TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x17e7…c658

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
54
Categories scored
12
Categories below 50
6

Best Category: Fifa International, grading 55 out of 100 (+0.04 per pick).

Best Category Fifa International at 55 out of 100; worst Tennis at 46.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
UFC Inactivelast resolved Apr 12, 2026, EDT1346.2%6 W · 7 L+0.9wins+0.07per pick40cpaid+1.2%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
UFC — the 13 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in UFC, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
UFC 327: Jirí Procházka vs. Carlos Ulberg (Light Heavyweight, Main Card)backed Jirí Procházka · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$95Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$94.58
UFC 327: Curtis Blaydes vs. Josh Hokit (Heavyweight, Main Card)backed Curtis Blaydes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$87Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$87.25
UFC 327: Cub Swanson vs. Nate Landwehr (Featherweight, Prelims)backed Cub Swanson · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$97Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 12, 2026, EDT+81.8%+$79.61
UFC 327: Johnny Walker vs. Dominick Reyes (Light Heavyweight, Main Card)backed Dominick Reyes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$76Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 12, 2026, EDT+63.9%+$48.7
Will Trump attend UFC 327?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$82Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$82.01
UFC 327: Kevin Holland vs. Randy Brown (Welterweight, Prelims)backed Kevin Holland · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 11, 2026, EDT+88.7%+$88.76
UFC 327: Charles Radtke vs. Francisco Prado (Welterweight, Early Prelims)backed Francisco Prado · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$22Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$21.94
UFC Fight Night: Renato Moicano vs. Chris Duncan (Lightweight, Main Card)backed Renato Moicano · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$35Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 5, 2026, EDT+122.2%+$43.28
UFC 324: Gaethje vs. Pimblett (Lightweight, Main Card)backed Gaethje · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$61Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 25, 2026, EST+203%+$123.85
UFC 324: Yadong vs. O'Malley (Bantamweight, Main Card)backed Yadong · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$105Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 25, 2026, EST-100%-$105
UFC 324: Lewis vs. Cortes-Acosta (Heavyweight, Main Card)backed Lewis · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 25, 2026, EST-100%-$10.85
UFC 324: Perez vs. Johnson (Flyweight, Prelims)backed Perez · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$49Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 24, 2026, EST+156.4%+$77.25
UFC 324: Hokit vs. Freeman (Heavyweight, Prelims)backed Freeman · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$33Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 24, 2026, EST-100%-$33
All 13 picks, newest first.
La Liga Inactivelast resolved Apr 22, 2026, EDT1233.3%4 W · 8 L-0.2wins-0.02per pick35cpaid-4.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
La Liga — the 12 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in La Liga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
FC Barcelona vs. RC Celta de Vigo: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$193Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$193.29
Will Real Sociedad de Fútbol win on 2026-04-22?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$104Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$104.03
Will Club Atlético de Madrid win on 2026-04-22?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$108Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$108.12
Will Getafe CF win on 2026-04-13?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$47Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$46.98
Will Levante UD win on 2026-04-13?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$48Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 13, 2026, EDT+461.1%+$219.19
Will Club Atlético de Madrid win on 2026-04-11?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$105Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$105.26
Will Real Madrid CF win on 2026-04-04?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$291Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$290.77
Will Real Madrid CF win on 2026-03-02?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$120Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 2, 2026, EST-100%-$119.56
Spread: Real Madrid CF (-1.5)backed Real Madrid CF · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$199Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 2, 2026, EST-100%-$199.27
Girona FC vs. RC Celta de Vigo: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$201Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 1, 2026, EST+69.5%+$139.68
Will Club Atlético de Madrid win on 2026-02-28?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$199Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 28, 2026, EST+149.3%+$297.47
Will Real Madrid CF win on 2026-02-08?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$297Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 8, 2026, EST+61.3%+$181.98
All 12 picks, newest first.
CS2 Inactivelast resolved Apr 13, 2026, EDT944.4%4 W · 5 L+0.6wins+0.07per pick37cpaid-5.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
CS2 — the 9 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in CS2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Counter-Strike: 3DMAX vs Team Falcons (BO3) - IEM Rio Group Abacked 3DMAX · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$26Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$26.44
Counter-Strike: Gentle Mates vs G2 (BO3) - IEM Rio Group Abacked G2 · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$91Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 13, 2026, EDT+163.2%+$148.67
Counter-Strike: BC.Game Esports vs Voca (BO3) - PGL Bucharest Group Stagebacked Voca · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$96Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$96.41
Counter-Strike: PARIVISION vs FUT Esports (BO3) - PGL Bucharest Group Stagebacked PARIVISION · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$39Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$38.9
Counter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs FUT Esports (BO3) - ESL Pro League Playoffsbacked Natus Vincere · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 14, 2026, EDT+88.7%+$88.34
Counter-Strike: FURIA vs TheMongolz (BO3) - PGL Cluj-Napoca Playoffsbacked FURIA · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$102Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 20, 2026, EST-100%-$102
Counter-Strike: MOUZ vs Natus Vincere (BO3) - PGL Cluj-Napoca Playoffsbacked Natus Vincere · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$199Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 20, 2026, EST-100%-$199.26
Counter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs G2 (BO3) - PGL Cluj-Napoca Group Stagebacked Natus Vincere · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$151Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 18, 2026, EST+100%+$150.52
Counter-Strike: FUT Esports vs PARIVISION (BO3) - PGL Cluj-Napoca Group Stagebacked PARIVISION · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 18, 2026, EST+100%+$50
All 9 picks, newest first.
Champions League Inactivelast resolved Apr 15, 2026, EDT560%3 W · 2 L+0.9wins+0.18per pick42cpaid+31.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
Champions League — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Champions League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Premier League Inactivelast resolved Apr 13, 2026, EDT333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.2wins-0.08per pick41cpaid-37.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Premier League — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Premier League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Middle East Inactivelast resolved Apr 14, 2026, EDT30%0 W · 3 L-0.3wins-0.11per pick11cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Middle East — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Middle East, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Mar 26, 2026, EDT2100%2 W · 0 L+1.2wins+0.59per pick41cpaid+144.5%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Sweden win on 2026-03-26?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$199Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 26, 2026, EDT+132.6%+$264.41
Ukraine vs. Sweden: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$130Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 26, 2026, EDT+156.4%+$203.33
All 2 picks, newest first.
Serie A Inactivelast resolved Mar 14, 2026, EDT250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick50cpaid0%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Serie A — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Serie A, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Udinese Calcio vs. Juventus FC: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$99.99
AS Roma vs. Juventus FC: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$199Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 1, 2026, EST+100%+$199.28
All 2 picks, newest first.
Tennis Inactivelast resolved Apr 12, 2026, EDT20%0 W · 2 L-0.9wins-0.46per pick46cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
Tennis — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tennis, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Rolex Monte Carlo Masters: Carlos Alcaraz vs Jannik Sinnerbacked Carlos Alcaraz · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$72Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$72.44
Delray Beach Open: Sebastian Korda vs Casper Ruudbacked Ruud · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 20, 2026, EST-100%-$100
All 2 picks, newest first.
Lol Inactivelast resolved Mar 2, 2026, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.9wins+0.85per pick15cpaid+570.6%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
Lol — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Lol, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
LoL: Cloud9 vs LYON (BO5) - LCS Lock In Playoffsbacked LYON · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$109Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 2, 2026, EST+570.6%+$621.67
All 1 picks, newest first.
Bundesliga Inactivelast resolved Apr 4, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.64per pick36cpaid+177.8%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
Bundesliga — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Bundesliga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will BV Borussia 09 Dortmund win on 2026-04-04?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$299Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 4, 2026, EDT+177.8%+$531.4
All 1 picks, newest first.
Dota2 Inactivelast resolved Apr 13, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.60per pick60cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
Dota2 — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Dota2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Dota 2: Virtus.pro vs MOUZ (BO3) - DreamLeague Western Europe Closed Qualifier Playoffsbacked MOUZ · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$133Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$132.74
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.