TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Fifa International · resolved market

Spread: Netherlands (-2.5)

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Tunisiaof Netherlands, Tunisia
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$2,522,155
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$2,517,693

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $2,522,155 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 1,125 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Fifa International
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x0346…52a5backed Netherlands51c279,558$143,912 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$143,912.392,40737.7%908 W · 1,499 L-48.7wins-0.02per pick40cpaid-25.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Tunisia50c276,101$138,817 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$137,284.354,59540.3%1,850 W · 2,745 L-91.3wins-0.02per pick42cpaid-23.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x84cf…2f63backed Netherlands47c197,689$92,017 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$92,017.092,43929%707 W · 1,732 L-65.3wins-0.03per pick32cpaid-21%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xc31d…4ebebacked Tunisia51c177,969$90,764 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$87,205.033151.6%16 W · 15 L+2.7wins+0.09per pick43cpaid+38.9%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xc1da…fefabacked Tunisia52c173,761$90,618 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$83,142.994143.9%18 W · 23 L-1.3wins-0.03per pick47cpaid-6.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x032e…2a9ebacked Netherlands48c90,303$43,392 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$43,392.082,60337.8%984 W · 1,619 L-40.7wins-0.02per pick39cpaid-9.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa6d1…286abacked Tunisia52c84,474$43,661 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$40,812.717447.1%82 W · 92 L+0.5wins0.00per pick47cpaid-4.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x224a…a3d5backed Tunisia50c83,158$41,207 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$41,950.4377152.8%407 W · 364 L+17.7wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+1.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x35e2…9dcbbacked Netherlands50c80,659$40,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$40,0009045.6%41 W · 49 L+1.2wins+0.01per pick44cpaid-12.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf152…64aabacked Netherlands48c75,000$36,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$35,999.885263.5%33 W · 19 L+3.3wins+0.06per pick57cpaid+6.5%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x076d…8d4cbacked Tunisia51c73,674$37,542 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$36,131.872,27139.5%896 W · 1,375 L+10.1wins0.00per pick39cpaid+1.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1d2e…896dbacked Tunisia31c51,000$15,810 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$35,189.9714843.2%64 W · 84 L-3.0wins-0.02per pick45cpaid-2.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe872…819abacked Tunisia55c49,239$27,054 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$22,185.138952.8%47 W · 42 L+3.1wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+9.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x2c33…0563backed Tunisia50c44,362$22,181 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$22,180.974752.2%390 W · 357 L+2.4wins0.00per pick52cpaid-1.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xac47…d234backed Netherlands44c43,500$19,140 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19,14021029%61 W · 149 L-1.9wins-0.01per pick30cpaid-7.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xee0b…e6d4backed Netherlands44c42,780$18,823 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18,823.26634.8%23 W · 43 L-1.9wins-0.03per pick38cpaid-3.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x94d7…bef5backed Netherlands50c41,802$20,828 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20,827.9226320.5%54 W · 209 L-5.9wins-0.02per pick23cpaid-15.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe9a6…627bbacked Netherlands50c40,274$20,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20,00011645.7%53 W · 63 L+0.3wins0.00per pick45cpaid-1.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3cf6…0cbdbacked Tunisia56c40,000$22,400 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17,599.9813543%58 W · 77 L-8.5wins-0.06per pick49cpaid-12.1%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xc44f…d49fbacked Tunisia56c37,457$20,827 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16,630.334161%25 W · 16 L+0.2wins0.00per pick61cpaid-6.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x09d2…26aebacked Netherlands49c37,347$18,300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18,3004129.3%12 W · 29 L+0.9wins+0.02per pick27cpaid+9.9%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xe7a2…ae70backed Netherlands49c31,795$15,580 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15,579.548932.6%29 W · 60 L-10.7wins-0.12per pick45cpaid-30.7%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0x7b43…c5cbbacked Tunisia51c29,752$15,174 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14,577.724348.8%21 W · 22 L-0.4wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-3.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xfdfe…030ebacked Tunisia51c29,720$15,157 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14,562.782458.3%14 W · 10 L+1.7wins+0.07per pick51cpaid+15.4%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x2117…5c26backed Netherlands49c28,876$14,043 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14,043.411,98532.5%645 W · 1,340 L-47.7wins-0.02per pick35cpaid-13.4%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x91b9…3ab4backed Netherlands50c25,695$12,839 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12,839.459645.8%44 W · 52 L-1.3wins-0.01per pick47cpaid+1.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x412f…ff77backed Tunisia55c24,342$13,460 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10,881.482250%11 W · 11 L0.0wins0.00per pick50cpaid+5.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xdb85…152fbacked Netherlands51c23,636$12,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12,00018740.6%76 W · 111 L+3.2wins+0.02per pick39cpaid-10.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x332a…c9a2backed Netherlands43c23,425$10,147 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10,146.997237.5%27 W · 45 L-0.8wins-0.01per pick39cpaid-14.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0cc0…5765backed Netherlands64c23,024$14,656 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14,655.816152.5%32 W · 29 L-0.6wins-0.01per pick53cpaid-7.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1341…0853backed Tunisia54c22,121$11,888 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10,233.453448.5%259 W · 275 L-7.7wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-7%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x60ba…3c6cbacked Tunisia50c21,842$10,852 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10,990.3147144.8%211 W · 260 L-4.7wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-8.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe653…c4a7backed Netherlands49c20,000$9,800 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9,8009451.1%48 W · 46 L-3.5wins-0.04per pick55cpaid-8.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x8b88…8f33backed Netherlands49c20,000$9,800 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9,799.986149.2%30 W · 31 L+0.2wins0.00per pick49cpaid-0.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1418…6fefbacked Tunisia50c19,854$9,949 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9,905.7547643.3%206 W · 270 L-10.9wins-0.02per pick46cpaid-11%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2f5b…e747backed Tunisia51c18,629$9,499 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9,129.8548441.9%203 W · 281 L-16.8wins-0.03per pick45cpaid-15.4%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x1509…ca95backed Tunisia51c17,964$9,162 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8,802.2712255.7%68 W · 54 L+8.2wins+0.07per pick49cpaid+13.2%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x5c74…4ef0backed Tunisia56c17,871$9,919 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7,951.795653.6%30 W · 26 L+1.7wins+0.03per pick51cpaid+5.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6d3c…d294backed Tunisia51c16,104$8,241 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7,863.911,26247.5%600 W · 662 L-15.8wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-2.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xdac7…6d53backed Netherlands45c15,589$6,959 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6,959.379131.9%29 W · 62 L-6.5wins-0.07per pick39cpaid-21.1%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0xa974…ef79backed Netherlands51c15,000$7,650 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7,65022229.7%66 W · 156 L+3.9wins+0.02per pick28cpaid+8.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6eb7…3cd4backed Netherlands54c14,815$8,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8,0007035.7%25 W · 45 L-4.1wins-0.06per pick42cpaid-31%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xfe78…0319backed Netherlands42c14,582$6,097 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6,096.741,14439.2%448 W · 696 L-8.4wins-0.01per pick40cpaid-14.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x361b…74febacked Tunisia52c14,441$7,455 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6,985.8851032.5%166 W · 344 L-9.1wins-0.02per pick34cpaid-13.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xaa6f…1dfebacked Netherlands53c13,894$7,364 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7,364.078648.8%42 W · 44 L+10.1wins+0.12per pick37cpaid+77.2%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0x02af…aaa9backed Tunisia51c13,836$7,056 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6,779.6313448.5%65 W · 69 L+0.7wins+0.01per pick48cpaid-3.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa804…2a75backed Tunisia48c13,378$6,376 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7,002.1414055.7%78 W · 62 L+15.5wins+0.11per pick45cpaid+22.6%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0x4133…e7a9backed Tunisia51c12,866$6,554 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6,312.3444144%194 W · 247 L-6.1wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-7.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x20e5…118dbacked Tunisia50c12,532$6,215 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6,317.3833549%164 W · 171 L-5.1wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-7.4%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x0520…e4e0backed Netherlands50c11,892$6,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6,00025336.8%93 W · 160 L+0.9wins0.00per pick36cpaid-4.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe4fc…8af7backed Tunisia51c11,623$5,905 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,718.1950243.4%218 W · 284 L-9.0wins-0.02per pick45cpaid-9.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2114…84c5backed Tunisia53c11,127$5,897 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,229.628348.2%40 W · 43 L-1.4wins-0.02per pick50cpaid+55.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x19b5…c0aebacked Tunisia56c10,949$6,125 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,824.037757.1%44 W · 33 L+5.5wins+0.07per pick50cpaid+16.6%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x30e1…8be4backed Netherlands49c10,204$5,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,0004233.3%14 W · 28 L-0.7wins-0.02per pick35cpaid-21.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe214…c5cebacked Netherlands50c10,000$5,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,00022437.1%83 W · 141 L+5.5wins+0.02per pick35cpaid-1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5faf…1183backed Netherlands49c10,000$4,900 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,9009823.5%23 W · 75 L-5.0wins-0.05per pick29cpaid-33.4%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x57b4…b46bbacked Tunisia51c10,000$5,100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,90010059%59 W · 41 L-0.6wins-0.01per pick60cpaid-2.5%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x4582…619ebacked Netherlands48c10,000$4,800 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,8008735.6%31 W · 56 L-6.1wins-0.07per pick43cpaid-36.8%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xa9f5…a96fbacked Tunisia56c10,000$5,600 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,4004344.2%19 W · 24 L-0.9wins-0.02per pick46cpaid-7.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb00d…af5fbacked Tunisia55c10,000$5,500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,499.999650%48 W · 48 L+1.6wins+0.02per pick48cpaid-0.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8d5d…191dbacked Tunisia56c10,000$5,600 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,399.996842.6%29 W · 39 L-4.3wins-0.06per pick49cpaid-16.9%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xe987…f0e1backed Netherlands48c10,000$4,800 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,799.9938026.6%101 W · 279 L-10.0wins-0.03per pick29cpaid-21.6%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xf421…cff4backed Tunisia52c9,615$5,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,615.3810849.1%53 W · 55 L+0.6wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-0.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6be9…5998backed Netherlands79c9,255$7,311 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7,310.5237242.5%158 W · 214 L+7.4wins+0.02per pick40cpaid-2.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc41d…74fdbacked Netherlands45c9,075$4,084 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,083.7114139%55 W · 86 L-4.9wins-0.03per pick42cpaid-7.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x8228…b2fbbacked Tunisia54c8,969$4,825 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,143.788251.2%42 W · 40 L+0.3wins0.00per pick51cpaid0%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x93eb…c387backed Tunisia48c8,894$4,269 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,624.888349.4%41 W · 42 L-0.5wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-0.9%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0xe907…cff6backed Netherlands52c8,550$4,425 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,425.038,61429.2%2,518 W · 6,096 L-166.6wins-0.02per pick31cpaid-32.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf93c…7ab3backed Netherlands67c8,390$5,635 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,634.91560%3 W · 2 L+1.4wins+0.28per pick32cpaid+285.6%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x0a77…9d74backed Tunisia48c8,377$4,025 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,352.1121849.5%108 W · 110 L+2.5wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa080…234fbacked Tunisia50c8,000$4,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,00015950.3%80 W · 79 L-1.0wins-0.01per pick51cpaid+1.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1ba1…1ce4backed Netherlands53c8,000$4,240 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,2402842.9%12 W · 16 L-2.6wins-0.09per pick52cpaid-18.4%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x7236…ea53backed Tunisia49c8,000$3,920 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,08036250.8%184 W · 178 L-6.7wins-0.02per pick53cpaid-1.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xaabb…5554backed Tunisia50c7,882$3,970 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,912.147442.8%203 W · 271 L-14.1wins-0.03per pick46cpaid-12.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xd0e1…99dbbacked Netherlands69c7,704$5,315 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,314.8258049.1%285 W · 295 L+7.6wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+0.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xceed…f8eebacked Netherlands50c7,500$3,750 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,7508158%47 W · 34 L+4.5wins+0.06per pick52cpaid+4.9%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x52d9…fb1abacked Tunisia52c7,287$3,778 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,509.621,94135.5%690 W · 1,251 L-25.4wins-0.01per pick37cpaid-11.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x160b…4296backed Netherlands49c7,069$3,464 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,463.811,04443.7%456 W · 588 L+20.7wins+0.02per pick42cpaid+14.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x794d…53c8backed Netherlands44c6,818$3,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,0005240.4%21 W · 31 L-2.1wins-0.04per pick44cpaid-17.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x1a66…ae5ebacked Tunisia51c6,282$3,204 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,078.47452.7%39 W · 35 L+2.0wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+3.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe3dc…eaa8backed Netherlands49c6,033$2,956 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,956.082040%8 W · 12 L-2.2wins-0.11per pick51cpaid-26.2%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xa8df…2e5cbacked Netherlands50c6,000$3,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,000650%3 W · 3 L+0.7wins+0.12per pick38cpaid+64.7%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xe275…f1eebacked Netherlands49c5,714$2,800 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,8004032.5%13 W · 27 L-3.1wins-0.08per pick40cpaid-30.6%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x3cea…e48ebacked Netherlands45c5,609$2,536 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,536.1624146.1%111 W · 130 L+8.9wins+0.04per pick42cpaid+16.9%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xb10b…0b04backed Netherlands50c5,555$2,778 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,777.532029.4%94 W · 226 L-2.6wins-0.01per pick30cpaid-11.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9e70…14babacked Netherlands47c5,142$2,442 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,442.183348.5%16 W · 17 L-2.3wins-0.07per pick56cpaid-14.5%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x9a3f…914abacked Netherlands79c5,100$4,042 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,042.1421850%109 W · 109 L+4.4wins+0.02per pick48cpaid-10.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2805…76edbacked Netherlands49c5,027$2,463 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,463.1920448%98 W · 106 L+1.1wins+0.01per pick47cpaid-1%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x1b8f…cca7backed Netherlands48c5,000$2,400 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,4008337.3%31 W · 52 L-0.9wins-0.01per pick38cpaid-4.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x13b8…d1afbacked Netherlands52c5,000$2,600 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,599.9912655.6%70 W · 56 L+9.9wins+0.08per pick48cpaid+13.1%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0x811e…ce09backed Tunisia51c4,902$2,500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,401.968035%28 W · 52 L-2.3wins-0.03per pick38cpaid-12.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x224f…514abacked Tunisia53c4,700$2,492 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,207.731,53649.1%754 W · 782 L+32.8wins+0.02per pick47cpaid+3.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x8d98…e447backed Netherlands51c4,653$2,350 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,349.754250%21 W · 21 L+0.9wins+0.02per pick48cpaid-2.2%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xc291…5d74backed Tunisia32c4,589$1,450 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,1394,45737.2%1,657 W · 2,800 L+31.0wins+0.01per pick36cpaid-8.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8ad1…9198backed Tunisia51c4,551$2,321 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,230.048453.6%45 W · 39 L+5.5wins+0.07per pick47cpaid+15.4%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Netherlands45c4,503$2,021 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,020.863,69636.9%1,364 W · 2,332 L-44.0wins-0.01per pick38cpaid-23.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa18c…d792backed Netherlands44c4,450$1,980 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,979.9624058.8%141 W · 99 L+19.8wins+0.08per pick50cpaid+15.1%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xf93f…f94bbacked Netherlands46c4,348$2,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,00025019.6%49 W · 201 L-5.6wins-0.02per pick22cpaid-38.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x8d06…f79dbacked Netherlands46c4,227$1,945 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,944.5712536.8%46 W · 79 L+3.1wins+0.02per pick34cpaid-3.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x31c1…bc19backed Netherlands48c4,125$2,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,0006457.8%37 W · 27 L0.0wins0.00per pick58cpaid-3.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 36 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.