Ncaa Basketball · resolved market
Houston Cougars vs. Iowa State Cyclones: O/U 134.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x295e1851d3879ecf892e49998bf22936403108f4bf43124617b2107b1f5edae1
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Ncaa Basketballevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $185,464
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $227,584
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $185,464 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 79 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Ncaa Basketball is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x6d10…e270backed Over | 54c | 39,114$20,981 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18,132.6 | 13 | 46.2%6 W · 7 L | -0.5wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Under | 48c | 32,841$15,760 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15,760.42 | 12,422 | 49.8%6,191 W · 6,231 L | +118.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb45a…192cbacked Over | 54c | 32,497$17,503 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14,993.47 | 896 | 45.9%411 W · 485 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xecfc…cd05backed Under | 46c | 22,381$10,407 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10,406.56 | 1,155 | 50.4%582 W · 573 L | -34.4wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5c2b…2575backed Over | 50c | 16,519$8,191 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8,328.19 | 609 | 49.8%303 W · 306 L | -9.2wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Under | 47c | 14,061$6,592 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,592.01 | 5,946 | 49.3%2,932 W · 3,014 L | +163.0wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd1e6…1dc1backed Under | 48c | 7,700$3,694 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,694 | 53 | 41.5%22 W · 31 L | -3.4wins | -0.06per pick | 48cpaid | -18.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf68a…5b1bbacked Under | 46c | 7,500$3,450 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,450 | 906 | 45.4%411 W · 495 L | +9.9wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4d84…21b1backed Under | 47c | 5,395$2,512 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,512.39 | 998 | 48.4%483 W · 515 L | -8.5wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf41a…ea2bbacked Under | 48c | 3,045$1,452 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,451.82 | 2,687 | 48.5%1,303 W · 1,384 L | +4.8wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2a74…de59backed Over | 54c | 2,888$1,560 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,328.48 | 119 | 58.8%70 W · 49 L | +8.3wins | +0.07per pick | 52cpaid | +15%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9405…c071backed Over | 52c | 2,715$1,412 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,303.3 | 445 | 49.4%220 W · 225 L | -14.3wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd4da…3175backed Under | 48c | 2,207$1,056 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,056.09 | 898 | 50%449 W · 449 L | +7.1wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | 0%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x842a…7422backed Over | 50c | 2,047$1,024 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,023.64 | 351 | 47.6%167 W · 184 L | -9.7wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x339a…1eaebacked Over | 52c | 2,000$1,040 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$960 | 488 | 55.1%269 W · 219 L | +17.8wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Under | 48c | 1,913$926 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$926.01 | 2,896 | 50%1,448 W · 1,448 L | +71.0wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x94d8…8835backed Over | 55c | 1,848$1,018 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$830.15 | 70 | 57.1%40 W · 30 L | +1.6wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1455…e5cdbacked Under | 51c | 1,631$832 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$831.81 | 1,436 | 47.5%682 W · 754 L | -18.2wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked Over | 54c | 1,319$712 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$606.56 | 1,531 | 50.1%767 W · 764 L | +34.6wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa6e3…6dfebacked Under | 46c | 1,283$590 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$590 | 274 | 50%137 W · 137 L | -4.6wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8c16…4b37backed Under | 46c | 1,021$470 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$469.83 | 558 | 40.3%225 W · 333 L | -7.2wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf5a7…63e7backed Over | 53c | 1,000$530 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$470 | 557 | 49.2%274 W · 283 L | -7.4wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa632…4c96backed Under | 47c | 797.87$375 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$375 | 564 | 44.1%249 W · 315 L | +2.0wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x84f7…ade1backed Over | 48c | 659$316 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$342.68 | 1,074 | 47%505 W · 569 L | +1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xefde…6505backed Under | 51c | 636.54$325 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$324.64 | 922 | 46%424 W · 498 L | +1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x21f3…35e3backed Under | 48c | 598.08$284 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$284.34 | 1,152 | 48.9%563 W · 589 L | +3.3wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9b66…336abacked Over | 52c | 576.92$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$276.92 | 248 | 47.6%118 W · 130 L | +3.9wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2714…960fbacked Under | 48c | 500$240 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$240 | 161 | 47.2%76 W · 85 L | -1.4wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x250e…e864backed Under | 46c | 500$230 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$230 | 18 | 55.6%10 W · 8 L | +1.9wins | +0.11per pick | 45cpaid | +23.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9de4…7f2ebacked Under | 51c | 486.19$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250 | 160 | 54.4%87 W · 73 L | +6.7wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +9.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1b1a…68d8backed Over | 51c | 400$204 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$196 | 119 | 57.1%68 W · 51 L | +6.3wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +10.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1ce1…b62cbacked Over | 55c | 366.3$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$166.3 | 79 | 55.7%44 W · 35 L | +3.0wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcb14…bd17backed Over | 52c | 365.2$190 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$175.45 | 163 | 50.9%83 W · 80 L | -3.6wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8532…738bbacked Over | 56c | 300$168 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$132 | 170 | 51.2%87 W · 83 L | +1.8wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x12fe…38cfbacked Under | 46c | 300$139 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$139 | 1,260 | 43.3%545 W · 715 L | +34.8wins | +0.03per pick | 40cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7715…ada4backed Over | 52c | 300$156 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$144 | 46 | 28.3%13 W · 33 L | -10.2wins | -0.22per pick | 51cpaid | -43.7%equal weight | 34-0.14 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Over | 52c | 291.27$152 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$139.47 | 5,553 | 47.4%2,634 W · 2,919 L | +26.3wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x781c…db68backed Under | 9c | 270$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.13 | 1,420 | 43.9%623 W · 797 L | +8.4wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -18.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfd85…6a32backed Over | 54c | 258.03$139 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$118.7 | 159 | 47.2%75 W · 84 L | -5.2wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7da6…4ff3backed Under | 40c | 250$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 98 | 56.1%55 W · 43 L | +7.9wins | +0.08per pick | 48cpaid | +52.2%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc5b5…7e80backed Over | 60c | 215.75$129 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$86.3 | 2,003 | 53.7%1,076 W · 927 L | +101.7wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xbc8c…d58cbacked Under | 50c | 204.63$102 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$102 | 83 | 53%44 W · 39 L | +2.8wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +10.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc8d9…df36backed Over | 52c | 200$103 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$97 | 145 | 53.1%77 W · 68 L | +9.2wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | +14.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x240d…a928backed Under | 50c | 200$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 35 | 37.1%13 W · 22 L | -5.3wins | -0.15per pick | 52cpaid | -29.5%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x80d8…b703backed Under | 49c | 194.54$96 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96.27 | 1,296 | 45.1%584 W · 712 L | -23.9wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8a97…c1f9backed Under | 52c | 186.88$98 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$97.74 | 219 | 55.3%121 W · 98 L | +13.2wins | +0.06per pick | 49cpaid | +13.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc688…5987backed Under | 46c | 159.99$74 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$73.6 | 294 | 42.9%126 W · 168 L | -11.0wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xde04…fa37backed Under | 24c | 137.44$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.05 | 2,254 | 42.2%951 W · 1,303 L | +3.4wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x450b…11d7backed Under | 53c | 113.21$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 1,251 | 50.6%633 W · 618 L | +12.9wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9696…2bc3backed Over | 52c | 100$52 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48 | 214 | 55.6%119 W · 95 L | +10.7wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | +10.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9351…ef0fbacked Under | 48c | 100$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48 | 137 | 43.8%60 W · 77 L | -2.9wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb0fd…e1f5backed Over | 52c | 100$52 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48 | 1,162 | 55.2%641 W · 521 L | +25.2wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6312…f94ebacked Under | 48c | 100$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48 | 47 | 40.4%19 W · 28 L | -2.7wins | -0.06per pick | 46cpaid | +16.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2cec…5326backed Under | 50c | 98.95$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.74 | 852 | 48.8%416 W · 436 L | +4.4wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfc23…8283backed Over | 52c | 96.15$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.15 | 118 | 44.1%52 W · 66 L | -3.3wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -19.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8557…4e7abacked Under | 46c | 95.78$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.06 | 39 | 61.5%24 W · 15 L | +3.8wins | +0.10per pick | 52cpaid | +8.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe1f1…3a05backed Under | 40c | 89.85$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.28 | 57 | 43.9%25 W · 32 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x78d2…7a2bbacked Under | 15c | 82.77$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.3 | 83 | 47%39 W · 44 L | +6.3wins | +0.08per pick | 39cpaid | +15.9%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd286…4c1bbacked Under | 49c | 80.57$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.76 | 135 | 61.5%83 W · 52 L | +13.7wins | +0.10per pick | 51cpaid | +24.6%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xd454…b47fbacked Under | 48c | 80.42$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39 | 218 | 50.9%111 W · 107 L | +1.3wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x71d6…a929backed Over | 53c | 73.45$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.18 | 38 | 47.4%18 W · 20 L | -0.7wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Under | 51c | 50$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.5 | 3,905 | 58.8%2,298 W · 1,607 L | +165.3wins | +0.04per pick | 55cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc7f7…06c5backed Under | 48c | 48.5$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.28 | 427 | 51.8%221 W · 206 L | +0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xabb8…6324backed Under | 48c | 41.67$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 14 | 21.4%3 W · 11 L | -2.8wins | -0.20per pick | 41cpaid | -47.7%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x3dcf…4eb4backed Under | 50c | 40$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 99 | 45.5%45 W · 54 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa682…0e32backed Over | 53c | 40$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.8 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x56d8…4218backed Over | 54c | 37.04$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.04 | 18 | 44.4%8 W · 10 L | -1.5wins | -0.09per pick | 53cpaid | -18.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7795…1db8backed Over | 54c | 37.04$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.04 | 63 | 57.1%36 W · 27 L | -0.9wins | -0.01per pick | 59cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1733…1e15backed Over | 50c | 34.52$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.26 | 1,231 | 47%578 W · 653 L | -17.6wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3d94…e7f7backed Over | 51c | 30.14$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.77 | 29 | 58.6%17 W · 12 L | +1.7wins | +0.06per pick | 53cpaid | +10.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc9ee…0bb0backed Under | 50c | 30$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 31 | 58.1%18 W · 13 L | +3.5wins | +0.11per pick | 47cpaid | +15%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x3bf7…2484backed Over | 50c | 27.21$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.62 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.09per pick | 59cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb10b…ec5ebacked Over | 52c | 26.45$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.78 | 56 | 46.4%26 W · 30 L | -1.1wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -11%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6ab4…96a5backed Over | 80c | 25$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.21per pick | 79cpaid | +25.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9ff7…9ab6backed Under | 49c | 24.77$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.16 | 85 | 56.5%48 W · 37 L | +3.3wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe315…3911backed Under | 52c | 22.25$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.67 | 216 | 51.4%111 W · 105 L | -2.9wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfba8…8d3cbacked Under | 46c | 22.17$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.2 | 39 | 66.7%26 W · 13 L | +4.7wins | +0.12per pick | 55cpaid | +16.1%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xaf5e…8891backed Over | 51c | 21$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.29 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.16per pick | 51cpaid | +32%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x971c…f72cbacked Under | 51c | 20$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.2 | 82 | 56.1%46 W · 36 L | +3.9wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | +8.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 4 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Houston Cougars vs. Iowa State Cyclones: O/U 134.5this page
- Houston Cougars vs. Iowa State CyclonesIowa State Cyclones won
- Houston Cougars vs. Iowa State Cyclones: O/U 135.5Over won
- Spread: Iowa State Cyclones (-2.5)Iowa State Cyclones won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.