TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Fifa International · resolved market

Tunisia vs. Netherlands: 1st Half O/U 2.5

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Underof Over, Under
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$205,481
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$212,043

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $205,481 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 141 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Fifa International
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x204f…5e14backed Under56c65,596$36,982 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$28,613.854,59540.3%1,850 W · 2,745 L-91.3wins-0.02per pick42cpaid-23.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2a69…d2f7backed Over2c28,460$614 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$613.583,99224.9%994 W · 2,998 L-47.0wins-0.01per pick26cpaid-19.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x10a6…4d8bbacked Over54c18,410$9,888 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9,887.8564446.4%299 W · 345 L-6.2wins-0.01per pick47cpaid+0.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb31b…d703backed Over74c13,627$10,131 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10,131.0111555.7%64 W · 51 L-3.0wins-0.03per pick58cpaid-6.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x8806…2e83backed Over6c10,639$638 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$638.328229.4%83 W · 199 L-6.1wins-0.02per pick32cpaid-38%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x67ac…edf1backed Under53c9,360$5,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,359.9617642%74 W · 102 L-1.6wins-0.01per pick43cpaid-9.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc291…5d74backed Over67c6,496$4,337 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,336.54,45737.2%1,657 W · 2,800 L+31.0wins+0.01per pick36cpaid-8.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb476…6eacbacked Over51c5,147$2,640 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,639.8736539.7%145 W · 220 L+8.4wins+0.02per pick37cpaid-12.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x514b…5fa9backed Over71c5,000$3,550 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,5507538.7%29 W · 46 L-3.5wins-0.05per pick43cpaid-23.7%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xddc3…029cbacked Over23c4,335$1,016 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,015.6322943.7%100 W · 129 L+5.5wins+0.02per pick41cpaid+5.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x15e9…26bebacked Over43c3,520$1,502 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,501.68052.5%42 W · 38 L+4.2wins+0.05per pick47cpaid+5.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xfec6…b86cbacked Under78c3,203$2,510 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$692.7437650.8%191 W · 185 L-12.2wins-0.03per pick54cpaid-13.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x122b…ac59backed Over31c3,175$1,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$999.7624533.5%82 W · 163 L-3.7wins-0.01per pick35cpaid-20.3%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x076d…8d4cbacked Over52c2,595$1,350 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,349.522,27139.5%896 W · 1,375 L+10.1wins0.00per pick39cpaid+1.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x37e9…eedebacked Under40c2,374$949 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,424.1416755.1%92 W · 75 L+10.3wins+0.06per pick49cpaid+14.3%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x4d74…a37fbacked Under46c2,174$1,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,173.9120839.4%82 W · 126 L+0.6wins0.00per pick39cpaid+33%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf639…4a74backed Over56c2,134$1,195 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,195.1217322.5%39 W · 134 L+4.9wins+0.03per pick20cpaid-10.5%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x02c6…b27bbacked Under55c2,110$1,169 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$940.5919649.5%97 W · 99 L-10.0wins-0.05per pick55cpaid-18.9%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x47d9…54b7backed Under47c1,988$932 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,056.1525942.1%109 W · 150 L-0.5wins0.00per pick42cpaid-14.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa3b5…941abacked Over27c1,800$481 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$480.9913447.8%64 W · 70 L+7.9wins+0.06per pick42cpaid+11.1%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xb41a…0a9bbacked Under52c1,542$800 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$741.637047.1%33 W · 37 L+5.4wins+0.08per pick39cpaid+55.2%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x2ab4…b18bbacked Over41c1,500$615 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$61511644%51 W · 65 L+4.6wins+0.04per pick40cpaid+1.5%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x6be9…5998backed Over5c1,459$73 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$72.9637242.5%158 W · 214 L+7.4wins+0.02per pick40cpaid-2.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x228b…af4cbacked Over43c1,361$587 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$586.972,97328%831 W · 2,142 L-132.5wins-0.04per pick32cpaid-39%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x0852…655cbacked Over17c1,243$216 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$216.4753629.9%160 W · 376 L+8.5wins+0.02per pick28cpaid-6.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xdb83…1e50backed Under78c1,233$957 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$275.632,81944.5%1,255 W · 1,564 L-36.2wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-9.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x032e…2a9ebacked Over22c1,201$265 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$264.852,60337.8%984 W · 1,619 L-40.7wins-0.02per pick39cpaid-9.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4502…9eedbacked Under71c1,189$845 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$343.8330642.8%131 W · 175 L+0.2wins0.00per pick43cpaid-20%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x224f…514abacked Under76c1,157$879 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$277.61,53649.1%754 W · 782 L+32.8wins+0.02per pick47cpaid+3.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2ec5…fd53backed Under25c1,137$289 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$847.9344539.6%176 W · 269 L-5.5wins-0.01per pick41cpaid-14.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe907…cff6backed Over44c1,069$469 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$468.698,61429.2%2,518 W · 6,096 L-166.6wins-0.02per pick31cpaid-32.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9c79…50c4backed Over75c1,050$788 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$787.873112.9%4 W · 27 L-3.5wins-0.11per pick24cpaid-73%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x815f…1eefbacked Under40c1,034$414 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$620.2761750.6%312 W · 305 L+4.4wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+1.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x800a…0b4dbacked Over26c1,018$262 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$261.7311122.5%25 W · 86 L-8.0wins-0.07per pick30cpaid-30.9%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x03b8…b4aebacked Under50c1,000$500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$50023353.2%124 W · 109 L-3.2wins-0.01per pick55cpaid-4.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb964…033ebacked Under35c957.44$334 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$623.6717442%73 W · 101 L+3.1wins+0.02per pick40cpaid-6.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x145a…5e86backed Over41c724.63$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30021641.7%90 W · 126 L+3.2wins+0.01per pick40cpaid-5.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x275c…349cbacked Over20c667.87$136 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$136.112528%35 W · 90 L+0.5wins0.00per pick28cpaid+43.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x274b…d408backed Under28c540.43$150 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$390.4329138.8%113 W · 178 L+8.7wins+0.03per pick36cpaid+40.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xf29a…3122backed Under28c526.25$147 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$378.916637.3%62 W · 104 L+7.6wins+0.05per pick33cpaid+6.6%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x2d6a…8addbacked Under77c520.47$400 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$120.553,21347.2%1,517 W · 1,696 L-7.5wins0.00per pick47cpaid+0.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x75e7…c4fcbacked Over42c501.12$213 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$212.698032.5%26 W · 54 L-1.5wins-0.02per pick34cpaid-8%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xe214…c5cebacked Over23c500$115 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11522437.1%83 W · 141 L+5.5wins+0.02per pick35cpaid-1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa2c3…ac23backed Under78c500$390 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11095739.5%378 W · 579 L-18.4wins-0.02per pick41cpaid-0.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4bc5…e563backed Over6c499.99$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3042126.4%111 W · 310 L+1.6wins0.00per pick26cpaid+9.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0d2d…7ff5backed Over36c489.35$174 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$173.872,30737.6%867 W · 1,440 L-16.7wins-0.01per pick38cpaid-27.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xddb6…b9b3backed Under52c464.66$240 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$224.791,56339.8%622 W · 941 L-51.9wins-0.03per pick43cpaid-23.4%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xcf73…0215backed Under78c456.8$356 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$100.53,07747%1,447 W · 1,630 L-11.5wins0.00per pick47cpaid-2.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0bb8…46d2backed Over66c454.55$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30015038%57 W · 93 L-2.5wins-0.02per pick40cpaid-14%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x8e5e…0381backed Under73c410.96$300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$110.9613943.9%61 W · 78 L+0.4wins0.00per pick44cpaid-1.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x75fc…0a4cbacked Over23c400$92 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9212223%28 W · 94 L-2.3wins-0.02per pick25cpaid-14.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2a58…b808backed Over33c300$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10022835.5%81 W · 147 L+2.8wins+0.01per pick34cpaid-10.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2ad5…62ffbacked Over31c297.75$94 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$93.648328%135 W · 348 L-19.4wins-0.04per pick32cpaid-21.2%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x7d7a…d48dbacked Over24c287.5$69 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$691323.1%3 W · 10 L-0.5wins-0.04per pick27cpaid+38.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xfbf4…ac20backed Under38c263.15$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$163.1534533.6%116 W · 229 L+1.8wins+0.01per pick33cpaid-3.2%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x52d9…fb1abacked Over43c235.08$101 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$100.981,94135.5%690 W · 1,251 L-25.4wins-0.01per pick37cpaid-11.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb349…d14bbacked Over24c208.33$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5027637.7%104 W · 172 L+15.3wins+0.06per pick32cpaid+19.1%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x86fc…2715backed Over24c208.33$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5012419.4%24 W · 100 L-10.7wins-0.09per pick28cpaid-40.9%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x83d1…0ffabacked Under36c202.78$73 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$129.781723.5%4 W · 13 L-2.9wins-0.17per pick40cpaid-50.1%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x191e…dd9ebacked Over24c201.17$48 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$48.288831.8%28 W · 60 L-5.8wins-0.07per pick38cpaid-17.3%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x26fb…67b8backed Over57c200$114 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11429558.3%172 W · 123 L-2.5wins-0.01per pick59cpaid-3.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8193…8c82backed Over50c200$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10010841.7%45 W · 63 L-1.9wins-0.02per pick43cpaid-7.6%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xb2e7…5041backed Over73c200$146 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14626738.2%102 W · 165 L+8.7wins+0.03per pick35cpaid+5.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xe766…7843backed Under22c171.18$38 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$132.6823645.3%107 W · 129 L+3.9wins+0.02per pick44cpaid+5.3%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xc423…03b9backed Over21c169.75$36 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3640912%49 W · 360 L-4.4wins-0.01per pick13cpaid-5.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x059c…050ebacked Under71c163.53$116 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$47.0723637.7%89 W · 147 L-9.3wins-0.04per pick42cpaid-20.8%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xd01c…7f9dbacked Under77c161.16$124 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$37.372,41153%1,278 W · 1,133 L+75.2wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+4.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xf7f0…912cbacked Under77c152$116 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$35.631,87348.4%906 W · 967 L+14.4wins+0.01per pick48cpaid-0.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Over48c151.14$72 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$72.083,69636.9%1,364 W · 2,332 L-44.0wins-0.01per pick38cpaid-23.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1cdd…e595backed Over30c149.99$45 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$45.52,32718.1%422 W · 1,905 L-363.0wins-0.16per pick34cpaid-63.5%equal weight33-0.15 edge/pick
0x7843…7f7dbacked Over24c146$35 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$35.0416341.7%68 W · 95 L+1.7wins+0.01per pick41cpaid+14.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5df5…c44cbacked Over48c144.93$69 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$68.9923345.1%105 W · 128 L-7.7wins-0.03per pick48cpaid-21.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x38c7…5a76backed Over72c141.45$102 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$102.456068.3%41 W · 19 L+5.9wins+0.10per pick58cpaid+15.3%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xadfb…c2efbacked Under76c137.17$104 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$32.921,94542.7%831 W · 1,114 L-11.2wins-0.01per pick43cpaid+6.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x11a2…0532backed Over74c135.15$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$100.016665.2%43 W · 23 L+1.9wins+0.03per pick62cpaid+5.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xb172…7862backed Over37c135.14$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5027837.8%105 W · 173 L+2.3wins+0.01per pick37cpaid-11.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa3c2…df3dbacked Under77c130.83$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$30.653,28649.2%1,616 W · 1,670 L+6.2wins0.00per pick49cpaid-0.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9916…54dcbacked Over24c127.29$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3010028%28 W · 72 L-3.9wins-0.04per pick32cpaid-33.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xd218…b5c9backed Under72c110.26$79 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$31.214,02738.9%1,568 W · 2,459 L-26.6wins-0.01per pick40cpaid-23.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5353…51b9backed Over55c108.99$60 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$59.87948.1%38 W · 41 L+5.6wins+0.07per pick41cpaid+28.1%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xb76b…d1f0backed Under46c107.59$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$57.5914238.7%55 W · 87 L+4.5wins+0.03per pick36cpaid-12.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xb8ee…9e81backed Over62c107$66 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$66.431,79544.2%794 W · 1,001 L-12.9wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-13%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x82cc…26d8backed Over75c103.67$78 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$77.75825%2 W · 6 L-2.4wins-0.30per pick55cpaid-63%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xa681…8b89backed Over50c100$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5027028.9%78 W · 192 L-12.2wins-0.05per pick33cpaid-15.7%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x6339…141ebacked Over70c100$70 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7010250%51 W · 51 L+2.9wins+0.03per pick47cpaid+2.6%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x0655…faf8backed Over40c99.03$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4031747.6%151 W · 166 L+13.0wins+0.04per pick44cpaid+7.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x1556…b722backed Over54c92.59$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5029639.5%117 W · 179 L+4.0wins+0.01per pick38cpaid+4.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x923a…e723backed Over23c86.96$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2012532.8%41 W · 84 L-1.2wins-0.01per pick34cpaid+1.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x851f…642fbacked Under35c85.71$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$55.7117444.8%78 W · 96 L-10.3wins-0.06per pick51cpaid-20.7%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x737b…4b58backed Over72c83.33$60 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$60683.3%5 W · 1 L+0.8wins+0.14per pick70cpaid+22.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x83d9…10d9backed Under78c81.33$63 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18.081,39046.3%644 W · 746 L+20.9wins+0.02per pick45cpaid+2.5%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x0fce…63d5backed Under78c80.09$62 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17.81,31348.9%642 W · 671 L+12.3wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+3.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2738…ebf4backed Over75c78.85$59 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$59.141855.6%10 W · 8 L-1.7wins-0.10per pick65cpaid-24.1%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xc17e…b39abacked Over75c66.67$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$509953.5%53 W · 46 L+2.7wins+0.03per pick51cpaid+12.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x0d5f…1171backed Under38c65.61$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$40.861,45953.9%787 W · 672 L-6.3wins0.00per pick54cpaid-6.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6dfb…f1b7backed Under43c65.4$28 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$37.2778234.3%268 W · 514 L-11.2wins-0.01per pick36cpaid-20.6%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x75b0…0c9bbacked Under79c63.29$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13.296473.4%47 W · 17 L+0.6wins+0.01per pick72cpaid+0.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd1ed…d7cbbacked Under70c63$44 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18.91,25239.2%491 W · 761 L+6.0wins0.00per pick39cpaid-20.1%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0xc347…415dbacked Over23c60.87$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$141414.3%2 W · 12 L-0.2wins-0.02per pick16cpaid-37%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe70c…17c5backed Under78c56.1$44 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12.3433438.6%129 W · 205 L-17.4wins-0.05per pick44cpaid-22.5%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 36 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.