TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Fifa International · resolved market

Portugal vs. Spain: O/U 6.5 Total Corners

Rebuilt .

Winning outcome
Overof Over, Under
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$62,211
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$81,338

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $62,211 — the venue’s figure.

Open this market on Polymarket

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 24 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Fifa International
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x7300…e52cbacked Under9c13,122$1,188 inLost-$1,187.9277845%350 W · 428 L+10.1wins+0.01per pick44cpaid+6.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc291…5d74backed Under11c4,292$470 inLost-$470.44,45737.2%1,657 W · 2,800 L+31.0wins+0.01per pick36cpaid-8.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe459…737dbacked Under13c4,074$547 inLost-$546.6525445.3%115 W · 139 L+5.2wins+0.02per pick43cpaid-10.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x7d0c…a3b7backed Under15c2,294$351 inLost-$351.283,73151.8%1,931 W · 1,800 L+55.2wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+7.9%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x1f62…76f6backed Under15c2,272$347 inLost-$347.152,38053.3%1,269 W · 1,111 L+76.5wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+4%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xd01c…7f9dbacked Under15c2,271$347 inLost-$347.162,41153%1,278 W · 1,133 L+75.2wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+4.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x4d02…bfecbacked Under17c2,051$347 inLost-$346.921,47544.9%663 W · 812 L-4.8wins0.00per pick45cpaid-4.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x99d7…6435backed Under12c1,459$180 inLost-$180.2885851.2%439 W · 419 L+15.0wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+6.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x33bc…37dcbacked Under12c1,000$120 inLost-$1201,07545.2%486 W · 589 L+41.2wins+0.04per pick41cpaid+16.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x0d1c…3347backed Under4c992.58$36 inLost-$36.0846939.4%185 W · 284 L+3.4wins+0.01per pick39cpaid-7.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x329d…5a92backed Under12c989.99$120 inLost-$120.322,57646.3%1,192 W · 1,384 L+35.9wins+0.01per pick45cpaid-2.7%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xad1c…7c56backed Under13c701.9$94 inLost-$94.461010%1 W · 9 L-0.6wins-0.06per pick16cpaid-34.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xdc8f…d0e4backed Under10c599.9$60 inLost-$59.9910137.6%38 W · 63 L+14.5wins+0.14per pick23cpaid+45.4%equal weight63+0.11 edge/pick
0x1708…0619backed Under14c500$70 inLost-$705534.5%19 W · 36 L+3.1wins+0.06per pick29cpaid+34.4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x6522…5ab3backed Under12c416.66$50 inLost-$5013945.3%63 W · 76 L-0.5wins0.00per pick46cpaid+9.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xbf14…5d95backed Under3c377.91$11 inLost-$10.766521.5%14 W · 51 L+0.3wins+0.01per pick21cpaid-32.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xdbdd…a5debacked Under13c307.45$39 inLost-$39.021,55952.4%817 W · 742 L+97.8wins+0.06per pick46cpaid+14.4%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xac5a…1ac8backed Under8c186.44$15 inLost-$14.928231.7%26 W · 56 L+8.1wins+0.10per pick22cpaid+42%equal weight58+0.08 edge/pick
0x349e…867bbacked Under10c154.69$15 inLost-$15.1530547.2%144 W · 161 L+2.9wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-2.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe969…fca4backed Under13c145.57$19 inLost-$19.3830%0 W · 3 L-0.2wins-0.08per pick8cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x14f3…0796backed Under12c118.41$14 inLost-$13.8779149.2%389 W · 402 L+28.2wins+0.04per pick46cpaid+6.2%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xdb83…1e50backed Under11c113.56$13 inLost-$13.022,81944.5%1,255 W · 1,564 L-36.2wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-9.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0f4c…f3bfbacked Under13c99.99$13 inLost-$1316418.9%31 W · 133 L-7.4wins-0.05per pick23cpaid-30.5%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x5210…bd53backed Under18c89.91$16 inLost-$16.412,79656.7%1,585 W · 1,211 L-9.2wins0.00per pick57cpaid-1.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 21 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.