UFC · resolved market
Will Trump attend UFC 327?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xdb5575ec802ffce759c8f24f714740c9881ab9d8c99882b0a553cb2188f42e65
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- UFCevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $178,885
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $184,500
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $178,885 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 180 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in UFC is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in UFC | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x547b…5b36backed No | 7c | 12,308$815 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$815.41 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.07per pick | 7cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x83e8…7b89backed Yes | 70c | 9,416$6,579 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,837.35 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.30per pick | 70cpaid | +43.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcfb5…7d2dbacked No | 23c | 8,603$1,950 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,950 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.11per pick | 56cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2713…c9d1backed No | 9c | 6,084$555 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$555 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.09per pick | 9cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9b1e…da91backed No | 14c | 3,736$512 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$512.02 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.14per pick | 14cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x696a…e23abacked Yes | 77c | 3,485$2,689 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$796.15 | 28 | 67.9%19 W · 9 L | +2.8wins | +0.10per pick | 58cpaid | +22.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5d2f…4adbbacked No | 30c | 3,000$900 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$900 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.8wins | -0.42per pick | 42cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x000c…a059backed No | 7c | 2,897$190 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$190.13 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.8wins | -0.38per pick | 38cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb73f…0126backed No | 37c | 2,881$1,059 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,059.39 | 11 | 36.4%4 W · 7 L | -1.5wins | -0.14per pick | 50cpaid | -46.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x17e7…c658backed No | 3c | 2,747$82 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$82.01 | 13 | 46.2%6 W · 7 L | +0.9wins | +0.07per pick | 40cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x52b3…3a58backed No | 14c | 2,709$391 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$390.57 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +0.2wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -21.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc2fb…b9f0backed No | 6c | 2,572$167 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$167 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.8wins | -0.39per pick | 39cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x83d7…317fbacked No | 15c | 2,542$390 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$390 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.15per pick | 15cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4e5e…5778backed No | 7c | 2,200$165 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$164.84 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.07per pick | 7cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7df6…ac3bbacked No | 14c | 2,129$293 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$292.66 | 111 | 54.1%60 W · 51 L | +4.1wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +8.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x663d…7d23backed No | 9c | 1,992$177 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$177.27 | 25 | 20%5 W · 20 L | -5.4wins | -0.22per pick | 42cpaid | -57.1%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x9e5f…8a41backed No | 7c | 1,901$139 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$139.06 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.18per pick | 18cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x23d9…3a2ebacked Yes | 57c | 1,614$912 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$701.87 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.6wins | +0.20per pick | 46cpaid | +66.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffe…9f71backed No | 8c | 1,541$128 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$127.84 | 194 | 18.6%36 W · 158 L | -3.4wins | -0.02per pick | 20cpaid | -16.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8929…733ebacked No | 11c | 1,402$154 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$154.06 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | +0.9wins | +0.09per pick | 41cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9d30…fad8backed No | 7c | 1,378$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | +0.8wins | +0.12per pick | 31cpaid | +77.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0044…cb2cbacked No | 8c | 1,287$105 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$105.32 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | +0.5wins | +0.11per pick | 29cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc13c…d465backed No | 39c | 1,279$492 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$492.44 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.39per pick | 39cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa5e3…4d7ebacked Yes | 69c | 1,209$830 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$379.2 | 41 | 51.2%21 W · 20 L | -1.1wins | -0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x23cc…4f5abacked No | 7c | 1,196$81 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$81.4 | 181 | 41.4%75 W · 106 L | +10.4wins | +0.06per pick | 36cpaid | +10.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6a70…cba6backed No | 44c | 1,170$521 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$520.65 | 18 | 44.4%8 W · 10 L | -0.9wins | -0.05per pick | 49cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x77d5…ea33backed No | 9c | 1,135$106 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$105.88 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.09per pick | 9cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x814d…b842backed Yes | 37c | 1,104$405 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$699.63 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.3wins | +0.66per pick | 34cpaid | +198.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x08a6…f3ccbacked No | 14c | 1,079$147 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$147.33 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.11per pick | 11cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3c6c…96f1backed No | 9c | 1,073$101 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100.68 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.09per pick | 9cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4574…ab3ebacked No | 51c | 986.56$507 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$506.65 | 287 | 43.9%126 W · 161 L | -5.7wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd1e8…193fbacked No | 28c | 958.19$272 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$271.83 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.28per pick | 28cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6496…09d0backed Yes | 79c | 825.01$652 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$172.78 | 37 | 43.2%16 W · 21 L | +0.8wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaf60…c978backed No | 6c | 810.76$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.29 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.06per pick | 6cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbc60…af79backed No | 34c | 807.91$274 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$273.82 | 8 | 75%6 W · 2 L | +2.6wins | +0.32per pick | 43cpaid | +172.9%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x7c59…f97cbacked No | 8c | 797.79$62 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62.32 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.08per pick | 8cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0f48…b750backed No | 3c | 790.67$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x70cf…f6cebacked Yes | 65c | 769.23$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$269.23 | 23 | 47.8%11 W · 12 L | +2.2wins | +0.10per pick | 38cpaid | +57.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7495…7fcfbacked No | 8c | 750.21$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59.05 | 22 | 9.1%2 W · 20 L | -1.6wins | -0.07per pick | 16cpaid | -58.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8b6c…64b4backed No | 3c | 746.31$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.91 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x254d…550cbacked No | 7c | 727.4$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.07per pick | 7cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3f1f…feaebacked Yes | 72c | 725.68$520 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$205.7 | 7 | 85.7%6 W · 1 L | +2.6wins | +0.37per pick | 49cpaid | +101.6%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x2cc7…5536backed Yes | 63c | 709$446 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$263.41 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.37per pick | 63cpaid | +59.1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2796…e282backed No | 39c | 704.97$278 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$278.02 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.39per pick | 39cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x17b6…0be9backed Yes | 71c | 704.03$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$204.03 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -27.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4c27…b14abacked No | 5c | 690.12$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.43 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5025…dd30backed No | 52c | 687.52$360 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$359.91 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | -2.8wins | -0.40per pick | 54cpaid | -80.1%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x8be2…494abacked No | 7c | 674.61$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47 | 9 | 66.7%6 W · 3 L | +1.6wins | +0.17per pick | 49cpaid | +27.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x144b…2a4bbacked No | 7c | 636.11$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.57 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.07per pick | 7cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe91c…5331backed No | 4c | 604.59$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6ebe…a25ebacked No | 13c | 598.2$78 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$77.75 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.13per pick | 13cpaid | -100%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9034…f7dfbacked No | 5c | 517.31$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.04 | 32 | 25%8 W · 24 L | -3.2wins | -0.10per pick | 35cpaid | -52.5%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2d61…1fa7backed No | 15c | 500$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75 | 67 | 50.7%34 W · 33 L | +3.4wins | +0.05per pick | 46cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7c38…d844backed No | 5c | 485.75$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.82 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x18a6…6d74backed No | 6c | 472.45$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.06per pick | 6cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa089…02a1backed No | 14c | 462.41$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65.2 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.14per pick | 14cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd6e6…3ff0backed No | 6c | 453.71$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.06per pick | 6cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x96ca…5a71backed No | 16c | 451.58$73 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$73.4 | 43 | 44.2%19 W · 24 L | -4.9wins | -0.11per pick | 56cpaid | -23.5%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffc…a23dbacked No | 7c | 412.84$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.07per pick | 7cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa5d1…873ebacked No | 10c | 401.93$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.10per pick | 10cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x05be…78d0backed No | 34c | 371.88$127 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$127.04 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -21.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x019a…f457backed No | 8c | 371.81$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.08per pick | 8cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb37a…f1b1backed No | 5c | 356.66$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.12 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.16per pick | 16cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcc26…2f27backed Yes | 72c | 352.86$253 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$99.63 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.9wins | +0.43per pick | 57cpaid | +86.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xac0e…c0bfbacked No | 42c | 349.25$146 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$146.3 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.42per pick | 42cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xeb1d…59b0backed Yes | 38c | 347.5$132 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$215.44 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.62per pick | 38cpaid | +163.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdd27…486abacked No | 8c | 343.08$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.08per pick | 8cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xca8f…d963backed No | 7c | 320.87$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.67 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.08per pick | 8cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf974…a1e0backed No | 6c | 316.92$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 24 | 16.7%4 W · 20 L | -3.0wins | -0.12per pick | 29cpaid | -35.1%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x46d1…8d0ebacked No | 16c | 300$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +0.7wins | +0.11per pick | 39cpaid | +15.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xec82…6eaabacked No | 6c | 298.3$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.39 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.06per pick | 6cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5b63…11a4backed No | 4c | 276.8$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.35 | 267 | 36%96 W · 171 L | -16.6wins | -0.06per pick | 42cpaid | -28.9%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x37c7…3e93backed No | 8c | 267.86$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.04 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.08per pick | 8cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1b45…7639backed No | 8c | 261.68$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.08per pick | 8cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x316f…210abacked No | 8c | 259.73$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.08per pick | 8cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x976e…ecf3backed Yes | 79c | 256$201 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55.02 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.21per pick | 79cpaid | +27.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6887…408bbacked No | 4c | 250$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.12per pick | 38cpaid | -30.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xec1d…5623backed No | 14c | 244.69$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.67 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.14per pick | 14cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x714f…66d5backed No | 35c | 240.13$84 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$84.05 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.35per pick | 35cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4cad…a290backed No | 38c | 240.08$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90.47 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.25per pick | 25cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2a19…b473backed No | 7c | 239.52$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.99 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.07per pick | 7cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9b02…ccf1backed No | 13c | 235.8$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.13per pick | 13cpaid | -100%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7ef6…be2cbacked No | 4c | 232.5$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x65b6…129dbacked No | 7c | 230.78$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.07per pick | 7cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf64f…1051backed No | 7c | 226.92$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.96 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.07per pick | 7cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1b42…128dbacked No | 37c | 215.24$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.37per pick | 37cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf163…a399backed No | 7c | 209.85$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.86 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.24per pick | 24cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8771…fc78backed No | 15c | 202.33$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.35 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.15per pick | 15cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb15c…c161backed No | 8c | 200.54$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.08per pick | 8cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6435…cbc8backed No | 18c | 200$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.18per pick | 18cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2a6d…3779backed No | 51c | 200$102 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$102 | 12 | 33.3%4 W · 8 L | -1.5wins | -0.12per pick | 45cpaid | -28.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xef8a…fd72backed No | 9c | 200$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.09per pick | 9cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb960…0229backed No | 6c | 192.27$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.43 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.06per pick | 6cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdc4e…8d72backed No | 52c | 191.24$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.10per pick | 60cpaid | -27.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1408…b4f8backed Yes | 76c | 184.28$139 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.82 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | -1.7wins | -0.24per pick | 38cpaid | -81.1%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1c99…abafbacked No | 7c | 183.03$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.07per pick | 7cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0276…8454backed No | 11c | 180.81$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.11per pick | 11cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9a2a…ab9fbacked No | 14c | 178.36$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.09 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.14per pick | 14cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x029a…d0d9backed No | 6c | 177.2$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.06per pick | 6cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x70b1…3231backed No | 15c | 176.39$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.51 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.15per pick | 15cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in UFC and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.