TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x1a94…822c

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
511
Categories scored
13
Categories below 50
11

Best Category: Fifa International, grading 53 out of 100 (+0.03 per pick).

Best Category Fifa International at 53 out of 100; worst UFC at 39.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
NBA Inactivelast resolved Jun 5, 2026, EDT21355.9%119 W · 94 L-2.6wins-0.01per pick57cpaid-0.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
NBA — the 213 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Knicks vs. Spursbacked Spurs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$550Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$549.76
Knicks vs. Spursbacked Spurs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$635Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$635
Celtics vs. Knicksbacked Knicks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$484Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 9, 2026, EDT+61.3%+$296.47
Trail Blazers vs. Spursbacked Spurs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$727Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 9, 2026, EDT+66.7%+$484.75
Hawks vs. Cavaliersbacked Cavaliers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$488Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 8, 2026, EDT+63.9%+$312.19
Bucks vs. Netsbacked Bucks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$97Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$97.24
Hornets vs. Celticsbacked Celtics · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$490Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 8, 2026, EDT+53.8%+$263.58
Bulls vs. Wizardsbacked Bulls · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$491Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 7, 2026, EDT+42.9%+$210.43
Spread: Bulls (-6.5)backed Bulls · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$455Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 7, 2026, EDT+108.3%+$493.28
Rockets vs. Warriorsbacked Warriors · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$193Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$193.4
Magic vs. Pelicansbacked Magic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$147Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 6, 2026, EDT+47.1%+$69.23
Lakers vs. Mavericksbacked Lakers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$252Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$252.46
Hornets vs. Timberwolvesbacked Hornets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$396Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 5, 2026, EDT+63.9%+$252.88
Raptors vs. Celtics: O/U 219.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$228Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 5, 2026, EDT+108.5%+$246.98
Pelicans vs. Kingsbacked Pelicans · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$628Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$627.71
Cavaliers vs. Warriorsbacked Cavaliers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$97Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 3, 2026, EDT+88.7%+$86.18
Lakers vs. Thunderbacked Thunder · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$1,069Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 3, 2026, EDT+31.6%+$337.7
Celtics vs. Heatbacked Celtics · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$294Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 2, 2026, EDT+56.3%+$165.11
Cavaliers vs. Lakersbacked Lakers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$295Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT+37%+$109.16
Trail Blazers vs. Clippersbacked Trail Blazers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$91Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT+212.5%+$193.64
Mavericks vs. Bucksbacked Bucks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT+81.8%+$81.82
Raptors vs. Pistonsbacked Pistons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$196Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT+42.9%+$84.17
Suns vs. Magicbacked Magic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$492Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 31, 2026, EDT+77.8%+$382.42
Pistons vs. Thunderbacked Thunder · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$247Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 31, 2026, EDT+47.1%+$116.11
Timberwolves vs. Mavericksbacked Timberwolves · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$1,284Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 31, 2026, EDT+42.9%+$550.12
Showing 25 of 213 picks, newest first.
NHL Inactivelast resolved May 27, 2026, EDT10643.4%46 W · 60 L-6.2wins-0.06per pick49cpaid-9.8%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
NHL — the 106 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NHL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Spread: Hurricanes (-1.5)backed Canadiens · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$445Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 27, 2026, EDT-100%-$445
Golden Knights vs. Krakenbacked Golden Knights · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$835Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$835
Blues vs. Avalanchebacked Avalanche · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$385Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$385
Flames vs. Ducksbacked Flames · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$250Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 5, 2026, EDT+150%+$375
Penguins vs. Lightningbacked Lightning · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$700Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 3, 2026, EDT+61.3%+$429.03
Canadiens vs. Hurricanesbacked Hurricanes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$160Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$160
Panthers vs. Rangersbacked Panthers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$250Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$250
Senators vs. Lightningbacked Lightning · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$477Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 28, 2026, EDT+72.4%+$345.41
Ducks vs. Canucksbacked Ducks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$400Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 25, 2026, EDT+61.3%+$245.16
Oilers vs. Utahbacked Oilers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$200Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 25, 2026, EDT+122.2%+$244.44
Maple Leafs vs. Senatorsbacked Maple Leafs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$202Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$202
Kraken vs. Blue Jacketsbacked Kraken · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$215Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$215
Ducks vs. Utah: O/U 6.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$802Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$802
Sharks vs. Oilersbacked Oilers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$410Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 18, 2026, EDT+66.7%+$273.33
Spread: Oilers (-1.5)backed Predators · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$295Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$295
Blues vs. Jetsbacked Jets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$107Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 15, 2026, EDT+92.3%+$98.77
Sharks vs. Canadiensbacked Canadiens · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$300Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$300
Flames vs. Islanders: O/U 5.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$88Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 15, 2026, EDT+112.8%+$99.23
Avalanche vs. Jetsbacked Avalanche · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$250Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$250
Penguins vs. Golden Knightsbacked Penguins · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$301Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$301
Blues vs. Hurricanesbacked Hurricanes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$240Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$240
Canadiens vs. Senatorsbacked Senators · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$150Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$150
Blues vs. Ducksbacked Ducks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$460Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$460
Utah vs. Blue Jackets: O/U 6.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$405Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 8, 2026, EST+122.2%+$495
Avalanche vs. Starsbacked Avalanche · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 7, 2026, EST+300%+$30
Showing 25 of 106 picks, newest first.
Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Jul 19, 2026, EDT9248.9%45 W · 47 L+3.1wins+0.03per pick46cpaid+8.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 92 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Spain vs. Argentina: Team to Advancebacked Argentina · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$25
Spread: France (-3.5)backed France · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$10
Spread: Argentina (-1.5)backed Argentina · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$30
Spain leading at halftime?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 2, 2026, EDT+117.4%+$58.7
Spread: France (-1.5)backed France · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 30, 2026, EDT+92.3%+$46.15
Spread: Germany (-1.5)backed Germany · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$50
Vinícius Júnior: 3+ shotsbacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 29, 2026, EDT+49.3%+$24.63
Will Canada win on 2026-06-28?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 28, 2026, EDT+78.6%+$39.29
Will Portugal win on 2026-06-27?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 27, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
Croatia vs. Ghana: O/U 2.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$230Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 27, 2026, EDT-100%-$230
Spread: England (-2.5)backed England · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$250Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 27, 2026, EDT-100%-$250
New Zealand vs. Belgium: O/U 3.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 27, 2026, EDT+69.5%+$34.75
Will Spain win on 2026-06-26?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 26, 2026, EDT+72.4%+$72.41
Spread: Spain (-1.5)backed Spain · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$30
Will France win on 2026-06-26?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 26, 2026, EDT+37%+$36.99
Norway vs. France: O/U 3.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 26, 2026, EDT+138.1%+$27.62
Spread: France (-1.5)backed France · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 26, 2026, EDT+112.8%+$28.19
Spread: France (-3.5)backed France · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$25
Will Türkiye win on 2026-06-25?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$35Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 26, 2026, EDT+1,150%+$402.5
Will United States win on 2026-06-25?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$200Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$200
Spread: Netherlands (-4.5)backed Netherlands · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$50
Will Germany win on 2026-06-25?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$500Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$500
Spread: Korea Republic (-2.5)backed Korea Republic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Will Korea Republic win on 2026-06-24?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$530Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$530
Spread: Korea Republic (-1.5)backed Korea Republic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
Showing 25 of 92 picks, newest first.
MLB Inactivelast resolved Aug 5, 2026, EDT5752.6%30 W · 27 L-3.0wins-0.05per pick58cpaid-7.5%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
MLB — the 57 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in MLB, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Los Angeles Dodgers vs. Chicago Cubs: O/U 9.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 5, 2026, EDT+100%+$10
San Diego Padres vs. Arizona Diamondbacksbacked Arizona Diamondbacks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$310Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$310
Miami Marlins vs. Atlanta Bravesbacked Atlanta Braves · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$210Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 4, 2026, EDT+72.4%+$152.07
Athletics vs. Cincinnati Redsbacked Cincinnati Reds · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$250Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 4, 2026, EDT+81.8%+$204.55
Spread: Philadelphia Phillies (-1.5)backed Philadelphia Phillies · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$220Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 4, 2026, EDT+88.7%+$195.09
Spread: Athletics (-1.5)backed Boston Red Sox · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$355Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 31, 2026, EDT+29.9%+$106.04
Philadelphia Phillies vs. Miami Marlinsbacked Philadelphia Phillies · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$29.74
Spread: Los Angeles Dodgers (-1.5)backed Los Angeles Dodgers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$126Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$126.28
Boston Red Sox vs. Athleticsbacked Boston Red Sox · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$159Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$159
Kansas City Royals vs. Minnesota Twins: O/U 9.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$17Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 28, 2026, EDT+75.4%+$12.82
Philadelphia Phillies vs. Miami Marlinsbacked Philadelphia Phillies · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$27Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 28, 2026, EDT-100%-$27
Houston Astros vs. Los Angeles Angelsbacked Houston Astros · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$168Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 28, 2026, EDT+100%+$168.24
Philadelphia Phillies vs. Miami Marlinsbacked Philadelphia Phillies · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$500Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 27, 2026, EDT-100%-$500
Toronto Blue Jays vs. Washington Nationalsbacked Washington Nationals · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$265Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 27, 2026, EDT-100%-$265
Los Angeles Dodgers vs. New York Metsbacked Los Angeles Dodgers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$264Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 25, 2026, EDT+66.7%+$176.33
Houston Astros vs. Chicago White Soxbacked Houston Astros · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$250Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 25, 2026, EDT+112.8%+$281.91
Atlanta Braves vs. Baltimore Oriolesbacked Atlanta Braves · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$210Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$210
Tampa Bay Rays vs. Toronto Blue Jaysbacked Tampa Bay Rays · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$150Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 22, 2026, EDT+104.1%+$156.12
St. Louis Cardinals vs. Los Angeles Angelsbacked Los Angeles Angels · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$150Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$150
Minnesota Twins winning after 5 innings?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$287Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$286.97
Spread: Los Angeles Dodgers (-1.5)backed Los Angeles Dodgers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Spread: Los Angeles Dodgers (-1.5)backed Los Angeles Dodgers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$25
Atlanta Braves vs. St. Louis Cardinalsbacked Atlanta Braves · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$50
Milwaukee Brewers vs. St. Louis Cardinalsbacked Milwaukee Brewers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$275Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 9, 2026, EDT+81.8%+$224.91
Milwaukee Brewers vs. St. Louis Cardinalsbacked Milwaukee Brewers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$550Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$550
Showing 25 of 57 picks, newest first.
NFLlast resolved Aug 24, 2026, EDT2250%11 W · 11 L-0.2wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-3%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
NFL — the 22 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NFL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
SEA vs. TEN: O/U 37.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Chargers vs. Texansbacked Chargers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$110Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 13, 2026, EDT+96.1%+$105.69
Seahawks vs. Patriotsbacked Seahawks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$610Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 9, 2026, EST+31.6%+$192.63
Rams vs. Bearsbacked Rams · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$500Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 19, 2026, EST+40.8%+$204.23
Texans vs. Patriotsbacked Texans · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$68Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 18, 2026, EST-100%-$68
Texans vs. Steelersbacked Steelers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$515Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 13, 2026, EST-100%-$515
49ers vs. Eaglesbacked Eagles · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$360Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 11, 2026, EST-100%-$360
Eagles vs. Billsbacked Eagles · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$165Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 28, 2025, EST+34.9%+$57.71
Giants vs. Raidersbacked Raiders · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$35Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 28, 2025, EST-100%-$35
Patriots vs. Jetsbacked Jets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 28, 2025, EST-100%-$30
Steelers vs. Brownsbacked Browns · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$272Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 28, 2025, EST+177.8%+$483.56
49ers vs. Colts: O/U 46.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$485Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 23, 2025, EST-100%-$485
Jaguars vs. Broncosbacked Jaguars · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$35Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 21, 2025, EST+163.2%+$57.11
Falcons vs. Cardinals: O/U 47.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$215Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 21, 2025, EST+112.8%+$242.45
Rams vs. Seahawksbacked Seahawks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$345Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 19, 2025, EST+85.2%+$293.89
Lions vs. Ramsbacked Rams · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$155Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 14, 2025, EST+43.5%+$67.25
Panthers vs. Saintsbacked Saints · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 14, 2025, EST+143.9%+$43.17
Packers vs. Broncosbacked Broncos · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 14, 2025, EST+104.1%+$31.22
Bills vs. Patriotsbacked Patriots · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$571Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 14, 2025, EST-100%-$570.62
Ravens vs. Bengalsbacked Bengals · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 14, 2025, EST-100%-$30
Bills vs. Patriots: O/U 48.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$600Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 14, 2025, EST-100%-$600
Falcons vs. Buccaneersbacked Buccaneers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$1,275Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 12, 2025, EST-100%-$1,275
All 22 picks, newest first.
Ncaa Basketball Inactivelast resolved Mar 18, 2026, EDT728.6%2 W · 5 L-1.9wins-0.27per pick56cpaid-45.4%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
Ncaa Basketball — the 7 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ncaa Basketball, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

UFC Inactivelast resolved Aug 1, 2026, EDT50%0 W · 5 L-2.9wins-0.58per pick58cpaid-100%equal weight39-0.10 edge/pick
UFC — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in UFC, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Tennis Inactivelast resolved Aug 3, 2026, EDT2100%2 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.24per pick76cpaid+30.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Tennis — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tennis, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Canadian Open: Aleksandar Kovacevic vs Nuno Borgesbacked Nuno Borges · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$150Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 3, 2026, EDT+31.6%+$47.37
National Bank Open: Kamilla Rakhimova vs Venus Williamsbacked Kamilla Rakhimova · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$220Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 2, 2026, EDT+29.9%+$65.78
All 2 picks, newest first.
La Liga Inactivelast resolved Mar 9, 2026, EDT250%1 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.04per pick54cpaid-12.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
La Liga — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in La Liga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
RCD Espanyol de Barcelona vs. Real Oviedo: Both Teams to Scorebacked No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$50
Spread: Real Madrid CF (-1.5)backed Getafe CF · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$211Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 2, 2026, EST+75.4%+$159.18
All 2 picks, newest first.
Champions League Inactivelast resolved Feb 25, 2026, EST20%0 W · 2 L-0.4wins-0.21per pick21cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Champions League — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Champions League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

College Football Inactivelast resolved Dec 29, 2025, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.25per pick25cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
College Football — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in College Football, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Georgia Southern vs. Appalachian Statebacked Appalachian State · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$165Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 29, 2025, EST-100%-$165
All 1 picks, newest first.
Premier League Inactivelast resolved Dec 21, 2025, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.40per pick40cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Premier League — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Premier League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Aston Villa FC vs. Manchester United FC: O/U 2.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$130Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 21, 2025, EST-100%-$130
All 1 picks, newest first.
Mls Inactivelast resolved Mar 1, 2026, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.55per pick55cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Mls — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Mls, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Philadelphia Union vs. New York City FC: O/U 2.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$680Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 1, 2026, EST-100%-$680
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.