Fifa International · resolved market
Portugal vs. Spain: 2nd Half O/U 5.5 Total Corners
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x1cc3343d6e9188b80b9df00a291bb24d54ae5c955f08b965d4ed73023a43d3f1
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $12,301
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $14,030
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $12,301 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 35 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Fifa International | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Over | 45c | 2,931$1,331 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,331.03 | 8,614 | 29.2%2,518 W · 6,096 L | -166.6wins | -0.02per pick | 31cpaid | -32.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1e3b…c850backed Over | 49c | 2,038$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 301 | 40.5%122 W · 179 L | +1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe459…737dbacked Under | 45c | 1,999$895 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,104.59 | 254 | 45.3%115 W · 139 L | +5.2wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa76e…dcb6backed Under | 56c | 1,786$1,002 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$784.38 | 232 | 51.7%120 W · 112 L | +2.2wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3cea…03d4backed Under | 54c | 1,007$544 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$463.41 | 192 | 50%96 W · 96 L | +10.7wins | +0.06per pick | 44cpaid | +18%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x29bf…e7e0backed Over | 50c | 1,000$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 31 | 45.2%14 W · 17 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x99d7…6435backed Under | 56c | 999.99$560 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$440 | 858 | 51.2%439 W · 419 L | +15.0wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc0f8…ae2ebacked Over | 65c | 590.76$384 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$383.99 | 518 | 59.8%310 W · 208 L | +26.7wins | +0.05per pick | 55cpaid | +21.1%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7300…e52cbacked Under | 52c | 378.59$197 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$181.72 | 778 | 45%350 W · 428 L | +10.1wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xeef9…8731backed Under | 49c | 202.99$99 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$103.53 | 119 | 63%75 W · 44 L | +10.7wins | +0.09per pick | 54cpaid | +17.3%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x7de3…d59bbacked Under | 55c | 194.13$107 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$87.36 | 1,206 | 50.2%606 W · 600 L | +44.5wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +7.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xff88…601dbacked Over | 30c | 187.19$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56.16 | 80 | 62.5%50 W · 30 L | +11.2wins | +0.14per pick | 49cpaid | +30%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xf348…e543backed Under | 51c | 162.61$83 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$79.97 | 401 | 63.3%254 W · 147 L | +57.7wins | +0.14per pick | 49cpaid | +25.7%equal weight | 65+0.14 edge/pick |
| 0x0659…d74dbacked Under | 52c | 155.05$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$74.78 | 94 | 50%47 W · 47 L | +4.6wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | +11.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1cef…2c8dbacked Over | 35c | 126.5$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.44 | 434 | 60.4%262 W · 172 L | +33.5wins | +0.08per pick | 53cpaid | +14.8%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xce74…e6ecbacked Over | 64c | 126.08$81 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$81 | 280 | 55%154 W · 126 L | -3.9wins | -0.01per pick | 56cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3b28…7f1bbacked Over | 48c | 104.17$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 140 | 42.1%59 W · 81 L | -2.2wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9516…0bcbbacked Over | 48c | 104.17$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 562 | 40.6%228 W · 334 L | -11.6wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2045…c77cbacked Over | 51c | 100$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51 | 121 | 47.9%58 W · 63 L | -8.3wins | -0.07per pick | 55cpaid | -24.3%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc5cf…c503backed Over | 34c | 99.99$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34 | 56 | 30.4%17 W · 39 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 30cpaid | +42.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x61d7…cb0cbacked Over | 51c | 97.1$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -0.2wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x329d…5a92backed Under | 50c | 90.87$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45.37 | 2,576 | 46.3%1,192 W · 1,384 L | +35.9wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6511…5f44backed Over | 45c | 79.99$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.3 | 55 | 34.5%19 W · 36 L | -1.5wins | -0.03per pick | 37cpaid | -24.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5210…bd53backed Under | 52c | 75.01$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.38 | 2,796 | 56.7%1,585 W · 1,211 L | -9.2wins | 0.00per pick | 57cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa3c2…df3dbacked Over | 42c | 72.01$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.17 | 3,286 | 49.2%1,616 W · 1,670 L | +6.2wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc7d0…1f8abacked Over | 31c | 70$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.7 | 2,453 | 34.7%850 W · 1,603 L | +84.3wins | +0.03per pick | 31cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x702a…26f9backed Over | 53c | 56.6$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 38 | 5.3%2 W · 36 L | -3.3wins | -0.09per pick | 14cpaid | -66.6%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf96b…9c4cbacked Over | 31c | 56.08$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.38 | 205 | 53.7%110 W · 95 L | +21.6wins | +0.11per pick | 43cpaid | +25%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x335d…22f5backed Over | 45c | 44.44$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 29 | 24.1%7 W · 22 L | -0.4wins | -0.02per pick | 26cpaid | +1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa882…e517backed Over | 48c | 41.67$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 164 | 42.1%69 W · 95 L | -5.1wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -12.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x60fe…4478backed Over | 44c | 34.09$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 20 | 30%6 W · 14 L | -3.5wins | -0.17per pick | 47cpaid | -27.8%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xa270…ecadbacked Over | 65c | 30.77$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 282 | 51.4%145 W · 137 L | +10.7wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd9a5…c602backed Under | 48c | 28.35$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.74 | 26 | 53.8%14 W · 12 L | +2.8wins | +0.11per pick | 43cpaid | +18.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xaa81…aaf7backed Over | 39c | 28.2$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 90 | 64.4%58 W · 32 L | +11.7wins | +0.13per pick | 51cpaid | +38.5%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x5a5b…3772backed Over | 45c | 26.47$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.91 | 38 | 5.3%2 W · 36 L | -1.4wins | -0.04per pick | 9cpaid | -78.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 21 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Portugal vs. Spain: 2nd Half O/U 5.5 Total Cornersthis page
- Portugal vs. Spain: 1st Half O/U 3.5 Total CornersOver won
- Portugal vs. Spain: 1st Half O/U 4.5 Total CornersOver won
- Portugal vs. Spain: 1st Half O/U 5.5 Total CornersUnder won
- Portugal vs. Spain: 2nd Half O/U 3.5 Total CornersOver won
- Portugal vs. Spain: 2nd Half O/U 4.5 Total CornersOver won
- Portugal vs. Spain: O/U 10.5 Total CornersUnder won
- Portugal vs. Spain: O/U 11.5 Total CornersUnder won
- Portugal vs. Spain: O/U 12.5 Total CornersUnder won
- Portugal vs. Spain: O/U 6.5 Total CornersOver won
- Portugal vs. Spain: O/U 7.5 Total CornersOver won
- Portugal vs. Spain: O/U 8.5 Total CornersOver won
- Portugal vs. Spain: O/U 9.5 Total CornersOver won
- Portugal vs. Spain: Portugal O/U 2.5 CornersOver won
- Portugal vs. Spain: Portugal O/U 3.5 CornersUnder won
- Portugal vs. Spain: Portugal O/U 4.5 CornersUnder won
- Portugal vs. Spain: Spain O/U 4.5 CornersOver won
- Portugal vs. Spain: Spain O/U 5.5 CornersOver won
- Portugal vs. Spain: Spain O/U 6.5 CornersOver won
- Portugal vs. Spain: Team to Take First CornerPortugal won
- Portugal vs. Spain: Total Corners Odd or Even?Even won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.