TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Ncaa Basketball · resolved market

Houston Cougars vs. Iowa State Cyclones: O/U 135.5

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Overof Over, Under
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Ncaa Basketballevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$340,847
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$372,767

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $340,847 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 96 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Ncaa Basketball is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xb45a…192cbacked Over52c168,185$86,776 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$81,409.2789645.9%411 W · 485 L-0.1wins0.00per pick46cpaid+0.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1b4d…e246backed Under49c67,898$32,996 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$32,996.434037.5%15 W · 25 L-2.6wins-0.06per pick44cpaid-19.9%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x5ec1…057cbacked Under50c54,489$27,501 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$27,501.328957.3%51 W · 38 L+3.4wins+0.04per pick53cpaid+6.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xee61…debfbacked Under49c49,487$24,281 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24,280.7812,42249.8%6,191 W · 6,231 L+118.8wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+1.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6d10…e270backed Over50c30,984$15,492 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15,491.891346.2%6 W · 7 L-0.5wins-0.04per pick50cpaid-5.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd4da…3175backed Under49c29,364$14,511 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14,510.6589850%449 W · 449 L+7.1wins+0.01per pick49cpaid0%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf68a…5b1bbacked Under49c20,849$10,216 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10,215.8890645.4%411 W · 495 L+9.9wins+0.01per pick44cpaid+3.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xead0…f3babacked Over49c20,000$9,800 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10,20010745.8%49 W · 58 L-0.1wins0.00per pick46cpaid+0.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9405…c071backed Over53c11,750$6,227 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,523.544549.4%220 W · 225 L-14.3wins-0.03per pick53cpaid-3.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x91fd…1cdebacked Over50c10,000$5,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,00011048.2%53 W · 57 L+0.5wins0.00per pick48cpaid+4.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5c2b…2575backed Over48c7,974$3,827 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,146.460949.8%303 W · 306 L-9.2wins-0.02per pick51cpaid-2.5%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked Under49c6,202$3,040 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,039.725,94649.3%2,932 W · 3,014 L+163.0wins+0.03per pick47cpaid-0.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xcd9b…414dbacked Under48c5,560$2,662 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,662.0530249.3%149 W · 153 L+6.1wins+0.02per pick47cpaid+7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x14ac…cb21backed Under47c5,350$2,515 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,514.52962.1%18 W · 11 L+2.7wins+0.09per pick53cpaid+10.4%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x067f…e041backed Over50c5,000$2,500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,50030139.2%118 W · 183 L-1.7wins-0.01per pick40cpaid-8.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x226b…cad6backed Over51c5,000$2,550 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,45022645.6%103 W · 123 L+3.8wins+0.02per pick44cpaid0%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x33dd…ef8abacked Over50c4,000$2,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,00027851.1%142 W · 136 L-1.8wins-0.01per pick52cpaid-1.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xbfdf…8e02backed Under48c4,000$1,920 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,92014647.9%70 W · 76 L+2.7wins+0.02per pick46cpaid-1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x8738…222bbacked Over51c3,943$2,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,943.425556.1%143 W · 112 L+12.4wins+0.05per pick51cpaid+8.6%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xd696…8a49backed Under49c3,824$1,874 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,873.7984147.4%399 W · 442 L-13.3wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-3.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x57a8…6933backed Under49c3,636$1,782 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,781.6474649.2%367 W · 379 L+1.8wins0.00per pick49cpaid+3.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1455…e5cdbacked Under50c2,781$1,380 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,380.081,43647.5%682 W · 754 L-18.2wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-2.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4d84…21b1backed Under49c2,011$988 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$987.9299848.4%483 W · 515 L-8.5wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-6.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8758…01e0backed Over49c2,000$980 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,0204847.9%23 W · 25 L-2.4wins-0.05per pick53cpaid-9%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x7af9…b408backed Under50c1,886$943 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9434146.3%19 W · 22 L-0.3wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-5.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x24a5…5d07backed Under49c1,700$833 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8331764.7%11 W · 6 L+2.4wins+0.14per pick51cpaid+15.9%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x5bc4…f44fbacked Under49c1,500$735 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$73514150.4%71 W · 70 L0.0wins0.00per pick50cpaid+0.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x598b…f296backed Under50c1,470$728 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$727.810451%53 W · 51 L-2.0wins-0.02per pick53cpaid-4.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6fa0…d504backed Over50c1,430$715 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7156555.4%36 W · 29 L+2.9wins+0.05per pick51cpaid+6.6%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xc42c…42a1backed Under49c1,298$636 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$636.0263551.5%327 W · 308 L+9.3wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+1.3%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xfd85…6a32backed Under49c1,250$617 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$616.5315947.2%75 W · 84 L-5.2wins-0.03per pick50cpaid-8.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x360b…982fbacked Over52c1,154$600 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$553.856446.9%30 W · 34 L-4.7wins-0.07per pick54cpaid-13.3%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x30a4…8441backed Over49c1,032$506 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$526.1542246.2%195 W · 227 L-9.5wins-0.02per pick48cpaid-5.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x004e…c650backed Under52c953.31$496 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$495.728845.5%40 W · 48 L-6.9wins-0.08per pick53cpaid-14.4%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x9b7a…bc22backed Under49c816.86$400 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$400.2614325.9%37 W · 106 L-8.7wins-0.06per pick32cpaid-28.3%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Under47c749.87$355 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$354.752,89650%1,448 W · 1,448 L+71.0wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+5.2%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x4483…c565backed Under51c600$306 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3062330.4%7 W · 16 L-6.1wins-0.26per pick57cpaid-46.8%equal weight36-0.13 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Under50c579.05$292 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$291.765,55347.4%2,634 W · 2,919 L+26.3wins0.00per pick47cpaid-3.6%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x21f3…35e3backed Under49c541.34$264 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$264.281,15248.9%563 W · 589 L+3.3wins0.00per pick49cpaid-0.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x250e…e864backed Under48c500$240 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2401855.6%10 W · 8 L+1.9wins+0.11per pick45cpaid+23.3%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x2714…960fbacked Under49c500$245 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24516147.2%76 W · 85 L-1.4wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1a94…822cbacked Under49c410.2$201 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$201728.6%2 W · 5 L-1.9wins-0.27per pick56cpaid-45.4%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x1b1a…68d8backed Over49c400$196 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$20411957.1%68 W · 51 L+6.3wins+0.05per pick52cpaid+10.5%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x84f7…ade1backed Under49c394$193 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$193.061,07447%505 W · 569 L+1.3wins0.00per pick47cpaid+0.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf41a…ea2bbacked Under49c386.99$188 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$187.742,68748.5%1,303 W · 1,384 L+4.8wins0.00per pick48cpaid-0.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x223f…2050backed Under16c361.55$58 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$57.6470936.1%256 W · 453 L-27.3wins-0.04per pick40cpaid-16.3%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x6859…fb90backed Under53c333.96$177 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17712749.6%63 W · 64 L-0.1wins0.00per pick50cpaid-1.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x56d8…4218backed Under32c324.49$105 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1051844.4%8 W · 10 L-1.5wins-0.09per pick53cpaid-18.6%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x0f8e…3082backed Under16c227.47$36 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$36.53,68442.8%1,576 W · 2,108 L+32.6wins+0.01per pick42cpaid-5.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1ec4…defabacked Over51c217.65$111 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$106.6531537.8%119 W · 196 L+4.7wins+0.01per pick36cpaid+5.2%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xa8f3…e544backed Under48c209.99$101 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$100.857448.3%277 W · 297 L-3.3wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-2.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8532…738bbacked Over52c208.07$108 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$99.8717051.2%87 W · 83 L+1.8wins+0.01per pick50cpaid-1.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2cec…5326backed Under48c207.03$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$100.0285248.8%416 W · 436 L+4.4wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+1.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2f2b…0f9abacked Under49c202.86$99 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$99.440755.8%227 W · 180 L+14.8wins+0.04per pick52cpaid+6.2%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x6510…b476backed Under49c163.31$80 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$80.0210%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.49per pick49cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4924…3ae9backed Over53c159$84 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$74.733743.2%16 W · 21 L-2.4wins-0.07per pick50cpaid-13.1%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x9868…2767backed Under50c153$76 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$75.9710%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.50per pick50cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6ab4…96a5backed Over79c152.8$120 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$32.322100%2 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.21per pick79cpaid+25.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6312…f94ebacked Under50c150$75 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$74.54740.4%19 W · 28 L-2.7wins-0.06per pick46cpaid+16.8%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x34fa…f491backed Under48c149.99$72 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$721,07046.9%502 W · 568 L-0.1wins0.00per pick47cpaid-0.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd454…b47fbacked Under50c130.85$66 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6621850.9%111 W · 107 L+1.3wins+0.01per pick50cpaid-0.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd286…4c1bbacked Under49c101.79$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50.0713561.5%83 W · 52 L+13.7wins+0.10per pick51cpaid+24.6%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0xfdc6…b20dbacked Under50c100$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5034952.1%182 W · 167 L+9.4wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+5.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x6d20…9871backed Under50c100$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$501346.2%6 W · 7 L-0.4wins-0.03per pick49cpaid+11.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xfae1…7bb6backed Over51c98.04$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$48.041973.7%14 W · 5 L+4.3wins+0.23per pick51cpaid+42.5%equal weight61+0.10 edge/pick
0x5741…fb99backed Under25c88.28$22 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$222540%10 W · 15 L-1.8wins-0.07per pick47cpaid-30.5%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x80d8…b703backed Under47c87.99$42 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$41.761,29645.1%584 W · 712 L-23.9wins-0.02per pick47cpaid-6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2b46…684dbacked Over47c82$39 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$43.0723149.8%115 W · 116 L+14.2wins+0.06per pick44cpaid+38.9%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x8a97…c1f9backed Under53c82$43 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$43.0721955.3%121 W · 98 L+13.2wins+0.06per pick49cpaid+13.3%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xb10b…ec5ebacked Over51c64.99$33 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$31.995646.4%26 W · 30 L-1.1wins-0.02per pick48cpaid-11%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xce9d…3c05backed Under49c61.46$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$309153.8%49 W · 42 L-3.1wins-0.03per pick57cpaid-7.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x1ce1…b62cbacked Over50c60$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$307955.7%44 W · 35 L+3.0wins+0.04per pick52cpaid+7.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xf0ac…4ec7backed Under28c58.34$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16.2714728.6%42 W · 105 L-0.7wins0.00per pick29cpaid-9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9ff7…9ab6backed Under50c55.66$28 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$27.998556.5%48 W · 37 L+3.3wins+0.04per pick53cpaid+8.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x9b84…5f52backed Under48c52.08$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25540%2 W · 3 L-0.3wins-0.06per pick46cpaid-20.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xee60…6902backed Over51c52.04$27 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$25.522965.5%19 W · 10 L+4.9wins+0.17per pick49cpaid+30.5%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0x5127…f137backed Under50c50$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$256841.2%28 W · 40 L-6.0wins-0.09per pick50cpaid-4.1%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x5fb3…88c1backed Under56c50$28 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2810755.1%59 W · 48 L+0.2wins0.00per pick55cpaid-10.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x25c2…cd02backed Over51c49.02$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$24.021040%4 W · 6 L-0.2wins-0.02per pick42cpaid-26.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7259…620cbacked Over51c48.53$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$23.782065%13 W · 7 L+2.1wins+0.10per pick55cpaid+16.6%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xa307…8ea3backed Under49c47.5$23 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23.2811243.8%49 W · 63 L-5.5wins-0.05per pick49cpaid-12.8%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x3dcf…4eb4backed Under49c40.82$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$209945.5%45 W · 54 L+0.5wins+0.01per pick45cpaid-3.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5b54…ea13backed Under54c40$21 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21.44544.4%20 W · 25 L-5.1wins-0.11per pick56cpaid-22.6%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xe371…466abacked Over51c39.8$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$19.51145.5%5 W · 6 L-0.9wins-0.08per pick53cpaid-13.8%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x71d6…a929backed Over50c39.22$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$19.613847.4%18 W · 20 L-0.7wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-8.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd774…82cdbacked Over52c38.46$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18.466747.8%32 W · 35 L-1.7wins-0.03per pick50cpaid-5.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x75e2…2ed0backed Under50c33.84$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16.9211552.2%60 W · 55 L-8.5wins-0.07per pick60cpaid-13.3%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xf0bb…049fbacked Under47c26.77$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.75752.6%30 W · 27 L+1.6wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xac3f…1966backed Under49c22$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.7825152.6%132 W · 119 L+0.3wins0.00per pick52cpaid+0.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4f38…39f2backed Under50c21.23$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.582050%10 W · 10 L-0.7wins-0.03per pick53cpaid-12.6%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xf0b9…470fbacked Under50c21.08$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.6420%0 W · 2 L-1.0wins-0.52per pick52cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xb3ec…f645backed Over51c21$11 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10.29650%3 W · 3 L-0.6wins-0.10per pick60cpaid-13%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xfba8…8d3cbacked Under49c20.82$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.23966.7%26 W · 13 L+4.7wins+0.12per pick55cpaid+16.1%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x1733…1e15backed Over51c20$10 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9.81,23147%578 W · 653 L-17.6wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-2.8%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xa131…7269backed Under50c20$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10742.9%3 W · 4 L-0.8wins-0.11per pick54cpaid-24.9%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xbf14…5d95backed Over59c17.68$11 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7.171030%3 W · 7 L+0.3wins+0.03per pick27cpaid-36%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 4 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.