Spread: Netherlands (-4.5)

https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xc9423039f214e6799303fc1052f42a0cff304262cbf0fd7184df53b4b1fadf50

Rebuilt 22 hours ago.

Winning outcome: Tunisiaof Netherlands, Tunisia
Resolved: Jun 25, 2026, EDTUS/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in: Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s

Volume Polymarket published: $134,360
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed: $131,571

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $134,360 — the venue’s figure.

Open this market on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 117 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this market					This wallet’s whole record in Fifa International
Wallet	Entry	Position	Result	P/L held	Qualified picks	Win rate	vs expected	Realizable edge	Avg entry	ROI per pick	Tail Score
0x204f…5e14backed Tunisia	80c	25,340$20,175 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$5,164.19	4,595	40.3%1,850 W · 2,745 L	-91.3wins	-0.02per pick	42cpaid	-23.4%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xcd65…ee96backed Netherlands	19c	12,657$2,375 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$2,375.5	196	44.9%88 W · 108 L	+9.6wins	+0.05per pick	40cpaid	+8.5%equal weight	55+0.04 edge/pick
0xf93f…f94bbacked Netherlands	16c	5,143$800 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$800	250	19.6%49 W · 201 L	-5.6wins	-0.02per pick	22cpaid	-38.6%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x032e…2a9ebacked Netherlands	16c	3,821$597 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$596.8	2,603	37.8%984 W · 1,619 L	-40.7wins	-0.02per pick	39cpaid	-9.1%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x224f…514abacked Netherlands	15c	2,863$421 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$420.86	1,536	49.1%754 W · 782 L	+32.8wins	+0.02per pick	47cpaid	+3.4%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x076d…8d4cbacked Netherlands	17c	2,442$415 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$415.17	2,271	39.5%896 W · 1,375 L	+10.1wins	0.00per pick	39cpaid	+1.7%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x0823…ec6abacked Netherlands	16c	2,410$390 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$390.19	431	39%168 W · 263 L	+1.3wins	0.00per pick	39cpaid	-5.5%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xc670…b781backed Netherlands	16c	2,366$390 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$390.16	527	44.4%234 W · 293 L	-11.8wins	-0.02per pick	47cpaid	-8.9%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc291…5d74backed Tunisia	70c	2,357$1,650 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$707.45	4,457	37.2%1,657 W · 2,800 L	+31.0wins	+0.01per pick	36cpaid	-8.2%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xddc3…029cbacked Netherlands	17c	2,345$399 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$398.58	229	43.7%100 W · 129 L	+5.5wins	+0.02per pick	41cpaid	+5.8%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xddb6…b9b3backed Netherlands	33c	1,668$557 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$556.8	1,563	39.8%622 W · 941 L	-51.9wins	-0.03per pick	43cpaid	-23.4%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0x8bb0…ca79backed Netherlands	16c	1,625$260 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$260	59	47.5%28 W · 31 L	+6.1wins	+0.10per pick	37cpaid	+5.7%equal weight	58+0.07 edge/pick
0x775d…6bebbacked Netherlands	33c	1,604$524 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$524.19	1,438	40.1%576 W · 862 L	-40.1wins	-0.03per pick	43cpaid	-24.9%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0xbec0…9bddbacked Tunisia	72c	1,170$848 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$322.38	626	33.9%212 W · 414 L	-28.6wins	-0.05per pick	38cpaid	-37.8%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0x84cf…2f63backed Netherlands	15c	1,135$170 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$170.3	2,439	29%707 W · 1,732 L	-65.3wins	-0.03per pick	32cpaid	-21%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x3e98…1583backed Netherlands	20c	995.15$200 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$200	83	49.4%41 W · 42 L	+6.0wins	+0.07per pick	42cpaid	+5.4%equal weight	56+0.06 edge/pick
0xd218…b5c9backed Netherlands	34c	993.1$335 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$334.8	4,027	38.9%1,568 W · 2,459 L	-26.6wins	-0.01per pick	40cpaid	-23.8%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0d2d…7ff5backed Tunisia	78c	985.83$766 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$219.34	2,307	37.6%867 W · 1,440 L	-16.7wins	-0.01per pick	38cpaid	-27.9%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2ad9…3f90backed Netherlands	15c	953.25$147 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$147.37	4	25%1 W · 3 L	-0.6wins	-0.15per pick	40cpaid	-51%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4edd…ddf1backed Netherlands	21c	952.37$200 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$200	270	34.4%93 W · 177 L	+14.4wins	+0.05per pick	29cpaid	-3.4%equal weight	55+0.05 edge/pick
0xf763…a0aabacked Tunisia	67c	875.65$590 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$285.34	187	65.2%122 W · 65 L	+4.3wins	+0.02per pick	63cpaid	+6.8%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x98b8…4ab2backed Netherlands	36c	837.05$304 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$304.41	101	33.7%34 W · 67 L	-3.3wins	-0.03per pick	37cpaid	-28.9%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x848c…2bf0backed Netherlands	17c	813.81$138 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$138.48	221	22.2%49 W · 172 L	+2.6wins	+0.01per pick	21cpaid	+1.5%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2a69…d2f7backed Tunisia	67c	798.82$535 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$263.33	3,992	24.9%994 W · 2,998 L	-47.0wins	-0.01per pick	26cpaid	-19.8%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe907…cff6backed Netherlands	14c	778.92$109 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$109.05	8,614	29.2%2,518 W · 6,096 L	-166.6wins	-0.02per pick	31cpaid	-32.3%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc7d0…1f8abacked Netherlands	4c	769.52$32 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$31.97	2,453	34.7%850 W · 1,603 L	+84.3wins	+0.03per pick	31cpaid	-10.8%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0x53ad…5bd4backed Netherlands	16c	700$112 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$112	471	27.8%131 W · 340 L	-2.5wins	-0.01per pick	28cpaid	-13.1%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xcd22…11ffbacked Tunisia	67c	658.09$440 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$217.85	67	32.8%22 W · 45 L	-6.4wins	-0.10per pick	42cpaid	-25.8%equal weight	42-0.07 edge/pick
0xf7e8…7953backed Netherlands	37c	631.34$235 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$235	301	42.5%128 W · 173 L	-1.1wins	0.00per pick	43cpaid	-7.5%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xb172…7862backed Netherlands	16c	630.59$101 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$100.89	278	37.8%105 W · 173 L	+2.3wins	+0.01per pick	37cpaid	-11.7%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5faf…1183backed Netherlands	16c	609.33$100 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$100	98	23.5%23 W · 75 L	-5.0wins	-0.05per pick	29cpaid	-33.4%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0x830b…32fdbacked Netherlands	38c	600$228 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$227.87	237	47.3%112 W · 125 L	+2.0wins	+0.01per pick	46cpaid	-7.9%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8a80…11c5backed Netherlands	33c	586.35$195 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$194.97	872	37.8%330 W · 542 L	-39.9wins	-0.05per pick	42cpaid	-28.8%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0xe40b…9ab4backed Netherlands	36c	548.86$199 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$199.5	199	39.2%78 W · 121 L	+1.7wins	+0.01per pick	38cpaid	-16.6%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8b71…c33ebacked Netherlands	18c	547.75$100 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$100	38	31.6%12 W · 26 L	-0.8wins	-0.02per pick	34cpaid	-42.3%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1d60…453dbacked Tunisia	75c	533.33$400 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$133.33	659	48.6%320 W · 339 L	-4.3wins	-0.01per pick	49cpaid	-9.7%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3a28…8962backed Netherlands	38c	531.87$200 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$200	121	39.7%48 W · 73 L	+3.5wins	+0.03per pick	37cpaid	+0.9%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0x3a54…eb40backed Netherlands	16c	530.33$87 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$86.96	8	50%4 W · 4 L	+1.1wins	+0.14per pick	36cpaid	+116%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0xaf16…464ebacked Netherlands	19c	521.18$97 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$97.13	121	17.4%21 W · 100 L	+2.9wins	+0.02per pick	15cpaid	-3.1%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9ccc…e7e8backed Netherlands	15c	500$75 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$75	283	37.1%105 W · 178 L	-9.2wins	-0.03per pick	40cpaid	-19.3%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0xe392…c023backed Netherlands	32c	499.86$158 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$157.96	275	43.6%120 W · 155 L	-2.7wins	-0.01per pick	45cpaid	+2.4%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x972f…65bdbacked Tunisia	74c	492.03$364 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$128.03	151	57.6%87 W · 64 L	+2.3wins	+0.02per pick	56cpaid	+3%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3f0f…0e48backed Netherlands	11c	491.91$53 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$53.26	399	33.1%132 W · 267 L	+6.7wins	+0.02per pick	31cpaid	-20.1%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x72bd…d37abacked Netherlands	12c	435.82$53 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$53	181	39.2%71 W · 110 L	-4.3wins	-0.02per pick	42cpaid	-8.7%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xfa69…02c1backed Netherlands	35c	396.84$141 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$140.58	437	37.8%165 W · 272 L	-0.9wins	0.00per pick	38cpaid	-16.6%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x7d7a…d48dbacked Netherlands	16c	368.22$59 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$59	13	23.1%3 W · 10 L	-0.5wins	-0.04per pick	27cpaid	+38.2%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3f0b…5720backed Netherlands	34c	365$124 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$124.4	220	52.3%115 W · 105 L	+0.7wins	0.00per pick	52cpaid	-9.9%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x87b6…4ababacked Netherlands	15c	349.97$52 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$52.5	450	38.2%172 W · 278 L	-28.4wins	-0.06per pick	45cpaid	-18%equal weight	43-0.06 edge/pick
0x1a94…822cbacked Netherlands	14c	349.31$50 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$50	92	48.9%45 W · 47 L	+3.1wins	+0.03per pick	46cpaid	+8.1%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x228b…af4cbacked Netherlands	22c	334.7$74 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$74.06	2,973	28%831 W · 2,142 L	-132.5wins	-0.04per pick	32cpaid	-39%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0xd8ca…298dbacked Netherlands	15c	333$50 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$49.95	58	24.1%14 W · 44 L	+4.1wins	+0.07per pick	17cpaid	+127.6%equal weight	55+0.05 edge/pick
0x5e89…3e0abacked Netherlands	16c	304.33$50 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$50	267	16.1%43 W · 224 L	-3.0wins	-0.01per pick	17cpaid	-14.6%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3d46…93d0backed Tunisia	65c	300$195 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$105	15	53.3%8 W · 7 L	+1.1wins	+0.07per pick	46cpaid	+17.8%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x1b50…ea47backed Netherlands	14c	300$41 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$41	106	14.2%15 W · 91 L	-2.2wins	-0.02per pick	16cpaid	+5.4%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1468…2ca9backed Netherlands	17c	300$51 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$51	91	18.7%17 W · 74 L	-2.7wins	-0.03per pick	22cpaid	-33%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0x04f6…49f1backed Netherlands	17c	295.78$50 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$50	87	28.7%25 W · 62 L	+1.2wins	+0.01per pick	27cpaid	-12.1%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb69d…7678backed Netherlands	17c	294.12$50 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$50	121	38.8%47 W · 74 L	+9.2wins	+0.08per pick	31cpaid	+15.7%equal weight	57+0.06 edge/pick
0xc61f…35a6backed Netherlands	15c	290$44 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$43.5	318	42.5%135 W · 183 L	+0.9wins	0.00per pick	42cpaid	-4.5%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x2aa4…2638backed Netherlands	36c	278.06$100 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$100	38	55.3%21 W · 17 L	+0.2wins	+0.01per pick	55cpaid	-5.1%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x9330…b993backed Netherlands	37c	271.01$101 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$101.29	71	38%27 W · 44 L	-2.2wins	-0.03per pick	41cpaid	-18.1%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0x517b…be02backed Netherlands	16c	220.94$35 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$35	55	27.3%15 W · 40 L	+3.4wins	+0.06per pick	21cpaid	+12.2%equal weight	55+0.04 edge/pick
0xdd3b…cea6backed Netherlands	14c	218.9$31 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$31.02	81	49.4%40 W · 41 L	-6.8wins	-0.08per pick	58cpaid	-14.5%equal weight	43-0.06 edge/pick
0x56b1…18d6backed Tunisia	65c	211.78$138 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$74.12	13	38.5%5 W · 8 L	-2.2wins	-0.17per pick	55cpaid	-32.2%equal weight	44-0.06 edge/pick
0xf5d5…ba44backed Tunisia	68c	204.39$140 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$64.39	7	57.1%4 W · 3 L	+1.5wins	+0.21per pick	36cpaid	+37.3%equal weight	55+0.05 edge/pick
0x97b3…4a85backed Netherlands	13c	200$26 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$26	310	46.5%144 W · 166 L	+2.7wins	+0.01per pick	46cpaid	-1.3%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe2c0…b876backed Netherlands	15c	200$30 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$30	105	32.4%34 W · 71 L	+1.6wins	+0.01per pick	31cpaid	+2.8%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xfd14…2267backed Netherlands	15c	173$26 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$25.95	180	28.3%51 W · 129 L	-3.0wins	-0.02per pick	30cpaid	+0.9%equal weight	48-0.01 edge/pick
0x4029…05d3backed Netherlands	16c	156.25$25 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$25	66	19.7%13 W · 53 L	-8.1wins	-0.12per pick	32cpaid	-50.6%equal weight	40-0.09 edge/pick
0xca85…7453backed Netherlands	19c	151.47$29 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$28.78	77	22.1%17 W · 60 L	-3.9wins	-0.05per pick	27cpaid	-25.9%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0xed85…be20backed Netherlands	16c	150$24 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$24	88	33%29 W · 59 L	+10.7wins	+0.12per pick	21cpaid	+31.1%equal weight	61+0.09 edge/pick
0x3aae…b7d0backed Tunisia	67c	149.55$100 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$49.55	115	53.9%62 W · 53 L	+4.1wins	+0.04per pick	50cpaid	+3.6%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x5df5…c44cbacked Tunisia	78c	149.18$116 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$32.78	233	45.1%105 W · 128 L	-7.7wins	-0.03per pick	48cpaid	-21.7%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x6a34…c216backed Netherlands	17c	146.67$25 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$25	87	31%27 W · 60 L	-2.7wins	-0.03per pick	34cpaid	-35.1%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0x315f…85c6backed Netherlands	17c	146.11$25 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$25	155	40%62 W · 93 L	+2.8wins	+0.02per pick	38cpaid	+13.2%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xdddc…bbeabacked Netherlands	35c	141.4$49 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$49.49	24	45.8%11 W · 13 L	+2.3wins	+0.10per pick	36cpaid	+20.9%equal weight	55+0.05 edge/pick
0x67af…61eebacked Netherlands	22c	137.75$31 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$30.77	2,804	46.2%1,295 W · 1,509 L	-27.1wins	-0.01per pick	47cpaid	-14.8%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2ac4…c8ccbacked Netherlands	36c	134.22$48 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$48.32	5	40%2 W · 3 L	-0.2wins	-0.04per pick	44cpaid	-9.8%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3daf…19ebbacked Tunisia	65c	130.1$85 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$45.53	534	36%192 W · 342 L	+12.3wins	+0.02per pick	34cpaid	-2.1%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6cfe…c83cbacked Tunisia	78c	128.2$100 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$28.2	362	34%123 W · 239 L	+6.9wins	+0.02per pick	32cpaid	-10.5%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe991…48b1backed Netherlands	36c	123.44$44 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$44.44	336	41.7%140 W · 196 L	-5.2wins	-0.02per pick	43cpaid	-7.6%equal weight	48-0.01 edge/pick
0x8345…5cadbacked Netherlands	16c	117.5$19 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$18.8	21	47.6%10 W · 11 L	-1.3wins	-0.06per pick	54cpaid	-24.6%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x208f…b41fbacked Netherlands	30c	117$35 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$35	116	25.9%30 W · 86 L	+1.2wins	+0.01per pick	25cpaid	-7.8%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9e6e…ddd3backed Netherlands	18c	114.17$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20	21	9.5%2 W · 19 L	-2.1wins	-0.10per pick	20cpaid	-67.1%equal weight	45-0.05 edge/pick
0xa9aa…77e2backed Netherlands	25c	111.88$28 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$27.97	6	33.3%2 W · 4 L	+0.3wins	+0.04per pick	29cpaid	-30.3%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6343…943bbacked Netherlands	17c	111.54$19 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$18.96	133	31.6%42 W · 91 L	-0.6wins	0.00per pick	32cpaid	-12.3%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x092f…d9fdbacked Tunisia	64c	106.25$68 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$38.25	185	53%98 W · 87 L	+3.2wins	+0.02per pick	51cpaid	+0.5%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc3cf…f0cbbacked Netherlands	36c	103.06$37 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$37	240	46.3%111 W · 129 L	+4.8wins	+0.02per pick	44cpaid	-12%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe5b1…30b2backed Netherlands	14c	100$14 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$14	345	51.9%179 W · 166 L	+17.8wins	+0.05per pick	47cpaid	+10.2%equal weight	55+0.05 edge/pick
0xc43f…5e7ebacked Netherlands	15c	100$15 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$15	25	24%6 W · 19 L	-0.2wins	-0.01per pick	25cpaid	+7.9%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xe50b…c2a8backed Netherlands	15c	100$15 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$15	481	47.8%230 W · 251 L	+0.8wins	0.00per pick	48cpaid	+2.4%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x0dab…4211backed Tunisia	79c	100$79 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$21	120	52.5%63 W · 57 L	+6.8wins	+0.06per pick	47cpaid	+16.5%equal weight	55+0.05 edge/pick
0x03ba…bebabacked Tunisia	79c	99.9$79 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$20.57	239	40.6%97 W · 142 L	-9.1wins	-0.04per pick	44cpaid	-21%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0xd9e0…05f2backed Netherlands	23c	97.35$22 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$22.18	719	39.1%281 W · 438 L	-4.9wins	-0.01per pick	40cpaid	-33%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x54da…1facbacked Netherlands	38c	97.12$37 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$36.91	153	41.8%64 W · 89 L	-5.5wins	-0.04per pick	45cpaid	-15.8%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0xf011…dc57backed Netherlands	18c	96.44$17 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$16.96	41	17.1%7 W · 34 L	-4.1wins	-0.10per pick	27cpaid	-59.7%equal weight	43-0.06 edge/pick
0xd58a…5448backed Netherlands	16c	96.3$15 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$15	12	41.7%5 W · 7 L	+2.0wins	+0.17per pick	25cpaid	+39.8%equal weight	56+0.05 edge/pick
0x5a21…9318backed Netherlands	13c	90.08$12 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$11.71	2,634	32.9%867 W · 1,767 L	+43.3wins	+0.02per pick	31cpaid	-19.1%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xbb9c…913bbacked Netherlands	17c	88.82$15 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$15	74	12.2%9 W · 65 L	-3.1wins	-0.04per pick	16cpaid	-32%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0xda77…683fbacked Tunisia	77c	87.45$68 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$19.86	2,793	46.6%1,301 W · 1,492 L	-10.3wins	0.00per pick	47cpaid	-19.3%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x2a15…e238backed Netherlands	37c	81.35$30 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$30	92	27.2%25 W · 67 L	-2.6wins	-0.03per pick	30cpaid	-21.5%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 36 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Spread: Netherlands (-4.5)this page
Spread: Netherlands (-1.5)Netherlands won
Spread: Netherlands (-2.5)Tunisia won
Spread: Netherlands (-3.5)Tunisia won
Spread: Netherlands (-5.5)Tunisia won
Spread: Tunisia (-1.5)Netherlands won
Tunisia vs. Netherlands: 1st Half O/U 0.5Over won
Tunisia vs. Netherlands: 1st Half O/U 1.5Over won
Tunisia vs. Netherlands: 1st Half O/U 2.5Under won
Tunisia vs. Netherlands: 2nd Half O/U 0.5Over won
Tunisia vs. Netherlands: 2nd Half O/U 1.5Over won
Tunisia vs. Netherlands: 2nd Half O/U 2.5Under won
Tunisia vs. Netherlands: Both Teams to ScoreYes won
Tunisia vs. Netherlands: Both Teams to Score in First HalfNo won
Tunisia vs. Netherlands: Both Teams to Score in Second HalfYes won
Tunisia vs. Netherlands: Netherlands 1st Half O/U 0.5Over won
Tunisia vs. Netherlands: Netherlands 1st Half O/U 1.5Over won
Tunisia vs. Netherlands: Netherlands 2nd Half O/U 0.5Over won
Tunisia vs. Netherlands: Netherlands 2nd Half O/U 1.5Under won
Tunisia vs. Netherlands: Netherlands O/U 0.5Over won
Tunisia vs. Netherlands: Netherlands O/U 1.5Over won
Tunisia vs. Netherlands: Netherlands O/U 2.5Over won
Tunisia vs. Netherlands: O/U 0.5Over won
Tunisia vs. Netherlands: O/U 1.5Over won
Tunisia vs. Netherlands: O/U 2.5Over won
Tunisia vs. Netherlands: O/U 3.5Over won
Tunisia vs. Netherlands: O/U 4.5Under won
Tunisia vs. Netherlands: O/U 5.5Under won
Tunisia vs. Netherlands: O/U 6.5Under won
Tunisia vs. Netherlands: O/U 7.5Under won
Tunisia vs. Netherlands: O/U 8.5Under won
Tunisia vs. Netherlands: Tunisia 1st Half O/U 0.5Under won
Tunisia vs. Netherlands: Tunisia 1st Half O/U 1.5Under won
Tunisia vs. Netherlands: Tunisia O/U 0.5Over won
Tunisia vs. Netherlands: Tunisia O/U 1.5Under won
Tunisia vs. Netherlands: Tunisia O/U 2.5Under won

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

The market traded at least $500.
The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.

Spread: Netherlands (-4.5)

What this market resolved to

Who was on this market

The rest of this event