MLB · resolved market
San Francisco Giants vs. San Diego Padres
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xa465e5118544b6d4c309728b8666ad2e35c1423d1f1411de5bcc4c3ae04be7ca
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- San Francisco Giantsof San Francisco Giants, San Diego Padres
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- MLBevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $987,499
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $998,950
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $987,499 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 356 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in MLB is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in MLB | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x3dfb…abafbacked San Diego Padres | 60c | 594,636$356,018 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$356,017.94 | 1,385 | 49.5%685 W · 700 L | -4.9wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1b20…3ab0backed San Francisco Giants | 41c | 440,000$179,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$260,999.95 | 58 | 51.7%30 W · 28 L | +3.2wins | +0.06per pick | 46cpaid | +14%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf031…c80cbacked San Francisco Giants | 39c | 169,247$66,006 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$103,240.72 | 34 | 35.3%12 W · 22 L | -3.7wins | -0.11per pick | 46cpaid | -17.4%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x16bb…8492backed San Diego Padres | 60c | 45,000$27,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27,000 | 865 | 48.7%421 W · 444 L | -8.9wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc807…c12bbacked San Diego Padres | 58c | 29,358$17,028 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17,027.8 | 501 | 53.5%268 W · 233 L | +8.2wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed San Diego Padres | 33c | 25,442$8,303 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$8,302.99 | 10,846 | 51.6%5,594 W · 5,252 L | +137.6wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7d2f…ef1abacked San Francisco Giants | 40c | 19,000$7,600 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11,400 | 41 | 56.1%23 W · 18 L | +1.2wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xabb8…bba3backed San Francisco Giants | 64c | 17,321$11,154 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,167.53 | 981 | 49.9%490 W · 491 L | -17.6wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xadea…b96dbacked San Diego Padres | 59c | 16,958$10,005 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10,005 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.9wins | -0.24per pick | 49cpaid | -51%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x228e…4f84backed San Francisco Giants | 79c | 15,816$12,495 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,320.36 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +1.8wins | +0.23per pick | 39cpaid | +28.7%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd48a…6e90backed San Francisco Giants | 42c | 14,286$6,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8,285.71 | 1,660 | 50.1%832 W · 828 L | -22.3wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1ba2…d212backed San Francisco Giants | 39c | 11,701$4,580 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,120.99 | 920 | 46%423 W · 497 L | -11.7wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4f29…7a7ebacked San Francisco Giants | 42c | 10,767$4,502 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,264.46 | 2,969 | 48.4%1,436 W · 1,533 L | -5.3wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x684b…8409backed San Diego Padres | 57c | 10,387$5,920 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,920.49 | 260 | 54.2%141 W · 119 L | +8.0wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc3c3…eec8backed San Diego Padres | 59c | 10,000$5,900 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,899.99 | 489 | 52.8%258 W · 231 L | +16.0wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc67f…2372backed San Francisco Giants | 79c | 9,644$7,619 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,025.21 | 12 | 50%6 W · 6 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -18.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe9cb…d096backed San Diego Padres | 24c | 8,700$2,065 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,065.49 | 950 | 45.2%429 W · 521 L | -12.0wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -22.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5ad4…6866backed San Diego Padres | 6c | 6,800$381 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$381.5 | 158 | 49.4%78 W · 80 L | +1.4wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x20b8…aa04backed San Diego Padres | 59c | 5,169$3,050 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,050 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +0.5wins | +0.08per pick | 49cpaid | +18%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe1a2…14b8backed San Diego Padres | 3c | 5,110$175 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$175.36 | 182 | 41.2%75 W · 107 L | -9.4wins | -0.05per pick | 46cpaid | -16.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed San Francisco Giants | 51c | 4,873$2,474 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,399.37 | 12,247 | 46.4%5,687 W · 6,560 L | -68.6wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbca0…9705backed San Diego Padres | 33c | 4,703$1,571 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,571.1 | 8,470 | 52.6%4,459 W · 4,011 L | +510.0wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5811…0976backed San Francisco Giants | 40c | 4,680$1,883 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,796.66 | 1,555 | 48.9%761 W · 794 L | +1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed San Francisco Giants | 41c | 4,379$1,791 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,587.22 | 5,401 | 50.5%2,726 W · 2,675 L | +17.6wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe8c4…395dbacked San Francisco Giants | 42c | 3,907$1,641 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,266.05 | 694 | 53.6%372 W · 322 L | +14.5wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x335d…8c00backed San Francisco Giants | 65c | 3,864$2,512 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,352.18 | 29 | 62.1%18 W · 11 L | +3.1wins | +0.11per pick | 51cpaid | +10.2%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x3ea2…e8e5backed San Diego Padres | 59c | 3,839$2,265 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,265 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.5wins | -0.10per pick | 50cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2c33…0563backed San Francisco Giants | 76c | 3,681$2,797 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$883.85 | 856 | 45.3%388 W · 468 L | +18.7wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | +36.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x54d0…8e20backed San Diego Padres | 61c | 3,279$2,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,000 | 321 | 57%183 W · 138 L | +2.9wins | +0.01per pick | 56cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked San Diego Padres | 28c | 3,250$897 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$897.23 | 8,086 | 46.1%3,728 W · 4,358 L | +29.9wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb8c8…d8a4backed San Francisco Giants | 43c | 3,023$1,300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,723.26 | 192 | 50%96 W · 96 L | +12.7wins | +0.07per pick | 43cpaid | +17.6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4488…e319backed San Diego Padres | 59c | 3,000$1,770 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,770 | 1,063 | 48.2%512 W · 551 L | -11.5wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x079e…5e12backed San Francisco Giants | 42c | 3,000$1,260 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,740 | 13 | 46.2%6 W · 7 L | +1.7wins | +0.13per pick | 33cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8e90…4f65backed San Francisco Giants | 43c | 2,879$1,238 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,641.19 | 33 | 51.5%17 W · 16 L | +3.3wins | +0.10per pick | 42cpaid | +23.1%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xed97…8932backed San Francisco Giants | 73c | 2,740$2,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$739.73 | 6 | 100%6 W · 0 L | +2.1wins | +0.35per pick | 65cpaid | +55.4%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x3491…5909backed San Francisco Giants | 40c | 2,719$1,088 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,631.57 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -1.0wins | -0.20per pick | 60cpaid | -18.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa697…59d5backed San Francisco Giants | 41c | 2,590$1,052 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,537.68 | 6,899 | 50.4%3,478 W · 3,421 L | -7.1wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb3d8…fb80backed San Francisco Giants | 41c | 2,320$951 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,368.59 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.8wins | +0.19per pick | 56cpaid | +60.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe0ac…de2abacked San Diego Padres | 59c | 2,000$1,180 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,180 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -2.1wins | -0.53per pick | 53cpaid | -100%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x5d5a…4289backed San Francisco Giants | 65c | 1,899$1,234 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$664.27 | 86 | 48.8%42 W · 44 L | -2.0wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1250…8f99backed San Diego Padres | 33c | 1,873$615 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$615.11 | 157 | 49.7%78 W · 79 L | -2.1wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa0f2…1848backed San Diego Padres | 28c | 1,833$510 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$509.83 | 794 | 42.4%337 W · 457 L | -13.1wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -18%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed San Diego Padres | 14c | 1,815$249 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$249.02 | 9,728 | 46.3%4,506 W · 5,222 L | +32.8wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2d…7ff5backed San Diego Padres | 17c | 1,626$272 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$271.81 | 8,295 | 47.8%3,966 W · 4,329 L | +72.4wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd619…c461backed San Francisco Giants | 42c | 1,600$672 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$928 | 644 | 52.2%336 W · 308 L | +26.1wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +9.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb88a…f6adbacked San Francisco Giants | 43c | 1,563$672 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$890.91 | 287 | 53.3%153 W · 134 L | +10.5wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +15.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5633…59bcbacked San Francisco Giants | 43c | 1,563$672 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$890.91 | 279 | 52%145 W · 134 L | +5.5wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1d3a…7b63backed San Diego Padres | 57c | 1,555$886 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$886.34 | 1,352 | 50.8%687 W · 665 L | +13.3wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd692…8b9abacked San Diego Padres | 22c | 1,545$340 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$340 | 305 | 29.8%91 W · 214 L | -6.6wins | -0.02per pick | 32cpaid | -17.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2de9…5289backed San Diego Padres | 24c | 1,501$367 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$366.76 | 549 | 45.4%249 W · 300 L | -16.2wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -15.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5268…135dbacked San Diego Padres | 49c | 1,487$722 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$722.14 | 11,357 | 52.9%6,003 W · 5,354 L | +209.9wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6daa…954abacked San Diego Padres | 3c | 1,429$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.72 | 11 | 36.4%4 W · 7 L | -0.8wins | -0.07per pick | 43cpaid | -46.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa3c2…df3dbacked San Francisco Giants | 41c | 1,077$445 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$631.37 | 2,800 | 49.3%1,381 W · 1,419 L | +0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2185…b40cbacked San Francisco Giants | 43c | 1,050$452 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$598.5 | 262 | 55.7%146 W · 116 L | +9.8wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5ee0…d6a6backed San Francisco Giants | 40c | 1,000$400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$600 | 114 | 64%73 W · 41 L | +12.6wins | +0.11per pick | 53cpaid | +23.1%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x9d94…017dbacked San Francisco Giants | 64c | 938.36$601 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$337.01 | 1,456 | 42.7%622 W · 834 L | -39.7wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -24.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x73e8…cd6fbacked San Diego Padres | 56c | 895.03$502 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$502.28 | 360 | 48.6%175 W · 185 L | -11.5wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa73a…656abacked San Francisco Giants | 72c | 894.12$647 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$247.14 | 577 | 58.1%335 W · 242 L | +28.5wins | +0.05per pick | 53cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2978…b511backed San Francisco Giants | 56c | 887.65$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$387.65 | 69 | 36.2%25 W · 44 L | -4.3wins | -0.06per pick | 42cpaid | -20.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9263…1999backed San Diego Padres | 5c | 877.29$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43 | 74 | 16.2%12 W · 62 L | +6.8wins | +0.09per pick | 7cpaid | +74.8%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x16db…ac64backed San Diego Padres | 17c | 839.99$143 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$142.8 | 28 | 28.6%8 W · 20 L | +1.4wins | +0.05per pick | 23cpaid | +14.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4a3f…4333backed San Diego Padres | 59c | 839.29$495 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$495.18 | 562 | 53.2%299 W · 263 L | +13.2wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6884…6ccfbacked San Diego Padres | 60c | 833.33$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 179 | 61.5%110 W · 69 L | +16.7wins | +0.09per pick | 52cpaid | +17.9%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x03c6…3dd2backed San Diego Padres | 61c | 819.67$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 71 | 42.3%30 W · 41 L | -5.9wins | -0.08per pick | 51cpaid | -17.9%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x03f4…7e44backed San Francisco Giants | 39c | 800$312 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$488 | 195 | 34.4%67 W · 128 L | -9.8wins | -0.05per pick | 39cpaid | -15.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xff34…694bbacked San Francisco Giants | 63c | 800$504 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$296 | 5,234 | 56.8%2,971 W · 2,263 L | +130.4wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfb74…ce3bbacked San Diego Padres | 4c | 790.52$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.3wins | -0.10per pick | 10cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4527…b378backed San Diego Padres | 33c | 783.03$258 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$258.4 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.33per pick | 33cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8ce7…3150backed San Francisco Giants | 66c | 757.58$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$257.58 | 154 | 47.4%73 W · 81 L | -1.4wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc480…937abacked San Diego Padres | 36c | 750$270 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$270 | 111 | 29.7%33 W · 78 L | -0.8wins | -0.01per pick | 30cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf7c4…5919backed San Diego Padres | 7c | 742.57$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.98 | 1,180 | 7.2%85 W · 1,095 L | -13.6wins | -0.01per pick | 8cpaid | -37.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x302b…7a54backed San Diego Padres | 17c | 705.25$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$119.85 | 42 | 19%8 W · 34 L | -6.3wins | -0.15per pick | 34cpaid | -49.7%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x9b11…5375backed San Diego Padres | 21c | 702.92$146 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$145.61 | 1,777 | 49.5%880 W · 897 L | +25.6wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbe95…1a93backed San Francisco Giants | 42c | 697.98$293 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$404.83 | 40 | 57.5%23 W · 17 L | +3.3wins | +0.08per pick | 49cpaid | +13.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb1cb…2345backed San Francisco Giants | 41c | 650$267 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$383.5 | 68 | 55.9%38 W · 30 L | +4.8wins | +0.07per pick | 49cpaid | +12.7%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5b63…11a4backed San Diego Padres | 21c | 623.97$130 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$130.46 | 2,021 | 39.5%798 W · 1,223 L | -25.7wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -14.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8a8c…1991backed San Diego Padres | 47c | 616.69$292 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$292.46 | 74 | 56.8%42 W · 32 L | +5.6wins | +0.08per pick | 49cpaid | +8.4%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc33a…3da3backed San Diego Padres | 61c | 608.02$371 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$370.89 | 169 | 47.9%81 W · 88 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4193…4853backed San Diego Padres | 59c | 557.94$329 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$329.18 | 846 | 51.5%436 W · 410 L | +1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | 0%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb0fd…e1f5backed San Diego Padres | 43c | 549.24$238 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$238.5 | 116 | 55.2%64 W · 52 L | +2.8wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x50c3…ace1backed San Diego Padres | 57c | 500$285 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$285 | 866 | 53%459 W · 407 L | +16.6wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf39d…aa9dbacked San Diego Padres | 4c | 500$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 94 | 24.5%23 W · 71 L | -1.1wins | -0.01per pick | 26cpaid | -21.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4fd6…c61ebacked San Diego Padres | 32c | 499.15$160 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$159.73 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.8wins | +0.15per pick | 45cpaid | +27.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x228b…af4cbacked San Francisco Giants | 63c | 488.13$306 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$182.46 | 2,012 | 51.2%1,031 W · 981 L | +43.6wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6b23…04a3backed San Diego Padres | 22c | 481.52$106 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$106.04 | 3,457 | 51.3%1,772 W · 1,685 L | +108.1wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0612…559abacked San Francisco Giants | 42c | 470$197 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$272.6 | 612 | 50.5%309 W · 303 L | -5.4wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xad7f…d0d4backed San Francisco Giants | 65c | 461.54$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$161.54 | 32 | 46.9%15 W · 17 L | -0.6wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -27.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0f76…dcc9backed San Francisco Giants | 77c | 461.1$356 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$105.26 | 851 | 48.5%413 W · 438 L | +10.6wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -15.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5e30…acbfbacked San Diego Padres | 57c | 461$263 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$262.77 | 1,521 | 48.6%739 W · 782 L | -5.3wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa917…4e8dbacked San Francisco Giants | 43c | 453$195 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$258.21 | 283 | 47.3%134 W · 149 L | -4.2wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9079…b19bbacked San Francisco Giants | 50c | 424$212 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$212 | 445 | 56.9%253 W · 192 L | +27.5wins | +0.06per pick | 51cpaid | +7%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc22e…eab8backed San Diego Padres | 59c | 423.75$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250.01 | 488 | 51.6%252 W · 236 L | +8.2wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x91b8…8e9fbacked San Diego Padres | 59c | 423.73$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.2wins | -0.29per pick | 54cpaid | -53.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1be7…a6e3backed San Francisco Giants | 40c | 417$169 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$248.15 | 48 | 39.6%19 W · 29 L | -2.2wins | -0.05per pick | 44cpaid | -7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x58b9…ee8bbacked San Diego Padres | 55c | 415.51$229 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$228.53 | 752 | 48.8%367 W · 385 L | -1.9wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf0b3…145dbacked San Diego Padres | 61c | 409.84$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250 | 220 | 55.5%122 W · 98 L | +4.6wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +10.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1408…fb0abacked San Francisco Giants | 43c | 400$172 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$228 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.57per pick | 43cpaid | +132.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1f8b…37c8backed San Francisco Giants | 70c | 395.17$277 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$118.55 | 95 | 70.5%67 W · 28 L | +2.9wins | +0.03per pick | 67cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x55b9…a814backed San Diego Padres | 42c | 394.35$166 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$165.5 | 254 | 47.6%121 W · 133 L | -2.5wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -16.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7f29…f03dbacked San Francisco Giants | 48c | 377.08$181 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$196.08 | 475 | 45.9%218 W · 257 L | -13.3wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in MLB and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 13 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- San Francisco Giants vs. San Diego Padresthis page
- San Francisco Giants vs. San Diego Padres: O/U 10.5Under won
- San Francisco Giants vs. San Diego Padres: O/U 11.5Under won
- San Francisco Giants vs. San Diego Padres: O/U 6.5Under won
- San Francisco Giants vs. San Diego Padres: O/U 7.5Under won
- San Francisco Giants vs. San Diego Padres: O/U 8.5Under won
- San Francisco Giants vs. San Diego Padres: O/U 9.5Under won
- Spread: San Diego Padres (-1.5)San Francisco Giants won
- Spread: San Diego Padres (-2.5)San Francisco Giants won
- Spread: San Francisco Giants (-1.5)San Francisco Giants won
- Spread: San Francisco Giants (-2.5)San Francisco Giants won
- Spread: San Francisco Giants (-3.5)San Diego Padres won
- Will there be a run scored in the first inning?: San Francisco Giants vs. San Diego PadresYes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.