TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Fifa International · resolved market

Tunisia vs. Netherlands: Tunisia O/U 0.5

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Overof Over, Under
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$190,447
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$194,335

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $190,447 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 161 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Fifa International
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x204f…5e14backed Over38c45,759$17,510 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$28,248.994,59540.3%1,850 W · 2,745 L-91.3wins-0.02per pick42cpaid-23.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe987…f0e1backed Under62c10,000$6,200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6,199.8438026.6%101 W · 279 L-10.0wins-0.03per pick29cpaid-21.6%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x224f…514abacked Under62c7,013$4,340 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,340.431,53649.1%754 W · 782 L+32.8wins+0.02per pick47cpaid+3.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x033f…618ebacked Under58c6,648$3,857 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,856.865737.4%246 W · 411 L+4.1wins+0.01per pick37cpaid-9.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd86e…45cebacked Over43c5,167$2,222 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,944.968856.8%50 W · 38 L+3.9wins+0.04per pick52cpaid+6.6%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xb4d2…ce99backed Under57c5,092$2,903 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,902.622,62641.1%1,080 W · 1,546 L-11.6wins0.00per pick42cpaid-17.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x819b…d996backed Over44c5,000$2,200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,80014546.9%68 W · 77 L+3.7wins+0.03per pick44cpaid-6.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x15ec…267dbacked Under57c5,000$2,850 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,849.9927845.7%127 W · 151 L+2.6wins+0.01per pick45cpaid+1.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9a54…7191backed Over40c4,895$1,965 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,930.0610556.2%59 W · 46 L+7.4wins+0.07per pick49cpaid+15.1%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x0d2d…7ff5backed Under63c4,057$2,546 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,546.292,30737.6%867 W · 1,440 L-16.7wins-0.01per pick38cpaid-27.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xbda1…827fbacked Over38c4,024$1,529 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,494.623721.6%8 W · 29 L+0.3wins+0.01per pick21cpaid-0.4%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x2114…84c5backed Over37c3,422$1,266 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,155.628348.2%40 W · 43 L-1.4wins-0.02per pick50cpaid+55.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa697…59d5backed Under61c3,379$2,068 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,068.112,80555.1%1,546 W · 1,259 L+70.4wins+0.03per pick53cpaid+4.1%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x98ce…d417backed Under63c2,854$1,796 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,796.33554.3%19 W · 16 L+1.5wins+0.04per pick50cpaid+13%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xe9f5…3e7abacked Under60c2,600$1,560 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,56011558.3%67 W · 48 L+6.8wins+0.06per pick52cpaid+12.7%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x3752…2f08backed Under60c2,530$1,513 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,512.5919750.3%99 W · 98 L-1.0wins0.00per pick51cpaid+0.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6a32…0086backed Under61c2,500$1,525 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,52586452.7%455 W · 409 L+26.7wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xb619…5068backed Under63c2,212$1,394 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,393.6824144.8%108 W · 133 L+5.2wins+0.02per pick43cpaid+1.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x993f…3ee3backed Under63c2,000$1,260 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,26012556.8%71 W · 54 L+4.0wins+0.03per pick54cpaid-1.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xcc72…2888backed Under58c1,982$1,149 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,149.2727227.6%75 W · 197 L-0.8wins0.00per pick28cpaid-18.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7b10…acabbacked Under55c1,981$1,089 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,089.4916357.1%93 W · 70 L+11.0wins+0.07per pick50cpaid+18.6%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Over43c1,824$784 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,039.793,69636.9%1,364 W · 2,332 L-44.0wins-0.01per pick38cpaid-23.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x032e…2a9ebacked Under63c1,820$1,145 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,144.572,60337.8%984 W · 1,619 L-40.7wins-0.02per pick39cpaid-9.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc368…a3c4backed Over51c1,805$912 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$892.8816953.3%90 W · 79 L+8.4wins+0.05per pick48cpaid+10.7%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xfd19…3fb8backed Under5c1,705$87 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$87.156910.1%7 W · 62 L+1.7wins+0.03per pick8cpaid+20.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xddb6…b9b3backed Under62c1,620$1,001 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,001.191,56339.8%622 W · 941 L-51.9wins-0.03per pick43cpaid-23.4%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xefce…4e4abacked Under62c1,613$1,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$999.9867447.6%321 W · 353 L+7.9wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x26cf…c612backed Under59c1,500$885 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$88516633.7%56 W · 110 L-8.4wins-0.05per pick39cpaid-11.1%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x076d…8d4cbacked Over41c1,487$607 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$880.742,27139.5%896 W · 1,375 L+10.1wins0.00per pick39cpaid+1.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa3b5…941abacked Over39c1,380$532 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$847.913447.8%64 W · 70 L+7.9wins+0.06per pick42cpaid+11.1%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x9a57…d10fbacked Under10c1,200$120 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1203619.4%7 W · 29 L+3.7wins+0.10per pick9cpaid+506.8%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x35ec…becbbacked Under10c1,200$120 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1203713.5%5 W · 32 L+0.2wins0.00per pick13cpaid-4.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd4da…3175backed Over33c1,176$388 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$787.678047.5%38 W · 42 L+0.5wins+0.01per pick47cpaid+4.1%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x228b…af4cbacked Over45c1,130$507 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$622.582,97328%831 W · 2,142 L-132.5wins-0.04per pick32cpaid-39%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xdb83…1e50backed Under65c1,106$714 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$714.132,81944.5%1,255 W · 1,564 L-36.2wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-9.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8753…85adbacked Under62c1,050$651 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$65125857.4%148 W · 110 L+11.0wins+0.04per pick53cpaid+8.6%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x1ca3…9613backed Under54c1,049$566 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$566.3315257.9%88 W · 64 L-9.8wins-0.06per pick64cpaid-11%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x31ac…8b4cbacked Under1c1,000$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$107652.6%40 W · 36 L+4.4wins+0.06per pick47cpaid+12%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xc4fe…601fbacked Under59c999.97$592 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$591.981,66941.6%694 W · 975 L+15.9wins+0.01per pick41cpaid-7.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x775d…6bebbacked Under61c998.89$605 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$604.781,43840.1%576 W · 862 L-40.1wins-0.03per pick43cpaid-24.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x52d9…fb1abacked Over39c987.96$384 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$604.161,94135.5%690 W · 1,251 L-25.4wins-0.01per pick37cpaid-11.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3e68…fcb9backed Over43c931.05$400 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$530.74761.7%29 W · 18 L+9.7wins+0.21per pick41cpaid+116.3%equal weight65+0.14 edge/pick
0xd01c…7f9dbacked Under60c912.9$549 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$549.432,41153%1,278 W · 1,133 L+75.2wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+4.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xcf73…0215backed Under62c891.22$549 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$548.553,07747%1,447 W · 1,630 L-11.5wins0.00per pick47cpaid-2.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x12a2…0e71backed Over38c789.47$300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$489.4719158.1%111 W · 80 L-4.6wins-0.02per pick61cpaid-0.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc291…5d74backed Over37c767.59$284 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$483.594,45737.2%1,657 W · 2,800 L+31.0wins+0.01per pick36cpaid-8.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2ad5…62ffbacked Over36c763.96$272 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$491.9148328%135 W · 348 L-19.4wins-0.04per pick32cpaid-21.2%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xb7e7…48d5backed Under67c746.27$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50010151.5%52 W · 49 L+2.2wins+0.02per pick49cpaid-4.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xb7d8…a577backed Under58c736.72$427 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$427.312753.5%68 W · 59 L+1.7wins+0.01per pick52cpaid+1.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1262…2fc9backed Over43c696.26$299 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$396.8727466.4%182 W · 92 L+28.8wins+0.11per pick56cpaid+23.3%equal weight61+0.10 edge/pick
0x6673…6efbbacked Under14c687.06$99 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$98.8412029.2%35 W · 85 L+11.0wins+0.09per pick20cpaid+41.1%equal weight58+0.08 edge/pick
0xc7d0…1f8abacked Under19c669.94$127 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$127.42,45334.7%850 W · 1,603 L+84.3wins+0.03per pick31cpaid-10.8%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x8bd8…f306backed Over35c588.16$206 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$382.319545.6%89 W · 106 L-6.2wins-0.03per pick49cpaid-11.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x4c03…f8bebacked Under62c526.27$326 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$326.297548%36 W · 39 L-1.7wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-2.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2d6a…8addbacked Under63c518.17$325 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$324.623,21347.2%1,517 W · 1,696 L-7.5wins0.00per pick47cpaid+0.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x83d9…10d9backed Over40c514.46$205 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$309.761,39046.3%644 W · 746 L+20.9wins+0.02per pick45cpaid+2.5%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x7cbe…c4b7backed Over35c501$175 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$325.6588838.2%339 W · 549 L+37.2wins+0.04per pick34cpaid+9.9%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x8adc…bafcbacked Under59c500$295 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$29537754.4%205 W · 172 L+11.8wins+0.03per pick51cpaid+1.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x7de3…d59bbacked Under61c500$305 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3051,20650.2%606 W · 600 L+44.5wins+0.04per pick47cpaid+7.4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x88b3…3d44backed Under11c500$54 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5413813%18 W · 120 L+4.3wins+0.03per pick10cpaid+20.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xa4b2…33e1backed Under12c500$60 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$605139.2%20 W · 31 L+12.6wins+0.25per pick14cpaid+138.3%equal weight68+0.17 edge/pick
0xadfb…c2efbacked Over36c495.97$179 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$316.811,94542.7%831 W · 1,114 L-11.2wins-0.01per pick43cpaid+6.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7d0c…a3b7backed Under54c487.65$265 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$265.373,73151.8%1,931 W · 1,800 L+55.2wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+7.9%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x67af…61eebacked Under61c446.89$272 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$272.012,80446.2%1,295 W · 1,509 L-27.1wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-14.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0e3d…85abbacked Under63c445.65$281 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$280.7636448.6%177 W · 187 L-9.5wins-0.03per pick51cpaid-7.4%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x1f62…76f6backed Under55c437.98$243 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$242.82,38053.3%1,269 W · 1,111 L+76.5wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+4%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xf7f0…912cbacked Under64c419.77$270 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$269.71,87348.4%906 W · 967 L+14.4wins+0.01per pick48cpaid-0.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1378…dbd2backed Under57c412.28$235 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2354746.8%22 W · 25 L-3.3wins-0.07per pick54cpaid-14.7%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x0df8…b67ebacked Under62c408$253 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$252.9613860.9%84 W · 54 L+10.7wins+0.08per pick53cpaid+16.2%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0x0fce…63d5backed Over40c398.66$158 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$241.121,31348.9%642 W · 671 L+12.3wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+3.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4132…a5a5backed Under63c396.83$250 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25022846.1%105 W · 123 L-0.9wins0.00per pick46cpaid-7.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe911…3d4ebacked Under4c363.4$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.882,52442.8%1,081 W · 1,443 L-10.1wins0.00per pick43cpaid-14.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd218…b5c9backed Under70c354.08$247 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$247.254,02738.9%1,568 W · 2,459 L-26.6wins-0.01per pick40cpaid-23.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x768f…8a9bbacked Under57c350.88$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20013948.2%67 W · 72 L-2.5wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xda77…683fbacked Under32c334.13$108 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$108.422,79346.6%1,301 W · 1,492 L-10.3wins0.00per pick47cpaid-19.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd161…4cc1backed Under60c333$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$199.814856.1%83 W · 65 L+5.0wins+0.03per pick53cpaid+3.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xefbd…8086backed Under63c332$209 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$209.1624247.1%114 W · 128 L-1.1wins0.00per pick48cpaid0%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa3c2…df3dbacked Under61c316.89$194 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$194.393,28649.2%1,616 W · 1,670 L+6.2wins0.00per pick49cpaid-0.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x97b3…4a85backed Under57c300$171 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17131046.5%144 W · 166 L+2.7wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-1.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xfd43…7d3dbacked Under65c300$195 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1957445.9%34 W · 40 L+0.5wins+0.01per pick45cpaid-4%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x2b35…0bfebacked Under66c300$199 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$199.341,20448.9%589 W · 615 L+18.2wins+0.02per pick47cpaid+2.8%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x815f…1eefbacked Under62c260$161 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$161.261750.6%312 W · 305 L+4.4wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+1.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3999…f793backed Over39c255.51$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$155.863737.8%14 W · 23 L-1.4wins-0.04per pick42cpaid-14.8%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x4d1c…8408backed Under59c252.73$149 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$149.1115156.3%85 W · 66 L+1.8wins+0.01per pick55cpaid+1.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8d0c…c90abacked Under60c249.99$150 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$149.631,61651.2%827 W · 789 L+11.6wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+1.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc4d5…87cfbacked Over43c232$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$132.2437237.4%139 W · 233 L+6.5wins+0.02per pick36cpaid-1.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x8afa…28f0backed Over45c231.02$104 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$127.0637458.8%220 W · 154 L+18.9wins+0.05per pick54cpaid+10.5%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xb428…74c8backed Over37c229.73$85 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$144.7320841.3%86 W · 122 L-3.8wins-0.02per pick43cpaid-10.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe907…cff6backed Under56c208.69$116 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$116.398,61429.2%2,518 W · 6,096 L-166.6wins-0.02per pick31cpaid-32.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd360…2eabbacked Under63c206.35$130 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13022355.6%124 W · 99 L+6.2wins+0.03per pick53cpaid+2.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x976a…e8ecbacked Under5c198.96$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.021,11449.4%550 W · 564 L+57.3wins+0.05per pick44cpaid+11.4%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xa93e…0a8cbacked Over38c196.95$75 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$122.1142853.3%228 W · 200 L-15.5wins-0.04per pick57cpaid-9.9%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xb8c6…7b39backed Over38c193.44$74 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$119.9348937%181 W · 308 L-10.3wins-0.02per pick39cpaid+2.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x45f2…722ebacked Under52c192.31$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1006338.1%24 W · 39 L-6.1wins-0.10per pick48cpaid-34.8%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x2126…aeebbacked Under52c165$86 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8641444.9%186 W · 228 L-3.1wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-7.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0fde…0258backed Over45c161.51$73 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$88.8334056.5%192 W · 148 L+9.6wins+0.03per pick54cpaid+5.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xb2ca…d984backed Under63c158.73$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1003154.8%17 W · 14 L+1.4wins+0.05per pick50cpaid+4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xbc19…c313backed Under64c156.25$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1006861.8%42 W · 26 L+6.6wins+0.10per pick52cpaid+21%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xc23a…3e2bbacked Under52c148.27$77 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$776833.8%23 W · 45 L-0.8wins-0.01per pick35cpaid-5.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2a69…d2f7backed Under65c133.6$86 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$86.463,99224.9%994 W · 2,998 L-47.0wins-0.01per pick26cpaid-19.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 36 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.