TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Fifa International · resolved market

Tunisia vs. Netherlands: Netherlands 2nd Half O/U 1.5

Rebuilt .

Winning outcome
Underof Over, Under
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$4,256
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$4,348

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $4,256 — the venue’s figure.

Open this market on Polymarket

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 35 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Fifa International
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xc386…386fbacked Over44c1,370$602 inLost-$601.675127.5%14 W · 37 L+2.7wins+0.05per pick22cpaid+10.6%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x006e…7c46backed Over63c1,037$650 inLost-$6506429.7%19 W · 45 L+2.3wins+0.04per pick26cpaid-11.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xa896…4819backed Under49c579$284 inWon+$295.491163.6%7 W · 4 L+2.5wins+0.23per pick41cpaid+43.5%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xdbdd…a5debacked Under55c515.86$282 inWon+$234.011,55952.4%817 W · 742 L+97.8wins+0.06per pick46cpaid+14.4%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x9ccc…e7e8backed Over51c500$255 inLost-$25528337.1%105 W · 178 L-9.2wins-0.03per pick40cpaid-19.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x37c1…8de1backed Under55c408.93$224 inWon+$185.3626047.3%123 W · 137 L+8.1wins+0.03per pick44cpaid+6.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x7300…e52cbacked Under37c326.26$119 inWon+$206.8277845%350 W · 428 L+10.1wins+0.01per pick44cpaid+6.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x02cf…813cbacked Under48c212.08$102 inWon+$110.281241.7%5 W · 7 L0.0wins0.00per pick41cpaid-13.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf66e…14b7backed Under59c171.5$100 inWon+$71.0877051.3%395 W · 375 L+29.1wins+0.04per pick48cpaid+5.3%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x1341…0853backed Under41c166.02$68 inWon+$97.9553448.5%259 W · 275 L-7.7wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-7%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x191e…dd9ebacked Over59c166.02$98 inLost-$97.958831.8%28 W · 60 L-5.8wins-0.07per pick38cpaid-17.3%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x1cef…2c8dbacked Under37c161.74$60 inWon+$101.7443460.4%262 W · 172 L+33.5wins+0.08per pick53cpaid+14.8%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xbb42…6e09backed Over55c160.11$88 inLost-$8862452.7%329 W · 295 L+10.6wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+3.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xac5a…1ac8backed Under32c108.78$35 inWon+$73.978231.7%26 W · 56 L+8.1wins+0.10per pick22cpaid+42%equal weight58+0.08 edge/pick
0xd0e1…99dbbacked Under41c101.03$42 inWon+$59.558049.1%285 W · 295 L+7.6wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+0.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6339…141ebacked Over60c100$60 inLost-$6010250%51 W · 51 L+2.9wins+0.03per pick47cpaid+2.6%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x9d5b…1578backed Under38c95.62$36 inWon+$59.4623858%138 W · 100 L+14.1wins+0.06per pick52cpaid+8%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xe907…cff6backed Over54c94.13$50 inLost-$50.488,61429.2%2,518 W · 6,096 L-166.6wins-0.02per pick31cpaid-32.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x91ac…5ff3backed Under33c85.08$28 inWon+$577354.8%40 W · 33 L+9.8wins+0.13per pick41cpaid+29.6%equal weight61+0.10 edge/pick
0x349e…867bbacked Under58c82.34$48 inWon+$34.3430547.2%144 W · 161 L+2.9wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-2.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xcf73…0215backed Under44c71.53$32 inWon+$39.923,07747%1,447 W · 1,630 L-11.5wins0.00per pick47cpaid-2.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9991…36b8backed Under40c70.73$28 inWon+$42.4419257.8%111 W · 81 L-2.1wins-0.01per pick59cpaid-2.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x09da…50bcbacked Under58c68.56$40 inWon+$28.8245548.6%221 W · 234 L+10.5wins+0.02per pick46cpaid-1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5cc8…a0e4backed Under43c60$26 inWon+$33.9686656.4%488 W · 378 L-13.8wins-0.02per pick58cpaid-2.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc7c3…37edbacked Over54c55.56$30 inLost-$306142.6%26 W · 35 L-0.4wins-0.01per pick43cpaid-12.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa216…b201backed Over59c50.85$30 inLost-$301258.3%7 W · 5 L+1.1wins+0.09per pick49cpaid+17.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x03c9…d8c1backed Over43c48.12$21 inLost-$20.8413158.8%77 W · 54 L+26.4wins+0.20per pick39cpaid+82.8%equal weight69+0.17 edge/pick
0x2bf3…4f00backed Under59c44.44$26 inWon+$18.2248055.2%265 W · 215 L+12.2wins+0.03per pick53cpaid+2.7%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x5210…bd53backed Under47c44.44$21 inWon+$23.552,79656.7%1,585 W · 1,211 L-9.2wins0.00per pick57cpaid-1.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xeda9…f624backed Under43c40.8$18 inWon+$23.071,15158.5%673 W · 478 L+0.6wins0.00per pick58cpaid-0.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4d5e…a235backed Over54c37.04$20 inLost-$201250%6 W · 6 L+0.5wins+0.05per pick45cpaid-11%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x6f67…102cbacked Under46c32.04$15 inWon+$17.341231.6%130 W · 282 L-5.8wins-0.01per pick33cpaid-8.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x204f…ba2cbacked Over50c30$15 inLost-$1545472.9%331 W · 123 L+18.8wins+0.04per pick69cpaid+4.6%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x4df7…2048backed Over59c25.42$15 inLost-$153036.7%11 W · 19 L-3.0wins-0.10per pick47cpaid-32.3%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xe83a…8355backed Under53c20.52$11 inWon+$9.6731853.1%169 W · 149 L+2.4wins+0.01per pick52cpaid-0.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 36 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.