Ukraine · resolved market
Will India join the Board of Peace?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x5d3bcedaaa67743f4ac083a67ef8cc33cb22b24444e477baecfce44e6c3a6b20
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Ukraineevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $47,790
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $48,621
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $47,790 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 158 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Ukraine is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Ukraine | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x6b0e…e3eabacked Yes | 21c | 2,206$472 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$472.19 | 253 | 11.5%29 W · 224 L | -3.7wins | -0.01per pick | 13cpaid | -46.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x247c…4034backed No | 77c | 2,030$1,573 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$457.32 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.23per pick | 77cpaid | +29.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x10b3…40d4backed Yes | 45c | 2,000$900 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$899.99 | 11 | 9.1%1 W · 10 L | -4.1wins | -0.37per pick | 47cpaid | -80.7%equal weight | 37-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x08c8…1da2backed No | 70c | 1,570$1,098 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$472.61 | 28 | 57.1%16 W · 12 L | -0.5wins | -0.02per pick | 59cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x11d5…1b17backed Yes | 43c | 1,547$662 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$662.35 | 14 | 0%0 W · 14 L | -2.5wins | -0.18per pick | 18cpaid | -100%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x95bd…b9bebacked No | 58c | 1,107$642 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$465.57 | 11 | 54.5%6 W · 5 L | -0.9wins | -0.08per pick | 63cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x23d9…3a2ebacked Yes | 8c | 1,039$81 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80.78 | 8 | 12.5%1 W · 7 L | -0.4wins | -0.05per pick | 18cpaid | -84.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xed3a…3b8fbacked Yes | 10c | 879.88$91 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90.58 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.10per pick | 10cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9666…abbfbacked No | 51c | 824.51$421 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$403.94 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.49per pick | 51cpaid | +96%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5cd7…7842backed No | 52c | 803.81$421 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$382.39 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.3wins | +0.43per pick | 57cpaid | +76.1%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x588e…5a21backed Yes | 32c | 799.99$256 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$256 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.7wins | -0.37per pick | 37cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6b17…03b2backed Yes | 27c | 704.64$190 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$189.62 | 47 | 19.1%9 W · 38 L | -1.4wins | -0.03per pick | 22cpaid | -39.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf9f2…5cbabacked Yes | 44c | 700$308 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$308 | 22 | 18.2%4 W · 18 L | -2.0wins | -0.09per pick | 27cpaid | -63.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb12e…8c6cbacked No | 57c | 693.57$398 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$295.42 | 17 | 29.4%5 W · 12 L | -4.8wins | -0.28per pick | 58cpaid | -51.7%equal weight | 37-0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x9259…746ebacked Yes | 61c | 659.81$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$400 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.7wins | -0.33per pick | 33cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x97c2…55d6backed Yes | 25c | 645.84$159 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$159.36 | 22 | 50%11 W · 11 L | +1.1wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4158…ce9fbacked No | 46c | 621.88$286 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$336.3 | 129 | 37.2%48 W · 81 L | +9.5wins | +0.07per pick | 30cpaid | +11.5%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc1cf…9656backed No | 56c | 600$336 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$264 | 19 | 52.6%10 W · 9 L | +0.8wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -11.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa39e…1d88backed No | 54c | 599.95$324 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$275.98 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +1.3wins | +0.16per pick | 46cpaid | +17.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5c6e…0617backed No | 50c | 499.99$250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$250 | 27 | 37%10 W · 17 L | -0.7wins | -0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -22.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9776…3e9bbacked No | 52c | 486.43$254 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$232.11 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.48per pick | 52cpaid | +91.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xadcd…29e9backed No | 65c | 463.72$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$163.72 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.35per pick | 65cpaid | +54.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8196…ab69backed No | 59c | 437.05$260 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$177.37 | 13 | 46.2%6 W · 7 L | +0.6wins | +0.05per pick | 41cpaid | +83.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc182…8707backed Yes | 24c | 413.73$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.27per pick | 27cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1f7d…4e63backed Yes | 14c | 349.15$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.5wins | -0.12per pick | 12cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcf5c…3912backed No | 50c | 326.97$165 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$162.4 | 18 | 61.1%11 W · 7 L | +3.4wins | +0.19per pick | 42cpaid | +35.1%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xd6ee…37a2backed No | 75c | 299.89$225 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$75.37 | 72 | 43.1%31 W · 41 L | -5.7wins | -0.08per pick | 51cpaid | -31.3%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x477d…55a9backed Yes | 34c | 290.64$99 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$98.82 | 24 | 33.3%8 W · 16 L | -3.9wins | -0.16per pick | 50cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xbc8c…70dabacked No | 55c | 273.16$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$123.16 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.45per pick | 55cpaid | +82.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x169e…de26backed Yes | 32c | 257.86$83 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$82.52 | 16 | 25%4 W · 12 L | -3.7wins | -0.23per pick | 48cpaid | -58.2%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x3060…54babacked No | 36c | 251.65$92 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$160.11 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.21per pick | 29cpaid | +37.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7db3…77ccbacked Yes | 13c | 250$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.5 | 11 | 0%0 W · 11 L | -3.1wins | -0.28per pick | 28cpaid | -100%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xc602…7fc1backed Yes | 20c | 239.46$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.13 | 131 | 28.2%37 W · 94 L | -8.8wins | -0.07per pick | 35cpaid | -26.7%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xbf0f…e9e9backed Yes | 8c | 220$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.84 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.08per pick | 8cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x880c…de6fbacked Yes | 65c | 216.33$140 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$140 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.7wins | -0.34per pick | 34cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa3e2…fdf8backed Yes | 13c | 211.08$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.79 | 417 | 36.2%151 W · 266 L | -25.2wins | -0.06per pick | 42cpaid | -21.7%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xdaa7…2e3cbacked Yes | 23c | 203.02$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.7wins | -0.22per pick | 22cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffe…9f71backed Yes | 14c | 201.77$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.08 | 532 | 7%37 W · 495 L | -14.3wins | -0.03per pick | 10cpaid | -66.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x083f…a55fbacked No | 50c | 201.2$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$101.2 | 49 | 32.7%16 W · 33 L | +1.3wins | +0.03per pick | 30cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x79c1…497dbacked No | 53c | 200$105 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$94.87 | 37 | 43.2%16 W · 21 L | -0.8wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -26.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x46fb…2b75backed No | 76c | 200$152 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +1.6wins | +0.23per pick | 34cpaid | +89.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xad52…11acbacked Yes | 39c | 200$79 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$78.79 | 36 | 27.8%10 W · 26 L | +1.1wins | +0.03per pick | 25cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd8bb…27f9backed Yes | 24c | 200$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.32per pick | 32cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8710…f9c7backed No | 76c | 200$152 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.26per pick | 74cpaid | +35.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0dee…fe51backed Yes | 51c | 196.43$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 8 | 0%0 W · 8 L | -2.4wins | -0.30per pick | 30cpaid | -100%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x50ca…8edbbacked No | 53c | 189.58$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$89.58 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.47per pick | 53cpaid | +89.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x02e8…d63ebacked Yes | 15c | 180$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.0wins | -0.34per pick | 34cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xad53…ef24backed Yes | 43c | 178.43$77 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$76.71 | 294 | 16%47 W · 247 L | -53.7wins | -0.18per pick | 34cpaid | -65.8%equal weight | 31-0.17 edge/pick |
| 0x693d…1ababacked No | 52c | 170.27$89 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$81.64 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.48per pick | 52cpaid | +92.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x78b1…f58fbacked Yes | 44c | 166$74 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$73.62 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | -1.2wins | -0.15per pick | 65cpaid | -33.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5025…dd30backed No | 51c | 159.18$81 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$78 | 16 | 31.3%5 W · 11 L | -3.8wins | -0.24per pick | 55cpaid | -53.3%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x8975…ffe6backed No | 68c | 158.52$107 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.41 | 66 | 75.8%50 W · 16 L | +4.9wins | +0.07per pick | 68cpaid | +9.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x832c…c46ebacked Yes | 26c | 153.85$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.16per pick | 16cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf93b…2600backed Yes | 8c | 151.11$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.28 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.08per pick | 8cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1396…e76cbacked Yes | 33c | 150.54$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.33per pick | 33cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3c35…feebbacked Yes | 10c | 150$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 6 | 0%0 W · 6 L | -0.3wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe330…3995backed No | 78c | 144.41$113 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.77 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.22per pick | 78cpaid | +28.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x56b5…657dbacked Yes | 49c | 142.65$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70.4 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.49per pick | 49cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf900…cd0cbacked Yes | 50c | 141.2$71 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70.6 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.5wins | -0.37per pick | 62cpaid | -49.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7356…0b03backed Yes | 15c | 133.33$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.6wins | +0.30per pick | 20cpaid | +92.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8374…9149backed Yes | 45c | 130$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58.79 | 28 | 39.3%11 W · 17 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | -14.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x682c…17aebacked No | 73c | 129.68$95 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.59 | 57 | 22.8%13 W · 44 L | +4.3wins | +0.07per pick | 15cpaid | +10.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x99bc…4f35backed Yes | 23c | 114.2$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.4 | 172 | 32%55 W · 117 L | +3.3wins | +0.02per pick | 30cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5bc0…d528backed No | 48c | 109.5$53 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.5 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.37per pick | 63cpaid | +67.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1d0d…9b6ebacked Yes | 33c | 107.92$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.61 | 87 | 11.5%10 W · 77 L | -0.8wins | -0.01per pick | 12cpaid | -42%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4f55…4731backed Yes | 28c | 106.61$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.28per pick | 28cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb84b…95b1backed No | 55c | 106.47$58 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.07 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.45per pick | 55cpaid | +82.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc063…99cfbacked Yes | 48c | 104.17$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -1.0wins | -0.20per pick | 20cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcbf3…0959backed No | 47c | 103.7$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54.66 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.53per pick | 47cpaid | +111.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5da5…e620backed Yes | 49c | 102.04$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 21 | 4.8%1 W · 20 L | -4.0wins | -0.19per pick | 24cpaid | -90.5%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xc02e…b209backed Yes | 30c | 101.1$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.7wins | -0.18per pick | 18cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8765…ed81backed No | 25c | 101$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$75.75 | 85 | 10.6%9 W · 76 L | +1.2wins | +0.01per pick | 9cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1981…9a0bbacked Yes | 17c | 100.01$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.23 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.17per pick | 17cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc210…8b21backed No | 76c | 100$76 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -1.0wins | -0.15per pick | 43cpaid | -62.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb1fe…423abacked No | 75c | 100$75 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25 | 97 | 34%33 W · 64 L | +2.0wins | +0.02per pick | 32cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb5fb…db5cbacked Yes | 45c | 100$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.9 | 19 | 10.5%2 W · 17 L | -1.0wins | -0.05per pick | 16cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb559…ac29backed No | 67c | 100$67 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.33per pick | 67cpaid | +49.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x71af…dd01backed Yes | 30c | 100$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.8wins | -0.20per pick | 20cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4a5f…e63cbacked Yes | 46c | 100$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46 | 20 | 5%1 W · 19 L | -4.4wins | -0.22per pick | 27cpaid | -93.2%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x5709…22c3backed No | 44c | 99.99$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56 | 86 | 39.5%34 W · 52 L | +6.2wins | +0.07per pick | 32cpaid | +15.4%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0303…fcd1backed Yes | 25c | 99.99$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 16 | 43.8%7 W · 9 L | +0.4wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -25%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc57b…e4a6backed Yes | 55c | 99.99$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.9wins | -0.46per pick | 46cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x52d5…a459backed No | 58c | 99.98$58 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.99 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.8wins | +0.38per pick | 62cpaid | +62%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x26b7…68a2backed Yes | 12c | 92.43$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.68 | 18 | 16.7%3 W · 15 L | +0.7wins | +0.04per pick | 13cpaid | -53.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x427d…bd45backed Yes | 48c | 86.33$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.44 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.9wins | -0.43per pick | 43cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd2dc…223ebacked Yes | 31c | 86.08$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.87 | 44 | 27.3%12 W · 32 L | -2.4wins | -0.05per pick | 33cpaid | -30.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x35c2…03b3backed No | 47c | 84.29$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.29 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.53per pick | 47cpaid | +110.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdecd…d5e0backed Yes | 13c | 80$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.15 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.13per pick | 13cpaid | -100%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x25b9…3058backed Yes | 13c | 78.95$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.07 | 20 | 35%7 W · 13 L | -0.6wins | -0.03per pick | 38cpaid | -50.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2ee1…e2bbbacked Yes | 32c | 78.23$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 18 | 5.6%1 W · 17 L | -1.7wins | -0.09per pick | 15cpaid | -77.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3078…0389backed Yes | 29c | 77.75$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.56 | 263 | 18.3%48 W · 215 L | -14.4wins | -0.05per pick | 24cpaid | -34.6%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2b3e…281bbacked No | 52c | 77.56$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.56 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.9wins | +0.29per pick | 37cpaid | +46.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2d4b…ca7abacked No | 26c | 76.92$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.92 | 50 | 38%19 W · 31 L | +5.8wins | +0.12per pick | 26cpaid | +39.8%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xdfd2…dedfbacked Yes | 27c | 74.44$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.27per pick | 27cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9fff…740fbacked No | 64c | 73.05$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.65 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.1wins | +0.37per pick | 63cpaid | +62%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3b1a…4221backed No | 50c | 72.66$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.21 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2bae…ec80backed Yes | 28c | 71.43$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.27per pick | 27cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1d69…8f9ebacked Yes | 20c | 70$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.7 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | +0.1wins | +0.03per pick | 37cpaid | -42.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb40e…7cc9backed Yes | 43c | 68.98$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.53 | 43 | 46.5%20 W · 23 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -17.6%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8d5b…5c9ebacked Yes | 29c | 67.88$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.21per pick | 21cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Ukraine and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 20 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will India join the Board of Peace?this page
- Will Brazil join the Board of Peace?No won
- Will China join the Board of Peace?No won
- Will Denmark join the Board of Peace?No won
- Will Finland join the Board of Peace?No won
- Will France join the Board of Peace?No won
- Will Germany join the Board of Peace?No won
- Will Hungary join the Board of Peace?Yes won
- Will Israel join the Board of Peace?Yes won
- Will Italy join the Board of Peace?No won
- Will Norway join the Board of Peace?No won
- Will Palestine join the Board of Peace?No won
- Will Russia join the Board of Peace?No won
- Will Spain join the Board of Peace?No won
- Will Sweden join the Board of Peace?No won
- Will Switzerland join the Board of Peace?No won
- Will Turkiye join the Board of Peace?Yes won
- Will Ukraine join the Board of Peace?No won
- Will the Netherlands join the Board of Peace?No won
- Will the U.K. join the Board of Peace?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.