TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Fifa International · resolved market

Tunisia vs. Netherlands: Netherlands 1st Half O/U 0.5

Rebuilt .

Winning outcome
Overof Over, Under
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$3,642
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$3,776

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $3,642 — the venue’s figure.

Open this market on Polymarket

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 23 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Fifa International
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x9ccc…e7e8backed Over77c500$385 inWon+$11528337.1%105 W · 178 L-9.2wins-0.03per pick40cpaid-19.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xa2c3…ac23backed Under23c499.99$115 inLost-$11595739.5%378 W · 579 L-18.4wins-0.02per pick41cpaid-0.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x26bd…e53bbacked Under23c400$92 inLost-$928356.6%47 W · 36 L-0.4wins0.00per pick57cpaid+1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2140…0e12backed Under24c293.69$70 inLost-$70.494250%21 W · 21 L+3.0wins+0.07per pick43cpaid+18%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xe907…cff6backed Over78c262.66$204 inWon+$58.798,61429.2%2,518 W · 6,096 L-166.6wins-0.02per pick31cpaid-32.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2d6a…8addbacked Over77c111.58$85 inWon+$26.163,21347.2%1,517 W · 1,696 L-7.5wins0.00per pick47cpaid+0.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc291…5d74backed Under23c106.43$24 inLost-$24.484,45737.2%1,657 W · 2,800 L+31.0wins+0.01per pick36cpaid-8.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xcf73…0215backed Over77c94.77$73 inWon+$22.093,07747%1,447 W · 1,630 L-11.5wins0.00per pick47cpaid-2.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9892…fd59backed Under23c86.96$20 inLost-$2046243.5%201 W · 261 L+4.1wins+0.01per pick43cpaid+16.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4325…324dbacked Over75c66.67$50 inWon+$16.678762.1%54 W · 33 L-1.8wins-0.02per pick64cpaid-3.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2b35…0bfebacked Under20c62.5$13 inLost-$12.51,20448.9%589 W · 615 L+18.2wins+0.02per pick47cpaid+2.8%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xaff0…06d2backed Over80c62.5$50 inWon+$12.5837.5%3 W · 5 L-2.2wins-0.27per pick65cpaid-46.8%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0x5e43…2578backed Over75c50$38 inWon+$12.539956.6%226 W · 173 L+2.5wins+0.01per pick56cpaid-4.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xfa2b…c626backed Over77c38.96$30 inWon+$8.961662.5%10 W · 6 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick63cpaid-2.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5210…bd53backed Over77c35$27 inWon+$8.052,79656.7%1,585 W · 1,211 L-9.2wins0.00per pick57cpaid-1.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Over78c34$26 inWon+$7.524,59540.3%1,850 W · 2,745 L-91.3wins-0.02per pick42cpaid-23.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xbbcf…20aebacked Over75c30$23 inWon+$7.525639.1%100 W · 156 L+8.8wins+0.03per pick36cpaid+9.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xa3c2…df3dbacked Over76c21.34$16 inWon+$5.183,28649.2%1,616 W · 1,670 L+6.2wins0.00per pick49cpaid-0.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2dab…b019backed Over78c20.51$16 inWon+$4.51366.7%2 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.10per pick77cpaid-15.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5913…3bbebacked Over77c19.48$15 inWon+$4.4811660.3%70 W · 46 L+0.1wins0.00per pick60cpaid-1.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6562…4e48backed Over79c18.98$15 inWon+$3.9925455.9%142 W · 112 L-10.0wins-0.04per pick60cpaid-8.6%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x0fce…63d5backed Over77c15.48$12 inWon+$3.591,31348.9%642 W · 671 L+12.3wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+3.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xeda9…f624backed Over77c15$11 inWon+$3.531,15158.5%673 W · 478 L+0.6wins0.00per pick58cpaid-0.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 36 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.