World Politics · resolved market
Will Alexander Lukashenko win the 2025 Belarus Presidential Election?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xc5bb8aabf50ca7230c63be0a900fe0ac4018f36ab6dd0aeebd9e59beaf08c415
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- World Politicsevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $2,534,305
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $2,750,353
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $2,534,305 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 250 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in World Politics is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in World Politics | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xf6fb…2451backed No | 2c | 163,485$3,636 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,635.72 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4fd8…af91backed No | 0c | 65,319$87 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$86.64 | 25 | 0%0 W · 25 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc390…28bdbacked No | 1c | 54,350$511 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$511.32 | 206 | 14.6%30 W · 176 L | +3.3wins | +0.02per pick | 13cpaid | -18.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2d27…76d8backed No | 0c | 52,925$121 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120.85 | 361 | 4.4%16 W · 345 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 5cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x99a1…b0c3backed No | 1c | 42,140$275 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$274.8 | 513 | 2.9%15 W · 498 L | +3.8wins | +0.01per pick | 2cpaid | +88.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa52f…70e9backed No | 1c | 41,125$281 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$281.13 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf43a…cafcbacked No | 0c | 31,294$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.36 | 44 | 9.1%4 W · 40 L | +1.1wins | +0.03per pick | 7cpaid | -35%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe02c…932abacked No | 0c | 25,520$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.52 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc288…edb1backed No | 3c | 24,722$839 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$838.68 | 10 | 20%2 W · 8 L | -1.6wins | -0.16per pick | 36cpaid | -57.7%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa88d…221cbacked No | 0c | 22,218$64 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$64.41 | 24 | 29.2%7 W · 17 L | +1.6wins | +0.07per pick | 23cpaid | +15.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6d85…8393backed No | 0c | 21,892$95 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$95.39 | 17 | 11.8%2 W · 15 L | +0.9wins | +0.05per pick | 6cpaid | -54.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7024…4c4cbacked No | 0c | 20,000$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 34 | 0%0 W · 34 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8ed6…6d2fbacked No | 1c | 17,458$249 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$249.37 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x71cd…912dbacked No | 2c | 17,104$297 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$297.07 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | -0.6wins | -0.09per pick | 24cpaid | -61.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdd7c…fd96backed No | 0c | 16,636$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.94 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xecc3…b683backed No | 1c | 16,483$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.9 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0d9a…cffabacked No | 0c | 16,459$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.11 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xaa05…1715backed No | 3c | 16,193$405 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$405.25 | 7 | 0%0 W · 7 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9eb5…a095backed No | 1c | 15,733$152 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$152.31 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3257…5827backed No | 0c | 14,749$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.15 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb3ba…9b2dbacked No | 0c | 14,036$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.99 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa2e4…2fb2backed No | 0c | 13,224$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.42 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0dcf…daddbacked No | 0c | 12,718$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdc73…d084backed No | 2c | 12,552$246 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$246.3 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7c32…d36dbacked No | 1c | 11,666$108 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$107.69 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7212…de43backed No | 9c | 11,058$961 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$961.02 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.09per pick | 9cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x55b4…80eabacked No | 0c | 11,000$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23 | 100 | 14%14 W · 86 L | -2.9wins | -0.03per pick | 17cpaid | -67.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf29b…011dbacked No | 2c | 10,529$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$199.86 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6bb8…3da7backed No | 1c | 10,000$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f9…b3debacked No | 3c | 9,119$315 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$314.65 | 78 | 0%0 W · 78 L | -2.8wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5f49…b414backed No | 1c | 9,052$113 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$113.04 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd1d4…fcecbacked No | 1c | 9,034$95 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$94.74 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd754…1cfcbacked No | 0c | 8,781$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.91 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.7wins | -0.37per pick | 37cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0520…eb42backed No | 0c | 8,300$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.6 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x842a…a742backed No | 1c | 7,636$99 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$98.51 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.6wins | -0.19per pick | 19cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x07a7…5cc3backed No | 0c | 7,543$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.64 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5d75…7f6dbacked No | 2c | 7,383$130 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$130 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd731…4431backed No | 2c | 7,284$138 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$137.69 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xaf23…3f2ebacked No | 0c | 6,949$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.85 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe1ed…4597backed No | 1c | 6,902$98 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$97.99 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1f6a…12d1backed No | 1c | 6,897$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.84 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1f9f…d920backed No | 1c | 6,794$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.95 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6e73…56bfbacked No | 2c | 6,778$143 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$142.88 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf0b0…8cabbacked No | 2c | 6,428$153 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$153.35 | 1,022 | 28%286 W · 736 L | +1.6wins | 0.00per pick | 28cpaid | -34.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0d85…be2ebacked No | 1c | 6,191$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54.91 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf2a2…82b2backed No | 1c | 5,988$79 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$79.28 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbb0a…7440backed No | 1c | 5,970$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57.22 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5045…7e27backed No | 2c | 5,615$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0b9d…28b2backed No | 1c | 5,588$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65.06 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x309a…d3fdbacked No | 2c | 5,414$89 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$88.73 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfc76…7f24backed No | 2c | 5,275$130 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$130.29 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb038…70a7backed No | 1c | 5,189$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.7 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xce64…335bbacked No | 2c | 5,146$106 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$106 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf55e…0c66backed No | 0c | 5,050$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.1 | 38 | 2.6%1 W · 37 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 4cpaid | -90.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8b5a…00f2backed No | 3c | 5,000$125 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$125 | 14 | 7.1%1 W · 13 L | -1.7wins | -0.12per pick | 20cpaid | -68.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd5ec…3be8backed No | 2c | 4,523$104 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$104.18 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7902…4095backed No | 1c | 4,399$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.19 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd5b4…770dbacked No | 2c | 4,212$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100.21 | 71 | 25.4%18 W · 53 L | -4.6wins | -0.06per pick | 32cpaid | -42.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3c42…b0fabacked No | 0c | 4,171$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.3 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x60e9…922dbacked No | 2c | 4,027$73 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$73.02 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x60b2…3ccebacked No | 3c | 4,000$139 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$138.66 | 50 | 38%19 W · 31 L | -2.8wins | -0.06per pick | 44cpaid | -23.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3a05…2ddabacked No | 3c | 3,867$118 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$117.74 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -0.7wins | -0.11per pick | 39cpaid | -31.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6f71…9988backed No | 1c | 3,501$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7524…2149backed No | 2c | 3,407$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0bf5…4625backed No | 6c | 3,401$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.06per pick | 6cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x54f0…7a91backed No | 2c | 3,374$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70 | 21 | 0%0 W · 21 L | -1.0wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe4d6…11fabacked No | 2c | 3,320$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54.97 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbd66…6b7fbacked No | 1c | 3,259$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.84 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbfbf…27f4backed No | 2c | 3,083$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.39 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbb4c…5629backed No | 1c | 3,057$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7e5e…5993backed No | 2c | 3,052$61 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$61 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x56b1…7777backed No | 2c | 2,931$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59.55 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x18a7…d21abacked No | 3c | 2,720$68 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$68.1 | 78 | 6.4%5 W · 73 L | -2.0wins | -0.03per pick | 9cpaid | -77.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0159…cf34backed No | 1c | 2,620$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.2 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.3wins | -0.09per pick | 9cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x88e4…8f34backed No | 2c | 2,602$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 15 | 20%3 W · 12 L | +0.7wins | +0.04per pick | 16cpaid | -42.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcdbf…1926backed No | 1c | 2,566$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.5 | 380 | 23.9%91 W · 289 L | +5.2wins | +0.01per pick | 23cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x133e…7e65backed No | 1c | 2,356$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.76 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x752e…81c4backed No | 6c | 2,281$137 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$136.64 | 19 | 52.6%10 W · 9 L | +2.9wins | +0.15per pick | 37cpaid | +38.8%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x3f6b…fba5backed No | 2c | 2,275$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 18 | 33.3%6 W · 12 L | -1.5wins | -0.08per pick | 42cpaid | -35.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfde6…7ed6backed No | 5c | 2,074$110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$110 | 9 | 0%0 W · 9 L | -0.7wins | -0.07per pick | 7cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa56c…3020backed No | 3c | 2,058$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.46 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3cb9…8aebbacked No | 5c | 2,041$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfc3d…83f8backed No | 5c | 1,987$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | +1.4wins | +0.14per pick | 26cpaid | +22.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6f45…3876backed No | 1c | 1,984$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.02 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd6cd…1469backed No | 2c | 1,981$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.54 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x216a…1ea2backed No | 2c | 1,953$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.7 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd60e…ea84backed No | 1c | 1,930$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5da5…e620backed No | 1c | 1,898$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.18 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.10per pick | 44cpaid | -53.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9e6b…9579backed No | 1c | 1,894$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.2 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | -0.8wins | -0.11per pick | 25cpaid | -74.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6277…0741backed No | 1c | 1,894$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.94 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2370…0e10backed No | 2c | 1,813$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.57 | 97 | 21.6%21 W · 76 L | -3.7wins | -0.04per pick | 25cpaid | -51.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x656d…3564backed No | 1c | 1,727$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd81a…ae88backed No | 1c | 1,666$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x75c7…95ddbacked No | 2c | 1,643$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.64 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf7c4…c5abbacked No | 3c | 1,627$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.81 | 35 | 2.9%1 W · 34 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 3cpaid | -87.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2193…21f5backed No | 2c | 1,614$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfb5a…5b2dbacked No | 1c | 1,603$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf007…d94abacked No | 4c | 1,579$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$69.99 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.7wins | -0.17per pick | 17cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x95fb…23cebacked No | 1c | 1,578$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.69 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7304…0379backed No | 2c | 1,500$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.5 | 13 | 46.2%6 W · 7 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -25.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in World Politics and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 7 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Alexander Lukashenko win the 2025 Belarus Presidential Election? this page
- Will Alexander Khabnyak win the 2025 Belarus Presidential Election?No won
- Will Anna Kanopatskaya win the 2025 Belarus Presidential Election?No won
- Will Oleg Gaidukevich win the 2025 Belarus Presidential Election? No won
- Will Olga Sustanova win the 2025 Belarus Presidential Election?No won
- Will Sergei Bobrikov win the 2025 Belarus Presidential Election?No won
- Will Sergei Syrankov win the 2025 Belarus Presidential Election?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.