TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x60f1…dc7c

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
207
Categories scored
8
Categories below 50
3

Best Category: Us Politics, grading 54 out of 100 (+0.03 per pick).

Best Category Us Politics at 54 out of 100; worst MLB at 47.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Jul 19, 2026, EDT18441.8%77 W · 107 L+5.0wins+0.03per pick39cpaid+2.4%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 184 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Europe (UEFA) win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$64Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT+56.3%+$36
Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$2,118Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT+69.3%+$1,467.27
Exact Score: Spain 2 - 2 Argentina?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Spain vs. Argentina: Team to Advancebacked Argentina · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$21Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$21
Will France win on 2026-07-18?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$104Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$104
Kylian Mbappé: 1+ goalsbacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$135Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 18, 2026, EDT+85.2%+$115
Exact Score: France 3 - 1 England?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$20.3
Exact Score: France 2 - 2 England?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.4
Lionel Messi: 1+ shotsbacked No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.17
Exact Score: England 2 - 1 Argentina?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$70Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$70.2
England vs. Argentina: Team to Advancebacked England · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$126Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$126
Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$138Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$137.6
France vs. Spain: Team to Advancebacked France · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$1,225Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,224.88
Kylian Mbappé: 1+ goalsbacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$225Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$225
Exact Score: France 2 - 2 Spain?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$17.5
France vs. Spain: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$300Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$300
Will France win on 2026-07-14?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$104Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$103.5
Will England win on 2026-07-11?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$503Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$502.5
Exact Score: Norway 1 - 2 England?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$70Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$70
Norway vs. England: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$305Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 11, 2026, EDT+63.9%+$195
Norway vs. England: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$173Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$172.5
Will Spain win on 2026-07-10?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$1,159Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 10, 2026, EDT+63.9%+$741
Exact Score: Spain 2 - 1 Belgium?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$140Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 10, 2026, EDT+42.9%+$60
Exact Score: Spain 2 - 0 Belgium?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$16.5
Will France win on 2026-07-09?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$202Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 9, 2026, EDT+58.7%+$118.4
Showing 25 of 184 picks, newest first.
Dota2last resolved Aug 20, 2026, EDT1662.5%10 W · 6 L+0.1wins+0.01per pick62cpaid-13.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Dota2 — the 16 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Dota2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Dota 2: Nigma Galaxy vs Team Falcons - Game 1 Winnerbacked Nigma Galaxy · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$30
Dota 2: Team Spirit vs Team Resilience - Game 2 Winnerbacked Team Resilience · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$214Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 16, 2026, EDT+75.8%+$162.48
Dota 2: Team Spirit vs Team Resilience - Game 1 Winnerbacked Team Resilience · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$150Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$150.4
Dota 2: Nigma Galaxy vs Team Spirit - Game 2 Winnerbacked Nigma Galaxy · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$154Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 15, 2026, EDT+29.9%+$46
Dota 2: LGD Gaming vs Vici Gaming - Game 2 Winnerbacked Vici Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$140Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$140.4
Dota 2: Team Resilience vs Xtreme Gaming - Game 2 Winnerbacked Team Resilience · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$154Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 15, 2026, EDT+29.9%+$46
Dota 2: Iron Wing vs Team Liquid (BO3) - The International Group Stagebacked Team Liquid · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$78Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 15, 2026, EDT+28.2%+$22
Dota 2: TEAM VISION vs Team Spirit - Game 2 Winnerbacked TEAM VISION · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$182Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 15, 2026, EDT+26.1%+$47.53
Dota 2: Nigma Galaxy vs Vici Gaming - Game 1 Winnerbacked Nigma Galaxy · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$380Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 15, 2026, EDT+58.8%+$223.25
Dota 2: LGD Gaming vs Xtreme Gaming - Game 2 Winnerbacked Xtreme Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$60Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$60
Dota 2: Aurora vs Team Yandex (BO3) - The International Group Stagebacked Aurora · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$36Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 14, 2026, EDT+38.9%+$14
Dota 2: Team Resilience vs OG - Game 1 Winnerbacked Team Resilience · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$313Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 14, 2026, EDT+27.8%+$86.99
Dota 2: Team Yandex vs Team Liquid (BO3) - The International Group Stagebacked Team Liquid · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$80Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 14, 2026, EDT+25%+$20
Dota 2: LGD Gaming vs Nigma Galaxy - Game 1 Winnerbacked LGD Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$224Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$224
Dota 2: HULIGANI vs Vici Gaming - Game 2 Winnerbacked Vici Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$657Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 14, 2026, EDT+37%+$242.99
Dota 2: Xtreme Gaming vs GamerLegion (BO3) - The International Group Stagebacked Xtreme Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$36Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$36
All 16 picks, newest first.
NBA Inactivelast resolved Jun 13, 2026, EDT250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+38.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
NBA — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Knicks vs. Spursbacked Knicks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$18Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 13, 2026, EDT+177.8%+$32
Knicks vs. Spursbacked Spurs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$65Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$65
All 2 picks, newest first.
Us Politics Inactivelast resolved May 1, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.9wins+0.86per pick14cpaid+594.4%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
Us Politics — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Us Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Trump visit China by April 30?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$28Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 1, 2026, EDT+594.4%+$165.37
All 1 picks, newest first.
Middle East Inactivelast resolved Jul 1, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.31per pick69cpaid+45.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Middle East — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Middle East, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT+45.1%+$45.14
All 1 picks, newest first.
China Taiwan Inactivelast resolved May 15, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.16per pick16cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
China Taiwan — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in China Taiwan, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Trump say "Taiwan" or "Tibet" during events with Xi Jinping?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$31Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$30.96
All 1 picks, newest first.
F1 Inactivelast resolved Jun 14, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.26per pick26cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
F1 — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in F1, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will George Russell win the 2026 F1 Catalunya Grand Prix?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$15
All 1 picks, newest first.
MLB Inactivelast resolved Jul 31, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.61per pick61cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
MLB — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in MLB, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
San Francisco Giants vs. San Diego Padresbacked San Diego Padres · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 31, 2026, EDT-100%-$12.2
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.