TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x6d10…e270

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
99
Categories scored
7
Categories below 50
4

Best Category: Champions League, grading 52 out of 100 (+0.02 per pick).

Best Category Champions League at 52 out of 100; worst NBA at 48.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
NBA Inactivelast resolved Mar 5, 2026, EST5139.2%20 W · 31 L-1.6wins-0.03per pick42cpaid-11.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
NBA — the 51 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Jazz vs. 76ers: O/U 237.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$8,720Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 5, 2026, EST-100%-$8,720.38
Hornets vs. Celtics: O/U 215.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$17,346Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 5, 2026, EST-100%-$17,346
Hornets vs. Celticsbacked Hornets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$4,833Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 5, 2026, EST+222.6%+$10,757.1
Spread: Suns (-9.5)backed Suns · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$15,471Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 4, 2026, EST+96.1%+$14,865.48
76ers vs. Pacers: O/U 232.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$15,952Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 25, 2026, EST-100%-$15,952.28
Jazz vs. Rocketsbacked Jazz · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$9,350Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 24, 2026, EST-100%-$9,350
Jazz vs. Rockets: O/U 227.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$12,980Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 24, 2026, EST-100%-$12,980.13
Jazz vs. Rockets: O/U 226.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$511Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 24, 2026, EST-100%-$511.07
Spurs vs. Pistonsbacked Spurs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$35,541Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 24, 2026, EST+108.3%+$38,502.84
Magic vs. Clippersbacked Magic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$29,330Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 23, 2026, EST+163.2%+$47,853.98
Magic vs. Clippers: O/U 216.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$3,534Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 23, 2026, EST+96.1%+$3,395.67
Magic vs. Clippers: O/U 215.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$9,206Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 23, 2026, EST+96.1%+$8,844.59
Hornets vs. Wizardsbacked Wizards · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$11,151Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 22, 2026, EST-100%-$11,151
Spread: Nuggets (-6.5)backed Nuggets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$23,173Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 22, 2026, EST-100%-$23,172.95
Nets vs. Hawksbacked Nets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$3,101Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 22, 2026, EST-100%-$3,100.68
Cavaliers vs. Thunderbacked Thunder · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$1,564Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 22, 2026, EST+108.3%+$1,694.75
Rockets vs. Knicksbacked Rockets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$6,065Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 22, 2026, EST-100%-$6,065.29
Magic vs. Sunsbacked Magic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$9,822Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 21, 2026, EST-100%-$9,822.47
Spread: Lakers (-7.5)backed Clippers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$9,154Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 21, 2026, EST+100%+$9,153.67
Nuggets vs. Trail Blazersbacked Trail Blazers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$4,800Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 21, 2026, EST-100%-$4,800
Pacers vs. Wizards: O/U 228.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$9,495Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 21, 2026, EST-100%-$9,494.8
Spread: Cavaliers (-5.5)backed Cavaliers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$375Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 20, 2026, EST-100%-$375.38
Cavaliers vs. Hornets: O/U 233.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$735Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 20, 2026, EST-100%-$735.22
Jazz vs. Grizzlies: O/U 235.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$9,660Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 20, 2026, EST-100%-$9,660.24
Pacers vs. Wizardsbacked Wizards · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$11,122Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 20, 2026, EST+92.3%+$10,266.78
Showing 25 of 51 picks, newest first.
UFC Inactivelast resolved Feb 22, 2026, EST2532%8 W · 17 L-0.6wins-0.02per pick34cpaid-3.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
UFC — the 25 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in UFC, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
UFC Fight Night: Sean Strickland vs. Anthony Hernandez (Middleweight, Main Card)backed Strickland · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$20,402Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 22, 2026, EST+244.8%+$49,948.5
UFC Fight Night: Geoff Neal vs. Uros Medic (Welterweight, Prelims)backed Uros Medic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$5,616Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 22, 2026, EST+177.8%+$9,984
Fight to Go the Distance?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$76Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 22, 2026, EST+194.1%+$148.35
UFC Fight Night: Ante Delija vs. Serghei Spivac (Heavyweight, Main Card)backed Delija · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$8,845Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 22, 2026, EST-100%-$8,845.2
UFC Fight Night: Josiah Harrell vs. Jacobe Smith (Welterweight, Main Card)backed Josiah Harrell · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$8,101Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 21, 2026, EST-100%-$8,100.66
UFC Fight Night: Michel Pereira vs. Zachary Reese (Middleweight, Main Card)backed Reese · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$14,000Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 21, 2026, EST-100%-$14,000
UFC Fight Night: Chidi Njokuani vs. Carlos Leal (Welterweight, Prelims)backed Njokuani · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$3,960Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 21, 2026, EST-100%-$3,960
O/U 2.5 Roundsbacked Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$424Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 21, 2026, EST-100%-$423.62
UFC Fight Night: Joselyne Edwards vs. Nora Cornolle (Women's Bantamweight, Prelims)backed Cornolle · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$726Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 21, 2026, EST-100%-$726.05
UFC Fight Night: Ramiz Brahimaj vs. Punahele Soriano (Welterweight, Prelims)backed Ramiz Brahimaj · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$5,995Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 21, 2026, EST-100%-$5,994.87
UFC Fight Night: Phil Rowe vs. Jean-Paul Lebosnoyani (Welterweight, Prelims)backed Phil Rowe · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$8,316Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 21, 2026, EST-100%-$8,316
UFC Fight Night: Jordan Leavitt vs. Yadier del Valle (Featherweight, Prelims)backed Leavitt · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$6,521Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 21, 2026, EST+334.8%+$21,829.5
UFC Fight Night: Juliana Miller vs. Carli Judice (Women's Flyweight, Prelims)backed Miller · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$390Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 21, 2026, EST-100%-$389.76
UFC 325: Dan Hooker vs. Benoit Saint Denis (Lightweight, Main Card)backed Hooker · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$22,630Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 1, 2026, EST-100%-$22,630.11
UFC 325: Tuivasa vs. Teixeira (Heavyweight, Main Card)backed Tuivasa · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$2,821Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 1, 2026, EST-100%-$2,821.22
UFC 325: Elekana vs. Tafa (Light Heavyweight, Prelims)backed Tafa · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$19,581Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 31, 2026, EST-100%-$19,580.58
UFC 325: Finney vs. Malkoun (Middleweight, Prelims)backed Finney · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$12,698Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 31, 2026, EST-100%-$12,698.4
UFC 325: Elliott vs. Micallef (Welterweight, Early Prelims)backed Elliott · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$3,919Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 31, 2026, EST-100%-$3,919.2
UFC 325: Yizha vs. Kaan Ofli (Featherweight, Early Prelims)backed Ofli · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$9,696Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 31, 2026, EST+212.5%+$20,604
UFC 325: Lawrence Lui vs. Sulangrangbo (Bantamweight, Early Prelims)backed Lui · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$4,990Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 31, 2026, EST+239.8%+$11,964.83
UFC 324: Yadong vs. O'Malley (Bantamweight, Main Card)backed Yadong · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$1,925Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 25, 2026, EST-100%-$1,925
UFC 324: Lewis vs. Cortes-Acosta (Heavyweight, Main Card)backed Lewis · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$1,856Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 25, 2026, EST-100%-$1,856.4
UFC 324: Allen vs. Silva (Featherweight, Main Card)backed Silva · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$14,343Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 25, 2026, EST+51.5%+$7,388.88
UFC 324: Figueiredo vs. Nurmagomedov (Bantamweight, Prelims)backed Figueiredo · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$2,700Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 24, 2026, EST-100%-$2,700
UFC 324: Perez vs. Johnson (Flyweight, Prelims)backed Perez · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$4,875Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 24, 2026, EST+156.4%+$7,625
All 25 picks, newest first.
Ncaa Basketball Inactivelast resolved Feb 18, 2026, EST1346.2%6 W · 7 L-0.5wins-0.04per pick50cpaid-5.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Ncaa Basketball — the 13 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ncaa Basketball, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Spread: Penn State Nittany Lions (-4.5)backed Penn State Nittany Lions · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$19,380Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 18, 2026, EST-100%-$19,379.99
Minnesota Golden Gophers vs. Oregon Ducksbacked Minnesota Golden Gophers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$6,876Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 18, 2026, EST+154.8%+$10,644.33
Wisconsin Badgers vs. Ohio State Buckeyesbacked Wisconsin Badgers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$15,342Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 18, 2026, EST-100%-$15,341.82
Spread: Miami Hurricanes (-8.5)backed Miami Hurricanes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$12,024Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 18, 2026, EST-100%-$12,024.15
Michigan Wolverines vs. Purdue Boilermakers: O/U 156.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$2,050Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 17, 2026, EST-100%-$2,050.25
Michigan Wolverines vs. Purdue Boilermakers: O/U 155.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$5,545Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 17, 2026, EST-100%-$5,545.37
Houston Cougars vs. Iowa State Cyclones: O/U 134.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$20,981Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 17, 2026, EST+86.4%+$18,132.6
Houston Cougars vs. Iowa State Cyclones: O/U 135.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$15,492Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 17, 2026, EST+100%+$15,491.89
Syracuse Orange vs. Duke Blue Devils: O/U 145.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$19,113Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 16, 2026, EST+98.8%+$18,886.97
Spread: South Carolina State Bulldogs (-6.5)backed South Carolina State Bulldogs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$9,500Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 16, 2026, EST-100%-$9,500
Saint Mary's Gaels vs. Pacific Tigers: O/U 136.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$23,686Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 15, 2026, EST-100%-$23,686.42
Spread: Utah State Aggies (-13.5)backed Utah State Aggies · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$198Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 15, 2026, EST+96.1%+$189.91
Memphis Tigers vs. Utah State Aggies: O/U 154.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$15,076Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 15, 2026, EST+89.8%+$13,537.39
All 13 picks, newest first.
Premier League Inactivelast resolved Mar 4, 2026, EST633.3%2 W · 4 L+0.4wins+0.06per pick27cpaid+53.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Premier League — the 6 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Premier League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

NFL Inactivelast resolved Jan 26, 2026, EST250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins+0.02per pick48cpaid0%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
NFL — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NFL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Rams vs. Seahawksbacked Rams · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$10,890Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 26, 2026, EST-100%-$10,890
Patriots vs. Broncos: O/U 42.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$17,640Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 25, 2026, EST+100%+$17,640
All 2 picks, newest first.
Champions League Inactivelast resolved Feb 17, 2026, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.58per pick42cpaid+136.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Champions League — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Champions League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Real Madrid CF win on 2026-02-17?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$27,063Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 17, 2026, EST+136.2%+$36,847.17
All 1 picks, newest first.
NHL Inactivelast resolved Feb 3, 2026, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.43per pick43cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
NHL — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NHL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Jets vs. Starsbacked Jets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$20,276Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 3, 2026, EST-100%-$20,275.78
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.