TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x5da5…e620

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
193
Categories scored
16
Categories below 50
10

Best Category: Dota2, grading 56 out of 100 (+0.05 per pick).

Best Category Dota2 at 56 out of 100; worst Ukraine at 40.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
Dota2last resolved Aug 23, 2026, EDT9352.7%49 W · 44 L+6.2wins+0.07per pick46cpaid+10%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
Dota2 — the 93 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Dota2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Dota 2: TEAM VISION vs Team Spirit (BO5) - The International Playoffsbacked Team Spirit · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$624Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 23, 2026, EDT+112.8%+$703.28
Dota 2: TEAM VISION vs Team Spirit - Game 4 Winnerbacked Team Spirit · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$1,200Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,200
Dota 2: TEAM VISION vs Team Spirit - Game 3 Winnerbacked Team Spirit · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$916Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 23, 2026, EDT+107.5%+$984.99
Dota 2: TEAM VISION vs Team Spirit - Game 2 Winnerbacked TEAM VISION · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$700Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 23, 2026, EDT+111.5%+$780.39
Dota 2: TEAM VISION vs Team Spirit - Game 1 Winnerbacked Team Spirit · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$1,196Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 23, 2026, EDT+71.3%+$852.88
Dota 2: Team Yandex vs Team Spirit (BO3) - The International Playoffsbacked Team Spirit · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$500Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 23, 2026, EDT+51.5%+$257.58
Dota 2: Team Yandex vs Team Spirit - Game 2 Winnerbacked Team Yandex · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$700Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$700
Dota 2: BoomBoys vs Team Spirit - Game 2 Winnerbacked BoomBoys · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$500Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$500
Games Total: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$430Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$430
Dota 2: BoomBoys vs Team Spirit - Game 1 Winnerbacked BoomBoys · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$200Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$200
Dota 2: TEAM VISION vs Team Yandex (BO3) - The International Playoffsbacked Team Yandex · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$98Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$98
Dota 2: TEAM VISION vs Team Yandex - Game 1 Winnerbacked Team Yandex · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$500Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$500
Dota 2: Nigma Galaxy vs BoomBoys (BO3) - The International Playoffsbacked Nigma Galaxy · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$400Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$400
Dota 2: Nigma Galaxy vs BoomBoys - Game 2 Winnerbacked Nigma Galaxy · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$500Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 22, 2026, EDT+156.4%+$782.05
Dota 2: Team Spirit vs Team Liquid (BO3) - The International Playoffsbacked Team Spirit · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$500Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 22, 2026, EDT+72.4%+$362.07
Games Total: O/U 2.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$500Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 22, 2026, EDT+100%+$500
Dota 2: Team Spirit vs Team Liquid - Game 1 Winnerbacked Team Spirit · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$500Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 21, 2026, EDT+78.6%+$392.86
Games Total: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$500Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 21, 2026, EDT+108.3%+$541.67
Dota 2: Team Yandex vs Nigma Galaxy (BO3) - The International Playoffsbacked Nigma Galaxy · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$300Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$300
Dota 2: Team Yandex vs Nigma Galaxy - Game 2 Winnerbacked Nigma Galaxy · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$200Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$200
Dota 2: Team Yandex vs Nigma Galaxy - Game 1 Winnerbacked Team Yandex · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$510Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$510
Dota 2: Team Spirit vs TEAM VISION (BO3) - The International Playoffsbacked Team Spirit · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$200Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$200
Games Total: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$500Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 21, 2026, EDT+108.3%+$541.67
Dota 2: Team Spirit vs TEAM VISION - Game 2 Winnerbacked Team Spirit · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$200Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 21, 2026, EDT+117.4%+$234.78
Dota 2: Team Spirit vs TEAM VISION - Game 1 Winnerbacked TEAM VISION · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$600Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 21, 2026, EDT+78.6%+$471.43
Showing 25 of 93 picks, newest first.
Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Jul 19, 2026, EDT3943.6%17 W · 22 L-1.3wins-0.03per pick47cpaid-4.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 39 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT+671.5%+$671.5
Spain vs. Argentina: 1st Half O/U 3.5 Total Cornersbacked Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$50
Spain vs. Argentina: Team to Advancebacked Argentina · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$170Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$169.55
Exact Score: Spain 2 - 1 Argentina?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$10
Exact Score: Spain 1 - 0 Argentina?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$30
Spain vs. Argentina: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
Spain vs. Argentina: O/U 7.5 Total Cornersbacked Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT+85.2%+$85.19
Spain vs. Argentina: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
Lionel Messi: 1+ goalsbacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$40
Kylian Mbappé: 1+ goalsbacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 18, 2026, EDT+81.8%+$81.82
France vs. England: O/U 3.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
France vs. England: O/U 8.5 Total Cornersbacked Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$93Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 18, 2026, EDT+132.6%+$122.66
England vs. Argentina: O/U 7.5 Total Cornersbacked Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
England vs. Argentina: Will the Match Go to Extra Time?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$30
England vs. Argentina: Team to Advancebacked Argentina · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 15, 2026, EDT+118.6%+$118.58
Lionel Messi: 1+ goalsbacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$50
England vs. Argentina: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 15, 2026, EDT+88.7%+$88.68
France vs. Spain: Team to Advancebacked Spain · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 14, 2026, EDT+143.9%+$143.9
Kylian Mbappé: 1+ goalsbacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
France vs. Spain: O/U 8.5 Total Cornersbacked Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
France vs. Spain: Spain O/U 1.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$91Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 14, 2026, EDT+177.8%+$162.49
France vs. Spain: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
Argentina to score first vs. Switzerland?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 12, 2026, EDT+56.3%+$56.25
Argentina vs. Switzerland: Both Teams to Scorebacked No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
Exact Score: Argentina 2 - 0 Switzerland?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Showing 25 of 39 picks, newest first.
Ukrainelast resolved Aug 19, 2026, EDT214.8%1 W · 20 L-4.0wins-0.19per pick24cpaid-90.5%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
Ukraine — the 21 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ukraine, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Russia capture Kostyantynivka by August 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$200Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$200
Ukraine signs peace deal with Russia by June 30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by end of 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$2,714Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 9, 2026, EDT+98.6%+$2,674.75
Ukraine agrees not to join NATO by March 31? backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Will Russia join the Board of Peace?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
Will India join the Board of Peace?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$50
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by March 31, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$964Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$964.14
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by January 31, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$230Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 1, 2026, EST-100%-$230
Will Zelenskyy and Putin meet next in Qatar / UAE?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$30
Will Zelenskyy and Putin meet next in Turkey?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$25
Will Zelenskyy and Putin meet next in Saudi Arabia?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$15
Will Zelenskyy and Putin meet next in Hungary?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$60Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$60
Will Zelenskyy and Putin not meet?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$40
Ukraine agrees not to join NATO in 2025? backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$123Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$123
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire in 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$200Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$200
Zelenskyy wears a suit and tie during next Trump meeting?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 29, 2025, EST-100%-$40
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by October 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 1, 2025, EDT-100%-$100
Will Trump meet with Xi Jinping in 2025?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 30, 2025, EDT-100%-$50
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire before October?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 1, 2025, EDT-100%-$50
Will Trump meet with Lula da Silva in 2025?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 23, 2025, EDT-100%-$30
Will Trump impose more sanctions on Russia by September 30?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 18, 2025, EDT-100%-$100
All 21 picks, newest first.
Middle East Inactivelast resolved Apr 1, 2026, EDT1136.4%4 W · 7 L+0.8wins+0.07per pick29cpaid-3.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Middle East — the 11 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Middle East, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will the Iranian regime fall by March 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$40
Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by March 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$40Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 3, 2026, EST+354.5%+$141.82
Will Khamenei leave Iran by February 28, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 1, 2026, EST-100%-$15
Will Khamenei leave Iran by March 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$55Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 1, 2026, EST-100%-$55
Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran in 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$61Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 28, 2026, EST+156.4%+$95.08
Will US or Israel strike Iran by March 31, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$200Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 28, 2026, EST+58.7%+$117.46
Will US or Israel strike Iran by June 30, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$60Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 28, 2026, EST+96.1%+$57.65
US strikes Iran by February 24, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 25, 2026, EST-100%-$50
Israel strikes Iran by January 31, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 1, 2026, EST-100%-$40
Will US or Israel strike Iran by January 31, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$220Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 1, 2026, EST-100%-$220
Israel strike on Yemen by September 15?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 10, 2025, EDT-100%-$20
All 11 picks, newest first.
Token Launches Inactivelast resolved Mar 24, 2026, EDT933.3%3 W · 6 L+0.1wins+0.01per pick32cpaid-31.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Token Launches — the 9 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Token Launches, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Backpack FDV above $300M one day after launch?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$74Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 24, 2026, EDT+213.7%+$157.49
Backpack FDV above $100M one day after launch?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$10
Backpack FDV above $200M one day after launch?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Lighter market cap (FDV) >$1B one day after launch?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$400Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 2, 2026, EST+63.9%+$255.74
Will lighter perform an airdrop by December 31? backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 30, 2025, EST-100%-$50
Stable FDV above $2B one day after launch?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$203Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 9, 2025, EST+39.6%+$80.36
Will Monad perform an airdrop by October 31? backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$1,094Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 1, 2025, EDT-100%-$1,094.01
Berachain airdrop in 2024?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$850Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2025, EST-100%-$849.68
Will Berachain launch a token in November?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$267Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 1, 2024, EST-100%-$267.16
All 9 picks, newest first.
CS2last resolved Aug 13, 2026, EDT475%3 W · 1 L+1.0wins+0.24per pick51cpaid+36.8%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
CS2 — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in CS2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

World Politics Inactivelast resolved May 9, 2026, EDT333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.3wins-0.10per pick44cpaid-53.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
World Politics — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in World Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Crypto Milestones Inactivelast resolved Oct 1, 2025, EDT30%0 W · 3 L-0.7wins-0.23per pick23cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
Crypto Milestones — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Crypto Milestones, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Tennislast resolved Aug 15, 2026, EDT2100%2 W · 0 L+1.2wins+0.60per pick40cpaid+196.1%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
Tennis — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tennis, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Cincinnati Open: Novak Djokovic vs Thiago Agustin Tirantebacked Thiago Agustin Tirante · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 15, 2026, EDT+316.7%+$316.67
Mubadala Citi DC Open: Alex de Minaur vs Stefanos Tsitsipasbacked Alex de Minaur · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$169Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 29, 2026, EDT+75.4%+$127.85
All 2 picks, newest first.
Us Politics Inactivelast resolved Dec 23, 2025, EST20%0 W · 2 L-0.7wins-0.34per pick34cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
Us Politics — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Us Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Champions League Inactivelast resolved Aug 4, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.40per pick60cpaid+66.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Champions League — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Champions League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
AC Sparta Praha vs. Olympique Lyonnais: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$300Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 4, 2026, EDT+66.7%+$200
All 1 picks, newest first.
Stocks Inactivelast resolved Jan 4, 2026, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.05per pick5cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Stocks — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Stocks, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin in 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 4, 2026, EST-100%-$10
All 1 picks, newest first.
AI Inactivelast resolved Dec 11, 2025, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.18per pick18cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
AI — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in AI, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will OpenAI release a new frontier model by December 13?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$70Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 11, 2025, EST-100%-$70
All 1 picks, newest first.
China Taiwan Inactivelast resolved Jul 20, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.33per pick33cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
China Taiwan — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in China Taiwan, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
China x Philippines military clash before 2027?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$185Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$185
All 1 picks, newest first.
Boxing Inactivelast resolved Dec 21, 2024, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.42per pick42cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Boxing — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Boxing, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Fury beat Usyk?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$500Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 21, 2024, EST-100%-$500
All 1 picks, newest first.
Europa Conference League Inactivelast resolved Aug 5, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.61per pick61cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
Europa Conference League — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Europa Conference League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
SK Brann vs. Apóllon Lemesoú: SK Brann O/U 1.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$150Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$150
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.