TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Fifa International · resolved market

Tunisia vs. Netherlands: Netherlands O/U 2.5

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Overof Over, Under
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$315,167
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$346,760

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $315,167 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 251 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Fifa International
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xdd88…dadbbacked Over59c75,153$44,339 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$30,814.2823942.3%101 W · 138 L-4.6wins-0.02per pick44cpaid-3.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Under40c57,097$22,857 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22,856.994,59540.3%1,850 W · 2,745 L-91.3wins-0.02per pick42cpaid-23.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x032e…2a9ebacked Over60c47,652$28,673 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18,978.642,60337.8%984 W · 1,619 L-40.7wins-0.02per pick39cpaid-9.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9db8…2effbacked Under39c19,000$7,410 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7,41020731.4%65 W · 142 L+1.1wins+0.01per pick31cpaid-1.6%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x1341…0853backed Under42c18,076$7,592 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7,591.9953448.5%259 W · 275 L-7.7wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-7%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x0467…fb2ebacked Under42c17,223$7,234 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7,233.747331.5%23 W · 50 L-0.3wins0.00per pick32cpaid+3.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd218…b5c9backed Over60c15,689$9,352 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6,337.454,02738.9%1,568 W · 2,459 L-26.6wins-0.01per pick40cpaid-23.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x52d9…fb1abacked Under40c10,275$4,113 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,112.971,94135.5%690 W · 1,251 L-25.4wins-0.01per pick37cpaid-11.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe987…f0e1backed Under39c10,000$3,900 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,899.9738026.6%101 W · 279 L-10.0wins-0.03per pick29cpaid-21.6%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x224f…514abacked Under40c6,500$2,607 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,606.981,53649.1%754 W · 782 L+32.8wins+0.02per pick47cpaid+3.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc291…5d74backed Under39c5,537$2,134 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,133.534,45737.2%1,657 W · 2,800 L+31.0wins+0.01per pick36cpaid-8.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa697…59d5backed Under40c5,071$2,017 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,016.942,80555.1%1,546 W · 1,259 L+70.4wins+0.03per pick53cpaid+4.1%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x228b…af4cbacked Under19c4,622$881 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$881.422,97328%831 W · 2,142 L-132.5wins-0.04per pick32cpaid-39%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x56c8…7cc8backed Under40c4,031$1,601 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,601.412241%50 W · 72 L-8.3wins-0.07per pick48cpaid-17.3%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x243c…2240backed Over76c3,614$2,749 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$864.877429.7%22 W · 52 L+1.4wins+0.02per pick28cpaid-6.5%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x7b10…acabbacked Over61c3,388$2,067 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,321.316357.1%93 W · 70 L+11.0wins+0.07per pick50cpaid+18.6%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xefce…4e4abacked Under39c2,564$1,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,00067447.6%321 W · 353 L+7.9wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x158d…9c64backed Over61c2,447$1,492 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$954.2113454.5%73 W · 61 L+6.4wins+0.05per pick50cpaid+7.4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x5425…d3e8backed Under37c2,422$896 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$896.1215127.8%42 W · 109 L-3.6wins-0.02per pick30cpaid-32.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x0189…5861backed Over60c2,000$1,200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$80017636.4%64 W · 112 L+2.8wins+0.02per pick35cpaid-3.7%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x8ae4…273ebacked Over64c2,000$1,272 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7289354.8%51 W · 42 L+5.6wins+0.06per pick49cpaid-1.7%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xcad4…317abacked Over61c1,992$1,210 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$781.810246.1%47 W · 55 L-3.8wins-0.04per pick50cpaid-19%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xbe00…e985backed Over67c1,948$1,300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$648.2217950.3%90 W · 89 L+12.9wins+0.07per pick43cpaid+10.7%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xddec…0015backed Under36c1,902$680 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$679.952733.3%9 W · 18 L-1.9wins-0.07per pick40cpaid-39.4%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Under39c1,766$690 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$690.223,69636.9%1,364 W · 2,332 L-44.0wins-0.01per pick38cpaid-23.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc128…2217backed Over58c1,720$1,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$720.125228.2%71 W · 181 L+2.1wins+0.01per pick27cpaid-22.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xad97…dc4cbacked Over60c1,672$1,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$671.634057.5%23 W · 17 L-0.4wins-0.01per pick58cpaid-3.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe907…cff6backed Over63c1,665$1,048 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$617.318,61429.2%2,518 W · 6,096 L-166.6wins-0.02per pick31cpaid-32.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x0b57…5d9abacked Over61c1,607$980 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$626.778156.8%46 W · 35 L+2.9wins+0.04per pick53cpaid-3.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x0c15…9a45backed Under12c1,527$184 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$184.0936350.1%182 W · 181 L-7.1wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-4.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x845b…5c2dbacked Over59c1,508$887 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$621.015735.1%20 W · 37 L-4.0wins-0.07per pick42cpaid-15.4%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x3989…27b1backed Over62c1,500$929 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5717153.5%38 W · 33 L+8.9wins+0.13per pick41cpaid+60.2%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0xdb83…1e50backed Under39c1,415$549 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$549.432,81944.5%1,255 W · 1,564 L-36.2wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-9.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd01c…7f9dbacked Under40c1,413$564 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$563.792,41153%1,278 W · 1,133 L+75.2wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+4.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x0d2d…7ff5backed Over65c1,333$864 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$469.632,30737.6%867 W · 1,440 L-16.7wins-0.01per pick38cpaid-27.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd124…aa4dbacked Over61c1,311$800 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$511.481471.4%10 W · 4 L+3.1wins+0.22per pick49cpaid+61.4%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x815f…1eefbacked Under44c1,230$541 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$541.261750.6%312 W · 305 L+4.4wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+1.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb673…d240backed Under39c1,213$473 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4733525.7%9 W · 26 L-2.4wins-0.07per pick33cpaid-13.4%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xe48d…a64dbacked Over62c1,129$700 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$429.115341.5%22 W · 31 L-0.6wins-0.01per pick43cpaid-2.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x83d9…10d9backed Under41c1,066$442 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$442.131,39046.3%644 W · 746 L+20.9wins+0.02per pick45cpaid+2.5%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x0fce…63d5backed Under42c1,019$424 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$423.591,31348.9%642 W · 671 L+12.3wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+3.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x839f…fb43backed Over61c1,000$610 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3909149.5%45 W · 46 L+1.1wins+0.01per pick48cpaid-3.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x53ad…5bd4backed Over60c1,000$600 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$40047127.8%131 W · 340 L-2.5wins-0.01per pick28cpaid-13.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x26cf…c612backed Under38c958.35$364 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$364.1716633.7%56 W · 110 L-8.4wins-0.05per pick39cpaid-11.1%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xb1d6…d5d5backed Under39c952.36$371 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$371.421747.1%8 W · 9 L+2.1wins+0.12per pick35cpaid+55.1%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xadfb…c2efbacked Under40c926.83$370 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$370.331,94542.7%831 W · 1,114 L-11.2wins-0.01per pick43cpaid+6.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2d6a…8addbacked Over60c893.72$534 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3603,21347.2%1,517 W · 1,696 L-7.5wins0.00per pick47cpaid+0.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe20f…6ccebacked Over58c862.07$500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$362.0718435.3%65 W · 119 L-1.2wins-0.01per pick36cpaid-6.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5e30…acbfbacked Under41c853.99$350 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$350.1459752.1%311 W · 286 L-2.8wins0.00per pick53cpaid-0.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9c98…f4f4backed Over60c833.33$500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$333.3321052.4%110 W · 100 L-2.5wins-0.01per pick54cpaid-3.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0f67…8003backed Over61c781.85$477 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$304.921952.6%10 W · 9 L-1.0wins-0.05per pick58cpaid-13.3%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xf7f0…912cbacked Under39c751.58$295 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$294.571,87348.4%906 W · 967 L+14.4wins+0.01per pick48cpaid-0.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa9de…9353backed Over62c725.81$450 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$275.813961.5%24 W · 15 L+1.5wins+0.04per pick58cpaid-1.7%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x1065…6218backed Under39c715.74$279 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$279.1424950.2%125 W · 124 L+5.1wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+2.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x97b3…4a85backed Over59c699.97$415 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$284.9931046.5%144 W · 166 L+2.7wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-1.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3e9b…a0ecbacked Under21c607.6$128 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$127.63754.1%20 W · 17 L-3.7wins-0.10per pick64cpaid-21.7%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x8bd8…f306backed Under38c600$228 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22819545.6%89 W · 106 L-6.2wins-0.03per pick49cpaid-11.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xefbd…8086backed Over60c587$352 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$234.824247.1%114 W · 128 L-1.1wins0.00per pick48cpaid0%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xfb4d…bb58backed Over61c543.22$331 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$211.8634751%177 W · 170 L+19.5wins+0.06per pick45cpaid+19.7%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x7d0c…a3b7backed Under55c519.96$285 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$285.033,73151.8%1,931 W · 1,800 L+55.2wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+7.9%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x56ac…d77ebacked Under39c510$199 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$198.970244.6%313 W · 389 L+13.8wins+0.02per pick43cpaid+10.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x775d…6bebbacked Over61c505.31$307 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$198.531,43840.1%576 W · 862 L-40.1wins-0.03per pick43cpaid-24.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x8ae5…4f22backed Over80c500$400 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10018465.8%121 W · 63 L+1.4wins+0.01per pick65cpaid+3.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9ccc…e7e8backed Over61c500$305 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$19528337.1%105 W · 178 L-9.2wins-0.03per pick40cpaid-19.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x3a09…e2b8backed Over57c500$285 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2156258.1%36 W · 26 L+6.6wins+0.11per pick47cpaid+8.5%equal weight58+0.08 edge/pick
0x22a0…6702backed Over60c500$300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2009248.9%45 W · 47 L-0.2wins0.00per pick49cpaid-8.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xddb6…b9b3backed Over63c493.99$311 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$183.281,56339.8%622 W · 941 L-51.9wins-0.03per pick43cpaid-23.4%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x1318…69afbacked Over61c491.8$300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$191.818028.3%51 W · 129 L+5.1wins+0.03per pick25cpaid-17.5%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x55fb…fe7bbacked Under39c479.99$187 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$187.210945%49 W · 60 L+3.4wins+0.03per pick42cpaid+4.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xdfda…4fe6backed Under39c477.49$186 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$186.2224344.9%109 W · 134 L+0.5wins0.00per pick45cpaid-2.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3e8e…9665backed Over63c476.19$300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$176.1928444.4%126 W · 158 L+1.3wins0.00per pick44cpaid+0.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa6fa…546bbacked Over63c476.19$300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$176.1913754.7%75 W · 62 L+7.4wins+0.05per pick49cpaid+9.5%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xe72b…b0a0backed Under38c464.99$177 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$176.722139.8%88 W · 133 L-8.7wins-0.04per pick44cpaid-12.9%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xb8c6…7b39backed Under40c458.36$183 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$183.3448937%181 W · 308 L-10.3wins-0.02per pick39cpaid+2.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa93e…0a8cbacked Under41c453.15$184 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$184.3442853.3%228 W · 200 L-15.5wins-0.04per pick57cpaid-9.9%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x6969…73c9backed Over61c412.39$251 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$161.022369.6%16 W · 7 L+3.4wins+0.15per pick55cpaid+21.8%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xb5db…5800backed Over62c403.23$250 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$153.2310059%59 W · 41 L+0.4wins0.00per pick59cpaid-2.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xdd6a…ef21backed Over55c400$220 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18013654.4%74 W · 62 L+10.3wins+0.08per pick47cpaid+16.8%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xa7b5…fa78backed Over60c400$240 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1607424.3%18 W · 56 L-3.6wins-0.05per pick29cpaid-30.6%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xac45…9fd3backed Under42c397.59$166 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$165.992646.2%12 W · 14 L+0.6wins+0.02per pick44cpaid+43.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb175…0396backed Under40c361.74$146 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$146.53852.6%20 W · 18 L+0.7wins+0.02per pick51cpaid-6.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7e52…287bbacked Over62c361.52$224 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$137.3810741.1%44 W · 63 L-6.8wins-0.06per pick48cpaid-27.1%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xe073…9959backed Under38c350.5$133 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$133.198848.9%43 W · 45 L+4.0wins+0.05per pick44cpaid+6.4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xc3fc…5176backed Under40c350$140 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14014344.8%64 W · 79 L-0.2wins0.00per pick45cpaid+2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x417c…63c5backed Under39c338.73$132 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$132.351145.5%5 W · 6 L+0.8wins+0.08per pick38cpaid+19.6%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x014c…38ccbacked Over60c335.19$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$135.1928646.2%132 W · 154 L+7.7wins+0.03per pick43cpaid+6.5%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xb4d2…ce99backed Over59c332.75$197 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$136.122,62641.1%1,080 W · 1,546 L-11.6wins0.00per pick42cpaid-17.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x67af…61eebacked Over64c327.67$211 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$117.152,80446.2%1,295 W · 1,509 L-27.1wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-14.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xbe86…ec62backed Over62c322.58$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$122.5812257.4%70 W · 52 L+7.9wins+0.06per pick51cpaid+1.9%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xe75c…bb4ebacked Over61c320.48$197 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$123.482642.3%11 W · 15 L-1.2wins-0.05per pick47cpaid-18.5%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xe90d…4db8backed Over59c316.58$187 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$129.84151.2%21 W · 20 L-4.4wins-0.11per pick62cpaid-19.3%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0x1f62…76f6backed Under40c307.77$123 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$123.112,38053.3%1,269 W · 1,111 L+76.5wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+4%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xc507…5d1ebacked Over61c300$183 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11710359.2%61 W · 42 L+5.6wins+0.05per pick54cpaid+4.2%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x0937…46ffbacked Over58c299.98$174 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$125.992842.9%12 W · 16 L-3.1wins-0.11per pick54cpaid-27.1%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x517b…be02backed Over58c291.9$169 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$122.95527.3%15 W · 40 L+3.4wins+0.06per pick21cpaid+12.2%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xc4fe…601fbacked Over58c267.81$155 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$112.761,66941.6%694 W · 975 L+15.9wins+0.01per pick41cpaid-7.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0195…1e21backed Over56c266.75$150 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$116.7544144%194 W · 247 L-0.9wins0.00per pick44cpaid-7.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa2c3…ac23backed Under39c249.99$97 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$97.4995739.5%378 W · 579 L-18.4wins-0.02per pick41cpaid-0.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4d7a…751abacked Under20c238.06$48 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$47.6173234.6%253 W · 479 L-22.2wins-0.03per pick38cpaid-19.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x79c7…2699backed Over59c237.29$140 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$97.291070%7 W · 3 L+2.3wins+0.23per pick47cpaid+41.3%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 36 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.