TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Fifa International · resolved market

Tunisia vs. Netherlands: 1st Half O/U 1.5

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Overof Over, Under
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$288,728
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$343,340

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $288,728 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 205 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Fifa International
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x032e…2a9ebacked Over50c50,000$24,814 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$25,185.622,60337.8%984 W · 1,619 L-40.7wins-0.02per pick39cpaid-9.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x122b…ac59backed Under5c30,774$1,602 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,602.1124533.5%82 W · 163 L-3.7wins-0.01per pick35cpaid-20.3%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x0c84…a8edbacked Under50c11,893$5,985 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,984.6223949.4%118 W · 121 L+1.6wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+2.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1509…ca95backed Under50c11,858$5,930 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,929.5912255.7%68 W · 54 L+8.2wins+0.07per pick49cpaid+13.2%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xf68a…5b1bbacked Under51c10,521$5,330 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,330.3674447.8%356 W · 388 L+11.3wins+0.02per pick46cpaid+1.2%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x514b…5fa9backed Over48c10,363$4,974 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,388.67538.7%29 W · 46 L-3.5wins-0.05per pick43cpaid-23.7%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xc522…7f28backed Under51c10,014$5,127 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,127.074856.3%27 W · 21 L+4.8wins+0.10per pick46cpaid+24%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0x5d75…3d44backed Under50c10,000$5,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,00010851.9%56 W · 52 L+3.8wins+0.03per pick48cpaid+6.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xa9f5…a96fbacked Under50c10,000$5,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,0004344.2%19 W · 24 L-0.9wins-0.02per pick46cpaid-7.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x443b…e8bbbacked Under52c9,383$4,896 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,895.5413746.7%64 W · 73 L-2.6wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-3.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xdd5e…9040backed Over50c8,500$4,250 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,2502,17138.2%829 W · 1,342 L-36.7wins-0.02per pick40cpaid-4.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xad31…c93abacked Under2c8,333$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20017534.9%61 W · 114 L-0.6wins0.00per pick35cpaid+1.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe9ef…b630backed Under3c6,689$217 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$217.195236.5%19 W · 33 L+8.0wins+0.15per pick21cpaid+51.2%equal weight62+0.10 edge/pick
0x37e9…eedebacked Under52c5,607$2,915 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,915.3916755.1%92 W · 75 L+10.3wins+0.06per pick49cpaid+14.3%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xa697…59d5backed Under51c4,949$2,523 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,523.182,80555.1%1,546 W · 1,259 L+70.4wins+0.03per pick53cpaid+4.1%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xddc3…029cbacked Over48c4,356$2,091 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,265.2322943.7%100 W · 129 L+5.5wins+0.02per pick41cpaid+5.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x224f…514abacked Under53c4,100$2,173 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,1731,53649.1%754 W · 782 L+32.8wins+0.02per pick47cpaid+3.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x26db…ba92backed Under52c4,000$2,080 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,0804055%22 W · 18 L+2.7wins+0.07per pick48cpaid+11.8%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x1b6d…2f1abacked Over50c3,964$2,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,963.8215034.7%52 W · 98 L+1.2wins+0.01per pick34cpaid-0.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x00fd…32a0backed Under3c3,749$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$99.727236.1%26 W · 46 L+1.8wins+0.02per pick34cpaid+152%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf421…cff4backed Under50c3,400$1,700 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,70010849.1%53 W · 55 L+0.6wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-0.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb476…6eacbacked Over72c3,194$2,300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$894.1436539.7%145 W · 220 L+8.4wins+0.02per pick37cpaid-12.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x8077…ffefbacked Under4c3,157$122 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$121.83935.9%14 W · 25 L+6.7wins+0.17per pick19cpaid+97.7%equal weight62+0.10 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Over48c3,049$1,453 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,596.183,69636.9%1,364 W · 2,332 L-44.0wins-0.01per pick38cpaid-23.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Over48c3,005$1,443 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,562.414,59540.3%1,850 W · 2,745 L-91.3wins-0.02per pick42cpaid-23.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x92eb…9fcdbacked Under2c2,942$71 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$70.6419738.1%75 W · 122 L+8.8wins+0.04per pick34cpaid+57.6%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x0de8…6cf3backed Over50c2,800$1,400 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,4006930.4%21 W · 48 L-1.6wins-0.02per pick33cpaid+11.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x059c…050ebacked Under6c2,770$153 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$153.1423637.7%89 W · 147 L-9.3wins-0.04per pick42cpaid-20.8%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xf531…121cbacked Over48c2,604$1,250 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,354.1717944.1%79 W · 100 L-5.7wins-0.03per pick47cpaid-9.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x61ac…4781backed Over50c2,500$1,250 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,25052522.5%118 W · 407 L+0.5wins0.00per pick22cpaid-5.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4502…9eedbacked Under2c2,500$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5030642.8%131 W · 175 L+0.2wins0.00per pick43cpaid-20%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xdb83…1e50backed Under50c2,467$1,235 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,234.512,81944.5%1,255 W · 1,564 L-36.2wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-9.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xaf0f…3f10backed Over50c2,000$1,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,0008740.2%35 W · 52 L-0.2wins0.00per pick40cpaid-2.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa3c2…4d6ebacked Over50c2,000$1,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,0002544%11 W · 14 L-1.5wins-0.06per pick50cpaid-19.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xe907…cff6backed Over53c1,921$1,009 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$911.998,61429.2%2,518 W · 6,096 L-166.6wins-0.02per pick31cpaid-32.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x3baf…7d44backed Under3c1,666$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$49.9927032.2%87 W · 183 L-3.6wins-0.01per pick34cpaid-6.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd0e6…9b21backed Under3c1,666$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$49.9825339.5%100 W · 153 L+8.5wins+0.03per pick36cpaid-3.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x815f…1eefbacked Under50c1,607$803 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$803.4961750.6%312 W · 305 L+4.4wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+1.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xca89…7bc4backed Under52c1,600$832 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$83237850.5%191 W · 187 L-7.5wins-0.02per pick53cpaid-2.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x8e4e…1dfcbacked Under50c1,594$797 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$796.89647.9%46 W · 50 L-2.4wins-0.03per pick50cpaid-6.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa3b5…941abacked Over52c1,500$787 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$712.9913447.8%64 W · 70 L+7.9wins+0.06per pick42cpaid+11.1%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xe214…c5cebacked Over49c1,500$735 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$764.9822437.1%83 W · 141 L+5.5wins+0.02per pick35cpaid-1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x47c7…cac7backed Under52c1,472$765 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$765.4426454.5%144 W · 120 L+1.4wins+0.01per pick54cpaid-0.8%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0xe1a6…d584backed Under52c1,400$728 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$72838351.4%197 W · 186 L-1.7wins0.00per pick52cpaid-0.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x40d0…4415backed Under52c1,296$674 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$673.9218850%94 W · 94 L-6.9wins-0.04per pick54cpaid-7.9%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x2d6a…8addbacked Under50c1,204$608 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$607.913,21347.2%1,517 W · 1,696 L-7.5wins0.00per pick47cpaid+0.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6adf…4f5bbacked Over48c1,200$576 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$62416139.8%64 W · 97 L-0.4wins0.00per pick40cpaid+6.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9b66…336abacked Under51c1,176$600 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6003145.2%14 W · 17 L-1.5wins-0.05per pick50cpaid-10%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x228b…af4cbacked Over48c1,150$551 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$598.712,97328%831 W · 2,142 L-132.5wins-0.04per pick32cpaid-39%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x23f7…cb68backed Over47c1,138$535 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$603.075735.1%20 W · 37 L-4.9wins-0.09per pick44cpaid-11.2%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xa487…9439backed Under54c1,085$591 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$590.526640.9%27 W · 39 L-8.4wins-0.13per pick54cpaid-13.6%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0xa0e4…8048backed Over48c1,040$499 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$540.810045%45 W · 55 L+2.2wins+0.02per pick43cpaid-13.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xb7d8…a577backed Under50c1,000$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50012753.5%68 W · 59 L+1.7wins+0.01per pick52cpaid+1.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x274b…d408backed Over50c1,000$500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$50029138.8%113 W · 178 L+8.7wins+0.03per pick36cpaid+40.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xd86e…45cebacked Under52c1,000$520 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5208856.8%50 W · 38 L+3.9wins+0.04per pick52cpaid+6.6%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x673d…1247backed Under1c1,000$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$109833.7%33 W · 65 L-6.4wins-0.07per pick40cpaid-26.1%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xfb25…f7f3backed Under5c1,000$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$508615.1%13 W · 73 L-3.5wins-0.04per pick19cpaid-30.9%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xbfdf…8e02backed Under51c934.61$477 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$476.6533149.5%164 W · 167 L+9.4wins+0.03per pick47cpaid+9.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xcf73…0215backed Under51c803.65$413 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$412.593,07747%1,447 W · 1,630 L-11.5wins0.00per pick47cpaid-2.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8e4b…3fc2backed Over48c800$384 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4163154.8%17 W · 14 L+1.4wins+0.05per pick50cpaid+13.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x62ca…1760backed Under51c790$403 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$402.925844.6%115 W · 143 L-1.5wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-1.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xddb6…b9b3backed Over48c756.6$361 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$395.711,56339.8%622 W · 941 L-51.9wins-0.03per pick43cpaid-23.4%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x0d2d…7ff5backed Over58c752.28$434 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$318.282,30737.6%867 W · 1,440 L-16.7wins-0.01per pick38cpaid-27.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf7f0…912cbacked Under50c680.33$340 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$340.171,87348.4%906 W · 967 L+14.4wins+0.01per pick48cpaid-0.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc112…3841backed Over49c673.47$330 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$343.475440.7%22 W · 32 L-2.3wins-0.04per pick45cpaid-5.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xe2ef…5a1cbacked Under53c644.81$342 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$341.7510142.6%43 W · 58 L-5.9wins-0.06per pick48cpaid-11.6%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x9516…0bcbbacked Over48c624.39$300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$324.3956240.6%228 W · 334 L-11.6wins-0.02per pick43cpaid-9.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x71da…bc9ebacked Over50c620$310 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$31018742.8%80 W · 107 L+1.8wins+0.01per pick42cpaid-2.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6d3c…d294backed Under50c602.41$302 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$301.651,26247.5%600 W · 662 L-15.8wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-2.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x768f…8a9bbacked Over49c600.22$294 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$306.1113948.2%67 W · 72 L-2.5wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x8bd8…f306backed Under52c599.98$312 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$311.9919545.6%89 W · 106 L-6.2wins-0.03per pick49cpaid-11.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xb964…033ebacked Under12c555$67 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$66.617442%73 W · 101 L+3.1wins+0.02per pick40cpaid-6.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2ab4…b18bbacked Over51c500$255 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$24511644%51 W · 65 L+4.6wins+0.04per pick40cpaid+1.5%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x04d7…b035backed Over51c500$255 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$24511545.2%52 W · 63 L+2.8wins+0.02per pick43cpaid+4.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa2c3…ac23backed Under52c500$260 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$26095739.5%378 W · 579 L-18.4wins-0.02per pick41cpaid-0.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xfd0e…cdf0backed Under2c500$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$103333.3%11 W · 22 L+1.7wins+0.05per pick28cpaid+5.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x2e61…19bdbacked Over48c499.99$240 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$259.9915149.7%75 W · 76 L+13.2wins+0.09per pick41cpaid+10.9%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xa3c2…df3dbacked Under51c490.5$251 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$251.243,28649.2%1,616 W · 1,670 L+6.2wins0.00per pick49cpaid-0.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa4d3…4b1fbacked Under51c490$250 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$249.512534.4%43 W · 82 L-4.6wins-0.04per pick38cpaid-7.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x2407…7dcabacked Over50c456.68$228 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$228.8921042.4%89 W · 121 L+10.4wins+0.05per pick37cpaid+3.2%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x66d3…ac9dbacked Over48c416.67$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$216.673873.7%28 W · 10 L+3.5wins+0.09per pick65cpaid+14.1%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x1629…b0ecbacked Over49c408.16$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$208.162330.4%7 W · 16 L-1.9wins-0.08per pick39cpaid-35.9%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x076d…8d4cbacked Under50c404.83$203 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$202.72,27139.5%896 W · 1,375 L+10.1wins0.00per pick39cpaid+1.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xee0c…3e4dbacked Over50c400$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$20018158.6%106 W · 75 L+8.1wins+0.04per pick54cpaid+4.8%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x87b6…4ababacked Over49c399.97$196 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$203.9945038.2%172 W · 278 L-28.4wins-0.06per pick45cpaid-18%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xadfb…c2efbacked Under50c398.08$199 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$198.921,94542.7%831 W · 1,114 L-11.2wins-0.01per pick43cpaid+6.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x191e…dd9ebacked Over50c394.16$197 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$197.088831.8%28 W · 60 L-5.8wins-0.07per pick38cpaid-17.3%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x03c6…3dd2backed Under51c392.16$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2005459.3%32 W · 22 L+2.4wins+0.05per pick55cpaid+5.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x0e3d…85abbacked Under52c382.63$199 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$198.9736448.6%177 W · 187 L-9.5wins-0.03per pick51cpaid-7.4%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x3bdc…3a4ebacked Under51c331$169 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$168.8115246.7%71 W · 81 L-4.0wins-0.03per pick49cpaid-6.6%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x8a80…11c5backed Over50c286.78$145 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$142.0487237.8%330 W · 542 L-39.9wins-0.05per pick42cpaid-28.8%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x3f0f…0e48backed Under5c283.7$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.1939933.1%132 W · 267 L+6.7wins+0.02per pick31cpaid-20.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x4060…e63cbacked Under54c279.13$150 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15020447.5%97 W · 107 L-2.7wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xce26…8e06backed Over48c270$130 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$140.452455%288 W · 236 L+2.6wins0.00per pick54cpaid-4.7%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x1f62…76f6backed Under51c255$130 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$129.92,38053.3%1,269 W · 1,111 L+76.5wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+4%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x7d0c…a3b7backed Under51c255$130 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$129.93,73151.8%1,931 W · 1,800 L+55.2wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+7.9%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xa494…4a1fbacked Under52c240$124 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$123.617557.1%100 W · 75 L+3.2wins+0.02per pick55cpaid+4.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xfcb8…067cbacked Under52c210$109 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$109.215149.7%75 W · 76 L-5.7wins-0.04per pick53cpaid-12.1%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xea96…693abacked Over48c208.33$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$108.3314940.3%60 W · 89 L+0.7wins0.00per pick40cpaid-20.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2e22…88a5backed Over48c208.33$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$108.334763.8%30 W · 17 L+3.0wins+0.06per pick58cpaid+9.4%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 36 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.