TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x6b57…263e

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
480
Categories scored
14
Categories below 50
10

Best Category: Champions League, grading 54 out of 100 (+0.04 per pick).

Best Category Champions League at 54 out of 100; worst Tennis at 42.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Jul 15, 2026, EDT39752.1%207 W · 190 L+6.0wins+0.02per pick51cpaid-1.4%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 397 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will England win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$50
Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$50
Will Belgium win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$57Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$56.89
Will Belgium be eliminated in the Quarterfinals of the World Cup?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Spain vs. Belgium: 1st Half O/U 3.5 Total Cornersbacked Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$80Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$80
Spain vs. Belgium: 2nd Half O/U 5.5 Total Cornersbacked Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$38Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$38.12
Exact Score: Spain 1 - 1 Belgium?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$11.91
France vs. Morocco: 2nd Half O/U 4.5 Total Cornersbacked Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 9, 2026, EDT+66.7%+$13.33
France vs. Morocco: 1st Half O/U 5.5 Total Cornersbacked Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$15
France vs. Morocco: 1st Half O/U 3.5 Total Cornersbacked Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$60Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 9, 2026, EDT+40.8%+$24.51
France vs. Morocco: 1st Half O/U 4.5 Total Cornersbacked Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$15
Exact Score: France 2 - 0 Morocco?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$25
France vs. Morocco: 2nd Half O/U 3.5 Total Cornersbacked Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$75Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 9, 2026, EDT+33.3%+$25
Will Switzerland be eliminated in the Round of 16 of the World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$50
Exact Score: Switzerland 0 - 0 Colombia?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 7, 2026, EDT+203%+$30.45
Exact Score: Switzerland 0 - 1 Colombia?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$15
Switzerland vs. Colombia: O/U 9.5 Total Cornersbacked Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 7, 2026, EDT+100%+$10
Switzerland vs. Colombia: Team to Advancebacked Colombia · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$40
Switzerland vs. Colombia: Will the Match Go to a Penalty Shootout?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 7, 2026, EDT+49.3%+$12.31
Switzerland vs. Colombia: 1st Half O/U 4.5 Total Cornersbacked Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$60Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 7, 2026, EDT+132.6%+$79.53
Switzerland vs. Colombia: 1st Half O/U 5.5 Total Cornersbacked Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$33Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$32.83
Will Argentina be eliminated in the Round of 16 of the World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$50
Argentina vs. Egypt: 1st Half O/U 3.5 Total Cornersbacked Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Will Argentina win on 2026-07-07?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$15
Exact Score: Argentina 0 - 1 Egypt?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Showing 25 of 397 picks, newest first.
Premier League Inactivelast resolved May 17, 2026, EDT2536%9 W · 16 L-1.9wins-0.08per pick44cpaid-34.3%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
Premier League — the 25 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Premier League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Newcastle United FC win on 2026-05-17?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$122Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$122.44
Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-05-10?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$60Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$60.5
Will AFC Bournemouth vs. Crystal Palace FC end in a draw?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$14Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 3, 2026, EDT+29.9%+$4.08
Will AFC Bournemouth win on 2026-05-03?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$57Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$57.06
Will Crystal Palace FC win on 2026-05-03?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$28Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$28.02
Will Manchester United FC win on 2026-05-03?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$17.14
Will Arsenal FC vs. Fulham FC end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$41Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 2, 2026, EDT-100%-$41.49
Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-05-02?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 2, 2026, EDT-100%-$24.67
Will Fulham FC win on 2026-05-02?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 2, 2026, EDT-100%-$39.69
Will Newcastle United FC win on 2026-05-02?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$45Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 2, 2026, EDT-100%-$45.27
Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-04-25?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$154Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$154.13
Will Tottenham Hotspur FC win on 2026-04-25?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$29Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$29.02
Will Liverpool FC win on 2026-04-25?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$29Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$28.96
Will Manchester City FC win on 2026-04-19?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$14Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 19, 2026, EDT+88.7%+$12.86
Will Liverpool FC win on 2026-04-19?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$24Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 19, 2026, EDT+156.1%+$37.17
Will Aston Villa FC win on 2026-04-19?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$14.54
Will Chelsea FC win on 2026-04-18?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$33Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 18, 2026, EDT+75.4%+$24.56
Will Leeds United FC vs. Wolverhampton Wanderers FC end in a draw?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 18, 2026, EDT+29.9%+$3.48
Will Leeds United FC win on 2026-04-13?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$305Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 13, 2026, EDT+37.1%+$113.28
Will Manchester United FC win on 2026-04-13?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$28Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 13, 2026, EDT+160.3%+$44.49
Will Liverpool FC win on 2026-04-11?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$14.4
Will Everton FC win on 2026-04-11?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$29Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 11, 2026, EDT+38.9%+$11.3
Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-04-11?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$41Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 11, 2026, EDT+126.8%+$51.79
Will Brentford FC win on 2026-04-11?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$38Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$38.11
Will West Ham United FC win on 2026-04-10?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$32Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$31.75
All 25 picks, newest first.
Tennis Inactivelast resolved Jul 10, 2026, EDT2236.4%8 W · 14 L-3.3wins-0.15per pick52cpaid-40.7%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
Tennis — the 22 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tennis, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Jannik Sinner vs. Novak Djokovic: Total Sets O/U 3.5backed Under 3.5 · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 10, 2026, EDT+63.9%+$31.97
Newport: Jacob Fearnley vs Stefan Kozlovbacked Jacob Fearnley · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 10, 2026, EDT+44.9%+$22.46
Sinner vs. Djokovic: Set 1 Games O/U 9.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$25
Set 1 Winner: Sinner vs Djokovicbacked Djokovic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Arthur Fery vs. Alexander Zverev: Total Sets O/U 3.5backed Over 3.5 · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$15
Set 1 Winner: Fery vs Zverevbacked Fery · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$15
Flavio Cobolli vs. Arthur Fery: Total Sets O/U 3.5backed Under 3.5 · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 8, 2026, EDT+152%+$30.4
Wimbledon ATP: Flavio Cobolli vs Arthur Ferybacked Flavio Cobolli · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$65Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$65.1
Set 1 Winner: Cobolli vs Ferybacked Cobolli · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$38Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$38.39
Set 2 Winner: Noskova vs Mertensbacked Noskova · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$76Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 8, 2026, EDT+60.4%+$45.72
Kostyuk vs. Paolini: Match O/U 21.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$50
Wimbledon WTA: Marta Kostyuk vs Jasmine Paolinibacked Marta Kostyuk · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 8, 2026, EDT+38.9%+$19.44
Cobolli vs. Zverev: Match O/U 36.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$45Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$45
Cobolli vs. Zverev: Match O/U 40.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$60Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$60
Cobolli vs. Zverev: Match O/U 38.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Roland Garros ATP: Flavio Cobolli vs Alexander Zverevbacked Flavio Cobolli · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$74Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$73.77
Set 1 Winner: Cobolli vs Zverevbacked Zverev · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$60Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 7, 2026, EDT+45.7%+$27.39
Set 1 Winner: Mensik vs Fonsecabacked Fonseca · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$98Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 2, 2026, EDT-100%-$97.74
Roland Garros ATP: Rafael Jodar vs Alexander Zverevbacked Rafael Jodar · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$130Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 2, 2026, EDT-100%-$130.46
Set 1 Winner: Jodar vs Zverevbacked Jodar · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$81Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 2, 2026, EDT-100%-$80.81
Roland Garros WTA: Elina Svitolina vs Marta Kostyukbacked Marta Kostyuk · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$284Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 2, 2026, EDT+47%+$133.24
Roland Garros WTA: Mirra Andreeva vs Sorana Cirsteabacked Mirra Andreeva · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$228Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 2, 2026, EDT+51.5%+$117.35
All 22 picks, newest first.
World Politics Inactivelast resolved Jul 6, 2026, EDT1241.7%5 W · 7 L-1.4wins-0.12per pick53cpaid-30.9%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
World Politics — the 12 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in World Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Keiko Fujimori win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$259Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 6, 2026, EDT+220%+$569.04
Will the Green Party win the second-most council seat elections in the 2026 United Kingdom local elections?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$68Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$68
Will the Conservative Party win the second-most council seat elections in the 2026 United Kingdom local elections?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$94Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$94.42
Will the Liberal Democrats win the second-most council seat elections in the 2026 United Kingdom local elections?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$198Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$198.1
Will the Labour Party win the second-most council seat elections in the 2026 United Kingdom local elections?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$139Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 10, 2026, EDT+25.9%+$36.03
Will Plaid Cymru win the most seats in the 2026 Welsh Senedd election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$348Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 8, 2026, EDT+29.9%+$103.89
Will the All India Trinamool Congress (AITC) win the most seats in the 2026 West Bengal Legislative Assembly election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$349Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$349.41
Will Velichie (Velichie) win at least one seat in the 2026 Bulgarian parliamentary election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$79Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$78.81
Will Morality, Unity, Honour (MECh) win at least one seat in the 2026 Bulgarian parliamentary election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$21Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$20.89
Will United Left (BSP) win at least one seat in the 2026 Bulgarian parliamentary election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$724Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$723.72
Will Juan Pablo Velasco win the 2026 Santa Cruz gubernatorial election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$926Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 20, 2026, EDT+25.1%+$232.03
Will TISZA – Respect and Freedom Party (TISZA) win the most seats in the next Hungarian parliamentary election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$14Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 12, 2026, EDT+28.2%+$3.93
All 12 picks, newest first.
Champions League Inactivelast resolved May 30, 2026, EDT944.4%4 W · 5 L+1.2wins+0.14per pick31cpaid+2.3%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
Champions League — the 9 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Champions League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Paris Saint-Germain FC win on 2026-05-30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$225Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$224.98
Will Atletico Madrid win the 2025–26 Champions League?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$27Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$26.87
Will Atlético Madrid reach the UEFA Champions League final?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$14.92
Will Sporting CP win on 2026-04-15?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$11.33
Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-04-15?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$19Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 16, 2026, EDT+222.6%+$42.46
Will Sporting CP reach the UEFA Champions League final?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$14.92
Will Liverpool FC win on 2026-04-14?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$76Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 14, 2026, EDT+66.7%+$50.94
Will FC Barcelona win on 2026-04-08?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$19Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 8, 2026, EDT+177.8%+$34.02
Will Real Madrid CF win on 2026-04-07?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$19Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 7, 2026, EDT+53.8%+$10.49
All 9 picks, newest first.
La Liga Inactivelast resolved May 3, 2026, EDT616.7%1 W · 5 L-1.7wins-0.29per pick45cpaid-30.9%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
La Liga — the 6 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in La Liga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Commodities Inactivelast resolved Apr 30, 2026, EDT20%0 W · 2 L-0.1wins-0.07per pick7cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Commodities — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Commodities, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Europa Conference League Inactivelast resolved Apr 16, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.51per pick49cpaid+104.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Europa Conference League — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Europa Conference League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Real Betis Balompié win on 2026-04-16?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 16, 2026, EDT+104.1%+$12.33
All 1 picks, newest first.
Ligue 1 Inactivelast resolved Apr 17, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.40per pick60cpaid+66.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Ligue 1 — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ligue 1, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Racing Club de Lens win on 2026-04-17?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$187Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 17, 2026, EDT+66.3%+$123.65
All 1 picks, newest first.
Us Midterms Inactivelast resolved May 27, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Us Midterms — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Us Midterms, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Wesley Hunt win the 2026 Texas Republican Primary?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$37Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 27, 2026, EDT-100%-$37.41
All 1 picks, newest first.
Middle East Inactivelast resolved Apr 16, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.11per pick11cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Middle East — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Middle East, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by April 15th?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$14.92
All 1 picks, newest first.
UFC Inactivelast resolved Apr 11, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.12per pick12cpaid-100%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
UFC — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in UFC, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Trump attend UFC 327?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$14.92
All 1 picks, newest first.
Bundesliga Inactivelast resolved Apr 11, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.17per pick17cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Bundesliga — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Bundesliga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will FC Bayern München win on 2026-04-11?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$14.22
All 1 picks, newest first.
NBA Inactivelast resolved Jun 8, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.45per pick45cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
NBA — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Victor Wembanyama: Points O/U 26.5backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$50
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.