Fifa International · resolved market
Tunisia vs. Netherlands: O/U 1.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xf731e598c0a3b7334b370dbb982f3ebbaf4243ee100a4ec51d6a0513061702c8
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $353,006
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $371,036
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $353,006 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 41 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Fifa International | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x2b46…684dbacked Under | 1c | 139,496$779 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$779 | 29 | 31%9 W · 20 L | -1.6wins | -0.06per pick | 37cpaid | -39.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf031…c80cbacked Under | 12c | 93,844$11,261 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11,261.26 | 335 | 38.2%128 W · 207 L | +9.7wins | +0.03per pick | 35cpaid | +14.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2165…f598backed Under | 13c | 10,000$1,300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,300 | 207 | 24.6%51 W · 156 L | -1.4wins | -0.01per pick | 25cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x56f4…9ec5backed Under | 1c | 7,917$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.78 | 413 | 31%128 W · 285 L | +0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 31cpaid | -35.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Under | 13c | 5,083$679 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$678.99 | 4,595 | 40.3%1,850 W · 2,745 L | -91.3wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -23.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x325f…4511backed Under | 2c | 3,750$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75 | 1,627 | 32.1%523 W · 1,104 L | +4.0wins | 0.00per pick | 32cpaid | -19.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x51af…8720backed Under | 12c | 3,200$384 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$384 | 19 | 15.8%3 W · 16 L | -1.0wins | -0.05per pick | 21cpaid | -53.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Under | 2c | 2,965$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59.3 | 3,696 | 36.9%1,364 W · 2,332 L | -44.0wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -23.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x90ba…63f3backed Under | 13c | 2,150$280 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$279.5 | 605 | 11.4%69 W · 536 L | -16.5wins | -0.03per pick | 14cpaid | -38%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked Under | 13c | 1,926$241 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$241.24 | 1,560 | 43.8%684 W · 876 L | -4.4wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Under | 20c | 1,185$238 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$238.03 | 1,262 | 47.5%600 W · 662 L | -15.8wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x54a2…1d43backed Under | 4c | 1,179$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.14 | 31 | 32.3%10 W · 21 L | +5.5wins | +0.18per pick | 15cpaid | +71.8%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xe270…eab5backed Under | 10c | 980$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.8 | 241 | 36.9%89 W · 152 L | +1.7wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -14.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf6f1…7da3backed Over | 75c | 931$697 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$233.71 | 10 | 100%10 W · 0 L | +3.9wins | +0.39per pick | 61cpaid | +100.1%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xd722…0564backed Under | 13c | 773.77$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 194 | 36.6%71 W · 123 L | +1.6wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5e30…acbfbacked Under | 20c | 626$125 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$125.2 | 597 | 52.1%311 W · 286 L | -2.8wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5690…7a58backed Under | 8c | 607.93$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.36 | 87 | 31%27 W · 60 L | +7.4wins | +0.08per pick | 23cpaid | +35.7%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xadfb…c2efbacked Under | 12c | 592.42$69 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$68.71 | 1,945 | 42.7%831 W · 1,114 L | -11.2wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa2c3…ac23backed Under | 12c | 499.95$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59.99 | 957 | 39.5%378 W · 579 L | -18.4wins | -0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xac5a…1ac8backed Under | 9c | 389.74$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.41 | 82 | 31.7%26 W · 56 L | +8.1wins | +0.10per pick | 22cpaid | +42%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x8077…ffefbacked Over | 52c | 385.72$201 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$185.15 | 39 | 35.9%14 W · 25 L | +6.7wins | +0.17per pick | 19cpaid | +97.7%equal weight | 62+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x0fce…63d5backed Under | 13c | 378.44$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.4 | 1,313 | 48.9%642 W · 671 L | +12.3wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x83d9…10d9backed Under | 13c | 366.46$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.79 | 1,390 | 46.3%644 W · 746 L | +20.9wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbe29…eb76backed Under | 13c | 307.69$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 121 | 52.1%63 W · 58 L | +9.0wins | +0.07per pick | 45cpaid | +15.2%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7495…7fcfbacked Under | 6c | 250$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 609 | 8.4%51 W · 558 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 8cpaid | +16.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3e59…2a66backed Under | 8c | 245.81$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.66 | 1,063 | 31.7%337 W · 726 L | -33.7wins | -0.03per pick | 35cpaid | -17.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x692b…b4f2backed Under | 12c | 199.99$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24 | 43 | 23.3%10 W · 33 L | -3.0wins | -0.07per pick | 30cpaid | -33%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1f67…4869backed Under | 13c | 192.31$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 18 | 22.2%4 W · 14 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 23cpaid | -27.4%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd38c…371ebacked Under | 13c | 153.85$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 201 | 33.8%68 W · 133 L | +14.0wins | +0.07per pick | 27cpaid | +33.9%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9260…7a42backed Under | 13c | 135.23$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.58 | 17 | 52.9%9 W · 8 L | +2.5wins | +0.15per pick | 38cpaid | +33.2%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xeb2e…7821backed Under | 11c | 120$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.2 | 1,421 | 47.8%679 W · 742 L | -0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8636…81d8backed Under | 13c | 112.77$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.66 | 95 | 42.1%40 W · 55 L | +1.1wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | +38.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa9a9…5c31backed Under | 13c | 102.67$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.35 | 80 | 65%52 W · 28 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 64cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf092…fb7fbacked Under | 13c | 100$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | +0.5wins | +0.06per pick | 19cpaid | +42%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2b35…0bfebacked Under | 11c | 100$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 1,204 | 48.9%589 W · 615 L | +18.2wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdc4f…9804backed Under | 11c | 99.99$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.5 | 848 | 44.3%376 W · 472 L | -6.4wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe8c4…395dbacked Under | 21c | 99.98$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21 | 406 | 49.8%202 W · 204 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed Under | 12c | 88.12$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.57 | 2,819 | 44.5%1,255 W · 1,564 L | -36.2wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa5d0…2527backed Under | 13c | 77.38$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.06 | 106 | 42.5%45 W · 61 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1ccb…6cb3backed Over | 66c | 20$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.8 | 176 | 45.5%80 W · 96 L | +5.5wins | +0.03per pick | 42cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe29c…a31dbacked Over | 55c | 19$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.55 | 128 | 47.7%61 W · 67 L | +13.4wins | +0.10per pick | 37cpaid | +28.2%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 36 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Tunisia vs. Netherlands: O/U 1.5this page
- Spread: Netherlands (-1.5)Netherlands won
- Spread: Netherlands (-2.5)Tunisia won
- Spread: Netherlands (-3.5)Tunisia won
- Spread: Netherlands (-4.5)Tunisia won
- Spread: Netherlands (-5.5)Tunisia won
- Spread: Tunisia (-1.5)Netherlands won
- Tunisia vs. Netherlands: 1st Half O/U 0.5Over won
- Tunisia vs. Netherlands: 1st Half O/U 1.5Over won
- Tunisia vs. Netherlands: 1st Half O/U 2.5Under won
- Tunisia vs. Netherlands: 2nd Half O/U 0.5Over won
- Tunisia vs. Netherlands: 2nd Half O/U 1.5Over won
- Tunisia vs. Netherlands: 2nd Half O/U 2.5Under won
- Tunisia vs. Netherlands: Both Teams to ScoreYes won
- Tunisia vs. Netherlands: Both Teams to Score in First HalfNo won
- Tunisia vs. Netherlands: Both Teams to Score in Second HalfYes won
- Tunisia vs. Netherlands: Netherlands 1st Half O/U 0.5Over won
- Tunisia vs. Netherlands: Netherlands 1st Half O/U 1.5Over won
- Tunisia vs. Netherlands: Netherlands 2nd Half O/U 0.5Over won
- Tunisia vs. Netherlands: Netherlands 2nd Half O/U 1.5Under won
- Tunisia vs. Netherlands: Netherlands O/U 0.5Over won
- Tunisia vs. Netherlands: Netherlands O/U 1.5Over won
- Tunisia vs. Netherlands: Netherlands O/U 2.5Over won
- Tunisia vs. Netherlands: O/U 0.5Over won
- Tunisia vs. Netherlands: O/U 2.5Over won
- Tunisia vs. Netherlands: O/U 3.5Over won
- Tunisia vs. Netherlands: O/U 4.5Under won
- Tunisia vs. Netherlands: O/U 5.5Under won
- Tunisia vs. Netherlands: O/U 6.5Under won
- Tunisia vs. Netherlands: O/U 7.5Under won
- Tunisia vs. Netherlands: O/U 8.5Under won
- Tunisia vs. Netherlands: Tunisia 1st Half O/U 0.5Under won
- Tunisia vs. Netherlands: Tunisia 1st Half O/U 1.5Under won
- Tunisia vs. Netherlands: Tunisia O/U 0.5Over won
- Tunisia vs. Netherlands: Tunisia O/U 1.5Under won
- Tunisia vs. Netherlands: Tunisia O/U 2.5Under won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.