Fifa International · resolved market
Spread: Netherlands (-2.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xb7dd583abff48e738900a1da4edf31e31d7d7834afe6f460345c597d50ad2497
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Tunisiaof Netherlands, Tunisia
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $2,522,155
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $2,517,693
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $2,522,155 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 1,125 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Fifa International | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x0346…52a5backed Netherlands | 51c | 279,558$143,912 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$143,912.39 | 2,407 | 37.7%908 W · 1,499 L | -48.7wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -25.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Tunisia | 50c | 276,101$138,817 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$137,284.35 | 4,595 | 40.3%1,850 W · 2,745 L | -91.3wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -23.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x84cf…2f63backed Netherlands | 47c | 197,689$92,017 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$92,017.09 | 2,439 | 29%707 W · 1,732 L | -65.3wins | -0.03per pick | 32cpaid | -21%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc31d…4ebebacked Tunisia | 51c | 177,969$90,764 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$87,205.03 | 31 | 51.6%16 W · 15 L | +2.7wins | +0.09per pick | 43cpaid | +38.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc1da…fefabacked Tunisia | 52c | 173,761$90,618 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$83,142.99 | 41 | 43.9%18 W · 23 L | -1.3wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x032e…2a9ebacked Netherlands | 48c | 90,303$43,392 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43,392.08 | 2,603 | 37.8%984 W · 1,619 L | -40.7wins | -0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa6d1…286abacked Tunisia | 52c | 84,474$43,661 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40,812.7 | 174 | 47.1%82 W · 92 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x224a…a3d5backed Tunisia | 50c | 83,158$41,207 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41,950.43 | 771 | 52.8%407 W · 364 L | +17.7wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x35e2…9dcbbacked Netherlands | 50c | 80,659$40,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40,000 | 90 | 45.6%41 W · 49 L | +1.2wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf152…64aabacked Netherlands | 48c | 75,000$36,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35,999.88 | 52 | 63.5%33 W · 19 L | +3.3wins | +0.06per pick | 57cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x076d…8d4cbacked Tunisia | 51c | 73,674$37,542 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36,131.87 | 2,271 | 39.5%896 W · 1,375 L | +10.1wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1d2e…896dbacked Tunisia | 31c | 51,000$15,810 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35,189.97 | 148 | 43.2%64 W · 84 L | -3.0wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe872…819abacked Tunisia | 55c | 49,239$27,054 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22,185.13 | 89 | 52.8%47 W · 42 L | +3.1wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +9.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2c33…0563backed Tunisia | 50c | 44,362$22,181 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22,180.9 | 747 | 52.2%390 W · 357 L | +2.4wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xac47…d234backed Netherlands | 44c | 43,500$19,140 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19,140 | 210 | 29%61 W · 149 L | -1.9wins | -0.01per pick | 30cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xee0b…e6d4backed Netherlands | 44c | 42,780$18,823 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18,823.2 | 66 | 34.8%23 W · 43 L | -1.9wins | -0.03per pick | 38cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x94d7…bef5backed Netherlands | 50c | 41,802$20,828 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20,827.92 | 263 | 20.5%54 W · 209 L | -5.9wins | -0.02per pick | 23cpaid | -15.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe9a6…627bbacked Netherlands | 50c | 40,274$20,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20,000 | 116 | 45.7%53 W · 63 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3cf6…0cbdbacked Tunisia | 56c | 40,000$22,400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17,599.98 | 135 | 43%58 W · 77 L | -8.5wins | -0.06per pick | 49cpaid | -12.1%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc44f…d49fbacked Tunisia | 56c | 37,457$20,827 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16,630.33 | 41 | 61%25 W · 16 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 61cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x09d2…26aebacked Netherlands | 49c | 37,347$18,300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18,300 | 41 | 29.3%12 W · 29 L | +0.9wins | +0.02per pick | 27cpaid | +9.9%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe7a2…ae70backed Netherlands | 49c | 31,795$15,580 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15,579.54 | 89 | 32.6%29 W · 60 L | -10.7wins | -0.12per pick | 45cpaid | -30.7%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x7b43…c5cbbacked Tunisia | 51c | 29,752$15,174 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14,577.72 | 43 | 48.8%21 W · 22 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfdfe…030ebacked Tunisia | 51c | 29,720$15,157 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14,562.78 | 24 | 58.3%14 W · 10 L | +1.7wins | +0.07per pick | 51cpaid | +15.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2117…5c26backed Netherlands | 49c | 28,876$14,043 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14,043.41 | 1,985 | 32.5%645 W · 1,340 L | -47.7wins | -0.02per pick | 35cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x91b9…3ab4backed Netherlands | 50c | 25,695$12,839 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12,839.45 | 96 | 45.8%44 W · 52 L | -1.3wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x412f…ff77backed Tunisia | 55c | 24,342$13,460 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10,881.48 | 22 | 50%11 W · 11 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdb85…152fbacked Netherlands | 51c | 23,636$12,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12,000 | 187 | 40.6%76 W · 111 L | +3.2wins | +0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x332a…c9a2backed Netherlands | 43c | 23,425$10,147 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10,146.99 | 72 | 37.5%27 W · 45 L | -0.8wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -14.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0cc0…5765backed Netherlands | 64c | 23,024$14,656 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14,655.81 | 61 | 52.5%32 W · 29 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1341…0853backed Tunisia | 54c | 22,121$11,888 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10,233.4 | 534 | 48.5%259 W · 275 L | -7.7wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -7%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x60ba…3c6cbacked Tunisia | 50c | 21,842$10,852 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10,990.31 | 471 | 44.8%211 W · 260 L | -4.7wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe653…c4a7backed Netherlands | 49c | 20,000$9,800 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$9,800 | 94 | 51.1%48 W · 46 L | -3.5wins | -0.04per pick | 55cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8b88…8f33backed Netherlands | 49c | 20,000$9,800 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$9,799.98 | 61 | 49.2%30 W · 31 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1418…6fefbacked Tunisia | 50c | 19,854$9,949 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9,905.75 | 476 | 43.3%206 W · 270 L | -10.9wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -11%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2f5b…e747backed Tunisia | 51c | 18,629$9,499 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9,129.85 | 484 | 41.9%203 W · 281 L | -16.8wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1509…ca95backed Tunisia | 51c | 17,964$9,162 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8,802.27 | 122 | 55.7%68 W · 54 L | +8.2wins | +0.07per pick | 49cpaid | +13.2%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5c74…4ef0backed Tunisia | 56c | 17,871$9,919 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,951.79 | 56 | 53.6%30 W · 26 L | +1.7wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Tunisia | 51c | 16,104$8,241 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,863.91 | 1,262 | 47.5%600 W · 662 L | -15.8wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdac7…6d53backed Netherlands | 45c | 15,589$6,959 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,959.37 | 91 | 31.9%29 W · 62 L | -6.5wins | -0.07per pick | 39cpaid | -21.1%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa974…ef79backed Netherlands | 51c | 15,000$7,650 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,650 | 222 | 29.7%66 W · 156 L | +3.9wins | +0.02per pick | 28cpaid | +8.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6eb7…3cd4backed Netherlands | 54c | 14,815$8,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$8,000 | 70 | 35.7%25 W · 45 L | -4.1wins | -0.06per pick | 42cpaid | -31%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Netherlands | 42c | 14,582$6,097 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,096.74 | 1,144 | 39.2%448 W · 696 L | -8.4wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -14.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x361b…74febacked Tunisia | 52c | 14,441$7,455 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,985.88 | 510 | 32.5%166 W · 344 L | -9.1wins | -0.02per pick | 34cpaid | -13.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xaa6f…1dfebacked Netherlands | 53c | 13,894$7,364 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,364.07 | 86 | 48.8%42 W · 44 L | +10.1wins | +0.12per pick | 37cpaid | +77.2%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x02af…aaa9backed Tunisia | 51c | 13,836$7,056 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,779.63 | 134 | 48.5%65 W · 69 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa804…2a75backed Tunisia | 48c | 13,378$6,376 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,002.14 | 140 | 55.7%78 W · 62 L | +15.5wins | +0.11per pick | 45cpaid | +22.6%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x4133…e7a9backed Tunisia | 51c | 12,866$6,554 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,312.34 | 441 | 44%194 W · 247 L | -6.1wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x20e5…118dbacked Tunisia | 50c | 12,532$6,215 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,317.38 | 335 | 49%164 W · 171 L | -5.1wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0520…e4e0backed Netherlands | 50c | 11,892$6,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,000 | 253 | 36.8%93 W · 160 L | +0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 36cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe4fc…8af7backed Tunisia | 51c | 11,623$5,905 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,718.19 | 502 | 43.4%218 W · 284 L | -9.0wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2114…84c5backed Tunisia | 53c | 11,127$5,897 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,229.62 | 83 | 48.2%40 W · 43 L | -1.4wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +55.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x19b5…c0aebacked Tunisia | 56c | 10,949$6,125 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,824.03 | 77 | 57.1%44 W · 33 L | +5.5wins | +0.07per pick | 50cpaid | +16.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x30e1…8be4backed Netherlands | 49c | 10,204$5,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,000 | 42 | 33.3%14 W · 28 L | -0.7wins | -0.02per pick | 35cpaid | -21.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe214…c5cebacked Netherlands | 50c | 10,000$5,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,000 | 224 | 37.1%83 W · 141 L | +5.5wins | +0.02per pick | 35cpaid | -1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5faf…1183backed Netherlands | 49c | 10,000$4,900 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,900 | 98 | 23.5%23 W · 75 L | -5.0wins | -0.05per pick | 29cpaid | -33.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x57b4…b46bbacked Tunisia | 51c | 10,000$5,100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,900 | 100 | 59%59 W · 41 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 60cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4582…619ebacked Netherlands | 48c | 10,000$4,800 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,800 | 87 | 35.6%31 W · 56 L | -6.1wins | -0.07per pick | 43cpaid | -36.8%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f5…a96fbacked Tunisia | 56c | 10,000$5,600 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,400 | 43 | 44.2%19 W · 24 L | -0.9wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb00d…af5fbacked Tunisia | 55c | 10,000$5,500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,499.99 | 96 | 50%48 W · 48 L | +1.6wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8d5d…191dbacked Tunisia | 56c | 10,000$5,600 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,399.99 | 68 | 42.6%29 W · 39 L | -4.3wins | -0.06per pick | 49cpaid | -16.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe987…f0e1backed Netherlands | 48c | 10,000$4,800 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,799.99 | 380 | 26.6%101 W · 279 L | -10.0wins | -0.03per pick | 29cpaid | -21.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf421…cff4backed Tunisia | 52c | 9,615$5,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,615.38 | 108 | 49.1%53 W · 55 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6be9…5998backed Netherlands | 79c | 9,255$7,311 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,310.52 | 372 | 42.5%158 W · 214 L | +7.4wins | +0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc41d…74fdbacked Netherlands | 45c | 9,075$4,084 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,083.71 | 141 | 39%55 W · 86 L | -4.9wins | -0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8228…b2fbbacked Tunisia | 54c | 8,969$4,825 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,143.78 | 82 | 51.2%42 W · 40 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | 0%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x93eb…c387backed Tunisia | 48c | 8,894$4,269 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,624.88 | 83 | 49.4%41 W · 42 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Netherlands | 52c | 8,550$4,425 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,425.03 | 8,614 | 29.2%2,518 W · 6,096 L | -166.6wins | -0.02per pick | 31cpaid | -32.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf93c…7ab3backed Netherlands | 67c | 8,390$5,635 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,634.91 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +1.4wins | +0.28per pick | 32cpaid | +285.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0a77…9d74backed Tunisia | 48c | 8,377$4,025 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,352.11 | 218 | 49.5%108 W · 110 L | +2.5wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa080…234fbacked Tunisia | 50c | 8,000$4,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,000 | 159 | 50.3%80 W · 79 L | -1.0wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1ba1…1ce4backed Netherlands | 53c | 8,000$4,240 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,240 | 28 | 42.9%12 W · 16 L | -2.6wins | -0.09per pick | 52cpaid | -18.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7236…ea53backed Tunisia | 49c | 8,000$3,920 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,080 | 362 | 50.8%184 W · 178 L | -6.7wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xaabb…5554backed Tunisia | 50c | 7,882$3,970 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,912.1 | 474 | 42.8%203 W · 271 L | -14.1wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd0e1…99dbbacked Netherlands | 69c | 7,704$5,315 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,314.82 | 580 | 49.1%285 W · 295 L | +7.6wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xceed…f8eebacked Netherlands | 50c | 7,500$3,750 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,750 | 81 | 58%47 W · 34 L | +4.5wins | +0.06per pick | 52cpaid | +4.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x52d9…fb1abacked Tunisia | 52c | 7,287$3,778 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,509.62 | 1,941 | 35.5%690 W · 1,251 L | -25.4wins | -0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x160b…4296backed Netherlands | 49c | 7,069$3,464 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,463.81 | 1,044 | 43.7%456 W · 588 L | +20.7wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | +14.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x794d…53c8backed Netherlands | 44c | 6,818$3,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,000 | 52 | 40.4%21 W · 31 L | -2.1wins | -0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -17.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1a66…ae5ebacked Tunisia | 51c | 6,282$3,204 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,078.4 | 74 | 52.7%39 W · 35 L | +2.0wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe3dc…eaa8backed Netherlands | 49c | 6,033$2,956 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,956.08 | 20 | 40%8 W · 12 L | -2.2wins | -0.11per pick | 51cpaid | -26.2%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa8df…2e5cbacked Netherlands | 50c | 6,000$3,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,000 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +0.7wins | +0.12per pick | 38cpaid | +64.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe275…f1eebacked Netherlands | 49c | 5,714$2,800 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,800 | 40 | 32.5%13 W · 27 L | -3.1wins | -0.08per pick | 40cpaid | -30.6%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3cea…e48ebacked Netherlands | 45c | 5,609$2,536 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,536.16 | 241 | 46.1%111 W · 130 L | +8.9wins | +0.04per pick | 42cpaid | +16.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb10b…0b04backed Netherlands | 50c | 5,555$2,778 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,777.5 | 320 | 29.4%94 W · 226 L | -2.6wins | -0.01per pick | 30cpaid | -11.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9e70…14babacked Netherlands | 47c | 5,142$2,442 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,442.18 | 33 | 48.5%16 W · 17 L | -2.3wins | -0.07per pick | 56cpaid | -14.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9a3f…914abacked Netherlands | 79c | 5,100$4,042 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,042.14 | 218 | 50%109 W · 109 L | +4.4wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2805…76edbacked Netherlands | 49c | 5,027$2,463 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,463.19 | 204 | 48%98 W · 106 L | +1.1wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -1%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1b8f…cca7backed Netherlands | 48c | 5,000$2,400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,400 | 83 | 37.3%31 W · 52 L | -0.9wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x13b8…d1afbacked Netherlands | 52c | 5,000$2,600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,599.99 | 126 | 55.6%70 W · 56 L | +9.9wins | +0.08per pick | 48cpaid | +13.1%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x811e…ce09backed Tunisia | 51c | 4,902$2,500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,401.96 | 80 | 35%28 W · 52 L | -2.3wins | -0.03per pick | 38cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x224f…514abacked Tunisia | 53c | 4,700$2,492 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,207.73 | 1,536 | 49.1%754 W · 782 L | +32.8wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8d98…e447backed Netherlands | 51c | 4,653$2,350 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,349.75 | 42 | 50%21 W · 21 L | +0.9wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed Tunisia | 32c | 4,589$1,450 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,139 | 4,457 | 37.2%1,657 W · 2,800 L | +31.0wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8ad1…9198backed Tunisia | 51c | 4,551$2,321 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,230.04 | 84 | 53.6%45 W · 39 L | +5.5wins | +0.07per pick | 47cpaid | +15.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Netherlands | 45c | 4,503$2,021 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,020.86 | 3,696 | 36.9%1,364 W · 2,332 L | -44.0wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -23.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa18c…d792backed Netherlands | 44c | 4,450$1,980 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,979.96 | 240 | 58.8%141 W · 99 L | +19.8wins | +0.08per pick | 50cpaid | +15.1%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xf93f…f94bbacked Netherlands | 46c | 4,348$2,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,000 | 250 | 19.6%49 W · 201 L | -5.6wins | -0.02per pick | 22cpaid | -38.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8d06…f79dbacked Netherlands | 46c | 4,227$1,945 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,944.57 | 125 | 36.8%46 W · 79 L | +3.1wins | +0.02per pick | 34cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x31c1…bc19backed Netherlands | 48c | 4,125$2,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,000 | 64 | 57.8%37 W · 27 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 58cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 36 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Spread: Netherlands (-2.5)this page
- Spread: Netherlands (-1.5)Netherlands won
- Spread: Netherlands (-3.5)Tunisia won
- Spread: Netherlands (-4.5)Tunisia won
- Spread: Netherlands (-5.5)Tunisia won
- Spread: Tunisia (-1.5)Netherlands won
- Tunisia vs. Netherlands: 1st Half O/U 0.5Over won
- Tunisia vs. Netherlands: 1st Half O/U 1.5Over won
- Tunisia vs. Netherlands: 1st Half O/U 2.5Under won
- Tunisia vs. Netherlands: 2nd Half O/U 0.5Over won
- Tunisia vs. Netherlands: 2nd Half O/U 1.5Over won
- Tunisia vs. Netherlands: 2nd Half O/U 2.5Under won
- Tunisia vs. Netherlands: Both Teams to ScoreYes won
- Tunisia vs. Netherlands: Both Teams to Score in First HalfNo won
- Tunisia vs. Netherlands: Both Teams to Score in Second HalfYes won
- Tunisia vs. Netherlands: Netherlands 1st Half O/U 0.5Over won
- Tunisia vs. Netherlands: Netherlands 1st Half O/U 1.5Over won
- Tunisia vs. Netherlands: Netherlands 2nd Half O/U 0.5Over won
- Tunisia vs. Netherlands: Netherlands 2nd Half O/U 1.5Under won
- Tunisia vs. Netherlands: Netherlands O/U 0.5Over won
- Tunisia vs. Netherlands: Netherlands O/U 1.5Over won
- Tunisia vs. Netherlands: Netherlands O/U 2.5Over won
- Tunisia vs. Netherlands: O/U 0.5Over won
- Tunisia vs. Netherlands: O/U 1.5Over won
- Tunisia vs. Netherlands: O/U 2.5Over won
- Tunisia vs. Netherlands: O/U 3.5Over won
- Tunisia vs. Netherlands: O/U 4.5Under won
- Tunisia vs. Netherlands: O/U 5.5Under won
- Tunisia vs. Netherlands: O/U 6.5Under won
- Tunisia vs. Netherlands: O/U 7.5Under won
- Tunisia vs. Netherlands: O/U 8.5Under won
- Tunisia vs. Netherlands: Tunisia 1st Half O/U 0.5Under won
- Tunisia vs. Netherlands: Tunisia 1st Half O/U 1.5Under won
- Tunisia vs. Netherlands: Tunisia O/U 0.5Over won
- Tunisia vs. Netherlands: Tunisia O/U 1.5Under won
- Tunisia vs. Netherlands: Tunisia O/U 2.5Under won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.