MLB · resolved market
San Francisco Giants vs. San Diego Padres: O/U 8.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x425be986078faf9f9d08a875dc91cdd3c2ecb61a37734621cf297ca136c71d9e
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- MLBevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $346,479
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $348,925
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $346,479 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 160 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in MLB is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in MLB | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x5e94…5ba1backed Over | 50c | 200,975$100,092 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100,092.19 | 469 | 49%230 W · 239 L | -6.1wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7d6d…2654backed Under | 55c | 91,587$50,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41,587.25 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.06per pick | 56cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2ce8…4527backed Under | 50c | 66,418$33,209 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33,208.93 | 444 | 56.5%251 W · 193 L | +21.2wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +10.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x27f7…44b0backed Under | 50c | 24,529$12,265 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12,263.97 | 920 | 54%497 W · 423 L | +23.1wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9f15…bdb3backed Over | 45c | 13,017$5,858 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,857.59 | 776 | 47.4%368 W · 408 L | +1.2wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd696…8a49backed Under | 51c | 12,836$6,524 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,311.84 | 321 | 52%167 W · 154 L | +7.5wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Under | 52c | 10,763$5,551 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,212.35 | 12,247 | 46.4%5,687 W · 6,560 L | -68.6wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5268…135dbacked Under | 47c | 7,750$3,642 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,108 | 11,357 | 52.9%6,003 W · 5,354 L | +209.9wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x32ed…f960backed Under | 50c | 6,669$3,367 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,302.04 | 6,116 | 55.3%3,385 W · 2,731 L | +344.6wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa804…2a75backed Over | 46c | 6,282$2,890 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,889.92 | 291 | 47.1%137 W · 154 L | -2.3wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd1ed…d7cbbacked Over | 67c | 6,088$4,079 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,078.96 | 4,381 | 44.9%1,966 W · 2,415 L | +77.8wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x224a…a3d5backed Over | 45c | 5,362$2,405 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,404.95 | 4,279 | 47.3%2,024 W · 2,255 L | -83.5wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2792…c4f6backed Under | 51c | 3,913$1,986 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,926.68 | 739 | 49.8%368 W · 371 L | +0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe83b…2d16backed Under | 40c | 3,608$1,443 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,164.94 | 16 | 56.3%9 W · 7 L | +1.1wins | +0.07per pick | 50cpaid | +15.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Under | 49c | 3,021$1,486 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,534.95 | 8,086 | 46.1%3,728 W · 4,358 L | +29.9wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0e50…2609backed Over | 47c | 3,000$1,410 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,410 | 877 | 50.4%442 W · 435 L | +12.4wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa697…59d5backed Over | 48c | 2,337$1,132 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,131.5 | 6,899 | 50.4%3,478 W · 3,421 L | -7.1wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb88a…f6adbacked Under | 51c | 2,102$1,067 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,034.98 | 287 | 53.3%153 W · 134 L | +10.5wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +15.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5633…59bcbacked Under | 51c | 2,100$1,080 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,019.62 | 279 | 52%145 W · 134 L | +5.5wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Over | 46c | 2,000$924 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$924 | 5,401 | 50.5%2,726 W · 2,675 L | +17.6wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd942…f9d3backed Under | 53c | 2,000$1,060 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$940 | 121 | 52.9%64 W · 57 L | +3.4wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6804…29e2backed Under | 50c | 1,868$943 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$924.93 | 1,379 | 50.6%698 W · 681 L | -2.4wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x21f3…35e3backed Over | 46c | 1,513$696 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$696.03 | 1,572 | 48.3%759 W · 813 L | -6.4wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa3c2…df3dbacked Over | 48c | 1,271$611 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$610.7 | 2,800 | 49.3%1,381 W · 1,419 L | +0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Under | 50c | 1,161$585 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$576.43 | 10,846 | 51.6%5,594 W · 5,252 L | +137.6wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x161a…4103backed Over | 70c | 1,150$808 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$808 | 4,035 | 57.7%2,330 W · 1,705 L | +72.2wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4f29…7a7ebacked Over | 45c | 1,049$471 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$470.96 | 2,969 | 48.4%1,436 W · 1,533 L | -5.3wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7a30…8abdbacked Under | 51c | 1,021$521 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$500.29 | 680 | 53.2%362 W · 318 L | +2.2wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfb07…e2ccbacked Under | 50c | 1,000$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$500 | 167 | 53.9%90 W · 77 L | +10.2wins | +0.06per pick | 48cpaid | +12.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd052…563dbacked Under | 51c | 980.39$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$480.39 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.06per pick | 56cpaid | -14.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2d…7ff5backed Under | 51c | 943.2$481 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$461.71 | 8,295 | 47.8%3,966 W · 4,329 L | +72.4wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa057…d092backed Over | 70c | 838.83$590 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$590.05 | 2,144 | 39.6%849 W · 1,295 L | +0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7677…37c0backed Over | 50c | 800$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$400 | 328 | 50%164 W · 164 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb267…5f55backed Under | 35c | 800$280 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$520 | 39 | 51.3%20 W · 19 L | +0.8wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +8.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf636…5465backed Under | 51c | 788.11$399 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$389.21 | 99 | 56.6%56 W · 43 L | +8.6wins | +0.09per pick | 48cpaid | +15.1%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x39fc…e2f2backed Over | 67c | 781$523 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$523.27 | 3,208 | 51.2%1,642 W · 1,566 L | +146.6wins | +0.05per pick | 47cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2185…b40cbacked Under | 50c | 700$350 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$350 | 262 | 55.7%146 W · 116 L | +9.8wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbca0…9705backed Over | 39c | 631.02$249 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$249.05 | 8,470 | 52.6%4,459 W · 4,011 L | +510.0wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf58d…1fadbacked Under | 50c | 600$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$300 | 18 | 61.1%11 W · 7 L | +2.0wins | +0.11per pick | 50cpaid | +21.1%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xbf9c…3648backed Under | 51c | 588.07$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$288.32 | 1,733 | 49%849 W · 884 L | +6.9wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0d23…251cbacked Under | 51c | 588.07$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$288.32 | 117 | 51.3%60 W · 57 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6b23…04a3backed Over | 37c | 531.84$197 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$196.78 | 3,457 | 51.3%1,772 W · 1,685 L | +108.1wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5b62…d87fbacked Under | 51c | 500$255 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$245 | 1,836 | 50.8%932 W · 904 L | -3.9wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3603…22edbacked Over | 44c | 500$220 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$220 | 518 | 49.4%256 W · 262 L | +0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc22e…eab8backed Under | 50c | 496.08$250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$246.08 | 488 | 51.6%252 W · 236 L | +8.2wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6206…00eebacked Under | 51c | 490.2$250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$240.2 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.14per pick | 47cpaid | -34.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd9ea…b781backed Under | 51c | 418.81$212 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$206.99 | 568 | 51.4%292 W · 276 L | +3.7wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1ba4…6de0backed Over | 50c | 401.92$202 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$201.94 | 209 | 45%94 W · 115 L | -11.1wins | -0.05per pick | 50cpaid | -12%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x428d…8cb6backed Under | 50c | 386.46$193 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$193.23 | 97 | 53.6%52 W · 45 L | +2.1wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3461…ce6cbacked Under | 52c | 384.62$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$184.62 | 26 | 42.3%11 W · 15 L | -1.8wins | -0.07per pick | 49cpaid | -11.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1ed1…fd2abacked Under | 50c | 360$180 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$180 | 82 | 45.1%37 W · 45 L | +2.6wins | +0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xff19…3ebebacked Under | 50c | 344.45$174 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$170.51 | 404 | 47.8%193 W · 211 L | -4.2wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5dc8…e209backed Under | 50c | 309.7$155 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$154.76 | 461 | 52.1%240 W · 221 L | +6.0wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0e64…336dbacked Under | 51c | 301.22$154 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$147.6 | 449 | 45.4%204 W · 245 L | -13.9wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa3d1…de26backed Over | 72c | 286.66$205 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$205 | 110 | 60.9%67 W · 43 L | +1.9wins | +0.02per pick | 59cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xda75…e183backed Under | 52c | 269.23$140 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$129.23 | 38 | 47.4%18 W · 20 L | -1.1wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xefde…6505backed Under | 51c | 224$114 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$110.3 | 1,284 | 49.5%635 W · 649 L | -1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x066f…b576backed Under | 50c | 220.02$110 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$110.01 | 3,832 | 42.2%1,619 W · 2,213 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x61f6…e497backed Over | 67c | 210.23$141 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$140.55 | 1,879 | 40.6%763 W · 1,116 L | -39.9wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -17.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6407…d360backed Under | 50c | 200$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100 | 110 | 41.8%46 W · 64 L | -6.6wins | -0.06per pick | 48cpaid | -13.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x212b…0ba5backed Under | 50c | 198.44$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$98.44 | 536 | 55.8%299 W · 237 L | +22.6wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +8.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5811…0976backed Over | 48c | 195$95 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$94.5 | 1,555 | 48.9%761 W · 794 L | +1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Under | 50c | 190.46$95 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$95.23 | 979 | 44.4%435 W · 544 L | -22.8wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -18%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6ca6…4b74backed Under | 53c | 190$101 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$89.3 | 449 | 49.2%221 W · 228 L | +1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4a3f…4333backed Over | 47c | 186.35$88 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$87.58 | 562 | 53.2%299 W · 263 L | +13.2wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1d60…453dbacked Under | 54c | 185.19$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$85.19 | 321 | 66.4%213 W · 108 L | +10.7wins | +0.03per pick | 63cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x67af…61eebacked Under | 59c | 176.32$104 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$71.92 | 1,814 | 49.1%891 W · 923 L | -26.7wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -12%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8aa7…3767backed Under | 52c | 173.08$90 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$83.08 | 40 | 47.5%19 W · 21 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfb0c…8c72backed Under | 51c | 159.38$81 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$78.42 | 1,206 | 53.7%648 W · 558 L | +29.4wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x228b…af4cbacked Under | 79c | 156.47$124 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.3 | 2,012 | 51.2%1,031 W · 981 L | +43.6wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6cdf…58e1backed Under | 50c | 148.82$75 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$73.82 | 462 | 55.8%258 W · 204 L | +21.3wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | +7.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf6f7…c7a2backed Under | 50c | 140$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$70 | 47 | 40.4%19 W · 28 L | -3.3wins | -0.07per pick | 47cpaid | -21.4%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x83d9…10d9backed Under | 50c | 139.4$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$69.7 | 445 | 53.5%238 W · 207 L | +12.6wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5c80…e19bbacked Under | 50c | 139.22$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$69.22 | 224 | 50%112 W · 112 L | -1.6wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5659…7a6bbacked Over | 45c | 138$62 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62.1 | 546 | 42.5%232 W · 314 L | +7.5wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | +4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb428…74c8backed Under | 53c | 132.08$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$62.08 | 442 | 45.5%201 W · 241 L | +10.5wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb4bf…60f8backed Under | 56c | 130.53$73 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$57.34 | 487 | 51.5%251 W · 236 L | +1.6wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x09ee…90a4backed Over | 47c | 119$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55.93 | 1,569 | 51.1%801 W · 768 L | +15.6wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x22a4…63ebbacked Over | 71c | 115$82 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$81.95 | 1,205 | 58.8%708 W · 497 L | +31.1wins | +0.03per pick | 56cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x93e4…0a36backed Over | 48c | 114.58$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -1.6wins | -0.26per pick | 43cpaid | -61.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5e30…acbfbacked Under | 50c | 111$56 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55.5 | 1,521 | 48.6%739 W · 782 L | -5.3wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0612…559abacked Under | 51c | 108$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.92 | 612 | 50.5%309 W · 303 L | -5.4wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe84f…b777backed Under | 57c | 104.44$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.9 | 424 | 51.9%220 W · 204 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb9b4…1306backed Under | 52c | 101.92$53 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.92 | 41 | 46.3%19 W · 22 L | -1.5wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf0ac…4ec7backed Over | 63c | 101.59$64 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$64 | 1,173 | 29%340 W · 833 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 29cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9696…2bc3backed Over | 49c | 100$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49 | 541 | 46.8%253 W · 288 L | -3.5wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7a64…683ebacked Under | 50c | 100$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50 | 80 | 45%36 W · 44 L | -2.4wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x87f8…7de3backed Over | 49c | 100$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49 | 381 | 42%160 W · 221 L | -5.1wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaaf5…e71cbacked Under | 52c | 96.15$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.15 | 45 | 51.1%23 W · 22 L | -2.0wins | -0.04per pick | 55cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8859…89d6backed Under | 52c | 96.15$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.15 | 159 | 53.5%85 W · 74 L | -4.3wins | -0.03per pick | 56cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2b35…0bfebacked Under | 49c | 93.08$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.47 | 994 | 47.3%470 W · 524 L | -6.3wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdf15…a1febacked Under | 51c | 92.59$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45.37 | 151 | 47.7%72 W · 79 L | -3.4wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9b11…5375backed Over | 46c | 91$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.3 | 1,777 | 49.5%880 W · 897 L | +25.6wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4c1e…befebacked Under | 50c | 89.2$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.21 | 285 | 53%151 W · 134 L | +6.0wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbcd6…f3c8backed Under | 51c | 87.52$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.88 | 375 | 46.9%176 W · 199 L | -8.7wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf593…9553backed Over | 48c | 83.91$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.27 | 2,945 | 47.6%1,401 W · 1,544 L | +3.8wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xecae…c544backed Under | 48c | 81.6$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.43 | 554 | 48.2%267 W · 287 L | -7.4wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x38ef…8800backed Under | 50c | 80.14$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.07 | 424 | 48.1%204 W · 220 L | -9.3wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1950…1bf4backed Under | 50c | 80$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40 | 292 | 55.8%163 W · 129 L | +12.7wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +8.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdbc1…53babacked Over | 40c | 75$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 38 | 34.2%13 W · 25 L | -4.8wins | -0.13per pick | 47cpaid | -36.8%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in MLB and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 13 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- San Francisco Giants vs. San Diego Padres: O/U 8.5this page
- San Francisco Giants vs. San Diego PadresSan Francisco Giants won
- San Francisco Giants vs. San Diego Padres: O/U 10.5Under won
- San Francisco Giants vs. San Diego Padres: O/U 11.5Under won
- San Francisco Giants vs. San Diego Padres: O/U 6.5Under won
- San Francisco Giants vs. San Diego Padres: O/U 7.5Under won
- San Francisco Giants vs. San Diego Padres: O/U 9.5Under won
- Spread: San Diego Padres (-1.5)San Francisco Giants won
- Spread: San Diego Padres (-2.5)San Francisco Giants won
- Spread: San Francisco Giants (-1.5)San Francisco Giants won
- Spread: San Francisco Giants (-2.5)San Francisco Giants won
- Spread: San Francisco Giants (-3.5)San Diego Padres won
- Will there be a run scored in the first inning?: San Francisco Giants vs. San Diego PadresYes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.