Fifa International · resolved market
Portugal vs. Spain: Spain O/U 4.5 Corners
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x4c0a97ca4870995688510506273c366dd483762e936b6cca06a272f188514af6
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $18,677
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $18,039
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $18,677 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 54 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Fifa International | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xd604…cb5fbacked Under | 30c | 4,009$1,202 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,202.5 | 335 | 55.5%186 W · 149 L | +19.0wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +17.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd81e…e3d0backed Under | 30c | 3,437$1,046 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,046.43 | 165 | 46.1%76 W · 89 L | +2.9wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4d02…bfecbacked Under | 33c | 2,449$810 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$809.91 | 1,475 | 44.9%663 W · 812 L | -4.8wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcb98…b473backed Over | 69c | 2,295$1,593 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$701.84 | 24 | 66.7%16 W · 8 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 67cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Over | 69c | 1,911$1,310 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$601.14 | 8,614 | 29.2%2,518 W · 6,096 L | -166.6wins | -0.02per pick | 31cpaid | -32.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x62bc…5053backed Over | 70c | 1,535$1,075 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$460.64 | 201 | 49.3%99 W · 102 L | -1.5wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -10%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfb6b…f2e5backed Over | 72c | 1,044$750 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$294.06 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.28per pick | 72cpaid | +39.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x84cf…2f63backed Over | 70c | 971.11$677 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$293.75 | 2,439 | 29%707 W · 1,732 L | -65.3wins | -0.03per pick | 32cpaid | -21%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6a32…0086backed Under | 28c | 871.42$244 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$244 | 864 | 52.7%455 W · 409 L | +26.7wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xce7c…17cfbacked Under | 31c | 832.61$258 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$258.11 | 33 | 36.4%12 W · 21 L | +1.2wins | +0.04per pick | 33cpaid | -16.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf17a…fa3abacked Under | 26c | 830.88$216 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$216.03 | 162 | 60.5%98 W · 64 L | +22.3wins | +0.14per pick | 47cpaid | +29%equal weight | 63+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0xbbb6…b120backed Over | 74c | 741.31$548 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$192.86 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.26per pick | 74cpaid | +35.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfa01…f0a7backed Over | 70c | 552$386 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$165.6 | 673 | 54.7%368 W · 305 L | -7.7wins | -0.01per pick | 56cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd01c…7f9dbacked Under | 31c | 430.91$133 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$133.18 | 2,411 | 53%1,278 W · 1,133 L | +75.2wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1f62…76f6backed Under | 31c | 430.03$133 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$132.97 | 2,380 | 53.3%1,269 W · 1,111 L | +76.5wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7d0c…a3b7backed Under | 31c | 429.65$133 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$132.79 | 3,731 | 51.8%1,931 W · 1,800 L | +55.2wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9df3…ddfcbacked Over | 62c | 322.57$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$122.57 | 228 | 51.8%118 W · 110 L | +9.5wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdbe8…1141backed Under | 30c | 258.67$78 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$77.6 | 261 | 55.2%144 W · 117 L | +13.8wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +10.1%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1ab6…078ebacked Under | 38c | 247.57$94 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$94.08 | 38 | 68.4%26 W · 12 L | +7.5wins | +0.20per pick | 49cpaid | +39.3%equal weight | 63+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0xdf04…a3f5backed Over | 61c | 219.4$134 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$85.4 | 50 | 54%27 W · 23 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x958d…3501backed Over | 69c | 218.83$151 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$67.84 | 403 | 55.3%223 W · 180 L | -0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 56cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x306d…d9c8backed Under | 32c | 156.25$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 24 | 37.5%9 W · 15 L | -2.0wins | -0.08per pick | 46cpaid | -19.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe904…44e9backed Over | 68c | 146.25$99 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.8 | 399 | 51.6%206 W · 193 L | +4.7wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x61de…ed31backed Over | 70c | 143.57$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.57 | 121 | 32.2%39 W · 82 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 32cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa3c2…df3dbacked Over | 68c | 141.87$97 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.86 | 3,286 | 49.2%1,616 W · 1,670 L | +6.2wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6bb3…758ebacked Under | 32c | 132$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.24 | 113 | 48.7%55 W · 58 L | +1.5wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2843…b3d2backed Over | 62c | 100$62 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38 | 210 | 58.1%122 W · 88 L | +2.9wins | +0.01per pick | 57cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcb02…c292backed Over | 69c | 100$69 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31 | 72 | 52.8%38 W · 34 L | -4.2wins | -0.06per pick | 59cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe6d3…71cfbacked Over | 67c | 100$67 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33 | 119 | 39.5%47 W · 72 L | -9.9wins | -0.08per pick | 48cpaid | -22.5%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x99d7…6435backed Under | 31c | 95$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.45 | 858 | 51.2%439 W · 419 L | +15.0wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x329d…5a92backed Under | 31c | 94.54$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.63 | 2,576 | 46.3%1,192 W · 1,384 L | +35.9wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x33bc…37dcbacked Under | 30c | 93.97$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.19 | 1,075 | 45.2%486 W · 589 L | +41.2wins | +0.04per pick | 41cpaid | +16.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3561…f1b7backed Over | 68c | 75.57$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.25 | 950 | 37.5%356 W · 594 L | -1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 38cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5210…bd53backed Under | 39c | 75$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.11 | 2,796 | 56.7%1,585 W · 1,211 L | -9.2wins | 0.00per pick | 57cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd800…c256backed Over | 69c | 70$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.7 | 313 | 58.1%182 W · 131 L | +6.0wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x56b2…b5c7backed Over | 74c | 67.57$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.57 | 84 | 52.4%44 W · 40 L | -0.9wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf6a0…4321backed Over | 65c | 61.54$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.54 | 27 | 63%17 W · 10 L | -0.5wins | -0.02per pick | 65cpaid | +5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9ff4…d731backed Under | 31c | 55.07$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.07 | 21 | 57.1%12 W · 9 L | +3.0wins | +0.14per pick | 43cpaid | +13%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xb896…f19fbacked Over | 69c | 55.07$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.07 | 11 | 63.6%7 W · 4 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 62cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbbdd…bd60backed Over | 50c | 50$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25 | 57 | 52.6%30 W · 27 L | +5.4wins | +0.10per pick | 43cpaid | +17.5%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Under | 50c | 50$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 1,559 | 52.4%817 W · 742 L | +97.8wins | +0.06per pick | 46cpaid | +14.4%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xdb46…56e7backed Under | 31c | 48.42$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 315 | 50.8%160 W · 155 L | +2.5wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8b0e…e8fabacked Over | 71c | 43.66$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.66 | 25 | 52%13 W · 12 L | -1.0wins | -0.04per pick | 56cpaid | -14.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x77fc…432bbacked Over | 65c | 38.46$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.46 | 249 | 55.4%138 W · 111 L | -3.7wins | -0.01per pick | 57cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa089…02a1backed Over | 70c | 35.71$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.71 | 66 | 43.9%29 W · 37 L | -5.9wins | -0.09per pick | 53cpaid | -16.9%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd1b6…cbacbacked Over | 66c | 30.3$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.3 | 65 | 53.8%35 W · 30 L | +3.3wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x93e9…4d47backed Over | 72c | 27.79$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.79 | 101 | 65.3%66 W · 35 L | +1.6wins | +0.02per pick | 64cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xacd4…4857backed Over | 70c | 21.43$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.43 | 61 | 62.3%38 W · 23 L | +1.9wins | +0.03per pick | 59cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd5cc…db48backed Over | 74c | 20.95$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.45 | 12 | 66.7%8 W · 4 L | -0.7wins | -0.05per pick | 72cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa270…ecadbacked Over | 69c | 20$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.2 | 282 | 51.4%145 W · 137 L | +10.7wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa1a7…ace4backed Over | 70c | 20$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.08 | 514 | 58.8%302 W · 212 L | +25.0wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7b12…ccc9backed Over | 69c | 20$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.2 | 16 | 43.8%7 W · 9 L | -2.9wins | -0.18per pick | 62cpaid | -32.4%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x47c9…2038backed Over | 70c | 19.27$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.78 | 149 | 55%82 W · 67 L | +13.9wins | +0.09per pick | 46cpaid | +21.1%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x5502…d440backed Over | 66c | 19.17$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.52 | 87 | 47.1%41 W · 46 L | -4.0wins | -0.05per pick | 52cpaid | -2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 21 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Portugal vs. Spain: Spain O/U 4.5 Cornersthis page
- Portugal vs. Spain: 1st Half O/U 3.5 Total CornersOver won
- Portugal vs. Spain: 1st Half O/U 4.5 Total CornersOver won
- Portugal vs. Spain: 1st Half O/U 5.5 Total CornersUnder won
- Portugal vs. Spain: 2nd Half O/U 3.5 Total CornersOver won
- Portugal vs. Spain: 2nd Half O/U 4.5 Total CornersOver won
- Portugal vs. Spain: 2nd Half O/U 5.5 Total CornersUnder won
- Portugal vs. Spain: O/U 10.5 Total CornersUnder won
- Portugal vs. Spain: O/U 11.5 Total CornersUnder won
- Portugal vs. Spain: O/U 12.5 Total CornersUnder won
- Portugal vs. Spain: O/U 6.5 Total CornersOver won
- Portugal vs. Spain: O/U 7.5 Total CornersOver won
- Portugal vs. Spain: O/U 8.5 Total CornersOver won
- Portugal vs. Spain: O/U 9.5 Total CornersOver won
- Portugal vs. Spain: Portugal O/U 2.5 CornersOver won
- Portugal vs. Spain: Portugal O/U 3.5 CornersUnder won
- Portugal vs. Spain: Portugal O/U 4.5 CornersUnder won
- Portugal vs. Spain: Spain O/U 5.5 CornersOver won
- Portugal vs. Spain: Spain O/U 6.5 CornersOver won
- Portugal vs. Spain: Team to Take First CornerPortugal won
- Portugal vs. Spain: Total Corners Odd or Even?Even won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.