TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x8aa7…3767

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
116
Categories scored
20
Categories below 50
7

Best Category: South American Leagues, grading 57 out of 100 (+0.06 per pick).

Best Category South American Leagues at 57 out of 100; worst Dota2 at 46.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
MLBlast resolved Aug 23, 2026, EDT4047.5%19 W · 21 L-0.2wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
MLB — the 40 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in MLB, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Atlanta Braves vs. Milwaukee Brewers: 1st 5 Innings O/U 4.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$270Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$270
Chicago Cubs vs. Seattle Mariners: 1st 5 Innings O/U 4.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$135Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$135
Washington Nationals vs. Miami Marlins: 1st 5 Innings O/U 4.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$135Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$135
Tampa Bay Rays vs. Baltimore Orioles: 1st 5 Innings O/U 4.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$135Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 21, 2026, EDT+112.8%+$152.23
San Francisco Giants vs. Cleveland Guardians: O/U 6.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$270Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$270
St. Louis Cardinals vs. Cincinnati Reds: O/U 8.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$270Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$270
Washington Nationals vs. Texas Rangers: 1st 5 Innings O/U 4.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$270Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$270
New York Yankees vs. Baltimore Orioles: 1st 5 Innings O/U 5.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$270Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$270
Seattle Mariners vs. Milwaukee Brewers: 1st 5 Innings O/U 4.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$220Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 18, 2026, EDT+118.8%+$261.26
Boston Red Sox vs. Pittsburgh Pirates: 1st 5 Innings O/U 4.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$220Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$220
Chicago White Sox vs. Detroit Tigersbacked Chicago White Sox · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$220Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 14, 2026, EDT+122.2%+$268.89
Cleveland Guardians vs. Detroit Tigers: O/U 8.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$220Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$220
Detroit Tigers vs. Seattle Marinersbacked Detroit Tigers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$130Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$130
Detroit Tigers vs. Seattle Mariners: O/U 5.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$130Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 6, 2026, EDT+203%+$263.94
Los Angeles Angels vs. Baltimore Oriolesbacked Baltimore Orioles · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$130Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 4, 2026, EDT+69.5%+$90.34
Boston Red Sox vs. Los Angeles Dodgers: O/U 9.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$130Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 2, 2026, EDT+100%+$130
San Francisco Giants vs. San Diego Padres: O/U 9.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$130Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 2, 2026, EDT-100%-$130
Minnesota Twins vs. Seattle Marinersbacked Minnesota Twins · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$130Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 2, 2026, EDT-100%-$130
San Francisco Giants vs. San Diego Padres: O/U 8.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$90Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 31, 2026, EDT+92.3%+$83.08
Miami Marlins vs. New York Metsbacked New York Mets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$75Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 30, 2026, EDT+85.2%+$63.89
Texas Rangers vs. Tampa Bay Raysbacked Tampa Bay Rays · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$75Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 30, 2026, EDT+61.3%+$45.97
Atlanta Braves vs. New York Metsbacked Atlanta Braves · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$75Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$75
Colorado Rockies vs. San Diego Padresbacked Colorado Rockies · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$75Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$75
Boston Red Sox vs. Athletics: O/U 9.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$75Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 29, 2026, EDT+108.3%+$81.25
Chicago Cubs vs. St. Louis Cardinalsbacked St. Louis Cardinals · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 28, 2026, EDT-100%-$39.87
Showing 25 of 40 picks, newest first.
CS2last resolved Aug 21, 2026, EDT1656.3%9 W · 7 L+0.5wins+0.03per pick53cpaid+1.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
CS2 — the 16 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in CS2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Counter-Strike: FUT Esports vs MOUZ (BO3) - Esports World Cup Playoffsbacked MOUZ · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$270Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$270
Counter-Strike: Drip Too Hard vs HyperSpirit (BO3) - CCT Europe Series #7 Group Stagebacked HyperSpirit · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$270Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 19, 2026, EDT+112.8%+$304.47
Counter-Strike: Legacy vs FaZe (BO3) - Esports World Cup Group Bbacked Legacy · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$220Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$220
Counter-Strike: Heroic vs 9INE (BO3) - Esports World Cup Open Qualifier Group 7backed 9INE · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$122Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$122.19
Games Total: O/U 2.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$220Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 6, 2026, EDT+93.8%+$206.33
Counter-Strike: Grêmio Esports vs QUINTESSÊNCIA (BO3) - Gamers Club Liga Série A Playoffsbacked QUINTESSÊNCIA · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$220Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$220
Counter-Strike: WW Team vs ex-RUSTEC (BO3) - CCT Europe Series #6 Playoffsbacked WW Team · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$220Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$220
Counter-Strike: Walczaki vs UNiTY esports - Map 2 Winnerbacked Walczaki · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$220Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 6, 2026, EDT+68.3%+$150.25
Counter-Strike: GamersLab Esports vs maybe (BO3) - Tipsport Cup Open #1 Group Stagebacked GamersLab Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$190Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 6, 2026, EDT+49%+$93.04
Counter-Strike: Nuclear TigeRES vs Butterfly - Map 1 Winnerbacked Butterfly · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$190Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$190
Counter-Strike: STATE vs Fortress (BO3) - Thunderpick World Championship European Series #2 Group Abacked STATE · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$60Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 25, 2026, EDT+30.5%+$18.31
Counter-Strike: GenOne vs Atreides (BO3) - NODWIN Clutch Series Group Stagebacked Atreides · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$60Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 24, 2026, EDT+156.4%+$93.85
Counter-Strike: GenOne vs Atreides - Map 2 Winnerbacked Atreides · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$60Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 24, 2026, EDT+86%+$51.63
Counter-Strike: magic vs 3DMAX - Map 1 Winnerbacked magic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 24, 2026, EDT+81.8%+$24.55
Counter-Strike: eternal premium vs Julie&cie (BO3) - CCT Europe Closed Qualifier: Series #6 Group Abacked eternal premium · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 22, 2026, EDT+47.1%+$14.12
Counter-Strike: BET-M 33 vs CYBERSHOKE Esports (BO3) - European Pro League Series 8 Playoffsbacked BET-M 33 · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$30
All 16 picks, newest first.
WNBAlast resolved Aug 19, 2026, EDT1266.7%8 W · 4 L+2.0wins+0.16per pick50cpaid+41.2%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
WNBA — the 12 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in WNBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Toronto Tempo vs. Washington Mystics: O/U 170.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$270Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$270
Washington Mystics vs. Las Vegas Acesbacked Las Vegas Aces · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$220Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 14, 2026, EDT+47.1%+$103.53
Atlanta Dream vs. Washington Mystics: O/U 170.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$220Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 7, 2026, EDT+100%+$220
Toronto Tempo vs. Portland Fire: O/U 185.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$220Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 7, 2026, EDT+85.3%+$187.59
Toronto Tempo vs. Portland Fire: O/U 187.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$220Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 7, 2026, EDT+88.7%+$195.09
Spread: Minnesota Lynx (-15.5)backed Minnesota Lynx · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$220Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$220
Las Vegas Aces vs. Indiana Feverbacked Indiana Fever · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$220Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$220
Dallas Wings vs. Washington Mysticsbacked Washington Mystics · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$130Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 5, 2026, EDT+104.7%+$136.15
Phoenix Mercury vs. Atlanta Dream: O/U 181.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$130Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 5, 2026, EDT+207.9%+$270.33
Indiana Fever vs. Minnesota Lynx: O/U 193.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$110Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 2, 2026, EDT+122.2%+$134.44
Atlanta Dream vs. Dallas Wingsbacked Dallas Wings · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$75Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$75
Team Spoon vs. Team Coop: O/U 279.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$60Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 25, 2026, EDT+138.1%+$82.86
All 12 picks, newest first.
Tennis Inactivelast resolved Aug 7, 2026, EDT850%4 W · 4 L0.0wins0.00per pick50cpaid+4.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Tennis — the 8 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tennis, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Hagen: Elmer Moeller vs Carlos Tabernerbacked Carlos Taberner · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$220Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$220
ITF Southaven: Kaylan Bigun vs Naoya Hondabacked Kaylan Bigun · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$220Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 7, 2026, EDT+93%+$204.62
Grodzisk Mazowiecki: Joel Schwaerzler vs Aziz Dougazbacked Joel Schwaerzler · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$160Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 6, 2026, EDT+96.1%+$153.73
Grodzisk Mazowiecki: Damir Dzumhur vs Mathys Erhardbacked Mathys Erhard · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$160Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 6, 2026, EDT+163.2%+$261.05
Mubadala Citi DC Open: Diana Shnaider vs Liudmila Samsonovabacked Liudmila Samsonova · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$110Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 31, 2026, EDT-100%-$110
Mubadala Citi DC Open: Diana Shnaider vs Anastasia Potapovabacked Diana Shnaider · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$75Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 30, 2026, EDT+85.2%+$63.89
Los Cabos Open: Jenson Brooksby vs Corentin Moutetbacked Corentin Moutet · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$75Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$75
Estoril Open: Luca Van Assche vs Alexander Blockxbacked Alexander Blockx · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$60Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$60
All 8 picks, newest first.
Dota2 Inactivelast resolved Aug 7, 2026, EDT728.6%2 W · 5 L-1.2wins-0.17per pick46cpaid-47.4%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
Dota2 — the 7 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Dota2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Europa Conference League Inactivelast resolved Aug 6, 2026, EDT650%3 W · 3 L-0.1wins-0.02per pick52cpaid+54.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Europa Conference League — the 6 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Europa Conference League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Weatherlast resolved Aug 14, 2026, EDT560%3 W · 2 L+0.1wins+0.02per pick58cpaid-6.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Weather — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Weather, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Lollast resolved Aug 24, 2026, EDT450%2 W · 2 L+0.5wins+0.12per pick38cpaid+32.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Lol — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Lol, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

South American Leagueslast resolved Aug 21, 2026, EDT3100%3 W · 0 L+1.8wins+0.58per pick42cpaid+147%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
South American Leagues — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in South American Leagues, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Mlslast resolved Aug 22, 2026, EDT366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.7wins+0.23per pick43cpaid+48.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
Mls — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Mls, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

AI Inactivelast resolved Jul 24, 2026, EDT250%1 W · 1 L+0.5wins+0.26per pick24cpaid+455.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
AI — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in AI, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

NFLlast resolved Aug 20, 2026, EDT250%1 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.07per pick57cpaid-24.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
NFL — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NFL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Raiders vs. Texansbacked Texans · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$270Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$270
Spread: Panthers (-1.5)backed Panthers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$198Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 7, 2026, EDT+51.5%+$102.06
All 2 picks, newest first.
Middle Eastlast resolved Aug 21, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.58per pick42cpaid+138%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Middle East — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Middle East, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
US-Iran 60 day negotiation period extended?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$220Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 21, 2026, EDT+138%+$303.57
All 1 picks, newest first.
Us Midtermslast resolved Aug 18, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.52per pick48cpaid+107.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Us Midterms — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Us Midterms, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Yen Bailey be the FL-02 Democratic nominee?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$109Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 18, 2026, EDT+107.6%+$117.61
All 1 picks, newest first.
Valorant Inactivelast resolved Jul 21, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.46per pick54cpaid+83.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Valorant — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Valorant, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Valorant: EDward Gaming vs Nova Esports (BO3) - VCT China Stage 2 Group Alphabacked Nova Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 21, 2026, EDT+83.5%+$25.05
All 1 picks, newest first.
Other European Leagues Inactivelast resolved Aug 1, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.34per pick66cpaid+51.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Other European Leagues — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Other European Leagues, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Lyngby BK win on 2026-08-01?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$110Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 1, 2026, EDT+51.5%+$56.67
All 1 picks, newest first.
Crypto Milestones Inactivelast resolved Aug 1, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.25per pick75cpaid+33.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Crypto Milestones — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Crypto Milestones, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Solana dip to $70 in July?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 1, 2026, EDT+33.3%+$10
All 1 picks, newest first.
Cricket Inactivelast resolved Aug 7, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.25per pick25cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Cricket — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Cricket, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
ICC Cricket World Cup League Two: Scotland vs Canadabacked Canada · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
All 1 picks, newest first.
UFClast resolved Aug 15, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.36per pick36cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
UFC — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in UFC, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
UFC 330: Mackenzie Dern vs. Gillian Robertson (Women's Strawweight, Main Card)backed Gillian Robertson · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$220Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$220
All 1 picks, newest first.
Music Inactivelast resolved Aug 7, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.46per pick46cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Music — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Music, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will "Petal" - Ariana Grande first week album sales be between 300k and 350k?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$130Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$130
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.