Dota2 · resolved market
Dota 2: LGD Gaming vs Nigma Galaxy - Game 1 Winner
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x3d11e53379fc2596bf7c68492c75d2b3ddb7971422782b15b7ec9c2652320418
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Nigma Galaxyof LGD Gaming, Nigma Galaxy
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Dota2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $819,291
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $1,083,270
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $819,291 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 461 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Dota2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Dota2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xcd30…f316backed Nigma Galaxy | 45c | 102,545$46,435 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56,109.61 | 121 | 59.5%72 W · 49 L | +9.2wins | +0.08per pick | 52cpaid | +10.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe16d…5e30backed Nigma Galaxy | 46c | 54,351$25,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29,351.28 | 1,210 | 57.1%691 W · 519 L | +44.5wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6b60…edbebacked LGD Gaming | 56c | 36,000$20,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19,999.67 | 48 | 37.5%18 W · 30 L | -7.9wins | -0.16per pick | 54cpaid | -31.8%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x9166…b479backed LGD Gaming | 55c | 30,000$16,400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16,399.97 | 123 | 48%59 W · 64 L | -4.6wins | -0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3413…8ff2backed Nigma Galaxy | 44c | 25,000$11,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13,999.91 | 471 | 46.1%217 W · 254 L | +25.3wins | +0.05per pick | 41cpaid | +11.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x99e4…e4c4backed LGD Gaming | 54c | 23,461$12,669 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12,668.94 | 114 | 46.5%53 W · 61 L | -4.9wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x57b4…b46bbacked LGD Gaming | 54c | 15,000$8,150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$8,149.99 | 242 | 46.7%113 W · 129 L | -4.0wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa103…1c14backed Nigma Galaxy | 45c | 14,000$6,300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,700 | 75 | 48%36 W · 39 L | +3.0wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | +4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3eb3…4d75backed LGD Gaming | 54c | 13,732$7,415 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,415.44 | 116 | 53.4%62 W · 54 L | -1.3wins | -0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9a81…0e8fbacked LGD Gaming | 72c | 11,880$8,519 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$8,519.12 | 41 | 48.8%20 W · 21 L | -2.2wins | -0.05per pick | 54cpaid | -17.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x84fb…675ebacked LGD Gaming | 54c | 11,750$6,345 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,345 | 58 | 34.5%20 W · 38 L | -3.9wins | -0.07per pick | 41cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2c33…0563backed LGD Gaming | 55c | 11,118$6,115 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,114.88 | 122 | 59.8%73 W · 49 L | +11.6wins | +0.10per pick | 50cpaid | +17.4%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xef26…05babacked LGD Gaming | 41c | 9,925$4,065 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,065.43 | 254 | 46.1%117 W · 137 L | +11.9wins | +0.05per pick | 41cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x633e…d305backed LGD Gaming | 27c | 9,788$2,684 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,684.25 | 104 | 53.8%56 W · 48 L | +6.3wins | +0.06per pick | 48cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7993…cf5abacked Nigma Galaxy | 71c | 9,496$6,771 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,724.67 | 29 | 62.1%18 W · 11 L | -1.4wins | -0.05per pick | 67cpaid | -9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4572…83ffbacked LGD Gaming | 55c | 8,795$4,837 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,837.41 | 534 | 51.7%276 W · 258 L | +2.3wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf3ce…a57abacked LGD Gaming | 58c | 8,653$5,015 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,015 | 1,197 | 59.2%709 W · 488 L | +63.9wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | +10.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2146…d41bbacked Nigma Galaxy | 31c | 8,112$2,542 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,569.48 | 893 | 41.5%371 W · 522 L | +23.0wins | +0.03per pick | 39cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd06c…cdafbacked Nigma Galaxy | 32c | 8,066$2,621 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,444.87 | 1,179 | 43.1%508 W · 671 L | +41.0wins | +0.03per pick | 40cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x60dd…40e5backed Nigma Galaxy | 57c | 7,801$4,452 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,348.76 | 334 | 53%177 W · 157 L | +8.5wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8ff1…2dd7backed LGD Gaming | 55c | 7,550$4,187 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,187.5 | 33 | 48.5%16 W · 17 L | -0.9wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x04f6…f24abacked Nigma Galaxy | 36c | 6,991$2,517 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,473.69 | 503 | 47.1%237 W · 266 L | +14.9wins | +0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xde24…4dedbacked LGD Gaming | 62c | 6,906$4,272 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,272.39 | 198 | 53%105 W · 93 L | +6.1wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | 0%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd202…8973backed LGD Gaming | 52c | 6,721$3,524 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,523.82 | 96 | 36.5%35 W · 61 L | -6.3wins | -0.07per pick | 43cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8495…550ebacked LGD Gaming | 55c | 6,449$3,560 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,560.03 | 90 | 52.2%47 W · 43 L | +0.9wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x958b…50cebacked Nigma Galaxy | 56c | 5,547$3,115 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,432.07 | 48 | 66.7%32 W · 16 L | +8.1wins | +0.17per pick | 50cpaid | +13.8%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xd3b0…329ebacked LGD Gaming | 56c | 5,500$3,073 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,072.8 | 800 | 56%448 W · 352 L | +23.0wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9c03…8e6ebacked Nigma Galaxy | 31c | 5,481$1,679 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,802.02 | 20 | 50%10 W · 10 L | +2.4wins | +0.12per pick | 38cpaid | +17.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x55d9…832cbacked Nigma Galaxy | 42c | 5,000$2,100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,900 | 419 | 44.2%185 W · 234 L | -1.4wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcf3a…fbfdbacked LGD Gaming | 58c | 4,627$2,679 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,678.88 | 508 | 50.8%258 W · 250 L | +8.8wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc156…f76cbacked LGD Gaming | 62c | 4,060$2,533 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,533.35 | 165 | 47.9%79 W · 86 L | +4.8wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x559b…4959backed LGD Gaming | 63c | 4,000$2,520 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,519.99 | 81 | 43.2%35 W · 46 L | -1.4wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x93bd…bbc5backed Nigma Galaxy | 33c | 3,928$1,279 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,649.31 | 537 | 64.4%346 W · 191 L | +26.5wins | +0.05per pick | 60cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4aec…4ce9backed Nigma Galaxy | 30c | 3,541$1,055 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,485.93 | 306 | 67.3%206 W · 100 L | +18.3wins | +0.06per pick | 61cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xedfc…b7b1backed Nigma Galaxy | 49c | 3,186$1,549 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,637.25 | 83 | 48.2%40 W · 43 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5a56…10f5backed Nigma Galaxy | 30c | 3,114$940 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,173.16 | 185 | 51.4%95 W · 90 L | +11.6wins | +0.06per pick | 45cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf0f0…26edbacked Nigma Galaxy | 53c | 3,053$1,628 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,424.47 | 338 | 67.8%229 W · 109 L | +16.0wins | +0.05per pick | 63cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6f04…1fb0backed LGD Gaming | 68c | 3,031$2,051 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,050.67 | 96 | 58.3%56 W · 40 L | +5.5wins | +0.06per pick | 53cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8dc5…c07dbacked LGD Gaming | 75c | 3,000$2,250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,250 | 122 | 63.1%77 W · 45 L | +2.7wins | +0.02per pick | 61cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2391…554fbacked Nigma Galaxy | 61c | 3,000$1,830 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,170 | 121 | 41.3%50 W · 71 L | -4.4wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc1de…21f5backed Nigma Galaxy | 45c | 3,000$1,350 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,649.99 | 299 | 52.2%156 W · 143 L | +19.9wins | +0.07per pick | 46cpaid | +13.2%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xbeef…92b7backed Nigma Galaxy | 55c | 2,950$1,617 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,332.99 | 150 | 54.7%82 W · 68 L | +7.4wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2eea…1a4cbacked Nigma Galaxy | 40c | 2,895$1,146 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,748.89 | 121 | 59.5%72 W · 49 L | +10.9wins | +0.09per pick | 50cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x2117…5c26backed LGD Gaming | 54c | 2,893$1,567 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,567.05 | 176 | 48.3%85 W · 91 L | -7.6wins | -0.04per pick | 53cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x72c8…a74cbacked LGD Gaming | 54c | 2,832$1,529 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,529.25 | 245 | 42.4%104 W · 141 L | -2.0wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1943…1561backed Nigma Galaxy | 59c | 2,612$1,552 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,059.67 | 453 | 52.1%236 W · 217 L | +13.8wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcb0c…5f05backed LGD Gaming | 39c | 2,539$999 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$998.61 | 22 | 45.5%10 W · 12 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb6b8…149bbacked Nigma Galaxy | 50c | 2,493$1,238 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,254.97 | 101 | 44.6%45 W · 56 L | -1.7wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd1a8…6427backed Nigma Galaxy | 65c | 2,478$1,602 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$876.08 | 77 | 70.1%54 W · 23 L | +9.3wins | +0.12per pick | 58cpaid | +8.3%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xba43…c6c0backed Nigma Galaxy | 50c | 2,419$1,208 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,211.04 | 50 | 48%24 W · 26 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x19ae…395cbacked LGD Gaming | 9c | 2,330$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 319 | 36.7%117 W · 202 L | -3.3wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf148…0b4fbacked LGD Gaming | 58c | 2,297$1,332 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,332.09 | 166 | 41%68 W · 98 L | -10.8wins | -0.07per pick | 47cpaid | -17.2%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x53b2…9f96backed Nigma Galaxy | 61c | 2,283$1,400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$883.05 | 86 | 58.1%50 W · 36 L | +2.6wins | +0.03per pick | 55cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x86b1…c094backed LGD Gaming | 19c | 2,185$420 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$420.13 | 656 | 25.6%168 W · 488 L | +14.7wins | +0.02per pick | 23cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed LGD Gaming | 54c | 2,089$1,121 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,121.05 | 928 | 46.2%429 W · 499 L | -16.6wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -15.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7a14…cba2backed LGD Gaming | 59c | 2,033$1,198 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,197.75 | 19 | 15.8%3 W · 16 L | -5.8wins | -0.31per pick | 46cpaid | -64.8%equal weight | 35-0.13 edge/pick |
| 0x63bc…4179backed Nigma Galaxy | 25c | 2,000$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,500 | 88 | 34.1%30 W · 58 L | +1.6wins | +0.02per pick | 32cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1f2d…2b35backed Nigma Galaxy | 37c | 2,000$740 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,260 | 536 | 52.6%282 W · 254 L | -3.9wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xeb69…cfd1backed LGD Gaming | 77c | 1,948$1,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,500 | 303 | 56.4%171 W · 132 L | +5.0wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3308…f04bbacked Nigma Galaxy | 38c | 1,941$731 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,210.21 | 358 | 50.6%181 W · 177 L | +6.9wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xba03…0486backed LGD Gaming | 28c | 1,879$520 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$519.51 | 72 | 34.7%25 W · 47 L | -4.0wins | -0.06per pick | 40cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x66a1…6243backed Nigma Galaxy | 54c | 1,859$1,005 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$854.42 | 64 | 78.1%50 W · 14 L | +11.1wins | +0.17per pick | 61cpaid | +24.7%equal weight | 64+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0xc3e5…519dbacked Nigma Galaxy | 75c | 1,818$1,360 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$458.49 | 126 | 64.3%81 W · 45 L | -6.7wins | -0.05per pick | 70cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x31a4…7afcbacked LGD Gaming | 53c | 1,807$957 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$957.46 | 944 | 42.3%399 W · 545 L | -20.7wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x82dc…5700backed Nigma Galaxy | 55c | 1,760$973 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$786.48 | 686 | 49.7%341 W · 345 L | +9.6wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked LGD Gaming | 57c | 1,758$1,004 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,004.19 | 1,894 | 47.7%903 W · 991 L | +6.2wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd61a…708bbacked Nigma Galaxy | 42c | 1,745$738 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,006.87 | 41 | 51.2%21 W · 20 L | +2.5wins | +0.06per pick | 45cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x40db…ca8cbacked Nigma Galaxy | 70c | 1,709$1,196 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$512.94 | 535 | 58.9%315 W · 220 L | +17.9wins | +0.03per pick | 56cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked LGD Gaming | 54c | 1,685$912 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$912.19 | 785 | 41.7%327 W · 458 L | -14.4wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -17.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb6ce…7a7dbacked Nigma Galaxy | 49c | 1,660$820 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$840.87 | 897 | 49.6%445 W · 452 L | +22.4wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3d5a…c59ebacked Nigma Galaxy | 33c | 1,650$544 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,105.48 | 63 | 39.7%25 W · 38 L | -3.3wins | -0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -23.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x08c2…c023backed LGD Gaming | 66c | 1,631$1,073 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,073 | 489 | 54.6%267 W · 222 L | +23.6wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf9cf…4319backed LGD Gaming | 57c | 1,600$910 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$910.5 | 12 | 50%6 W · 6 L | -0.4wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa0e1…b9b4backed LGD Gaming | 63c | 1,600$1,008 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,008 | 98 | 52%51 W · 47 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6bea…5d50backed Nigma Galaxy | 47c | 1,597$752 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$844.18 | 477 | 48.6%232 W · 245 L | +6.9wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1365…c82abacked LGD Gaming | 56c | 1,593$890 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$889.72 | 612 | 56%343 W · 269 L | +13.6wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2a8c…fd3dbacked LGD Gaming | 18c | 1,539$284 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$284.16 | 485 | 39.2%190 W · 295 L | -8.4wins | -0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -10.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7f0e…4933backed Nigma Galaxy | 64c | 1,531$980 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$551.29 | 10 | 80%8 W · 2 L | +1.8wins | +0.18per pick | 62cpaid | +36.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xfbc2…514cbacked Nigma Galaxy | 72c | 1,518$1,100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$418.29 | 336 | 45.5%153 W · 183 L | +6.5wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0c99…0c88backed Nigma Galaxy | 41c | 1,500$608 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$892.5 | 1,164 | 47.2%549 W · 615 L | -29.1wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4c9c…e006backed LGD Gaming | 64c | 1,500$960 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$960 | 226 | 63.3%143 W · 83 L | +2.5wins | +0.01per pick | 62cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdc3f…5e0dbacked LGD Gaming | 67c | 1,493$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$999.98 | 65 | 81.5%53 W · 12 L | +10.2wins | +0.16per pick | 66cpaid | +23.1%equal weight | 63+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xf3ef…ca6bbacked LGD Gaming | 71c | 1,470$1,043 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,043.32 | 1,066 | 57%608 W · 458 L | +52.7wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x26c6…b937backed LGD Gaming | 67c | 1,440$965 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$964.79 | 25 | 60%15 W · 10 L | +5.3wins | +0.21per pick | 39cpaid | +66.8%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x7e01…b0b5backed Nigma Galaxy | 46c | 1,411$649 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$761.87 | 206 | 42.7%88 W · 118 L | -4.3wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -11.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x59e2…1c55backed LGD Gaming | 54c | 1,368$745 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$745.12 | 473 | 48.2%228 W · 245 L | -9.0wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -11.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5a05…12a2backed Nigma Galaxy | 37c | 1,367$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$866.53 | 474 | 50.8%241 W · 233 L | +16.7wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9ff4…d731backed LGD Gaming | 63c | 1,350$854 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$853.84 | 97 | 44.3%43 W · 54 L | -3.5wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4572…47e7backed LGD Gaming | 61c | 1,336$815 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$814.76 | 408 | 44.1%180 W · 228 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4713…4d21backed LGD Gaming | 50c | 1,317$653 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$652.99 | 1,113 | 36.2%403 W · 710 L | -37.9wins | -0.03per pick | 40cpaid | -31%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7f88…c6e8backed LGD Gaming | 50c | 1,300$650 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$650.48 | 123 | 35.8%44 W · 79 L | -13.7wins | -0.11per pick | 47cpaid | -32.9%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x2687…1363backed Nigma Galaxy | 68c | 1,262$853 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$408.5 | 357 | 58%207 W · 150 L | +26.0wins | +0.07per pick | 51cpaid | +7%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xce20…0b7bbacked LGD Gaming | 57c | 1,229$700 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$700 | 120 | 60.8%73 W · 47 L | +3.8wins | +0.03per pick | 58cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd8db…ba5fbacked LGD Gaming | 51c | 1,222$629 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$629.24 | 36 | 47.2%17 W · 19 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7f40…c8ffbacked Nigma Galaxy | 35c | 1,202$426 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$776.23 | 310 | 52.6%163 W · 147 L | +15.3wins | +0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x249e…4fa6backed Nigma Galaxy | 67c | 1,124$750 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$374.15 | 167 | 50.3%84 W · 83 L | -4.4wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5ee0…d6a6backed LGD Gaming | 50c | 1,112$555 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$554.72 | 23 | 65.2%15 W · 8 L | +2.9wins | +0.13per pick | 52cpaid | +25.6%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x01e9…03bbbacked Nigma Galaxy | 46c | 1,087$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$586.95 | 22 | 59.1%13 W · 9 L | +2.9wins | +0.13per pick | 46cpaid | +23.1%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1568…c958backed Nigma Galaxy | 33c | 1,068$355 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$713.35 | 178 | 52.8%94 W · 84 L | +0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1568…2a89backed Nigma Galaxy | 27c | 1,055$284 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$770.7 | 91 | 22%20 W · 71 L | -3.5wins | -0.04per pick | 26cpaid | -31.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Dota2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 6 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Dota 2: LGD Gaming vs Nigma Galaxy - Game 1 Winnerthis page
- Dota 2: LGD Gaming vs Nigma Galaxy (BO3) - The International Group StageNigma Galaxy won
- Dota 2: LGD Gaming vs Nigma Galaxy - Game 2 WinnerNigma Galaxy won
- Game Handicap: LGD (-1.5) vs Nigma Galaxy (+1.5)Nigma Galaxy won
- Game Handicap: NGX (-1.5) vs LGD Gaming (+1.5)Nigma Galaxy won
- Games Total: O/U 2.5Under won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.