Weather · resolved market
Will the highest temperature in London be 26°C on July 31?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x1239d948a89af73b30cf19bb1810fbe5b64400a2ad77d1101c710a08e0cad702
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Weatherevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $23,379
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $23,790
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $23,379 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 134 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Weather is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Weather | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x7e9c…f3a8backed Yes | 25c | 871.77$218 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$217.5 | 602 | 36.5%220 W · 382 L | -2.4wins | 0.00per pick | 37cpaid | -14.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe040…824fbacked No | 56c | 512.75$286 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$226.93 | 4,267 | 53.4%2,279 W · 1,988 L | +156.0wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7c63…93d4backed No | 66c | 490.05$322 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$168.18 | 10,354 | 37.9%3,919 W · 6,435 L | +417.6wins | +0.04per pick | 34cpaid | +16.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbee8…15bebacked Yes | 32c | 475.63$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 84 | 21.4%18 W · 66 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 21cpaid | -45.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd23f…94a1backed No | 73c | 444.97$325 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$120.1 | 2,617 | 59.5%1,556 W · 1,061 L | -41.5wins | -0.02per pick | 61cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf960…ba50backed No | 67c | 441.21$295 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$146.32 | 12 | 58.3%7 W · 5 L | +0.4wins | +0.03per pick | 55cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd6e2…7d4fbacked Yes | 21c | 394.19$81 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$81.18 | 485 | 23.7%115 W · 370 L | -18.3wins | -0.04per pick | 27cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6961…511bbacked No | 80c | 366.78$293 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$74.28 | 44 | 61.4%27 W · 17 L | -1.9wins | -0.04per pick | 66cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0036…df65backed No | 69c | 304.52$209 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$95.82 | 197 | 37.1%73 W · 124 L | -10.3wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -17.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xfd55…f905backed No | 75c | 292$220 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$72.46 | 4,547 | 58.4%2,655 W · 1,892 L | -107.5wins | -0.02per pick | 61cpaid | -8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xaa93…0bc7backed Yes | 13c | 280$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.9 | 3,859 | 23.4%903 W · 2,956 L | +128.4wins | +0.03per pick | 20cpaid | +10%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1eb6…671dbacked Yes | 28c | 278.16$78 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$78.14 | 57 | 36.8%21 W · 36 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 37cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6bee…7e78backed Yes | 14c | 272.73$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.46 | 1,076 | 23.5%253 W · 823 L | +69.1wins | +0.06per pick | 17cpaid | +14.2%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x52eb…67acbacked No | 73c | 254.91$185 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$69.7 | 4,988 | 49.8%2,485 W · 2,503 L | -155.4wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3653…ef74backed Yes | 8c | 212.11$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.96 | 2,124 | 57.4%1,220 W · 904 L | +69.9wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9281…60febacked Yes | 22c | 201.64$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44 | 34 | 58.8%20 W · 14 L | +5.2wins | +0.15per pick | 44cpaid | +36.6%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xe405…2fc3backed Yes | 50c | 200$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 20 | 20%4 W · 16 L | -2.1wins | -0.11per pick | 31cpaid | -46%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4c48…1c17backed No | 67c | 199.99$134 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$65.5 | 165 | 52.7%87 W · 78 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xaa28…090bbacked Yes | 12c | 198.92$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.34 | 2,239 | 15%335 W · 1,904 L | +54.6wins | +0.02per pick | 13cpaid | +24%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xeb68…e362backed Yes | 8c | 193.78$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.79 | 2,118 | 59.1%1,251 W · 867 L | +107.9wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc34f…7d2ebacked No | 61c | 193.36$119 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$74.73 | 12,173 | 46.8%5,692 W · 6,481 L | -42.2wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -13.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5fe7…1ea9backed No | 70c | 186.91$130 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.54 | 155 | 70.3%109 W · 46 L | +23.6wins | +0.15per pick | 55cpaid | +16.2%equal weight | 65+0.13 edge/pick |
| 0x5bc3…b0aebacked Yes | 28c | 175$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.02 | 959 | 33.5%321 W · 638 L | +28.3wins | +0.03per pick | 31cpaid | -5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x77f0…2b1fbacked No | 71c | 170.99$121 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.59 | 3,028 | 49.8%1,509 W · 1,519 L | +16.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +10.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x43cb…84dfbacked Yes | 16c | 168.6$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.27 | 6,787 | 39.1%2,654 W · 4,133 L | +256.4wins | +0.04per pick | 35cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd496…0ab0backed Yes | 61c | 168$102 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$102.13 | 19 | 52.6%10 W · 9 L | -1.6wins | -0.09per pick | 61cpaid | -21%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1201…005bbacked Yes | 15c | 166.51$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.87 | 167 | 9.6%16 W · 151 L | -1.9wins | -0.01per pick | 11cpaid | -32.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x85c0…e01dbacked Yes | 15c | 161.78$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.35 | 1,032 | 24.3%251 W · 781 L | +40.9wins | +0.04per pick | 20cpaid | +14.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8b8b…2512backed Yes | 14c | 158.92$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.29 | 2,093 | 57.1%1,196 W · 897 L | +71.9wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0324…01fbbacked Yes | 27c | 145.33$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.46 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -1.3wins | -0.33per pick | 33cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x19f4…c772backed Yes | 21c | 136$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.94 | 1,054 | 34.9%368 W · 686 L | +11.1wins | +0.01per pick | 34cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa3e2…fdf8backed Yes | 30c | 134.49$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.57 | 9,490 | 45.9%4,360 W · 5,130 L | -278.5wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9acf…0cc2backed Yes | 17c | 129.71$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.36 | 229 | 45.4%104 W · 125 L | +3.9wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0f99…6734backed No | 75c | 128$96 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32 | 548 | 53.1%291 W · 257 L | -28.7wins | -0.05per pick | 58cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd717…3b85backed Yes | 20c | 125.08$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.12 | 2,050 | 57.4%1,177 W · 873 L | +72.2wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6b9a…0f66backed Yes | 32c | 124.49$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.1 | 111 | 46.8%52 W · 59 L | +1.3wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf216…4844backed No | 75c | 122.21$92 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.57 | 272 | 46.3%126 W · 146 L | +13.9wins | +0.05per pick | 41cpaid | +13.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb7bd…68b0backed Yes | 41c | 115.26$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.7 | 59 | 37.3%22 W · 37 L | -1.1wins | -0.02per pick | 39cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x005e…6d8ebacked Yes | 25c | 115.08$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.3 | 2,046 | 57%1,167 W · 879 L | +73.4wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2612…5289backed Yes | 20c | 114.37$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.15 | 3,048 | 40.5%1,234 W · 1,814 L | -121.5wins | -0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -23.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xaf38…c19ebacked Yes | 35c | 114.29$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 612 | 49.5%303 W · 309 L | +30.2wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0484…4830backed Yes | 33c | 112.29$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.65 | 5,186 | 47.2%2,447 W · 2,739 L | +66.7wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5641…6d0dbacked Yes | 16c | 112.06$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.81 | 563 | 22.9%129 W · 434 L | -32.9wins | -0.06per pick | 29cpaid | -41.6%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1d69…7a63backed Yes | 25c | 111.98$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.59 | 1,075 | 54.8%589 W · 486 L | -17.0wins | -0.02per pick | 56cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2cad…c773backed Yes | 26c | 110$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.9 | 67 | 50.7%34 W · 33 L | +4.2wins | +0.06per pick | 45cpaid | -19.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8aa7…3767backed No | 70c | 107.39$75 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.39 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.1wins | +0.02per pick | 58cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb2e4…b7f1backed Yes | 11c | 106.51$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.49 | 2,065 | 56.3%1,163 W · 902 L | +56.7wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd1ed…d7cbbacked No | 71c | 103.85$73 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.53 | 799 | 47.9%383 W · 416 L | -24.6wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -20%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4e72…ffb9backed Yes | 19c | 103.66$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.32 | 2,102 | 56.5%1,188 W · 914 L | +61.4wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x397c…ca1bbacked Yes | 29c | 100$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29 | 1,285 | 32.8%422 W · 863 L | +24.3wins | +0.02per pick | 31cpaid | +7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfa01…9eedbacked Yes | 10c | 100$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 157 | 17.2%27 W · 130 L | +5.4wins | +0.03per pick | 14cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf18c…18c1backed No | 75c | 100$75 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25 | 439 | 59.5%261 W · 178 L | +4.6wins | +0.01per pick | 58cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb3dd…81b2backed Yes | 10c | 100$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 44 | 31.8%14 W · 30 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 32cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb5f4…3fdbbacked Yes | 30c | 100$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 273 | 35.9%98 W · 175 L | +3.0wins | +0.01per pick | 35cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x276a…d445backed Yes | 33c | 99.99$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.7 | 46 | 32.6%15 W · 31 L | -2.8wins | -0.06per pick | 39cpaid | -20%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc1fa…cafebacked Yes | 34c | 99.84$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.95 | 80 | 27.5%22 W · 58 L | -6.7wins | -0.08per pick | 36cpaid | -25.1%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4ce5…6233backed No | 76c | 99$75 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.16 | 135 | 59.3%80 W · 55 L | -7.8wins | -0.06per pick | 65cpaid | -17.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa047…4ffabacked No | 73c | 98.07$71 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.62 | 760 | 59.2%450 W · 310 L | -15.6wins | -0.02per pick | 61cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x28bf…4a4ebacked No | 74c | 98$73 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25 | 5,389 | 56%3,017 W · 2,372 L | -120.8wins | -0.02per pick | 58cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb40e…7cc9backed No | 75c | 96.04$72 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.47 | 12,498 | 19.5%2,441 W · 10,057 L | -2,667.3wins | -0.21per pick | 41cpaid | -66.8%equal weight | 26-0.21 edge/pick |
| 0xaff9…8e3cbacked No | 71c | 95.8$68 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.1 | 78 | 62.8%49 W · 29 L | -3.1wins | -0.04per pick | 67cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2e80…6910backed Yes | 22c | 90$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.8 | 55 | 60%33 W · 22 L | +2.3wins | +0.04per pick | 56cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x510f…a43cbacked Yes | 13c | 90$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.4 | 3,474 | 33.9%1,177 W · 2,297 L | -175.6wins | -0.05per pick | 39cpaid | -28.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5a21…9318backed Yes | 17c | 83.49$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.92 | 6,592 | 53.1%3,503 W · 3,089 L | +400.2wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9a50…ee23backed Yes | 25c | 80.44$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 15 | 20%3 W · 12 L | -3.2wins | -0.21per pick | 41cpaid | -49.2%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xfbd8…4027backed No | 73c | 76$56 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.38 | 5,631 | 59.9%3,374 W · 2,257 L | -111.1wins | -0.02per pick | 62cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x16c7…22cdbacked Yes | 24c | 73.35$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.81 | 2,075 | 58.9%1,223 W · 852 L | +102.1wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xafde…3e1dbacked Yes | 28c | 73$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.5 | 1,331 | 20.8%277 W · 1,054 L | +33.9wins | +0.03per pick | 18cpaid | -19%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x75cc…6b15backed Yes | 32c | 72.98$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.35 | 1,181 | 49.4%583 W · 598 L | -9.1wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd3b4…73cdbacked No | 68c | 72$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.04 | 631 | 43.1%272 W · 359 L | -14.0wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5647…de1dbacked Yes | 29c | 70$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.3 | 479 | 35.3%169 W · 310 L | -6.3wins | -0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x56e2…4a79backed Yes | 32c | 69.09$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.41 | 26 | 30.8%8 W · 18 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 31cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7ae4…fc82backed Yes | 33c | 68.07$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.25 | 2,530 | 50.4%1,275 W · 1,255 L | -48.9wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3c18…32c3backed No | 67c | 65.9$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.63 | 1,043 | 62.9%656 W · 387 L | -11.9wins | -0.01per pick | 64cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xff74…5de4backed Yes | 24c | 64.25$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.16 | 659 | 34.1%225 W · 434 L | +36.6wins | +0.06per pick | 29cpaid | +18.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xdd01…e719backed Yes | 40c | 62.75$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 14 | 50%7 W · 7 L | +1.1wins | +0.08per pick | 42cpaid | +18.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb0c8…fe7fbacked No | 73c | 61.92$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.49 | 4,142 | 54.1%2,241 W · 1,901 L | -16.6wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe396…dce1backed No | 78c | 60.55$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.54 | 236 | 66.1%156 W · 80 L | -6.5wins | -0.03per pick | 69cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2549…c8b1backed No | 74c | 60.24$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.73 | 81 | 39.5%32 W · 49 L | -3.0wins | -0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xced2…0d6bbacked No | 65c | 60$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21 | 156 | 69.2%108 W · 48 L | +2.8wins | +0.02per pick | 67cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd90e…03b6backed No | 73c | 59$43 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.13 | 1,148 | 49.6%569 W · 579 L | -34.3wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x69f0…fb27backed Yes | 18c | 58.66$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.65 | 2,118 | 58.2%1,233 W · 885 L | +78.8wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x496f…fa5dbacked No | 71c | 57$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.7 | 4,514 | 52.9%2,389 W · 2,125 L | +47.8wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3f0b…d571backed No | 70c | 56.81$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.81 | 2,225 | 49.2%1,094 W · 1,131 L | -12.0wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5824…19d5backed Yes | 22c | 56.33$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.33 | 126 | 29.4%37 W · 89 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 29cpaid | +19.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0d42…f124backed Yes | 25c | 56.09$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.95 | 523 | 22.6%118 W · 405 L | -18.0wins | -0.03per pick | 26cpaid | -44.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xeb58…407abacked Yes | 25c | 52.09$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.17 | 2,424 | 26.2%636 W · 1,788 L | +18.0wins | +0.01per pick | 25cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdca4…e93dbacked No | 60c | 52$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.8 | 2,501 | 45.5%1,138 W · 1,363 L | +26.8wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf419…5f89backed Yes | 23c | 51.99$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.96 | 949 | 19.7%187 W · 762 L | +11.1wins | +0.01per pick | 19cpaid | +8.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x82f3…9f82backed Yes | 36c | 50$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.78 | 1,455 | 24.7%359 W · 1,096 L | -33.3wins | -0.02per pick | 27cpaid | -16.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xac64…866ebacked No | 70c | 50$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.13 | 710 | 57.9%411 W · 299 L | +1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 58cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb0f5…8fd4backed Yes | 37c | 49.99$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.5 | 100 | 42%42 W · 58 L | -3.0wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0fb4…c6d7backed Yes | 22c | 48.67$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.71 | 371 | 50.4%187 W · 184 L | +6.3wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xecc8…9335backed Yes | 24c | 48$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.62 | 192 | 60.9%117 W · 75 L | +7.2wins | +0.04per pick | 57cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6edc…f4fcbacked Yes | 34c | 45$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.3 | 34 | 32.4%11 W · 23 L | -1.5wins | -0.04per pick | 37cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x180e…29dfbacked Yes | 23c | 44.31$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.19 | 508 | 60.4%307 W · 201 L | +18.3wins | +0.04per pick | 57cpaid | +9.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbb1a…1e6dbacked Yes | 35c | 41.54$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.47 | 1,359 | 30.2%411 W · 948 L | -92.9wins | -0.07per pick | 37cpaid | -22.9%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xd0a2…9633backed No | 64c | 41.47$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.08 | 19 | 63.2%12 W · 7 L | -0.6wins | -0.03per pick | 66cpaid | -9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5888…1109backed No | 74c | 40.54$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.54 | 23 | 60.9%14 W · 9 L | +2.4wins | +0.11per pick | 50cpaid | +67.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf7aa…ddd6backed No | 68c | 40.54$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.91 | 1,274 | 50.9%649 W · 625 L | -35.9wins | -0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Weather and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 7 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will the highest temperature in London be 26°C on July 31?this page
- Will the highest temperature in London be 22°C on July 31?No won
- Will the highest temperature in London be 23°C on July 31?No won
- Will the highest temperature in London be 24°C on July 31?No won
- Will the highest temperature in London be 25°C on July 31?Yes won
- Will the highest temperature in London be 27°C on July 31?No won
- Will the highest temperature in London be 28°C on July 31?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.