TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Fifa International · resolved market

Spread: Netherlands (-1.5)

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Netherlandsof Netherlands, Tunisia
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$1,416,384
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$1,477,839

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $1,416,384 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 608 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Fifa International
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x204f…5e14backed Tunisia27c621,743$167,839 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$167,839.464,59540.3%1,850 W · 2,745 L-91.3wins-0.02per pick42cpaid-23.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4d4f…e5f3backed Netherlands72c605,332$436,621 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$168,710.591952.6%10 W · 9 L-0.4wins-0.02per pick55cpaid-11.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd81e…e3d0backed Tunisia31c138,867$42,579 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$42,578.6716546.1%76 W · 89 L+2.9wins+0.02per pick44cpaid+6.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x0346…52a5backed Netherlands77c88,172$67,760 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$20,412.572,40737.7%908 W · 1,499 L-48.7wins-0.02per pick40cpaid-25.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x84cf…2f63backed Netherlands70c74,647$51,992 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$22,655.382,43929%707 W · 1,732 L-65.3wins-0.03per pick32cpaid-21%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x2a69…d2f7backed Tunisia24c48,609$11,735 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11,734.693,99224.9%994 W · 2,998 L-47.0wins-0.01per pick26cpaid-19.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xfe78…0319backed Tunisia17c41,253$6,980 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6,980.411,14439.2%448 W · 696 L-8.4wins-0.01per pick40cpaid-14.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2117…5c26backed Netherlands72c34,621$25,080 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9,541.121,98532.5%645 W · 1,340 L-47.7wins-0.02per pick35cpaid-13.4%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x4337…8882backed Tunisia26c29,551$7,683 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7,683.1821836.2%79 W · 139 L-19.0wins-0.09per pick45cpaid-14.4%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x032e…2a9ebacked Netherlands73c27,191$19,891 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7,299.572,60337.8%984 W · 1,619 L-40.7wins-0.02per pick39cpaid-9.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x0c78…77f1backed Tunisia30c18,879$5,601 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,6016048.3%29 W · 31 L+1.1wins+0.02per pick46cpaid-2.3%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xf68a…5b1bbacked Tunisia30c15,345$4,547 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,546.5674447.8%356 W · 388 L+11.3wins+0.02per pick46cpaid+1.2%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x8a26…937ebacked Netherlands69c14,493$10,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,492.7516957.4%97 W · 72 L+6.0wins+0.04per pick54cpaid+4.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x0fce…63d5backed Tunisia28c13,458$3,787 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,786.71,31348.9%642 W · 671 L+12.3wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+3.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x83d9…10d9backed Tunisia29c10,756$3,081 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,081.111,39046.3%644 W · 746 L+20.9wins+0.02per pick45cpaid+2.5%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xdac7…6d53backed Netherlands70c10,000$7,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,000.129131.9%29 W · 62 L-6.5wins-0.07per pick39cpaid-21.1%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x4582…619ebacked Netherlands72c10,000$7,200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,8008735.6%31 W · 56 L-6.1wins-0.07per pick43cpaid-36.8%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x7ea5…de7bbacked Tunisia27c9,698$2,630 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,629.741,56043.8%684 W · 876 L-4.4wins0.00per pick44cpaid-3.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x076d…8d4cbacked Tunisia26c9,567$2,498 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,497.772,27139.5%896 W · 1,375 L+10.1wins0.00per pick39cpaid+1.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb7f5…c669backed Tunisia32c8,708$2,769 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,769.2919038.9%74 W · 116 L-5.6wins-0.03per pick42cpaid-9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xe907…cff6backed Netherlands74c8,163$6,004 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,158.818,61429.2%2,518 W · 6,096 L-166.6wins-0.02per pick31cpaid-32.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1280…6b24backed Netherlands76c8,027$6,101 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,926.571861.1%11 W · 7 L-0.7wins-0.04per pick65cpaid-7.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf7f0…912cbacked Tunisia27c7,499$2,033 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,033.071,87348.4%906 W · 967 L+14.4wins+0.01per pick48cpaid-0.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x160b…4296backed Netherlands73c6,849$5,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,849.261,04443.7%456 W · 588 L+20.7wins+0.02per pick42cpaid+14.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x7236…ea53backed Tunisia26c6,832$1,776 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,776.3936250.8%184 W · 178 L-6.7wins-0.02per pick53cpaid-1.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x351a…0302backed Netherlands74c6,757$5,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,756.763132.3%10 W · 21 L-6.1wins-0.20per pick52cpaid-43.1%equal weight38-0.11 edge/pick
0xd684…f320backed Netherlands62c6,305$3,904 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,401.426045%27 W · 33 L-1.2wins-0.02per pick47cpaid+13.1%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x8adb…e4f6backed Netherlands72c6,000$4,320 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,679.965841.4%24 W · 34 L-5.3wins-0.09per pick51cpaid-26.3%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x8ae5…4f22backed Netherlands68c6,000$4,080 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,919.9418465.8%121 W · 63 L+1.4wins+0.01per pick65cpaid+3.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x361b…74febacked Netherlands74c5,988$4,431 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,556.8451032.5%166 W · 344 L-9.1wins-0.02per pick34cpaid-13.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2d7b…e2cebacked Tunisia31c5,585$1,731 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,731.348440.5%34 W · 50 L-6.4wins-0.08per pick48cpaid-11.4%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x86e9…4cdfbacked Netherlands69c5,552$3,831 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,721.0136247.2%171 W · 191 L+6.3wins+0.02per pick45cpaid-0.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xff81…44c9backed Netherlands74c5,372$3,975 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,396.627972.2%57 W · 22 L+10.3wins+0.13per pick59cpaid+24.3%equal weight61+0.10 edge/pick
0xdb83…1e50backed Tunisia27c5,351$1,419 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,418.912,81944.5%1,255 W · 1,564 L-36.2wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-9.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Tunisia27c5,286$1,427 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,427.163,69636.9%1,364 W · 2,332 L-44.0wins-0.01per pick38cpaid-23.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6d3c…d294backed Tunisia34c5,023$1,690 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,689.671,26247.5%600 W · 662 L-15.8wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-2.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8090…42c1backed Netherlands74c5,017$3,703 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,313.862962.1%18 W · 11 L+0.9wins+0.03per pick59cpaid+1.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xceed…f8eebacked Netherlands74c5,000$3,700 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,3008158%47 W · 34 L+4.5wins+0.06per pick52cpaid+4.9%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x51b3…3989backed Netherlands73c4,915$3,588 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,327.076660.6%40 W · 26 L+3.5wins+0.05per pick55cpaid-0.8%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x160d…6f25backed Netherlands74c4,863$3,612 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,251.5478317.4%136 W · 647 L-0.1wins0.00per pick17cpaid+6.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x09dd…7e13backed Netherlands70c4,700$3,311 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,388.8937944.1%167 W · 212 L+0.7wins0.00per pick44cpaid-12.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xefde…6505backed Tunisia27c4,475$1,228 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,227.9468141.1%280 W · 401 L-16.0wins-0.02per pick43cpaid-6.1%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xa18c…d792backed Netherlands68c4,451$3,035 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,416.1124058.8%141 W · 99 L+19.8wins+0.08per pick50cpaid+15.1%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x52d8…99aebacked Netherlands72c4,124$2,969 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,154.7216647%78 W · 88 L+6.6wins+0.04per pick43cpaid-5.9%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xe6e8…7c26backed Netherlands69c4,000$2,760 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,2405558.2%32 W · 23 L+1.7wins+0.03per pick55cpaid+1.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x33d3…bf38backed Netherlands66c3,549$2,341 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,208.064254.8%23 W · 19 L+3.7wins+0.09per pick46cpaid+22.1%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xcb72…6532backed Tunisia30c3,537$1,061 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,060.982161.9%13 W · 8 L+2.7wins+0.13per pick49cpaid+24.4%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x939e…0a64backed Netherlands74c3,523$2,600 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$922.524456.8%25 W · 19 L+3.0wins+0.07per pick50cpaid-2.6%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x52d9…fb1abacked Tunisia27c3,352$892 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$892.41,94135.5%690 W · 1,251 L-25.4wins-0.01per pick37cpaid-11.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xca89…7bc4backed Tunisia26c3,200$832 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$831.9937850.5%191 W · 187 L-7.5wins-0.02per pick53cpaid-2.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa697…59d5backed Netherlands72c2,949$2,128 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$821.142,80555.1%1,546 W · 1,259 L+70.4wins+0.03per pick53cpaid+4.1%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x0f79…1c85backed Netherlands69c2,879$2,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$878.884238.1%16 W · 26 L-2.0wins-0.05per pick43cpaid-21.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xfe77…8fe4backed Tunisia38c2,842$1,080 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,079.854540%18 W · 27 L-2.0wins-0.04per pick44cpaid-18.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xc291…5d74backed Tunisia15c2,815$424 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$423.64,45737.2%1,657 W · 2,800 L+31.0wins+0.01per pick36cpaid-8.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe1a6…d584backed Tunisia26c2,800$728 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$72838351.4%197 W · 186 L-1.7wins0.00per pick52cpaid-0.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7789…a2cebacked Netherlands74c2,703$2,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$702.76030%18 W · 42 L+0.8wins+0.01per pick29cpaid-13.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5846…7beebacked Netherlands76c2,601$1,977 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$624.251050%5 W · 5 L-1.0wins-0.10per pick60cpaid-28.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x9b66…336abacked Tunisia27c2,587$699 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$698.623145.2%14 W · 17 L-1.5wins-0.05per pick50cpaid-10%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xb7d2…586fbacked Netherlands73c2,466$1,800 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$665.75988.9%8 W · 1 L+1.9wins+0.21per pick68cpaid+31.8%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x60f1…dc7cbacked Netherlands73c2,200$1,598 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$60218441.8%77 W · 107 L+5.0wins+0.03per pick39cpaid+2.4%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x615d…bd5bbacked Tunisia30c2,021$606 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$606.272564%16 W · 9 L+3.3wins+0.13per pick51cpaid+28.4%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0x7d0c…a3b7backed Tunisia28c2,005$565 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$565.213,73151.8%1,931 W · 1,800 L+55.2wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+7.9%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x8b8c…9390backed Netherlands73c2,000$1,460 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5408942.7%38 W · 51 L+0.1wins0.00per pick43cpaid+8.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb7a7…d3abbacked Tunisia8c2,000$160 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16028526.3%75 W · 210 L-8.7wins-0.03per pick29cpaid-5.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x5217…ec29backed Netherlands68c2,000$1,360 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6403836.8%14 W · 24 L-3.9wins-0.10per pick47cpaid-20.3%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x6ede…4284backed Tunisia7c1,999$140 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$139.9618738%71 W · 116 L+0.6wins0.00per pick38cpaid-4.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1f62…76f6backed Tunisia27c1,851$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$499.772,38053.3%1,269 W · 1,111 L+76.5wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+4%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x0852…655cbacked Tunisia7c1,694$120 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12053629.9%160 W · 376 L+8.5wins+0.02per pick28cpaid-6.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x0d2d…7ff5backed Tunisia16c1,681$261 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$260.732,30737.6%867 W · 1,440 L-16.7wins-0.01per pick38cpaid-27.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x99fc…ec26backed Netherlands71c1,620$1,150 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$469.7210339.8%41 W · 62 L-4.3wins-0.04per pick44cpaid-22.9%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x8adc…bafcbacked Netherlands74c1,562$1,156 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$406.1937754.4%205 W · 172 L+11.8wins+0.03per pick51cpaid+1.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x224f…514abacked Tunisia32c1,391$445 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$445.21,53649.1%754 W · 782 L+32.8wins+0.02per pick47cpaid+3.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xfb13…5946backed Tunisia26c1,381$359 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$359.0435251.7%182 W · 170 L-3.9wins-0.01per pick53cpaid+0.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xdf9d…ee2dbacked Netherlands75c1,380$1,035 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$344.773158.1%18 W · 13 L-0.8wins-0.03per pick61cpaid-12.6%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xb72b…989abacked Netherlands73c1,372$1,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$372.4610456.7%59 W · 45 L+6.8wins+0.07per pick50cpaid+17.5%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xab77…da8bbacked Netherlands73c1,370$1,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$369.865236.5%19 W · 33 L+2.2wins+0.04per pick32cpaid-14.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xc65e…3c8fbacked Netherlands74c1,353$1,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$353.072552%13 W · 12 L+0.1wins0.00per pick52cpaid+0.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc387…5a97backed Netherlands74c1,351$1,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$351.3510356.3%58 W · 45 L+2.8wins+0.03per pick54cpaid+7.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x4cb7…3644backed Netherlands74c1,351$1,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$351.3513847.1%65 W · 73 L+5.8wins+0.04per pick43cpaid-7.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x9158…ad24backed Netherlands74c1,350$999 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3516361.9%39 W · 24 L-2.9wins-0.05per pick67cpaid-8.4%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x0f34…7684backed Netherlands69c1,329$917 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$411.9965835%230 W · 428 L+3.6wins+0.01per pick34cpaid-21.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7d64…3940backed Netherlands76c1,316$1,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$315.793467.6%23 W · 11 L+2.2wins+0.06per pick61cpaid+6.6%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x0d5f…1171backed Tunisia29c1,242$358 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$357.661,45953.9%787 W · 672 L-6.3wins0.00per pick54cpaid-6.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x288a…0048backed Tunisia26c1,200$312 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$31238451.6%198 W · 186 L-5.7wins-0.01per pick53cpaid-0.5%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x6980…5478backed Netherlands76c1,200$912 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2884772.3%34 W · 13 L+4.3wins+0.09per pick63cpaid+15.3%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x3388…61d7backed Tunisia26c1,200$312 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$31239050.8%198 W · 192 L-8.2wins-0.02per pick53cpaid-3.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1f41…e6aebacked Tunisia26c1,191$310 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$309.778853.4%47 W · 41 L+7.1wins+0.08per pick45cpaid+31.9%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x50e5…e39fbacked Tunisia29c1,172$338 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$337.7888852.7%468 W · 420 L+13.9wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x81ed…59f5backed Netherlands70c1,144$800 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$344.4360821.9%133 W · 475 L-4.7wins-0.01per pick23cpaid-23.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2d7c…a9b9backed Netherlands75c1,095$821 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$273.6719645.9%90 W · 106 L+6.7wins+0.03per pick42cpaid+16.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xac32…6e3bbacked Netherlands76c1,092$830 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$262.111450%7 W · 7 L-1.2wins-0.09per pick59cpaid-21%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x14e4…eabbbacked Tunisia28c1,082$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3005538.2%21 W · 34 L-2.4wins-0.04per pick42cpaid-11.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x2a67…5d96backed Netherlands74c1,081$800 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$281.0819431.4%61 W · 133 L+0.1wins0.00per pick31cpaid-23.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8b45…077ebacked Netherlands74c1,054$780 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$274.0513145%59 W · 72 L+3.8wins+0.03per pick42cpaid+2.9%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x773c…cf18backed Tunisia28c1,046$293 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2934153.7%22 W · 19 L+1.0wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+4.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xcf73…0215backed Netherlands73c1,033$749 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$283.53,07747%1,447 W · 1,630 L-11.5wins0.00per pick47cpaid-2.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x685f…ca87backed Tunisia53c1,023$542 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$542.1920%0 W · 2 L-0.7wins-0.36per pick36cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x8325…19ccbacked Netherlands74c1,023$757 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$265.366846.7%312 W · 356 L+45.9wins+0.07per pick40cpaid-7.3%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0x1b5a…7070backed Netherlands74c1,000$743 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2575863.8%37 W · 21 L+0.4wins+0.01per pick63cpaid-0.4%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x3a09…e2b8backed Netherlands69c1,000$690 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3106258.1%36 W · 26 L+6.6wins+0.11per pick47cpaid+8.5%equal weight58+0.08 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 36 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.