TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x6b9a…0f66

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
147
Categories scored
11
Categories below 50
4

Best Category: CS2, grading 54 out of 100 (+0.04 per pick).

Best Category CS2 at 54 out of 100; worst Middle East at 47.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
Weatherlast resolved Aug 13, 2026, EDT11146.8%52 W · 59 L+1.3wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-0.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Weather — the 111 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Weather, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will the highest temperature in London be 35°C on August 13?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$15
Will the highest temperature in Istanbul be 27°C on August 13?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 13, 2026, EDT+85.2%+$12.78
Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 39°C on August 13?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Will the highest temperature in Tel Aviv be 33°C on August 13?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$14
Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 31°C on August 13?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$15
Will the highest temperature in Milan be 34°C on August 12?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$13
Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 38°C on August 12?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 12, 2026, EDT+61.9%+$12.39
Will the highest temperature in Helsinki be 21°C on August 8?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$10
Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 39°C on August 7?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 8, 2026, EDT+194.1%+$29.12
Will the highest temperature in London be 25°C on August 7?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$15
Will the highest temperature in Istanbul be 28°C on August 7?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 7, 2026, EDT+69.5%+$10.42
Will the highest temperature in London be 23°C on August 6?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$27Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 6, 2026, EDT+132.6%+$35.79
Will the highest temperature in London be 24°C on August 6?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$17
Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 38°C on August 6?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$16Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 6, 2026, EDT+61.3%+$9.68
Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 21°C on August 6?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 6, 2026, EDT+108.3%+$21.67
Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 32°C on August 6?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$15
Will the highest temperature in Istanbul be 27°C on August 6?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$10
Will the highest temperature in Helsinki be 24°C on August 6?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$25
Will the highest temperature in London be 25°C on August 5?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$14
Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 26°C on August 5?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 5, 2026, EDT+28.2%+$5.64
Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 36°C on August 5?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 5, 2026, EDT+46.5%+$23.27
Will the highest temperature in Tel Aviv be 32°C on August 5?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$11
Will the highest temperature in Istanbul be 30°C on August 5?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$10
Will the highest temperature in Helsinki be 22°C on August 5?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 34°C on August 4?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 4, 2026, EDT+48.1%+$48.14
Showing 25 of 111 picks, newest first.
CS2 Inactivelast resolved Jun 21, 2026, EDT1580%12 W · 3 L+1.6wins+0.10per pick70cpaid+13.6%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
CS2 — the 15 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in CS2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Counter-Strike: FURIA vs Team Falcons (BO5) - IEM Cologne Major Playoffsbacked FURIA · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$30
Counter-Strike: Spirit vs BetBoom Team (BO1) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 2backed Spirit · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 6, 2026, EDT+25%+$2.5
Counter-Strike: Astralis vs Spirit (BO3) - ESL Pro League Playoffsbacked Spirit · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Counter-Strike: TheMongolz vs 3DMAX (BO3) - ESL Pro League Stage 2backed TheMongolz · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 9, 2026, EDT+44.9%+$22.46
Counter-Strike: Aurora Gaming vs paiN (BO3) - PGL Cluj-Napoca Group Stagebacked Aurora Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 15, 2026, EST+38.9%+$4
Counter-Strike: Aurora Gaming vs paiN - Map 2 Winnerbacked Aurora Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 15, 2026, EST+40.8%+$8.17
Counter-Strike: PARIVISION vs FURIA (BO3) - BLAST Bounty Playoffsbacked FURIA · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 24, 2026, EST-100%-$20
Counter-Strike: FaZe vs Passion UA (BO3)backed FaZe · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 7, 2025, EST+44.9%+$4.94
Counter-Strike: Spirit vs Liquid (BO1)backed Spirit · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 4, 2025, EST+42.9%+$21.43
Counter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs B8 (BO3)backed Natus Vincere · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 30, 2025, EST+49.3%+$49.15
Counter-Strike: Fluxo vs NIP (BO3)backed NIP · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 26, 2025, EST+37%+$11.1
Counter-Strike: Legacy vs RED Canids (BO1)backed Legacy · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$42Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 25, 2025, EST+35.1%+$14.76
BLAST Open: MOUZ vs. Imperialbacked MOUZ · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 28, 2025, EDT+25%+$5
Will The MongolZ win the 2025 CS2 Esports World Cup Tournament?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$37Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 24, 2025, EDT+37%+$13.83
BLAST Bounty: MOUZ vs. Spiritbacked Spirit · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 16, 2025, EDT+83.1%+$16.63
All 15 picks, newest first.
World Politicslast resolved Aug 13, 2026, EDT955.6%5 W · 4 L+0.3wins+0.04per pick52cpaid-0.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
World Politics — the 9 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in World Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will the highest temperature in Paris be 38°C on August 13?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 13, 2026, EDT+96.1%+$14.41
Will the highest temperature in Paris be 35°C on August 12?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$14Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 12, 2026, EDT+63.9%+$8.95
Will the highest temperature in Paris be 29°C on August 5?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$22Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 5, 2026, EDT+40.8%+$8.99
Will the highest temperature in Paris be 33°C on August 2?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 2, 2026, EDT-100%-$11
Will the highest temperature in Paris be 27°C on August 1?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$18
Will the highest temperature in Paris be 30°C on July 30?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$40
Will the highest temperature in Paris be 38°C on July 29?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 29, 2026, EDT+117.4%+$35.22
Will the highest temperature in Paris be 27°C on July 24?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$30
Will the highest temperature in Paris be 26°C on July 22?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 22, 2026, EDT+78.6%+$15.71
All 9 picks, newest first.
Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Jul 14, 2026, EDT450%2 W · 2 L-0.4wins-0.11per pick61cpaid-33.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Champions League Inactivelast resolved May 30, 2026, EDT2100%2 W · 0 L+0.7wins+0.36per pick64cpaid+60.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
Champions League — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Champions League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Us Politics Inactivelast resolved Nov 19, 2025, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.7wins+0.67per pick33cpaid+203%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
Us Politics — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Us Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Trump sign the Epstein Disclosure Bill on November 19?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$34Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 19, 2025, EST+203%+$70
All 1 picks, newest first.
Ukraine Inactivelast resolved Apr 1, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.40per pick60cpaid+66.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Ukraine — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ukraine, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Russia join the Board of Peace?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$118Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT+66.1%+$78.2
All 1 picks, newest first.
UFC Inactivelast resolved Nov 16, 2025, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.26per pick74cpaid+35.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
UFC — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in UFC, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
UFC 322: Makhachev vs. Della Maddalena (Welterweight, Main Card)backed Makhachev · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 16, 2025, EST+35.1%+$17.57
All 1 picks, newest first.
Token Launches Inactivelast resolved Nov 23, 2025, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.47per pick47cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Token Launches — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Token Launches, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will the Monad public sale commitments be between $400M and $600M?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$47Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 23, 2025, EST-100%-$47
All 1 picks, newest first.
AI Inactivelast resolved Feb 1, 2026, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.61per pick61cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
AI — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in AI, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Google Gemini 3 score at least 40% on the FrontierMath Benchmark?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$32Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 1, 2026, EST-100%-$32
All 1 picks, newest first.
Middle East Inactivelast resolved Feb 28, 2026, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.7wins-0.68per pick68cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
Middle East — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Middle East, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
US strikes Iran by March 31, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$204Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 28, 2026, EST-100%-$204
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.