.37	33	36.4%12 W · 21 L	+1.2wins	+0.04per pick	33cpaid	-16.2%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9d34…dca1backed Over	41c	549.99$225 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$225.5	29	17.2%5 W · 24 L	+0.4wins	+0.01per pick	16cpaid	-28.1%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7de3…d59bbacked Under	56c	499.93$280 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$219.97	1,206	50.2%606 W · 600 L	+44.5wins	+0.04per pick	47cpaid	+7.4%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0xdbdd…a5debacked Under	58c	404.7$233 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$171.48	1,559	52.4%817 W · 742 L	+97.8wins	+0.06per pick	46cpaid	+14.4%equal weight	57+0.06 edge/pick
0xb3c7…bf04backed Under	58c	399.99$232 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$168	87	58.6%51 W · 36 L	+6.0wins	+0.07per pick	52cpaid	+14.2%equal weight	56+0.05 edge/pick
0xbe4e…d0c6backed Over	41c	390.24$160 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$160	110	35.5%39 W · 71 L	+1.0wins	+0.01per pick	35cpaid	+9.3%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x033f…618ebacked Over	38c	364$138 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$137.95	657	37.4%246 W · 411 L	+4.1wins	+0.01per pick	37cpaid	-9.2%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x329d…5a92backed Under	60c	326.67$197 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$129.39	2,576	46.3%1,192 W · 1,384 L	+35.9wins	+0.01per pick	45cpaid	-2.7%equal weight	52+0.01 edge/pick
0x7e90…be2bbacked Over	43c	288.56$124 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$124.08	1	0%0 W · 1 L	-0.4wins	-0.43per pick	43cpaid	-100%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa3c2…df3dbacked Under	58c	252.98$147 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$106.05	3,286	49.2%1,616 W · 1,670 L	+6.2wins	0.00per pick	49cpaid	-0.8%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x9516…0bcbbacked Over	40c	250$100 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$100	562	40.6%228 W · 334 L	-11.6wins	-0.02per pick	43cpaid	-9.6%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x29f8…cfb1backed Under	57c	250$143 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$107.5	156	54.5%85 W · 71 L	+0.1wins	0.00per pick	54cpaid	-4%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x403c…7f06backed Over	38c	216.12$82 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$82.13	331	54.4%180 W · 151 L	+25.9wins	+0.08per pick	47cpaid	+13.2%equal weight	58+0.07 edge/pick
0x3de6…e560backed Over	43c	212.23$90 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$90.38	423	36.9%156 W · 267 L	-5.7wins	-0.01per pick	38cpaid	-20.7%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6c80…6ff1backed Over	38c	200$76 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$76	284	39.1%111 W · 173 L	+1.1wins	0.00per pick	39cpaid	-7.2%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x7300…e52cbacked Over	41c	186.89$77 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$76.63	778	45%350 W · 428 L	+10.1wins	+0.01per pick	44cpaid	+6.2%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc730…c568backed Over	38c	175.2$67 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$66.58	660	56.8%375 W · 285 L	+34.2wins	+0.05per pick	52cpaid	+10.5%equal weight	56+0.05 edge/pick
0xfa01…f0a7backed Under	60c	170.3$102 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$68.32	673	54.7%368 W · 305 L	-7.7wins	-0.01per pick	56cpaid	-2.5%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x40b5…6b5fbacked Under	59c	169.49$100 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$69.49	200	25.5%51 W · 149 L	-3.2wins	-0.02per pick	27cpaid	-17.6%equal weight	48-0.01 edge/pick
0x14f3…0796backed Under	58c	135$78 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$57.15	791	49.2%389 W · 402 L	+28.2wins	+0.04per pick	46cpaid	+6.2%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0xaae6…4053backed Over	42c	124$52 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$52.08	5	60%3 W · 2 L	+0.5wins	+0.09per pick	51cpaid	+8.2%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x11f5…ea34backed Over	41c	121.95$50 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$50	222	42.3%94 W · 128 L	+0.2wins	0.00per pick	42cpaid	+4%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xaebe…a240backed Over	44c	115$51 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$50.6	8	37.5%3 W · 5 L	-0.8wins	-0.10per pick	47cpaid	-34.5%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0x3305…1749backed Over	44c	102.27$45 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$45	10	40%4 W · 6 L	+1.8wins	+0.18per pick	22cpaid	+124.9%equal weight	56+0.05 edge/pick
0xe6d3…71cfbacked Over	38c	100$38 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$38	119	39.5%47 W · 72 L	-9.9wins	-0.08per pick	48cpaid	-22.5%equal weight	42-0.07 edge/pick
0xeef9…8731backed Under	56c	99.98$56 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$43.99	119	63%75 W · 44 L	+10.7wins	+0.09per pick	54cpaid	+17.3%equal weight	58+0.07 edge/pick
0x2843…b3d2backed Over	43c	99.55$43 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$43.21	210	58.1%122 W · 88 L	+2.9wins	+0.01per pick	57cpaid	+2.3%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xbbdd…bd60backed Under	57c	86.96$50 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$36.96	57	52.6%30 W · 27 L	+5.4wins	+0.10per pick	43cpaid	+17.5%equal weight	57+0.07 edge/pick
0xe2e3…dc0ebacked Over	32c	77.89$25 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$24.96	55	52.7%29 W · 26 L	-0.1wins	0.00per pick	53cpaid	-5.8%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xb7b1…5e42backed Over	44c	68.21$30 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$30	48	45.8%22 W · 26 L	-1.0wins	-0.02per pick	48cpaid	-8.1%equal weight	48-0.01 edge/pick
0x8e79…9076backed Over	44c	68.18$30 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$30	413	39%161 W · 252 L	-0.1wins	0.00per pick	39cpaid	-1.4%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xb696…4367backed Over	61c	60$37 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$36.6	33	42.4%14 W · 19 L	+2.4wins	+0.07per pick	35cpaid	+38.8%equal weight	55+0.04 edge/pick
0xf9f1…23eebacked Over	40c	60$24 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$24	559	42.4%237 W · 322 L	+0.6wins	0.00per pick	42cpaid	+1.3%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xfa8e…22ebbacked Over	45c	57.83$26 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$26	92	33.7%31 W · 61 L	-4.8wins	-0.05per pick	39cpaid	-20.4%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0xac1a…8689backed Under	67c	57$38 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$18.86	166	47%78 W · 88 L	-2.6wins	-0.02per pick	49cpaid	-5.9%equal weight	48-0.01 edge/pick
0x8812…c41abacked Under	56c	51.07$29 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$22.47	452	54.6%247 W · 205 L	+13.0wins	+0.03per pick	52cpaid	+6.5%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x5210…bd53backed Under	57c	46.93$27 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$20.16	2,796	56.7%1,585 W · 1,211 L	-9.2wins	0.00per pick	57cpaid	-1.5%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x8320…e302backed Over	42c	45.59$19 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$19.03	301	37.2%112 W · 189 L	-5.2wins	-0.02per pick	39cpaid	-11.6%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9b50…c5f9backed Over	44c	45.45$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20	66	53%35 W · 31 L	-0.8wins	-0.01per pick	54cpaid	-5.8%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x669e…5a38backed Over	44c	44$19 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$19.36	43	46.5%20 W · 23 L	-1.9wins	-0.04per pick	51cpaid	-16.7%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0xa03e…727abacked Under	56c	39.99$22 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$17.6	231	45.9%106 W · 125 L	0.0wins	0.00per pick	46cpaid	+5%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xc593…ea8cbacked Under	64c	36.89$24 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$13.16	373	52.5%196 W · 177 L	+16.2wins	+0.04per pick	48cpaid	+7%equal weight	55+0.04 edge/pick
0x7769…7ff7backed Over	45c	35.67$16 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$16	12	41.7%5 W · 7 L	+0.8wins	+0.07per pick	35cpaid	+11.5%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0xa4d7…22a5backed Over	38c	35.05$13 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$13.32	79	29.1%23 W · 56 L	-2.0wins	-0.03per pick	32cpaid	-16.6%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x113f…ae4dbacked Under	57c	33.32$19 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$14.43	174	48.9%85 W · 89 L	+9.5wins	+0.05per pick	43cpaid	+9.1%equal weight	55+0.05 edge/pick
0xbb80…082fbacked Over	38c	31.58$12 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$12	29	27.6%8 W · 21 L	-2.0wins	-0.07per pick	35cpaid	-17.6%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0xb209…b744backed Under	41c	31.38$13 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$18.58	186	42.5%79 W · 107 L	+10.5wins	+0.06per pick	37cpaid	-14.7%equal weight	56+0.05 edge/pick
0x1f62…76f6backed Under	55c	30.67$17 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$13.8	2,380	53.3%1,269 W · 1,111 L	+76.5wins	+0.03per pick	50cpaid	+4%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0x0442…c517backed Over	61c	28.87$18 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$17.61	5	40%2 W · 3 L	+0.1wins	+0.03per pick	37cpaid	-10%equal weight	510.00 edge/pick
0x9cfd…dfe7backed Over	55c	27.06$15 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$14.75	218	58.7%128 W · 90 L	+5.0wins	+0.02per pick	56cpaid	+0.7%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xbf14…5d95backed Under	47c	26.58$12 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$14.08	65	21.5%14 W · 51 L	+0.3wins	+0.01per pick	21cpaid	-32.5%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x0c3e…3c4cbacked Over	41c	25.33$10 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$10.39	389	60.7%236 W · 153 L	+24.3wins	+0.06per pick	54cpaid	+10%equal weight	57+0.06 edge/pick
0xc0f8…ae2ebacked Under	56c	23.5$13 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$10.43	518	59.8%310 W · 208 L	+26.7wins	+0.05per pick	55cpaid	+21.1%equal weight	55+0.05 edge/pick
0xe5b1…30b2backed Under	60c	20$12 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$8	345	51.9%179 W · 166 L	+17.8wins	+0.05per pick	47cpaid	+10.2%equal weight	55+0.05 edge/pick
0xcdbd…d0dfbacked Under	59c	17$10 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$6.97	249	47.4%118 W · 131 L	+14.2wins	+0.06per pick	42cpaid	-2.3%equal weight	56+0.05 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 21 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Portugal vs. Spain: Portugal O/U 4.5 Cornersthis page
Portugal vs. Spain: 1st Half O/U 3.5 Total CornersOver won
Portugal vs. Spain: 1st Half O/U 4.5 Total CornersOver won
Portugal vs. Spain: 1st Half O/U 5.5 Total CornersUnder won
Portugal vs. Spain: 2nd Half O/U 3.5 Total CornersOver won
Portugal vs. Spain: 2nd Half O/U 4.5 Total CornersOver won
Portugal vs. Spain: 2nd Half O/U 5.5 Total CornersUnder won
Portugal vs. Spain: O/U 10.5 Total CornersUnder won
Portugal vs. Spain: O/U 11.5 Total CornersUnder won
Portugal vs. Spain: O/U 12.5 Total CornersUnder won
Portugal vs. Spain: O/U 6.5 Total CornersOver won
Portugal vs. Spain: O/U 7.5 Total CornersOver won
Portugal vs. Spain: O/U 8.5 Total CornersOver won
Portugal vs. Spain: O/U 9.5 Total CornersOver won
Portugal vs. Spain: Portugal O/U 2.5 CornersOver won
Portugal vs. Spain: Portugal O/U 3.5 CornersUnder won
Portugal vs. Spain: Spain O/U 4.5 CornersOver won
Portugal vs. Spain: Spain O/U 5.5 CornersOver won
Portugal vs. Spain: Spain O/U 6.5 CornersOver won
Portugal vs. Spain: Team to Take First CornerPortugal won
Portugal vs. Spain: Total Corners Odd or Even?Even won

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

The market traded at least $500.
The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.

Portugal vs. Spain: Portugal O/U 4.5 Corners

What this market resolved to

Who was on this market

The rest of this event