Ukraine · resolved market
Will Russia join the Board of Peace?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x97ef16f007bad7ffa49dd9987dff530310f955a417026fdc03f8a52f7a11cd9b
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Ukraineevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $279,291
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $266,385
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $279,291 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 453 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Ukraine is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Ukraine | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xf900…cd0cbacked No | 49c | 22,462$11,058 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11,404.24 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.5wins | -0.37per pick | 62cpaid | -49.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x11d5…1b17backed Yes | 43c | 12,441$5,379 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,378.7 | 14 | 0%0 W · 14 L | -2.5wins | -0.18per pick | 18cpaid | -100%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x6b0e…e3eabacked Yes | 20c | 11,052$2,204 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,203.98 | 253 | 11.5%29 W · 224 L | -3.7wins | -0.01per pick | 13cpaid | -46.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1add…924abacked Yes | 61c | 10,989$6,740 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,739.61 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -1.1wins | -0.23per pick | 23cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf285…1b96backed Yes | 48c | 10,000$4,810 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,809.96 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.32per pick | 32cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x39ff…4d30backed Yes | 1c | 9,169$77 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$76.74 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6276…2dd9backed No | 59c | 7,622$4,459 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,162.94 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.0wins | +0.49per pick | 51cpaid | +101.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8f69…7df1backed No | 68c | 7,358$5,023 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,335.68 | 242 | 58.7%142 W · 100 L | +14.8wins | +0.06per pick | 53cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xdbad…9c95backed No | 67c | 5,303$3,572 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,731.54 | 15 | 53.3%8 W · 7 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | +19.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa81e…03dcbacked No | 73c | 4,926$3,619 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,306.94 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -24.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa800…bd7abacked Yes | 59c | 4,778$2,833 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,833 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.9wins | -0.29per pick | 63cpaid | -57.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf559…f462backed No | 54c | 4,007$2,176 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,830.88 | 10 | 90%9 W · 1 L | +2.6wins | +0.26per pick | 64cpaid | +41.2%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xfd72…6cc4backed No | 61c | 3,953$2,420 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,532.69 | 25 | 60%15 W · 10 L | -1.8wins | -0.07per pick | 67cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x682c…17aebacked Yes | 15c | 3,577$554 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$554.03 | 57 | 22.8%13 W · 44 L | +4.3wins | +0.07per pick | 15cpaid | +10.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7491…ada0backed No | 56c | 3,210$1,810 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,399.99 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | -0.8wins | -0.07per pick | 52cpaid | +59.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd48a…6e90backed No | 80c | 3,169$2,520 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$649.17 | 20 | 40%8 W · 12 L | -4.0wins | -0.20per pick | 60cpaid | -27%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xc8ab…6418backed Yes | 26c | 2,981$771 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$771.33 | 268 | 35.1%94 W · 174 L | -38.4wins | -0.14per pick | 49cpaid | -34.9%equal weight | 35-0.13 edge/pick |
| 0x54e4…70b0backed No | 45c | 2,764$1,256 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,507.83 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.9wins | +0.43per pick | 57cpaid | +82.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6b17…03b2backed Yes | 24c | 2,248$538 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$538.16 | 47 | 19.1%9 W · 38 L | -1.4wins | -0.03per pick | 22cpaid | -39.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc443…bbdbbacked No | 62c | 2,121$1,324 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$796.37 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.38per pick | 62cpaid | +60.1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x97c2…55d6backed Yes | 40c | 2,023$814 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$814.1 | 22 | 50%11 W · 11 L | +1.1wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x10b3…40d4backed Yes | 50c | 2,000$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$999.64 | 11 | 9.1%1 W · 10 L | -4.1wins | -0.37per pick | 47cpaid | -80.7%equal weight | 37-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xc1cf…9656backed No | 42c | 2,000$841 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,158.75 | 19 | 52.6%10 W · 9 L | +0.8wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -11.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe399…7dc1backed No | 50c | 2,000$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,000 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.50per pick | 50cpaid | +100%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf74e…dda4backed Yes | 44c | 1,961$861 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$861.44 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.44per pick | 44cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xac7e…be9cbacked Yes | 12c | 1,844$224 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$224 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.5wins | -0.11per pick | 11cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd613…76efbacked No | 63c | 1,810$1,136 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$673.81 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.33per pick | 67cpaid | +49.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1690…8c4dbacked No | 66c | 1,743$1,149 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$594.23 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.28per pick | 72cpaid | +40.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa0bc…d428backed Yes | 22c | 1,729$372 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$372.1 | 262 | 38.5%101 W · 161 L | +18.2wins | +0.07per pick | 32cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd5db…3c45backed Yes | 33c | 1,631$542 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$542.41 | 89 | 36%32 W · 57 L | +1.7wins | +0.02per pick | 34cpaid | -19.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xefde…783dbacked No | 47c | 1,616$765 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$851.08 | 106 | 51.9%55 W · 51 L | +6.5wins | +0.06per pick | 46cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb61d…74d2backed Yes | 62c | 1,581$973 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$973.19 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.21per pick | 71cpaid | -37.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4158…ce9fbacked Yes | 43c | 1,574$676 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$676.42 | 129 | 37.2%48 W · 81 L | +9.5wins | +0.07per pick | 30cpaid | +11.5%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1719…5ceabacked No | 57c | 1,528$870 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$658.21 | 22 | 72.7%16 W · 6 L | +1.3wins | +0.06per pick | 67cpaid | +18%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb11e…6428backed Yes | 28c | 1,469$410 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$409.53 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.28per pick | 28cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3ffe…26f4backed Yes | 71c | 1,330$944 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$944 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.7wins | -0.37per pick | 37cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1f38…4ca5backed Yes | 13c | 1,303$170 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$169.9 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -0.4wins | -0.08per pick | 8cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7c3d…5c6bbacked No | 40c | 1,217$491 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$726.11 | 129 | 27.9%36 W · 93 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 28cpaid | -12%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8fe7…4f20backed Yes | 43c | 1,200$514 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$514.31 | 234 | 35.5%83 W · 151 L | -2.3wins | -0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -29.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3594…dc58backed No | 70c | 1,142$800 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$342.14 | 15 | 26.7%4 W · 11 L | -0.5wins | -0.03per pick | 30cpaid | -50.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb886…81b3backed Yes | 65c | 1,106$721 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$721.26 | 32 | 28.1%9 W · 23 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 29cpaid | -25.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5cd7…7842backed No | 57c | 1,081$611 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$469.93 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.3wins | +0.43per pick | 57cpaid | +76.1%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xcb4c…6d64backed Yes | 61c | 1,041$631 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$631.45 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.61per pick | 61cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x166a…d7edbacked No | 50c | 1,033$517 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$516.2 | 76 | 56.6%43 W · 33 L | +6.1wins | +0.08per pick | 49cpaid | +9.1%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2e26…336cbacked Yes | 44c | 1,021$452 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$452.3 | 36 | 66.7%24 W · 12 L | +3.0wins | +0.08per pick | 58cpaid | +12.5%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc701…920ebacked Yes | 49c | 1,000$490 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$490 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -2.1wins | -0.51per pick | 51cpaid | -100%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x9f0a…3b4bbacked Yes | 7c | 1,000$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70 | 6 | 0%0 W · 6 L | -0.6wins | -0.10per pick | 10cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x388a…e87cbacked No | 75c | 999.99$750 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$250 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.25per pick | 75cpaid | +33.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xef4c…22bebacked Yes | 29c | 999.97$290 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$289.99 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.29per pick | 29cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2b3e…281bbacked No | 41c | 984.62$400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$584.62 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.9wins | +0.29per pick | 37cpaid | +46.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x019f…1152backed No | 51c | 968.96$498 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$470.79 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.49per pick | 51cpaid | +94.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc406…ba02backed Yes | 46c | 954.19$435 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$435.31 | 8 | 12.5%1 W · 7 L | -0.2wins | -0.03per pick | 15cpaid | -52%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4b7e…8736backed No | 76c | 843$640 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$203.48 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.24per pick | 76cpaid | +31.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd6ee…37a2backed No | 69c | 839.96$579 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$261.11 | 72 | 43.1%31 W · 41 L | -5.7wins | -0.08per pick | 51cpaid | -31.3%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x99bc…4f35backed Yes | 11c | 811.65$87 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$87.1 | 172 | 32%55 W · 117 L | +3.3wins | +0.02per pick | 30cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x033d…af05backed No | 79c | 800$632 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$168 | 13 | 84.6%11 W · 2 L | +2.4wins | +0.18per pick | 66cpaid | +22.8%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x343d…cd2ebacked No | 70c | 769.99$542 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$227.6 | 55 | 72.7%40 W · 15 L | +7.2wins | +0.13per pick | 60cpaid | +19.5%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xa9ee…cb04backed No | 76c | 759.74$574 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$185.74 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.09per pick | 43cpaid | -55.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6bd4…b90abacked Yes | 34c | 746.81$253 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$253.46 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.19per pick | 19cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x171e…e046backed Yes | 47c | 697.32$325 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$325.49 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 35cpaid | -38.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xefdd…8370backed No | 53c | 680.25$360 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$320.52 | 66 | 40.9%27 W · 39 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd359…d361backed Yes | 46c | 680$311 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$311.42 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | -0.9wins | -0.13per pick | 28cpaid | -67.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x08c8…1da2backed No | 72c | 669$482 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$187.32 | 28 | 57.1%16 W · 12 L | -0.5wins | -0.02per pick | 59cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe0a2…a349backed No | 71c | 665.99$476 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$189.81 | 86 | 41.9%36 W · 50 L | +2.7wins | +0.03per pick | 39cpaid | -26.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbfc3…b21fbacked No | 52c | 664.41$345 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$318.92 | 13 | 46.2%6 W · 7 L | +0.6wins | +0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xaa04…66e7backed Yes | 22c | 659.59$145 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$145.11 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.22per pick | 22cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9178…a2b2backed Yes | 68c | 643.14$435 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$434.69 | 108 | 12%13 W · 95 L | -7.2wins | -0.07per pick | 19cpaid | -18.8%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf0b0…8cabbacked No | 60c | 640.42$386 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$254.1 | 394 | 29.4%116 W · 278 L | -4.3wins | -0.01per pick | 31cpaid | -39.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1d0d…9b6ebacked Yes | 15c | 626$94 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$93.8 | 87 | 11.5%10 W · 77 L | -0.8wins | -0.01per pick | 12cpaid | -42%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2d4b…ca7abacked No | 34c | 619.85$211 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$409.29 | 50 | 38%19 W · 31 L | +5.8wins | +0.12per pick | 26cpaid | +39.8%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x5060…a780backed Yes | 13c | 609.62$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.13per pick | 53cpaid | -9%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x477d…55a9backed Yes | 42c | 601.59$251 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$251.1 | 24 | 33.3%8 W · 16 L | -3.9wins | -0.16per pick | 50cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xe3fe…f1e1backed Yes | 61c | 599.83$367 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$367.49 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -1.7wins | -0.33per pick | 33cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xec82…6eaabacked Yes | 8c | 587.7$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.26 | 107 | 4.7%5 W · 102 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 5cpaid | -41.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5ccf…79d7backed Yes | 34c | 584$199 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$198.56 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +2.3wins | +0.33per pick | 24cpaid | +193.3%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xb830…eeeabacked Yes | 35c | 568.41$201 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$201 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.35per pick | 35cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x92d0…269ebacked No | 47c | 564.39$268 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$296.52 | 72 | 50%36 W · 36 L | +10.0wins | +0.14per pick | 36cpaid | +25.4%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xfffe…4e6cbacked No | 60c | 547.31$330 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$217.33 | 40 | 60%24 W · 16 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 59cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf3ac…f23dbacked Yes | 22c | 538.39$118 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$117.72 | 25 | 40%10 W · 15 L | +3.2wins | +0.13per pick | 27cpaid | +26.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x3078…0389backed No | 41c | 533.89$221 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$312.94 | 263 | 18.3%48 W · 215 L | -14.4wins | -0.05per pick | 24cpaid | -34.6%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xca8f…d963backed Yes | 6c | 529.72$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.12 | 143 | 2.1%3 W · 140 L | -3.5wins | -0.02per pick | 5cpaid | -72.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xab80…6253backed Yes | 53c | 524.55$277 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$277.5 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.53per pick | 53cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf3f8…c86cbacked Yes | 50c | 513.31$255 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$255.5 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.4wins | -0.11per pick | 36cpaid | -60.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa822…64e6backed No | 49c | 500$245 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$255 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +0.9wins | +0.15per pick | 35cpaid | +93.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3e33…8c8fbacked No | 61c | 500$305 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$195 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.39per pick | 61cpaid | +63.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf8d8…8d55backed Yes | 46c | 500$232 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$232 | 27 | 51.9%14 W · 13 L | +0.9wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8765…ed81backed Yes | 4c | 500$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 85 | 10.6%9 W · 76 L | +1.2wins | +0.01per pick | 9cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3c5b…a736backed No | 64c | 500$320 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$180 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.36per pick | 64cpaid | +56.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x312b…cafebacked No | 48c | 495.68$240 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$255.51 | 11 | 63.6%7 W · 4 L | +1.2wins | +0.11per pick | 53cpaid | +14.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd056…f1bebacked No | 61c | 491.8$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$191.8 | 18 | 27.8%5 W · 13 L | -2.0wins | -0.11per pick | 39cpaid | -44.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb04a…acfcbacked Yes | 25c | 490.72$121 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120.67 | 48 | 29.2%14 W · 34 L | +2.3wins | +0.05per pick | 24cpaid | +21.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9a56…530ebacked No | 51c | 490.2$250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$240.2 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +2.1wins | +0.70per pick | 30cpaid | +383.3%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xc77b…a526backed No | 58c | 478$279 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$199.18 | 36 | 50%18 W · 18 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +63.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5e3d…ff92backed Yes | 42c | 475.87$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200.06 | 14 | 42.9%6 W · 8 L | -1.6wins | -0.12per pick | 54cpaid | -18.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xca44…6d4ebacked Yes | 64c | 469.97$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 26 | 34.6%9 W · 17 L | -2.5wins | -0.10per pick | 44cpaid | -30.6%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb530…1c3ebacked Yes | 27c | 462.49$126 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$126.15 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.27per pick | 27cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x95bd…b9bebacked No | 71c | 458.85$327 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$131.45 | 11 | 54.5%6 W · 5 L | -0.9wins | -0.08per pick | 63cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x43b4…ec9cbacked No | 73c | 454.18$331 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$122.71 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.8wins | +0.39per pick | 61cpaid | +70%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf5e4…471abacked Yes | 7c | 442.05$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.78 | 27 | 40.7%11 W · 16 L | +5.9wins | +0.22per pick | 19cpaid | +142.3%equal weight | 63+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x0a7b…4229backed No | 48c | 441.48$213 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$228.16 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.52per pick | 48cpaid | +107%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Ukraine and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 20 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Russia join the Board of Peace?this page
- Will Brazil join the Board of Peace?No won
- Will China join the Board of Peace?No won
- Will Denmark join the Board of Peace?No won
- Will Finland join the Board of Peace?No won
- Will France join the Board of Peace?No won
- Will Germany join the Board of Peace?No won
- Will Hungary join the Board of Peace?Yes won
- Will India join the Board of Peace?No won
- Will Israel join the Board of Peace?Yes won
- Will Italy join the Board of Peace?No won
- Will Norway join the Board of Peace?No won
- Will Palestine join the Board of Peace?No won
- Will Spain join the Board of Peace?No won
- Will Sweden join the Board of Peace?No won
- Will Switzerland join the Board of Peace?No won
- Will Turkiye join the Board of Peace?Yes won
- Will Ukraine join the Board of Peace?No won
- Will the Netherlands join the Board of Peace?No won
- Will the U.K. join the Board of Peace?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.