UFC · resolved market
UFC 324: Yadong vs. O'Malley (Bantamweight, Main Card)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xb80809463db7ed0c9dc9162fd2f323508fc5eea5aceafd1cc3ba7185a3c03dc6
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- O'Malleyof Yadong, O'Malley
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- UFCevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $2,172,016
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $2,291,053
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $2,172,016 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 1,376 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in UFC is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in UFC | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x2b15…9b08backed Yadong | 10c | 269,478$28,257 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28,257.41 | 291 | 51.9%151 W · 140 L | +3.1wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb45a…192cbacked Yadong | 35c | 206,455$72,259 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$72,259.14 | 38 | 42.1%16 W · 22 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1117…3532backed Yadong | 35c | 143,312$50,159 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50,159.05 | 195 | 44.6%87 W · 108 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x68dd…f0b2backed Yadong | 35c | 120,000$42,233 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42,233.08 | 54 | 40.7%22 W · 32 L | -4.2wins | -0.08per pick | 49cpaid | -17.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x07b8…8e25backed O'Malley | 65c | 117,423$76,579 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40,843.98 | 72 | 45.8%33 W · 39 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa8e0…ad50backed Yadong | 34c | 108,283$36,733 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36,733.36 | 34 | 47.1%16 W · 18 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf152…64aabacked O'Malley | 65c | 82,081$53,131 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28,949.89 | 40 | 40%16 W · 24 L | -5.7wins | -0.14per pick | 54cpaid | -22.1%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xdb27…c56ebacked Yadong | 34c | 71,408$24,279 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24,278.73 | 18 | 44.4%8 W · 10 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x03ac…4f55backed Yadong | 34c | 65,219$22,175 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22,174.56 | 267 | 43.8%117 W · 150 L | +7.6wins | +0.03per pick | 41cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xefc9…b337backed O'Malley | 65c | 56,546$36,755 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19,790.98 | 44 | 65.9%29 W · 15 L | +4.3wins | +0.10per pick | 56cpaid | +16.4%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc660…bd28backed O'Malley | 65c | 54,063$35,159 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18,904.57 | 145 | 58.6%85 W · 60 L | +5.6wins | +0.04per pick | 55cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8f03…64d6backed O'Malley | 66c | 53,130$34,939 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18,190.33 | 68 | 50%34 W · 34 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8556…fad9backed O'Malley | 68c | 52,603$35,749 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16,853.88 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.16per pick | 34cpaid | -26.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5aa9…febebacked O'Malley | 56c | 51,772$28,857 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22,915.28 | 159 | 39.6%63 W · 96 L | +1.4wins | +0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -20.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe90b…5da2backed Yadong | 11c | 51,259$5,403 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,402.81 | 25 | 52%13 W · 12 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | +12.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe60a…6a47backed O'Malley | 65c | 50,771$33,047 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17,723.89 | 72 | 33.3%24 W · 48 L | -5.0wins | -0.07per pick | 40cpaid | -36.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7690…74e1backed O'Malley | 67c | 42,079$28,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14,078.92 | 34 | 58.8%20 W · 14 L | -1.5wins | -0.04per pick | 63cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf68a…5b1bbacked O'Malley | 65c | 37,500$24,375 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13,124.94 | 371 | 52.8%196 W · 175 L | +6.4wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe8a8…a48ebacked O'Malley | 66c | 32,309$21,324 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10,984.98 | 18 | 61.1%11 W · 7 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 60cpaid | -1%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5877…d894backed O'Malley | 66c | 30,000$19,800 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10,200 | 16 | 37.5%6 W · 10 L | -1.8wins | -0.11per pick | 49cpaid | -31.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1433…56a0backed Yadong | 31c | 28,725$8,954 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$8,953.54 | 84 | 34.5%29 W · 55 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xead0…f3babacked Yadong | 34c | 28,606$9,590 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$9,589.89 | 11 | 63.6%7 W · 4 L | +1.2wins | +0.11per pick | 53cpaid | +26.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7b17…abcdbacked O'Malley | 66c | 27,273$18,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9,272.73 | 4 | 100%4 W · 0 L | +1.3wins | +0.32per pick | 68cpaid | +47.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5dea…e9debacked O'Malley | 66c | 23,000$15,184 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,816 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.34per pick | 66cpaid | +51.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9f67…4dd8backed O'Malley | 66c | 21,490$14,183 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,306.6 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.3wins | +0.08per pick | 42cpaid | +18.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7ac4…3081backed Yadong | 35c | 20,180$7,003 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,002.84 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.0wins | -0.51per pick | 51cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7b88…5d08backed O'Malley | 66c | 20,004$13,256 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,747.53 | 76 | 53.9%41 W · 35 L | +3.9wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +15.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc257…358ebacked Yadong | 35c | 20,000$7,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,000 | 27 | 33.3%9 W · 18 L | -2.1wins | -0.08per pick | 41cpaid | -23.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9267…0f9abacked Yadong | 34c | 20,000$6,800 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,799.95 | 160 | 49.4%79 W · 81 L | +1.2wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcc3e…37efbacked O'Malley | 61c | 18,898$11,498 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,399.29 | 37 | 37.8%14 W · 23 L | +1.3wins | +0.04per pick | 34cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6d04…7a5fbacked O'Malley | 63c | 17,375$10,946 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,428.58 | 14 | 78.6%11 W · 3 L | +3.4wins | +0.24per pick | 55cpaid | +69.7%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xafba…e61bbacked Yadong | 34c | 15,870$5,401 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,400.76 | 352 | 53.1%187 W · 165 L | +27.7wins | +0.08per pick | 45cpaid | +14.5%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x1d1a…0df6backed O'Malley | 65c | 15,000$9,750 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,250 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.08per pick | 59cpaid | +13%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x14ac…cb21backed O'Malley | 66c | 14,500$9,570 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,930 | 63 | 46%29 W · 34 L | -3.1wins | -0.05per pick | 51cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa051…54ebbacked O'Malley | 65c | 14,326$9,287 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,038.86 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.8wins | +0.39per pick | 61cpaid | +63.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0dc6…9889backed Yadong | 35c | 14,285$5,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,999.75 | 49 | 42.9%21 W · 28 L | -0.8wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5fae…78f1backed Yadong | 36c | 13,872$4,994 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,993.99 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.16per pick | 34cpaid | +53.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x11e2…26ccbacked Yadong | 34c | 13,000$4,420 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,419.92 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | +0.2wins | +0.03per pick | 37cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb7f5…c669backed Yadong | 35c | 12,500$4,375 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,375 | 22 | 54.5%12 W · 10 L | +1.0wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x661d…4dc6backed O'Malley | 52c | 11,907$6,163 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,743.34 | 274 | 48.2%132 W · 142 L | +12.7wins | +0.05per pick | 44cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf5e1…5ad0backed Yadong | 35c | 11,579$4,083 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,082.62 | 288 | 49.7%143 W · 145 L | -3.4wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdbad…9c95backed O'Malley | 65c | 11,360$7,384 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,975.96 | 191 | 54.5%104 W · 87 L | +14.9wins | +0.08per pick | 47cpaid | +13%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x7b47…d615backed O'Malley | 66c | 10,000$6,600 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,400 | 36 | 36.1%13 W · 23 L | -3.9wins | -0.11per pick | 47cpaid | -21.8%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2307…3934backed O'Malley | 65c | 10,000$6,500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,500 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.8wins | +0.39per pick | 61cpaid | +66.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xac75…1319backed O'Malley | 66c | 10,000$6,600 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,400 | 22 | 40.9%9 W · 13 L | -0.7wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -22%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4488…e319backed Yadong | 35c | 10,000$3,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,499.96 | 117 | 46.2%54 W · 63 L | -3.6wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfce1…9ce7backed O'Malley | 64c | 9,158$5,861 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,296.75 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | -1.3wins | -0.13per pick | 53cpaid | -33.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2b63…1147backed O'Malley | 66c | 8,828$5,826 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,001.48 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +0.3wins | +0.04per pick | 67cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1d8a…e842backed O'Malley | 66c | 8,818$5,820 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,998.18 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.2wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -30.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x26cf…c612backed Yadong | 31c | 8,558$2,636 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,636.19 | 905 | 53.6%485 W · 420 L | +46.4wins | +0.05per pick | 48cpaid | +8.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1307…d640backed O'Malley | 66c | 7,879$5,200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,678.79 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -1.4wins | -0.19per pick | 62cpaid | -37.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed O'Malley | 63c | 7,429$4,657 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,772.78 | 331 | 32%106 W · 225 L | +1.7wins | +0.01per pick | 31cpaid | -14.1%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x91fd…1cdebacked Yadong | 35c | 7,000$2,450 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,450 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | +0.2wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfefb…4b5dbacked O'Malley | 61c | 6,733$4,110 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,622.3 | 201 | 39.8%80 W · 121 L | -0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -21.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf9b5…09eebacked O'Malley | 33c | 6,646$2,216 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,430.11 | 38 | 60.5%23 W · 15 L | +3.3wins | +0.09per pick | 52cpaid | +9.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xcf40…87debacked O'Malley | 66c | 6,061$4,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,060.61 | 34 | 41.2%14 W · 20 L | -2.1wins | -0.06per pick | 47cpaid | -20.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3c9c…74b3backed Yadong | 34c | 6,000$2,040 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,039.93 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.0wins | -0.51per pick | 51cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb57a…b8c3backed Yadong | 37c | 5,800$2,146 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,146 | 17 | 35.3%6 W · 11 L | -1.7wins | -0.10per pick | 46cpaid | -11.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x94e4…2943backed O'Malley | 66c | 5,708$3,767 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,940.58 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.31per pick | 69cpaid | +44.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x60cc…ff9bbacked Yadong | 35c | 5,571$1,950 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,950 | 20 | 30%6 W · 14 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 29cpaid | +13.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5e30…acbfbacked O'Malley | 65c | 5,541$3,581 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,960.75 | 420 | 54%227 W · 193 L | +12.9wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6d10…e270backed Yadong | 35c | 5,500$1,925 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,925 | 25 | 32%8 W · 17 L | -0.6wins | -0.02per pick | 34cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9d94…017dbacked Yadong | 50c | 5,394$2,695 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,695.45 | 36 | 25%9 W · 27 L | -3.2wins | -0.09per pick | 34cpaid | -51.5%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9fad…5a9fbacked O'Malley | 44c | 5,354$2,369 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,984.74 | 300 | 39.3%118 W · 182 L | -1.6wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x048b…09efbacked Yadong | 35c | 5,334$1,867 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,866.96 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.5wins | +0.11per pick | 39cpaid | +21.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6551…e043backed Yadong | 34c | 5,084$1,729 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,728.62 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -34.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3a55…394ebacked O'Malley | 43c | 5,027$2,147 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,880.71 | 56 | 53.6%30 W · 26 L | +5.5wins | +0.10per pick | 44cpaid | +12.7%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xdc4f…4652backed O'Malley | 65c | 5,000$3,250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,750 | 63 | 54%34 W · 29 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4db0…d3eabacked Yadong | 36c | 5,000$1,800 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,799.84 | 20 | 35%7 W · 13 L | -1.8wins | -0.09per pick | 44cpaid | -26.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6dd6…f5f4backed Yadong | 44c | 4,809$2,110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,109.85 | 539 | 56.6%305 W · 234 L | -2.1wins | 0.00per pick | 57cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc56b…fe0abacked Yadong | 1c | 4,555$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65.49 | 16 | 62.5%10 W · 6 L | +2.8wins | +0.18per pick | 45cpaid | +31.9%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xbd09…a188backed O'Malley | 66c | 4,400$2,904 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,496 | 36 | 50%18 W · 18 L | +1.2wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x437c…f458backed Yadong | 72c | 4,244$3,057 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,056.91 | 10 | 60%6 W · 4 L | +0.8wins | +0.08per pick | 52cpaid | +43.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x86b1…c094backed Yadong | 55c | 4,211$2,304 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,303.86 | 42 | 28.6%12 W · 30 L | -1.2wins | -0.03per pick | 31cpaid | -31.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb100…6461backed Yadong | 39c | 4,047$1,585 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,584.83 | 72 | 33.3%24 W · 48 L | -2.1wins | -0.03per pick | 36cpaid | -36.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x64e9…eb4cbacked O'Malley | 65c | 4,000$2,600 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,399.99 | 54 | 37%20 W · 34 L | -2.9wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbc3c…3403backed Yadong | 39c | 3,939$1,540 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,539.87 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.7wins | -0.34per pick | 34cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6ade…f5b0backed Yadong | 72c | 3,928$2,831 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,830.81 | 42 | 45.2%19 W · 23 L | -2.8wins | -0.07per pick | 52cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd1e6…1dc1backed Yadong | 36c | 3,883$1,398 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,398 | 25 | 52%13 W · 12 L | +1.3wins | +0.05per pick | 47cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8974…bedebacked O'Malley | 65c | 3,883$2,524 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,358.93 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +0.3wins | +0.06per pick | 44cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x00ff…f7adbacked O'Malley | 66c | 3,864$2,550 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,313.64 | 50 | 44%22 W · 28 L | -1.4wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9770…a54dbacked O'Malley | 66c | 3,833$2,530 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,303.1 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +0.8wins | +0.11per pick | 61cpaid | +2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6911…947cbacked Yadong | 67c | 3,743$2,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,500 | 11 | 9.1%1 W · 10 L | -3.9wins | -0.36per pick | 45cpaid | -83.8%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x6368…6dc8backed O'Malley | 66c | 3,696$2,439 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,256.56 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.8wins | +0.20per pick | 55cpaid | +67.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x14c3…df68backed Yadong | 28c | 3,618$999 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$999.12 | 82 | 48.8%40 W · 42 L | +6.3wins | +0.08per pick | 41cpaid | +7%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1461…30a1backed O'Malley | 66c | 3,571$2,357 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,214.14 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7a8b…b1c8backed Yadong | 40c | 3,500$1,388 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,387.86 | 136 | 50%68 W · 68 L | -2.7wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x069c…c844backed O'Malley | 67c | 3,487$2,336 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,150.62 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.33per pick | 67cpaid | +49.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x20a8…f004backed Yadong | 56c | 3,286$1,832 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,832.21 | 209 | 54.1%113 W · 96 L | +3.7wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbc96…5307backed O'Malley | 65c | 3,183$2,069 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,113.91 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 69cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdddc…ced2backed Yadong | 35c | 3,100$1,085 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,084.86 | 19 | 36.8%7 W · 12 L | -0.5wins | -0.03per pick | 40cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3303…b5e3backed Yadong | 35c | 3,020$1,057 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,056.96 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.5wins | -0.37per pick | 62cpaid | -63.5%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x90c7…81f1backed Yadong | 35c | 3,000$1,050 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,050 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.35per pick | 35cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd3fa…a26cbacked Yadong | 33c | 3,000$990 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$989.99 | 52 | 44.2%23 W · 29 L | -4.0wins | -0.08per pick | 52cpaid | -18.6%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x99e4…e4c4backed O'Malley | 30c | 3,000$900 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,099.98 | 51 | 52.9%27 W · 24 L | +1.1wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +10.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb31e…c120backed O'Malley | 65c | 3,000$1,950 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,049.99 | 156 | 41%64 W · 92 L | -1.8wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -11.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7deb…2682backed O'Malley | 67c | 2,985$2,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$985.07 | 9 | 22.2%2 W · 7 L | -2.0wins | -0.22per pick | 45cpaid | -68.4%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x880e…54edbacked Yadong | 34c | 2,894$984 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$984 | 14 | 42.9%6 W · 8 L | +0.4wins | +0.03per pick | 40cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x29c0…efaabacked Yadong | 34c | 2,869$966 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$965.61 | 180 | 38.9%70 W · 110 L | +3.6wins | +0.02per pick | 37cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb853…0d33backed Yadong | 35c | 2,857$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 54 | 31.5%17 W · 37 L | -5.8wins | -0.11per pick | 42cpaid | -26.5%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in UFC and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 7 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- UFC 324: Yadong vs. O'Malley (Bantamweight, Main Card)this page
- Fight to Go the Distance?Yes won
- O/U 2.5 RoundsOver won
- Will Sean O'Malley win by KO or TKO?No won
- Will Song Yadong win by KO or TKO?No won
- Will the fight be won by KO or TKO?No won
- Will the fight be won by submission?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.