CS2 · resolved market
Counter-Strike: Aurora Gaming vs paiN (BO3) - PGL Cluj-Napoca Group Stage
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x3727bdafc15e91db18da93e91ccde042dd0ff7677ed8c106fa676bc953f60c07
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Aurora Gamingof Aurora Gaming, paiN
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $794,846
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $944,963
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $794,846 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 487 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in CS2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xb726…0664backed paiN | 42c | 71,082$29,792 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29,791.82 | 126 | 49.2%62 W · 64 L | -3.5wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcd9b…414dbacked Aurora Gaming | 70c | 47,626$33,339 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14,287.94 | 111 | 46.8%52 W · 59 L | -7.6wins | -0.07per pick | 54cpaid | -16.6%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xccb2…8586backed paiN | 29c | 41,795$12,096 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12,095.71 | 39 | 61.5%24 W · 15 L | +3.0wins | +0.08per pick | 54cpaid | +14.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x67bb…b6efbacked Aurora Gaming | 71c | 39,443$27,971 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11,471.65 | 760 | 58%441 W · 319 L | +3.8wins | +0.01per pick | 58cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe90b…5da2backed paiN | 45c | 38,925$17,464 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17,464.23 | 210 | 51%107 W · 103 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8c0b…7aa5backed paiN | 36c | 35,140$12,520 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12,520.1 | 818 | 43.2%353 W · 465 L | +23.0wins | +0.03per pick | 40cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5e6e…be00backed paiN | 52c | 30,999$16,055 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16,055.46 | 416 | 49.8%207 W · 209 L | +19.5wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | +11%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0fd9…3373backed Aurora Gaming | 47c | 25,666$12,056 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13,610.16 | 67 | 52.2%35 W · 32 L | -1.3wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -3%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3833…33d1backed paiN | 34c | 23,980$8,153 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$8,153.14 | 210 | 48.1%101 W · 109 L | -5.0wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6adc…bebabacked Aurora Gaming | 45c | 22,222$10,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12,222.1 | 136 | 33.1%45 W · 91 L | -5.6wins | -0.04per pick | 37cpaid | -17.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Aurora Gaming | 60c | 21,947$13,188 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8,759.27 | 3,257 | 50.3%1,638 W · 1,619 L | +98.0wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc65c…ea39backed paiN | 51c | 21,896$11,167 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11,167.08 | 105 | 51.4%54 W · 51 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb2e4…bc51backed Aurora Gaming | 48c | 19,671$9,450 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10,220.7 | 49 | 42.9%21 W · 28 L | -4.3wins | -0.09per pick | 52cpaid | -23.3%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x153a…9d6dbacked paiN | 30c | 18,488$5,461 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,461.47 | 124 | 49.2%61 W · 63 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0dcf…c556backed Aurora Gaming | 49c | 17,000$8,330 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8,670 | 238 | 39.9%95 W · 143 L | -11.0wins | -0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5f45…a77abacked Aurora Gaming | 46c | 16,879$7,764 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9,114.57 | 212 | 51.4%109 W · 103 L | +3.4wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2765…7ee4backed paiN | 53c | 13,943$7,343 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,343.38 | 645 | 52.9%341 W · 304 L | +27.2wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +9.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xac47…d234backed paiN | 52c | 11,384$5,920 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,919.68 | 34 | 35.3%12 W · 22 L | -3.7wins | -0.11per pick | 46cpaid | -20%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x3993…cdedbacked paiN | 51c | 10,073$5,139 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,138.96 | 836 | 52.5%439 W · 397 L | +10.1wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdb63…a71dbacked Aurora Gaming | 48c | 10,000$4,800 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,200 | 150 | 50.7%76 W · 74 L | -4.0wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x91e8…f1abbacked Aurora Gaming | 69c | 9,597$6,646 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,951.41 | 186 | 54.8%102 W · 84 L | -6.0wins | -0.03per pick | 58cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc49f…9e05backed paiN | 30c | 8,900$2,670 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,670 | 351 | 53.8%189 W · 162 L | +12.5wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x98cd…61f9backed Aurora Gaming | 53c | 8,800$4,637 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,162.55 | 15 | 26.7%4 W · 11 L | -2.2wins | -0.15per pick | 41cpaid | -51%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc257…358ebacked Aurora Gaming | 69c | 8,339$5,754 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,585.08 | 392 | 49%192 W · 200 L | +0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7645…3117backed paiN | 30c | 8,000$2,400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,399.98 | 716 | 45.9%329 W · 387 L | -3.2wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x88d1…18dabacked Aurora Gaming | 67c | 7,505$5,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,504.57 | 223 | 54.7%122 W · 101 L | -9.5wins | -0.04per pick | 59cpaid | -9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Aurora Gaming | 57c | 7,079$4,043 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,035.86 | 3,096 | 48.5%1,501 W · 1,595 L | +135.0wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb328…4df1backed paiN | 30c | 6,700$2,010 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,010 | 27 | 55.6%15 W · 12 L | +2.8wins | +0.10per pick | 45cpaid | +17.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x67b6…00bcbacked paiN | 32c | 6,500$2,080 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,080 | 285 | 38.2%109 W · 176 L | -10.0wins | -0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbd09…a188backed paiN | 52c | 5,591$2,907 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,907.44 | 196 | 45.4%89 W · 107 L | -1.9wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7298…fe8dbacked paiN | 30c | 5,433$1,630 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,630 | 205 | 39.5%81 W · 124 L | +3.6wins | +0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x583f…2dabbacked paiN | 52c | 5,415$2,840 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,839.96 | 49 | 28.6%14 W · 35 L | -3.8wins | -0.08per pick | 36cpaid | -43%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x14a0…22bbbacked Aurora Gaming | 73c | 5,259$3,828 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,430.56 | 1,393 | 65.9%918 W · 475 L | +26.8wins | +0.02per pick | 64cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1eb0…d25bbacked Aurora Gaming | 69c | 5,099$3,498 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,600.62 | 271 | 33.2%90 W · 181 L | -12.8wins | -0.05per pick | 38cpaid | -23.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9fad…5a9fbacked paiN | 31c | 5,000$1,525 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,525 | 149 | 34.9%52 W · 97 L | -14.1wins | -0.09per pick | 44cpaid | -21.4%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x9958…36b9backed paiN | 33c | 5,000$1,650 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,649.59 | 33 | 27.3%9 W · 24 L | -2.7wins | -0.08per pick | 35cpaid | -36.4%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xfdc0…4b85backed paiN | 36c | 4,824$1,735 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,734.61 | 2,066 | 41.5%858 W · 1,208 L | -49.5wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -16.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3471…f17ebacked Aurora Gaming | 65c | 4,815$3,134 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,680.73 | 1,054 | 49%516 W · 538 L | +38.1wins | +0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x21ec…5348backed paiN | 30c | 4,594$1,378 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,378.22 | 724 | 53.7%389 W · 335 L | +11.9wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2d73…044bbacked Aurora Gaming | 46c | 3,441$1,588 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,852.93 | 154 | 41.6%64 W · 90 L | -3.8wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x77a3…0e3fbacked Aurora Gaming | 47c | 3,437$1,600 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,836.56 | 260 | 45%117 W · 143 L | +1.9wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x606d…1aafbacked Aurora Gaming | 71c | 3,408$2,420 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$988.45 | 130 | 65.4%85 W · 45 L | +2.5wins | +0.02per pick | 63cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x65ce…b90bbacked paiN | 31c | 3,152$972 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$972.49 | 162 | 40.1%65 W · 97 L | +7.9wins | +0.05per pick | 35cpaid | +6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc371…1e28backed Aurora Gaming | 62c | 3,057$1,897 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,160.37 | 468 | 43.4%203 W · 265 L | -11.7wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -21.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x22ae…af00backed Aurora Gaming | 71c | 3,014$2,135 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$878.99 | 264 | 51.5%136 W · 128 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xec98…afcdbacked paiN | 51c | 3,000$1,524 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,524.2 | 1,611 | 45.4%731 W · 880 L | +30.0wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -14.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5bd3…394cbacked Aurora Gaming | 66c | 2,922$1,929 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$993.54 | 93 | 49.5%46 W · 47 L | +1.4wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x26f8…3452backed paiN | 43c | 2,917$1,267 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,266.62 | 199 | 49.7%99 W · 100 L | -9.6wins | -0.05per pick | 55cpaid | +14.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7d91…bb2abacked Aurora Gaming | 73c | 2,782$2,019 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$763.15 | 30 | 66.7%20 W · 10 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 66cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xda5f…2e9bbacked paiN | 30c | 2,667$800 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$800 | 274 | 52.9%145 W · 129 L | -8.0wins | -0.03per pick | 56cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3bf2…7706backed paiN | 30c | 2,642$791 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$791.06 | 36 | 30.6%11 W · 25 L | -0.8wins | -0.02per pick | 33cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe42b…7ea9backed paiN | 30c | 2,500$747 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$747.5 | 508 | 33.5%170 W · 338 L | +14.2wins | +0.03per pick | 31cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb9ab…f282backed paiN | 30c | 2,500$750 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$749.99 | 1,081 | 50.9%550 W · 531 L | +37.9wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc49b…a5b8backed Aurora Gaming | 71c | 2,262$1,600 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$661.89 | 133 | 47.4%63 W · 70 L | -8.8wins | -0.07per pick | 54cpaid | -19.6%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x790a…b48fbacked Aurora Gaming | 47c | 2,203$1,036 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,167.75 | 52 | 46.2%24 W · 28 L | -1.9wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -14%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9ae8…c2a8backed paiN | 32c | 2,096$671 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$670.71 | 248 | 46.8%116 W · 132 L | -1.4wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe283…7190backed Aurora Gaming | 48c | 2,083$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,083.33 | 965 | 45.7%441 W · 524 L | +10.9wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x246b…f2e0backed paiN | 58c | 2,055$1,186 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,185.94 | 11 | 63.6%7 W · 4 L | +0.4wins | +0.04per pick | 60cpaid | +12.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x213f…1da2backed Aurora Gaming | 49c | 2,032$1,002 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,030.33 | 102 | 44.1%45 W · 57 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2a71…e454backed Aurora Gaming | 47c | 2,001$941 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,060.59 | 249 | 44.6%111 W · 138 L | +6.0wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa803…2949backed Aurora Gaming | 49c | 2,000$980 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,020 | 107 | 39.3%42 W · 65 L | -5.5wins | -0.05per pick | 44cpaid | -17.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0659…d74dbacked paiN | 52c | 2,000$1,030 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,030 | 980 | 52.4%514 W · 466 L | +26.9wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc68d…2fe8backed paiN | 33c | 2,000$660 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$660 | 51 | 29.4%15 W · 36 L | -8.2wins | -0.16per pick | 46cpaid | -45.1%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xf6f9…bff5backed paiN | 40c | 1,888$758 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$758.38 | 260 | 46.9%122 W · 138 L | +4.0wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -12%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x52ec…a6f3backed Aurora Gaming | 68c | 1,876$1,276 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$600.37 | 469 | 49.7%233 W · 236 L | -14.1wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2560…0b02backed paiN | 35c | 1,822$635 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$635.17 | 224 | 48.7%109 W · 115 L | -3.5wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8056…b64dbacked paiN | 35c | 1,789$620 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$620 | 1,623 | 44.9%728 W · 895 L | +4.4wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf988…d63bbacked Aurora Gaming | 71c | 1,750$1,243 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$507.5 | 358 | 50.8%182 W · 176 L | +11.1wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xebe7…ddf5backed Aurora Gaming | 72c | 1,729$1,237 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$491.82 | 341 | 56.6%193 W · 148 L | +2.8wins | +0.01per pick | 56cpaid | -1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x09d2…cc27backed Aurora Gaming | 65c | 1,664$1,079 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$584.66 | 79 | 29.1%23 W · 56 L | -7.6wins | -0.10per pick | 39cpaid | -40.6%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x0a63…fc03backed paiN | 29c | 1,606$466 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$465.74 | 421 | 42%177 W · 244 L | +0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | +2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbc70…7f2abacked Aurora Gaming | 49c | 1,600$781 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$818.81 | 34 | 32.4%11 W · 23 L | -4.1wins | -0.12per pick | 45cpaid | -37.8%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x8725…eb10backed Aurora Gaming | 70c | 1,554$1,088 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$466.2 | 854 | 46.4%396 W · 458 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7951…bb41backed paiN | 30c | 1,500$450 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$449.98 | 970 | 40.7%395 W · 575 L | +12.4wins | +0.01per pick | 39cpaid | +7.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x23d6…18a2backed Aurora Gaming | 52c | 1,480$769 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$711.2 | 24 | 37.5%9 W · 15 L | -1.0wins | -0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb555…0c4bbacked paiN | 50c | 1,476$740 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$740.13 | 90 | 38.9%35 W · 55 L | -4.3wins | -0.05per pick | 44cpaid | -32.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x79ac…9c87backed Aurora Gaming | 71c | 1,444$1,019 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$424.6 | 163 | 49.1%80 W · 83 L | +8.2wins | +0.05per pick | 44cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3de6…405cbacked Aurora Gaming | 70c | 1,443$1,010 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$432.86 | 116 | 46.6%54 W · 62 L | -6.8wins | -0.06per pick | 52cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb70c…41d5backed Aurora Gaming | 71c | 1,440$1,022 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$417.57 | 342 | 35.4%121 W · 221 L | -3.5wins | -0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1568…c958backed Aurora Gaming | 62c | 1,314$820 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$493.67 | 279 | 50.2%140 W · 139 L | -5.8wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2307…3934backed Aurora Gaming | 69c | 1,304$899 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$404.98 | 238 | 52.9%126 W · 112 L | -0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x40a2…19c9backed Aurora Gaming | 66c | 1,300$858 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$442 | 93 | 40.9%38 W · 55 L | -7.7wins | -0.08per pick | 49cpaid | -23%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xde53…e5bebacked Aurora Gaming | 70c | 1,290$901 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$388.9 | 1,262 | 46.9%592 W · 670 L | -34.1wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x174f…2dabbacked Aurora Gaming | 73c | 1,273$929 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$344.21 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | +0.2wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd055…28d0backed Aurora Gaming | 67c | 1,194$800 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$394.03 | 655 | 46.9%307 W · 348 L | +18.4wins | +0.03per pick | 44cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xab4e…c4a0backed paiN | 42c | 1,186$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 28 | 32.1%9 W · 19 L | -2.9wins | -0.10per pick | 43cpaid | -33.1%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa558…1b44backed Aurora Gaming | 47c | 1,137$534 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$602.61 | 64 | 32.8%21 W · 43 L | -3.9wins | -0.06per pick | 39cpaid | -13.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd5a1…0544backed Aurora Gaming | 70c | 1,111$778 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$333.29 | 167 | 50.9%85 W · 82 L | +2.0wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x12d9…01bbbacked paiN | 44c | 1,067$469 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$468.7 | 612 | 28.9%177 W · 435 L | -9.2wins | -0.01per pick | 30cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x661d…4dc6backed Aurora Gaming | 48c | 1,066$509 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$556.88 | 618 | 37.9%234 W · 384 L | -22.5wins | -0.04per pick | 41cpaid | -25.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2687…1363backed Aurora Gaming | 77c | 1,036$793 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$242.39 | 388 | 68.3%265 W · 123 L | +25.7wins | +0.07per pick | 62cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xdc7e…89b9backed Aurora Gaming | 49c | 1,016$498 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$518.33 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.51per pick | 49cpaid | +104.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6e3e…e3ebbacked Aurora Gaming | 70c | 1,000$700 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$300 | 101 | 63.4%64 W · 37 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 64cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x11e5…337ebacked Aurora Gaming | 49c | 1,000$490 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$510 | 225 | 50.7%114 W · 111 L | +0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | 0%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9d8a…5201backed paiN | 33c | 1,000$330 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$330 | 552 | 36.2%200 W · 352 L | +3.5wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbec5…8f77backed paiN | 32c | 1,000$315 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$315 | 130 | 30.8%40 W · 90 L | -3.8wins | -0.03per pick | 34cpaid | -18.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9592…a85bbacked Aurora Gaming | 49c | 1,000$490 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$510 | 362 | 45.3%164 W · 198 L | +12.6wins | +0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc8ad…be4ebacked Aurora Gaming | 66c | 1,000$660 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$340 | 256 | 51.2%131 W · 125 L | -1.3wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xde19…3a14backed Aurora Gaming | 68c | 999.14$677 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$322.55 | 125 | 52.8%66 W · 59 L | -5.2wins | -0.04per pick | 57cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8f13…daaebacked paiN | 28c | 976.55$272 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$272.27 | 162 | 35.8%58 W · 104 L | -5.0wins | -0.03per pick | 39cpaid | -21.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Counter-Strike: Aurora Gaming vs paiN (BO3) - PGL Cluj-Napoca Group Stagethis page
- Counter-Strike: Aurora Gaming vs paiN - Map 1 WinnerpaiN won
- Counter-Strike: Aurora Gaming vs paiN - Map 2 WinnerAurora Gaming won
- Games Total: O/U 2.5Over won
- Map Handicap: AUR (-1.5) vs paiN (+1.5)paiN won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.