TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x18a7…d21a

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
785
Categories scored
34
Categories below 50
18

Best Category: Chess, grading 54 out of 100 (+0.03 per pick).

Best Category Chess at 54 out of 100; worst AI at 47.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
Us Politics Inactivelast resolved Mar 1, 2026, EST18914.3%27 W · 162 L+3.7wins+0.02per pick12cpaid-6.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Us Politics — the 189 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Us Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Trump deport 1,500,000-1,750,000 people?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 1, 2026, EST-100%-$18.35
Will Trump deport 1,250,000-1,500,000 people?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 1, 2026, EST-100%-$10.3
Will Trump deport 1,750,000-2,000,000 people?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 1, 2026, EST-100%-$10.72
Will Donald Trump visit Ukraine in 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$14.08
Will Donald Trump visit Russia in 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$11.88
Trump removed via 25th Amendment in 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$11.96
Will Donald Trump visit China in 2025?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$31Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST+227.9%+$69.5
Will Donald Trump visit South Korea in 2025?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 29, 2025, EDT-100%-$17.6
Will federal spending decrease by $750b-1t between Q4 2024 and Q2 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 31, 2025, EDT-100%-$12.58
Will federal spending decrease by $1-2t between Q4 2024 and Q2 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 31, 2025, EDT-100%-$11.62
Will the number of federal employees decrease by 25,000-50,000 between December and June? backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 3, 2025, EDT-100%-$11.55
Will the number of federal employees decrease by less than 25,000 between December and June? backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 3, 2025, EDT-100%-$15
Federal employee charged as a result of DOGE investigation?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2025, EDT-100%-$11.7
Will Justin Trudeau be named in Epstein files?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2025, EDT-100%-$14.43
Will Bill Clinton be named in Epstein files?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2025, EDT+163.2%+$18.6
The 'Bill' Epstein Parlaybacked No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2025, EDT+185.7%+$19.5
Elon out of Trump administration in 2025?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 29, 2025, EDT-100%-$12.71
Elon out of Trump administration before July?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$38Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 29, 2025, EDT+400%+$150.4
Will Donald Trump visit the United Kingdom in 2025?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$33Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 13, 2025, EDT-100%-$33.03
Will Trump pardon 1,000-1,249 Jan 6 protestors in his first 100 days?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$39Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 2, 2025, EDT-100%-$38.6
Will Trump pardon 1,500 or more Jan 6 protestors in his first 100 days?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 2, 2025, EDT-100%-$14.3
Will Trump pardon 750-999 Jan 6 protestors in his first 100 days?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 2, 2025, EDT-100%-$16.98
Will Trump pardon less than 250 Jan 6 protestors in his first 100 days?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 2, 2025, EDT-100%-$11.22
Will Trump pardon 1,250-1,499 Jan 6 protestors in his first 100 days?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$14Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 1, 2025, EDT+334.8%+$46.2
Will DOGE audit Fort Knox before May?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 1, 2025, EDT-100%-$11.02
Showing 25 of 189 picks, newest first.
World Politics Inactivelast resolved Dec 10, 2025, EST786.4%5 W · 73 L-2.0wins-0.03per pick9cpaid-77.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
World Politics — the 78 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in World Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will PRO hold the most seats in the Chamber of Deputies following the 2025 Argentina election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 10, 2025, EST-100%-$11.59
Will Manfred Reyes Villa win the 2025 Bolivia presidential election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 20, 2025, EDT-100%-$13.36
Will Letitia James win the Democratic Primary for Mayor of New York City?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 25, 2025, EDT-100%-$12.5
Will Eric Adams win the Democratic Primary for Mayor of New York City?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$22Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 25, 2025, EDT-100%-$22.5
Will Jumaane Williams win the Democratic Primary for Mayor of New York City?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 25, 2025, EDT-100%-$15.64
Will Sławomir Mentzen be the next President of Poland?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 2, 2025, EDT-100%-$13.65
Will Cristian Sima win the Romanian presidential election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$63Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 19, 2025, EDT-100%-$62.86
Will Nicolae Ciucă win the Romanian presidential election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 19, 2025, EDT-100%-$16.95
Will Marcel Ciolacu win the Romanian presidential election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$43Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 19, 2025, EDT-100%-$42.88
Will Elena Lasconi win the Romanian presidential election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$75Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 19, 2025, EDT-100%-$75.28
Will Daniel Funeriu win the Romanian presidential election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 19, 2025, EDT-100%-$10.22
Will Victor Ponta win the Romanian presidential election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$124Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 19, 2025, EDT-100%-$124.16
Will Hunor Kelemen win the Romanian presidential election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 19, 2025, EDT-100%-$12.3
Will Ana Birchall win the Romanian presidential election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 19, 2025, EDT-100%-$10.51
Will Teodor Nițulescu win the Romanian presidential election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 19, 2025, EDT-100%-$10.85
Will Călin Georgescu win the Romanian presidential election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$80Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 19, 2025, EDT-100%-$79.72
Will George Simion win the Romanian presidential election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$22Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 18, 2025, EDT-100%-$22.4
Will Luis Antonio Tagle be the next pope?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$29Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 8, 2025, EDT-100%-$28.86
Will Olaf Scholz be the next Chancellor of Germany?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 6, 2025, EDT-100%-$13.55
Will Robert Habeck be the next Chancellor of Germany?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 6, 2025, EDT-100%-$16.6
Will Călin Georgescu win the most votes in the 1st round of the Romanian presidential election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 5, 2025, EDT-100%-$15.66
Will Nicușor Dan win the most votes in the 1st round of the Romanian presidential election?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$23Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 5, 2025, EDT+70.8%+$16.08
Will Elena Lasconi win the most votes in the 1st round of the Romanian presidential election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 5, 2025, EDT-100%-$11.84
Will George Simion win the most votes in the 1st round of the Romanian presidential election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 5, 2025, EDT+408.2%+$204.87
Will Călin Georgescu advance to the Romanian Presidential Election Runoff?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$27Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 5, 2025, EDT-100%-$27
Showing 25 of 78 picks, newest first.
Movies Inactivelast resolved Jan 6, 2026, EST5411.1%6 W · 48 L+1.1wins+0.02per pick9cpaid+54.3%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
Movies — the 54 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Movies, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will A Minecraft Movie be the top grossing movie of 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$13Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 6, 2026, EST+1,704.9%+$228.86
Will Captain America: Brave New World be the top grossing movie of 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 6, 2026, EST-100%-$20.09
Will Thunderbolts be the top grossing movie of 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$15.44
Will 'A Minecraft Movie' have the best domestic opening weekend in 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST+5,083%+$510.93
Will 'The Accountant 2' gross less than $25m on opening weekend?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 28, 2025, EDT+66.7%+$13.2
Will "Conclave" win Best Picture at the 2025 Oscars?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$21Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 3, 2025, EST-100%-$21.44
Will "Anora" win Best Picture at the 2025 Oscars?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 3, 2025, EST+426.3%+$48.6
Will "The Brutalist" win Best Picture at the 2025 Oscars?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$35Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 3, 2025, EST-100%-$34.75
Will "Wicked" win Best Picture at the 2025 Oscars?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$31Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 3, 2025, EST-100%-$30.94
Will "I'm Still Here" win Best Picture at the 2025 Oscars?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$28Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 3, 2025, EST-100%-$28.37
Will "Emilia Pérez" win Best Picture at the 2025 Oscars?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 3, 2025, EST-100%-$13.6
Will "Dune: Part Two" win Best Picture at the 2025 Oscars?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 3, 2025, EST-100%-$18.14
Will "A Complete Unknown" win Best Picture at the 2025 Oscars?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$32Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 3, 2025, EST-100%-$31.9
Will "The Substance" win Best Picture at the 2025 Oscars?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 3, 2025, EST-100%-$19.45
Will Karla Sofía Gascón win Best Actress at the 2025 Oscars?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$23Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 3, 2025, EST-100%-$23.34
Will Cynthia Erivo win Best Actress at the 2025 Oscars?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 3, 2025, EST-100%-$12.41
Will Fernanda Torres win Best Actress at the 2025 Oscars?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$43Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 3, 2025, EST-100%-$43.04
Will James Mangold win Best Director at the 2025 Oscars for "A Complete Unknown"?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 3, 2025, EST-100%-$13.45
Will "The Brutalist" win Best Original Score at the 2025 Oscars?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 3, 2025, EST-100%-$16.7
Will "A Complete Unknown" win Best Sound at the 2025 Oscars?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 3, 2025, EST-100%-$11.05
Will "Dune: Part Two" win Best Production Design at the 2025 Oscars?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 3, 2025, EST-100%-$13.87
Will 'Emilia Pérez' win 1 Oscars at the 2025 Academy Awards?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 3, 2025, EST-100%-$17.38
Will Monica Barbaro win Best Supporting Actress at the 2025 Oscars?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$23Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 3, 2025, EST-100%-$23.14
Will Felicity Jones win Best Supporting Actress at the 2025 Oscars?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$24Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 3, 2025, EST-100%-$23.82
Will Isabella Rossellini win Best Supporting Actress at the 2025 Oscars?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 3, 2025, EST-100%-$17.88
Showing 25 of 54 picks, newest first.
NFL Inactivelast resolved Sep 29, 2025, EDT508%4 W · 46 L+0.9wins+0.02per pick6cpaid-68.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
NFL — the 50 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NFL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Travis Hunter play offense and defense?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 29, 2025, EDT+510.3%+$54.51
Will 2 QBs get taken in the first 3 picks of the 2025 NFL Draft?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 25, 2025, EDT-100%-$18.36
Will the Giants draft Travis Hunter?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$36Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 25, 2025, EDT-100%-$36.01
Will the Giants make the first pick of the 2025 NFL Draft?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 25, 2025, EDT-100%-$16.93
Will Travis Hunter be the first pick of the 2025 NFL Draft?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$24Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 25, 2025, EDT-100%-$23.95
Will Elon Musk attend Super Bowl LIX?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$13Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 10, 2025, EST+309.6%+$40.06
Will State Farm run an Ad during Super Bowl LIX?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 10, 2025, EST-100%-$10.98
Will AJ Brown win Super Bowl LIX MVP?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 10, 2025, EST-100%-$12.23
Will Kendrick Lamar perform "Not Like Us"?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 10, 2025, EST-100%-$12.31
Will Lamar Jackson win NFL MVP for the 2024-25 season?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 7, 2025, EST-100%-$13.61
Will Joe Burrow win NFL MVP for the 2024-25 season?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$35Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 7, 2025, EST-100%-$34.94
Will Dan Campbell win NFL Coach of the Year?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 7, 2025, EST-100%-$16.01
Will Jared Verse win NFL Defensive Rookie of the Year?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 7, 2025, EST-100%-$13.7
Will Joe Burrow win NFL Comeback Player of the Year?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$21Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 7, 2025, EST-100%-$20.88
Will TJ Watt win NFL Defensive Player of the Year?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$26Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 7, 2025, EST+204.8%+$52.92
Will Jayden Daniels win NFL Offensive Rookie of the Year?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 7, 2025, EST-100%-$16.98
Will Brock Bowers win NFL Offensive Rookie of the Year?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 7, 2025, EST-100%-$14.23
Will the Commanders win Super Bowl 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$101Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 26, 2025, EST-100%-$100.73
Will the Commanders win the NFC Championship?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 26, 2025, EST-100%-$20.5
Will Will Anderson win NFL Defensive Player of the Year?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 23, 2025, EST-100%-$10.21
Will Caleb Williams win NFL Offensive Rookie of the Year?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 23, 2025, EST-100%-$17.51
Will Marvin Harrison Jr. win NFL Offensive Rookie of the Year?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 23, 2025, EST-100%-$10.74
Will Jonathan Gannon win NFL Coach of the Year?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 23, 2025, EST-100%-$13.29
Will the Rams win Super Bowl 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$31Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 19, 2025, EST-100%-$31.08
Will the Rams win the NFC Championship?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 19, 2025, EST-100%-$12.81
Showing 25 of 50 picks, newest first.
Token Launches Inactivelast resolved Jul 1, 2025, EDT458.9%4 W · 41 L+1.0wins+0.02per pick7cpaid-51.3%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
Token Launches — the 45 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Token Launches, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
No Opensea token launch by July?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2025, EDT+785.9%+$117.99
Will Nigeria launch a memecoin before April? backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2025, EDT-100%-$12
MetaMask airdrop in Q1 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2025, EDT-100%-$24.52
Will El Salvador/Bukele launch a memecoin before April?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2025, EDT-100%-$16.65
OpenSea airdrop before April?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2025, EDT-100%-$12.97
Farcaster airdrop in Q1 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$22Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2025, EDT-100%-$22.35
Avail airdrop in Q1 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$24Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2025, EDT-100%-$23.95
Pump.fun airdrop in Q1 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$93Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2025, EDT-100%-$93.08
Will SMARTESTMONEY.HL win the PvP trading competition?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 17, 2025, EST-100%-$10.56
Was Milei hacked?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 17, 2025, EST-100%-$19.99
Berachain airdrop in Q1 2025?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$116Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 6, 2025, EST-100%-$116.04
Will Berachain launch a token in January?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 1, 2025, EST-100%-$20.19
Will USD0++ dip below $0.50 before February? backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 1, 2025, EST-100%-$15.19
Will DOGE hit 69¢ by Inauguration Day?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$79Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 21, 2025, EST-100%-$79.37
Will Coinbase list $TRUMP in January?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 20, 2025, EST-100%-$12.77
Trump mentions his memecoin in inaugural address?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$45Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 20, 2025, EST-100%-$45.08
Will $TRUMP memecoin creator sell by Sunday?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 20, 2025, EST-100%-$10.52
Will Berachain launch a token in December?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2025, EST-100%-$40.16
Will Berachain not launch a token in 2024?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2025, EST-100%-$10.59
Avail airdrop in 2024?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2025, EST-100%-$10.8
Will $GOAT be listed first on Binance?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2025, EST-100%-$12.14
Will $MOODENG be listed first on Binance?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2025, EST-100%-$29.61
Will none of the named coins be listed on Binance in 2024?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$22Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2025, EST-100%-$22.32
Will $BITCOIN be listed first on Binance?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2025, EST-100%-$11.63
PartyDAO airdrop in 2024?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2025, EST-100%-$15.17
Showing 25 of 45 picks, newest first.
Music Inactivelast resolved May 18, 2025, EDT429.5%4 W · 38 L+1.5wins+0.04per pick6cpaid-15%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
Music — the 42 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Music, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Finland win Eurovision 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$22Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 18, 2025, EDT-100%-$22.35
Will Estonia win Eurovision 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$29Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 18, 2025, EDT-100%-$29.41
Will Albania win Eurovision 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 18, 2025, EDT-100%-$11.89
Will Italy win Eurovision 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 18, 2025, EDT-100%-$12.21
Will Portugal win Eurovision 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 18, 2025, EDT-100%-$18.23
Will Ukraine win Eurovision 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$28Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 18, 2025, EDT-100%-$28.09
Will United Kingdom win Eurovision 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 18, 2025, EDT-100%-$12
Will Israel win Eurovision 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 18, 2025, EDT-100%-$13.76
Will Lithuania win Eurovision 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 18, 2025, EDT-100%-$10.21
Will Netherlands win Eurovision 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$37Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 18, 2025, EDT-100%-$37.36
Will San Marino win Eurovision 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 18, 2025, EDT-100%-$10.47
Will Ireland win Eurovision 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 15, 2025, EDT-100%-$11.26
Will Czechia win Eurovision 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 15, 2025, EDT-100%-$13.54
Will Australia win Eurovision 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$31Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 15, 2025, EDT-100%-$30.58
Will Belgium win Eurovision 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 13, 2025, EDT-100%-$11.99
Will Cyprus win Eurovision 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 13, 2025, EDT-100%-$18.92
Will Jay-Z settle with his accuser before April?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2025, EDT-100%-$12.45
Feds raid Jay-Z before April?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2025, EDT-100%-$16.2
Will Playboi Carti release “I AM MUSIC” by June 1?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$43Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 14, 2025, EDT-100%-$42.97
Will 'BRAT' win Album of the Year?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$23Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 3, 2025, EST-100%-$22.65
Will 'Djesse Vol. 4' win Album of the Year?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 3, 2025, EST-100%-$11.08
Will 'Short n' Sweet' win Album of the Year?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 3, 2025, EST-100%-$14.91
Will 'New Blue Sun' win Album of the Year?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 3, 2025, EST-100%-$13.43
Will 'The Rise and Fall of a Midwest Princess' win Album of the Year?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 3, 2025, EST-100%-$15.9
Will 'Hit Me Hard and Soft' win Album of the Year?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$19Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 3, 2025, EST+135.1%+$25.86
Showing 25 of 42 picks, newest first.
NBA Inactivelast resolved May 29, 2025, EDT397.7%3 W · 36 L+0.6wins+0.01per pick6cpaid-30.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
NBA — the 39 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will the Minnesota Timberwolves win the Western Conference?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 29, 2025, EDT-100%-$12.21
Will the Golden State Warriors win the Western Conference?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$52Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 15, 2025, EDT-100%-$52.46
Will the Cleveland Cavaliers win the 2025 NBA Finals?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 14, 2025, EDT-100%-$10.21
Will the LA Clippers win the Western Conference?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$22Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 4, 2025, EDT-100%-$22.14
Will the Detroit Pistons win the Eastern Conference?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 2, 2025, EDT-100%-$15.8
Will the Orlando Magic win the Eastern Conference?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 30, 2025, EDT-100%-$11.1
Will LaMelo Ball win 2024-25 NBA Most Improved?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 21, 2025, EDT-100%-$13.55
Will Moritz Wagner win 2024-25 NBA 6th Man of the Year?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 21, 2025, EDT-100%-$20.21
Will Jayson Tatum win the 2024-25 NBA MVP?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 21, 2025, EDT-100%-$14.06
Will Anthony Davis win the 2024-25 NBA MVP?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 20, 2025, EDT-100%-$19.49
Will Donovan Mitchell win the 2024-25 NBA MVP?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 20, 2025, EDT-100%-$14.86
Will LeBron James win the 2024-25 NBA MVP?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$21Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 20, 2025, EDT-100%-$21.46
Will Domantas Sabonis lead the NBA in Rebounds?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$31Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 14, 2025, EDT+513.5%+$156.62
Will Deandre Ayton lead the NBA in Rebounds?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 14, 2025, EDT-100%-$13.19
Will Karl-Anthony Towns lead the NBA in Rebounds?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 14, 2025, EDT-100%-$20.33
Will LeBron James lead the NBA in Assists?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$39Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 14, 2025, EDT-100%-$39
Will Cade Cunningham lead the NBA in Assists?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$33Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 14, 2025, EDT-100%-$33.41
Will another player lead the NBA in Assists?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 14, 2025, EDT-100%-$11.52
Will Trae Young lead the NBA in Assists?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$49Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 14, 2025, EDT-100%-$48.95
Will Luka Doncic lead the NBA in Assists?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 14, 2025, EDT-100%-$11.25
Will Tyrese Haliburton lead the NBA in Assists?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 14, 2025, EDT-100%-$11.22
Will Nikola Jokic lead the NBA in Rebounds?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$24Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 14, 2025, EDT-100%-$23.74
Will Nikola Jokic lead the NBA in scoring?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$24Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 13, 2025, EDT-100%-$23.97
Will Giannis Antetokounmpo lead the NBA in scoring?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$37Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 13, 2025, EDT-100%-$37.35
Will Luca Doncic lead the NBA in scoring?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 13, 2025, EDT-100%-$16.32
Showing 25 of 39 picks, newest first.
Us Midterms Inactivelast resolved Apr 9, 2025, EDT395.1%2 W · 37 L-0.6wins-0.02per pick7cpaid+6.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Us Midterms — the 39 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Us Midterms, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Mike Huckabee confirmed as ambassador to Israel?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 9, 2025, EDT-100%-$13.36
Elise Stefanik confirmed as UN ambassador?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$42Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 27, 2025, EDT+3,585.4%+$1,493.53
Lori Chavez-DeRemer confirmed as Labor Secretary?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 10, 2025, EDT-100%-$17.43
Will 52 senators vote to confirm Kash Patel as FBI Director?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$13Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 20, 2025, EST+379.7%+$49.3
Will fewer than 49 senators vote to confirm Kash Patel as FBI Director?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 20, 2025, EST-100%-$10.94
Bernie Sanders votes to confirm RFK Jr?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 16, 2025, EST-100%-$17.04
Will 52 Senators vote to confirm RFK as Secretary of HHS? backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 13, 2025, EST-100%-$19.02
Will 51 Senators vote to confirm RFK as Secretary of HHS? backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$35Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 13, 2025, EST-100%-$34.55
Will 53 Senators vote to confirm RFK as Secretary of HHS? backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 13, 2025, EST-100%-$19.61
Will 55 or more Senators vote to confirm RFK as Secretary of HHS? backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 13, 2025, EST-100%-$10.36
Will Susan Collins vote to confirm Robert Kennedy Jr. as Secretary of Health and Human Services?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 13, 2025, EST-100%-$14.92
Will Mitch McConnell vote to confirm Robert Kennedy Jr. as Secretary of Health and Human Services?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 13, 2025, EST-100%-$15.9
Will Bill Cassidy vote to confirm Robert Kennedy Jr. as Secretary of Health and Human Services?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$37Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 13, 2025, EST-100%-$36.67
Will 53 Senators vote to confirm Tulsi Gabbard as as Director of National Intelligence?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$24Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 12, 2025, EST-100%-$23.57
Will 50 Senators vote to confirm Tulsi Gabbard as as Director of National Intelligence?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 12, 2025, EST-100%-$10.9
Will Cynthia Lummis vote to confirm Tulsi Gabbard Jr. as Director of National Intelligence?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$23Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 12, 2025, EST-100%-$23.23
Will Lisa Murkowski vote to confirm Tulsi Gabbard Jr. as Director of National Intelligence?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$46Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 12, 2025, EST-100%-$45.79
Will John Fetterman vote to confirm Tulsi Gabbard Jr. as Director of National Intelligence?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$67Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 12, 2025, EST-100%-$67.31
Will Joni Ernst vote to confirm Tulsi Gabbard Jr. as Director of National Intelligence?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 12, 2025, EST-100%-$13.75
Will John Curtis vote to confirm Tulsi Gabbard Jr. as Director of National Intelligence?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$26Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 12, 2025, EST-100%-$25.8
Bernie Sanders votes to confirm Tulsi Gabbard?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$66Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 12, 2025, EST-100%-$65.72
Pam Bondi confirmed as Attorney General?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$26Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 4, 2025, EST-100%-$26.44
Lee Zeldin confirmed as Administrator of the EPA?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 29, 2025, EST-100%-$10.85
John Ratcliffe confirmed as director of the CIA?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 23, 2025, EST-100%-$16.83
Will Matt Dolan be appointed as the next Ohio senator?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 22, 2025, EST-100%-$17.69
Showing 25 of 39 picks, newest first.
AI Inactivelast resolved Jan 1, 2026, EST382.6%1 W · 37 L-1.8wins-0.05per pick7cpaid-87.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
AI — the 38 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in AI, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Brian Armstrong out as Coinbase CEO in 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$29Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$28.6
Will Amazon be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 31, 2025, EST-100%-$19.42
Will Tesla be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 31, 2025, EST-100%-$12.61
Will Apple be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$42Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 31, 2025, EST-100%-$42.18
Will Alphabet be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$27Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 31, 2025, EST-100%-$27.03
Will Anthropic have the top AI model on July 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$46Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 31, 2025, EDT-100%-$45.57
Will Meta have the top AI model on June 30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 30, 2025, EDT-100%-$17.13
Will Alibaba have the top AI model on June 30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 30, 2025, EDT-100%-$12.92
Will Anthropic have the top AI model on June 30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$46Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 30, 2025, EDT-100%-$45.95
Will DeepSeek have the top AI model on June 30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$35Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 30, 2025, EDT-100%-$34.96
Google forced to sell Chrome?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 1, 2025, EDT-100%-$14.43
DeepSeek R2 released before May?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$21Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 1, 2025, EDT+369.8%+$78.71
DeepSeek V4 released before May?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 1, 2025, EDT-100%-$20.35
DeepSeek banned in US before April?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$34Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2025, EDT-100%-$34.4
Will GPT-5 be released by March 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2025, EDT-100%-$14.6
Suchir Balaji foul play determined before April?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2025, EDT-100%-$17.47
OpenAI becomes a for-profit before April 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2025, EDT-100%-$11.34
Will Anthropic have the top AI model on March 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 31, 2025, EDT-100%-$11.99
Will Alibaba have the top AI model on March 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 31, 2025, EDT-100%-$14.46
Will Meta have the top AI model on March 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 31, 2025, EDT-100%-$30.22
Will DeepSeek have the top AI model on March 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$37Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 31, 2025, EDT-100%-$37.15
Alibaba AI model better than DeepSeek before March?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$43Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 1, 2025, EST-100%-$42.9
Will Elon Musk visit Stargate Texas site before March?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 1, 2025, EST-100%-$13.32
Will Anthropic have the top AI model on February 28?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$68Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 28, 2025, EST-100%-$67.62
Will OpenAI have the top AI model on February 28?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 28, 2025, EST-100%-$16.22
Showing 25 of 38 picks, newest first.
Middle East Inactivelast resolved Jul 21, 2025, EDT2611.5%3 W · 23 L0.0wins0.00per pick12cpaid-7.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Middle East — the 26 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Middle East, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Another Israel strike on Yemen in July?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$191Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 21, 2025, EDT-100%-$190.68
Israel strikes Yemen by Friday?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$24Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2025, EDT+212.5%+$51
Will Israel annex Syrian territory before July?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2025, EDT-100%-$18.82
Houthis agree to end attacks on shipping before June?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$578Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 6, 2025, EDT-100%-$578.09
Will the U.S. recognize Syrian government by March 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 4, 2025, EDT-100%-$19.78
Israel retaliates against Houthis in March?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$29Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2025, EDT-100%-$28.6
Will Russia pull out of Syria before April 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$47Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2025, EDT-100%-$47.48
Israel and Saudi Arabia normalize relations before April?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2025, EDT-100%-$17.19
Will Netanyahu meet with MBS before April?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2025, EDT-100%-$13.2
Sisi out as President of Egypt by March 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$22Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2025, EDT-100%-$22.49
Tel Aviv bus bomber arrested by Friday?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$64Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 13, 2025, EDT-100%-$64.29
Israel withdraws from Lebanon before March?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 1, 2025, EST-100%-$16.54
Will the U.S. remove HTS from terror list before March?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$62Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 1, 2025, EST-100%-$62.03
Tel Aviv bus bomber arrested today?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$23Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 21, 2025, EST-100%-$23.31
Will Russia recognize Syrian government by March 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 9, 2025, EST+665.5%+$331.22
Will Türkiye recognize Syrian government by March 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$31Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 3, 2025, EST-100%-$31
No Israel x Hamas ceasefire in 2024?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2025, EST-100%-$16.32
Israel parliament dissolves in 2024?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2025, EST-100%-$18.3
U.S. arms embargo on Israel in 2024?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2025, EST-100%-$16.09
Israel x Iran peace deal in 2024?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2025, EST-100%-$16.26
Israel withdraws from Gaza in 2024?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$27Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2025, EST-100%-$27.19
Israel strikes Iranian oil in 2024?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2025, EST-100%-$16.01
Benjamin Netanyahu arrested in 2024? backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$24Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2025, EST-100%-$23.91
Another Iran strike on Israel in 2024?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2025, EST-100%-$12
Assad leaves Syria before 2025?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 8, 2024, EST-100%-$39.57
Showing 25 of 26 picks, newest first.
Tweets Inactivelast resolved Feb 28, 2025, EST2512%3 W · 22 L+1.4wins+0.06per pick6cpaid+277.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
Tweets — the 25 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tweets, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Trump post 100-119 times on Truth Feb 21-28?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 28, 2025, EST+542.4%+$79.36
Will POTUS tweet less than 10 times Jan 22-29?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 27, 2025, EST-100%-$18.47
Will Elon tweet 750-799 times Jan 10-17?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 17, 2025, EST-100%-$18.31
Will Elon tweet less than 250 times Jan 3-Jan 10?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 6, 2025, EST-100%-$10.02
Will Elon tweet 400-424 times Dec 27-Jan 3?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$16Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 3, 2025, EST+5,957.8%+$982.46
Will Elon tweet 425-449 times Dec 27-Jan 3?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 3, 2025, EST-100%-$11.54
Will Elon tweet 325-349 times Dec 27-Jan 3?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 3, 2025, EST-100%-$17.16
Will Trump tweet 10-14 times Nov 15-22?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 22, 2024, EST-100%-$10.56
Will Elon tweet 425-449 times November 15-22?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 22, 2024, EST-100%-$19.03
Will Elon tweet 400-424 times November 15-22?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 21, 2024, EST-100%-$16.54
Will Elon tweet 375-399 times November 15-22?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 21, 2024, EST-100%-$18.7
Will Elon tweet 400-424 times November 8-15?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 15, 2024, EST-100%-$18.55
Will Elon tweet 425-449 times November 8-15?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 15, 2024, EST-100%-$17.6
Will Elon tweet 450 or more times November 8-15?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$65Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 15, 2024, EST-100%-$65.36
Will Elon tweet 375-399 times November 8-15?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$14Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 15, 2024, EST+2,639.7%+$372.49
Will Elon tweet 350-374 times November 8-15?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$28Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 15, 2024, EST-100%-$28.43
Will Elon tweet 250-274 times November 8-15?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$91Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 14, 2024, EST-100%-$91.04
Will Elon tweet 325-349 times November 8-15?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$26Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 14, 2024, EST-100%-$26.42
Will Elon tweet 300-324 times November 8-15?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$46Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 14, 2024, EST-100%-$45.94
Will Elon tweet 275-299 times November 8-15?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$49Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 14, 2024, EST-100%-$49.32
Will Elon tweet 225-249 times November 8-15?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$62Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 13, 2024, EST-100%-$62.04
Will Elon tweet 200-224 times November 8-15?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$49Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 13, 2024, EST-100%-$49.09
Will Elon tweet 175-199 times November 8-15?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$24Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 13, 2024, EST-100%-$24.4
Will Elon tweet 150-174 times November 8-15?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 12, 2024, EST-100%-$17.27
Will Elon tweet less than 150 times November 8-15?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 11, 2024, EST-100%-$18.88
All 25 picks, newest first.
Fed Rates Inactivelast resolved Dec 10, 2025, EST2213.6%3 W · 19 L-0.3wins-0.02per pick15cpaid-29.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Fed Rates — the 22 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fed Rates, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will 5 Fed rate cuts happen in 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 10, 2025, EST-100%-$18.17
Will 6 Fed rate cuts happen in 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 10, 2025, EST-100%-$10.09
Will 7 Fed rate cuts happen in 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 10, 2025, EST-100%-$14.26
Will 8+ Fed rate cuts happen in 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$75Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 10, 2025, EST-100%-$75.09
Will Trump announce Kevin Hassett as next Fed Chair?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2025, EDT-100%-$17.92
Will Trump announce Larry Kudlow as next Fed Chair?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2025, EDT-100%-$15.64
No Trump announcement of next Fed Chair by June 30?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$22Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2025, EDT-100%-$22.21
US 10Y Treasury yield above 5% by June 30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2025, EDT-100%-$13.97
Fed increases interest rates by 25+ bps after June 2025 meeting?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 18, 2025, EDT-100%-$16.43
Will Powell say "Trump" during January press conference?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 29, 2025, EST-100%-$16.5
Will Powell say "inflation" 50 or more times during January press conference?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$28Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 29, 2025, EST+772.7%+$213.99
Will Powell say "immigrant" or "immigration" during January press conference?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 29, 2025, EST+376.2%+$43.45
Will Powell say "good afternoon" during January press conference?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$24Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 29, 2025, EST-100%-$23.98
Will Jerome Powell say "growth" 10 or more times during December FOMC Press Conference?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$13Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 18, 2024, EST+99.4%+$12.8
Will Fed cut interest rates 3 times in 2024?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 18, 2024, EST-100%-$11.13
Will Fed cut interest rates 4 times in 2024?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$48Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 18, 2024, EST-100%-$48.19
Will Jerome Powell say "Trump" during December FOMC Press Conference?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$87Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 18, 2024, EST-100%-$86.73
Will Jerome Powell say "tariff" 5 or more times during December FOMC Press Conference?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$94Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 18, 2024, EST-100%-$93.98
Will Jerome Powell say "price" 10 or more times during December FOMC Press Conference?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$24Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 18, 2024, EST-100%-$23.96
Will Jerome Powell say "inflation" 40 or more times during December FOMC Press Conference?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$24Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 18, 2024, EST-100%-$24.42
Will Jerome Powell say "tariff" during December FOMC Press Conference?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$32Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 18, 2024, EST-100%-$32
Will Jerome Powell say "unemployment" 5 or more times during December FOMC Press Conference?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$44Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 18, 2024, EST-100%-$43.89
All 22 picks, newest first.
F1 Inactivelast resolved Mar 23, 2025, EDT2015%3 W · 17 L+0.3wins+0.01per pick14cpaid+16.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
F1 — the 20 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in F1, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Ferrari have the highest Constructor score at the Chinese GP?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 23, 2025, EDT-100%-$12.73
Will Lando Norris win the 2025 China Grand Prix?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$21Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 23, 2025, EDT-100%-$20.55
Will Oscar Piastri win the 2025 China Grand Prix?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$14Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 23, 2025, EDT+100%+$13.5
Will Max Verstappen win the 2025 China Grand Prix?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$33Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 23, 2025, EDT-100%-$33.3
Will George Russell win the 2025 China Grand Prix?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 23, 2025, EDT-100%-$17.8
Will Red Bull Racing record the fastest lap at 2025 F1 Winter Testing?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 1, 2025, EST-100%-$10.8
Will Ferrari win the 2024 F1 Constructors Championship?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$90Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 8, 2024, EST-100%-$89.75
Will Red Bull win the 2024 F1 Constructor’s Championship?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 1, 2024, EST-100%-$12.11
Will Lando Norris win the 2024 F1 season?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 24, 2024, EST-100%-$13.01
Will another driver win the 2024 Las Vegas Grand Prix?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$21Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 24, 2024, EST-100%-$21.32
Will Max Verstappen win the 2024 Las Vegas Grand Prix?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$65Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 24, 2024, EST-100%-$65
Will Sergio Perez win the Brazilian Grand Prix?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 10, 2024, EST-100%-$11.32
Will Oscar Piastri win the Brazilian Grand Prix?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 3, 2024, EST-100%-$11
Will Max Verstappen win the Brazilian Grand Prix?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$48Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 3, 2024, EST+1,023.7%+$494.64
Will Max Verstappen win the Mexico City Grand Prix?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 28, 2024, EDT-100%-$14.49
Will George Russell win the Mexico City Grand Prix?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$22Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 28, 2024, EDT-100%-$22.43
Will Lando Norris win the Mexico City Grand Prix?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$54Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 28, 2024, EDT-100%-$54.09
Will Carlos Sainz win the Mexico City Grand Prix?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$13Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 28, 2024, EDT+904.6%+$117.95
Will Charles Leclerc win the Mexico City Grand Prix?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$109Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 28, 2024, EDT-100%-$108.73
Will Oscar Piastri win the Mexico City Grand Prix?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 28, 2024, EDT-100%-$11.78
All 20 picks, newest first.
Ukraine Inactivelast resolved Jan 1, 2026, EST1513.3%2 W · 13 L-0.7wins-0.04per pick18cpaid-77.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Ukraine — the 15 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ukraine, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Trump withdraw the U.S. from NATO in 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$27Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$26.64
Will Trump meet with Xi Jinping in 2025?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 30, 2025, EDT-100%-$12.21
Will Russia capture Pokrovsk by December 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$21Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 8, 2025, EDT-100%-$21.45
Zelenskyy out as Ukraine president before July?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$46Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2025, EDT-100%-$45.96
Will Ukraine join NATO before July?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2025, EDT-100%-$15.34
Will a nuclear weapon detonate by June 30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$24Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2025, EDT-100%-$23.78
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire before July?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$60Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2025, EDT+83.2%+$49.94
Will Zelensky wear suit next Trump meeting?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$18Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 26, 2025, EDT+52.9%+$9.34
Will Russia abandon Syrian naval base before April?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$107Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2025, EDT-100%-$106.69
Ukraine agrees to Trump mineral deal before April?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$23Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 24, 2025, EDT-100%-$23
Will Trump sanction Russia before March?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$90Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 1, 2025, EST-100%-$90.03
Will Putin remain President of Russia through 2024?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$62Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2025, EST-100%-$62.37
Ukraine election scheduled in 2024?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2025, EST-100%-$11.16
Russia x Ukraine Ceasefire in 2024?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$163Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2025, EST-100%-$163.46
Ukraine strike on Moscow before November?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 1, 2024, EDT-100%-$13.57
All 15 picks, newest first.
Premier League Inactivelast resolved May 25, 2025, EDT110%0 W · 11 L-0.6wins-0.06per pick6cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Premier League — the 11 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Premier League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Cole Palmer be the top goalscorer in the EPL?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 25, 2025, EDT-100%-$30.31
Will Alexander Isak be the top goalscorer in the EPL?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 25, 2025, EDT-100%-$14.34
Will another player be the top goalscorer in the EPL?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$54Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 25, 2025, EDT-100%-$54.03
Will Jamie Vardy be the top goalscorer in the EPL?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 25, 2025, EDT-100%-$10.81
Will Aston Villa finish in the top 4 of EPL?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 25, 2025, EDT-100%-$16.87
Will Southampton be relegated?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 6, 2025, EDT-100%-$15.6
Will Nottingham Forest be relegated?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 8, 2025, EST-100%-$19.23
Will another team lead the EPL in points at the midway point?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 2, 2025, EST-100%-$14
Will Aston Villa lead the EPL in points at midway point?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 2, 2025, EST-100%-$10.7
Will Chelsea lead the EPL in points at midway point?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 2, 2025, EST-100%-$12.48
Will Manchester United win the 2024 Carabao Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 19, 2024, EST-100%-$14.04
All 11 picks, newest first.
Commodities Inactivelast resolved Jan 1, 2025, EST1010%1 W · 9 L0.0wins0.00per pick10cpaid-55%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Commodities — the 10 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Commodities, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Gold close at $2,600-2,700 at the end of 2024?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$332Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2025, EST+349.5%+$1,159.91
Will Gold close under $2,500 at the end of 2024?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$306Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2025, EST-100%-$306.29
Will Gold close at $2,700-2,800 at the end of 2024?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$319Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2025, EST-100%-$318.82
Will Gold close at $2,800-2,900 at the end of 2024?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$394Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2025, EST-100%-$394.26
Will Gold close at $2,500-2,600 at the end of 2024?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$358Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2025, EST-100%-$358.11
Will Gold close at $3,000-3,100 at the end of 2024?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$260Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 31, 2024, EST-100%-$260.09
Will Gold close at $3,100-3,200 at the end of 2024?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$185Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 31, 2024, EST-100%-$184.75
Will Gold close at $3,200 or more at the end of 2024? backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$411Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 31, 2024, EST-100%-$411.25
Will Gold close at $2,900-3,000 at the end of 2024?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$291Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 31, 2024, EST-100%-$290.56
Will Silver close over $40 at the end of 2024?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$47Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 31, 2024, EST-100%-$47.25
All 10 picks, newest first.
Boxing Inactivelast resolved Jun 1, 2025, EDT90%0 W · 9 L-0.7wins-0.08per pick8cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Boxing — the 9 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Boxing, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Logan and Jake Paul fight before June?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 1, 2025, EDT-100%-$10.39
Will Jake Paul fight Andrew Tate next?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$21Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 18, 2025, EDT-100%-$20.69
Will Jake Paul fight Tommy Fury next?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$29Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 18, 2025, EDT-100%-$29.39
Will Jake Paul fight KSI next?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 18, 2025, EDT-100%-$19.62
Will Jake Paul fight Conor McGregor next?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$53Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 18, 2025, EDT-100%-$53.5
Will Jake Paul fight Canelo Alvarez next?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$51Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 18, 2025, EDT-100%-$51.08
Will Mike Tyson win his boxing match against Jake Paul?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$44Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 16, 2024, EST-100%-$44.25
Will Jake Paul vs. Mike Tyson have no official winner?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$66Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 16, 2024, EST-100%-$65.66
Tyson vs. Paul - knockout in first 10 seconds?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$24Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 16, 2024, EST-100%-$24.48
All 9 picks, newest first.
College Football Inactivelast resolved Jan 2, 2025, EST812.5%1 W · 7 L+0.5wins+0.06per pick7cpaid-63.2%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
College Football — the 8 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in College Football, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Weather Inactivelast resolved Mar 24, 2025, EDT812.5%1 W · 7 L+0.4wins+0.05per pick8cpaid-45.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Weather — the 8 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Weather, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will the highest temperature in NYC be between 49-50°F on March 24?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 24, 2025, EDT+333.1%+$34.66
Global heat increase between 1.22°C and 1.24°C for 2024?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 10, 2025, EST-100%-$15.45
Global heat increase between 1.25°C and 1.27°C for 2024?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 10, 2025, EST-100%-$13.04
Global heat increase greater than 1.30°C for 2024?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$39Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 10, 2025, EST-100%-$38.53
Megaquake in December?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2025, EST-100%-$11.08
Will the November 2024 temperature increase be less than 1.20°C?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$27Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 10, 2024, EST-100%-$26.51
Will the November 2024 temperature increase be between 1.25-1.29°C?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 10, 2024, EST-100%-$15.41
Will there be between 21 and 25 named storms during Atlantic Hurricane Season?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$99Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 1, 2024, EST-100%-$99.01
All 8 picks, newest first.
Space Inactivelast resolved Jan 1, 2026, EST812.5%1 W · 7 L+0.1wins+0.01per pick12cpaid+2.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Space — the 8 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Space, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will 13-15 SpaceX Starship launches successfully reach Space in 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$44Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$43.92
Will SpaceX have between 140-159 launches in 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 19, 2025, EST-100%-$13.1
Will NASA estimate a 5% chance of asteroid hitting Earth?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2025, EDT-100%-$10.3
Will Elon be worth $500b before March?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 1, 2025, EST-100%-$19.13
SpaceX Flight 7 launch before February 2025?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 16, 2025, EST-100%-$13.84
Will five or more SpaceX Starship launches successfully reach outer space in 2024?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2025, EST-100%-$16.55
Will four SpaceX Starship launches successfully reach outer space in 2024?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$23Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2025, EST-100%-$22.92
Will the chopsticks catch SpaceX's Super Heavy?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$14Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 19, 2024, EST+721.7%+$100.36
All 8 picks, newest first.
Chess Inactivelast resolved Feb 14, 2025, EST728.6%2 W · 5 L+1.1wins+0.15per pick13cpaid+152.5%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
Chess — the 7 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Chess, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Champions League Inactivelast resolved May 31, 2025, EDT714.3%1 W · 6 L+0.9wins+0.13per pick1cpaid+920.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
Champions League — the 7 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Champions League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

China Taiwan Inactivelast resolved Jan 1, 2026, EST633.3%2 W · 4 L+0.5wins+0.08per pick26cpaid-7.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
China Taiwan — the 6 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in China Taiwan, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Europa Conference League Inactivelast resolved May 21, 2025, EDT60%0 W · 6 L-0.2wins-0.04per pick4cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Europa Conference League — the 6 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Europa Conference League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

NHL Inactivelast resolved May 2, 2025, EDT50%0 W · 5 L-0.2wins-0.04per pick4cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
NHL — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NHL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Crypto Milestones Inactivelast resolved Jan 1, 2026, EST50%0 W · 5 L-0.7wins-0.15per pick15cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
Crypto Milestones — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Crypto Milestones, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Serie A Inactivelast resolved Apr 28, 2025, EDT30%0 W · 3 L-0.1wins-0.02per pick2cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Serie A — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Serie A, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Stocks Inactivelast resolved Jan 1, 2025, EST30%0 W · 3 L-0.3wins-0.11per pick11cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Stocks — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Stocks, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MLB Inactivelast resolved Dec 11, 2024, EST20%0 W · 2 L-0.6wins-0.29per pick29cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
MLB — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in MLB, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Juan Soto sign with the Yankees?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 11, 2024, EST-100%-$20.46
Will the Yankees win the World Series 4-3?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 31, 2024, EDT-100%-$12.43
All 2 picks, newest first.
Ncaa Basketball Inactivelast resolved Mar 6, 2025, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.2wins+0.24per pick76cpaid+31.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Ncaa Basketball — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ncaa Basketball, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Canisius vs. Riderbacked Rider · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 6, 2025, EST+31.6%+$3.28
All 1 picks, newest first.
Tennis Inactivelast resolved Jan 22, 2025, EST10%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Tennis — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tennis, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Alex De Minaur win the Australian Open?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 22, 2025, EST-100%-$10.69
All 1 picks, newest first.
Valorant Inactivelast resolved Feb 9, 2025, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.11per pick11cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Valorant — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Valorant, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Sentinels win the VCT 2025 Americas Kickoff?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 9, 2025, EST-100%-$13.3
All 1 picks, newest first.
UFC Inactivelast resolved Dec 8, 2024, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.13per pick13cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
UFC — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in UFC, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Mitchell vs. Graciebacked Gracie · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$129Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 8, 2024, EST-100%-$128.78
All 1 picks, newest first.
Mls Inactivelast resolved Dec 7, 2024, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.21per pick21cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Mls — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Mls, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will the New York Red Bulls win the 2024 MLS Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 7, 2024, EST-100%-$11.61
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.