Premier League · resolved market
Will Southampton be relegated?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xa5890f75a739c3650ee153e8827d88416d8a0ae2de2265a8a446cb75024efc53
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Premier Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $395,341
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $287,439
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $395,341 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 32 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Premier League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Premier League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x8bea…2becbacked No | 12c | 55,006$6,601 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,600.86 | 17 | 41.2%7 W · 10 L | -0.4wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -16.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1638…339bbacked No | 14c | 55,006$7,701 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,700.86 | 62 | 53.2%33 W · 29 L | +2.4wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +14.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0dfa…c0e3backed No | 0c | 21,000$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21 | 50 | 0%0 W · 50 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x51fd…4272backed No | 3c | 6,706$234 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$233.58 | 208 | 19.2%40 W · 168 L | -7.7wins | -0.04per pick | 23cpaid | -29.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4c03…0cc1backed No | 13c | 2,080$274 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$274.19 | 153 | 28.8%44 W · 109 L | -4.0wins | -0.03per pick | 31cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9977…3020backed No | 5c | 1,543$77 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$77.23 | 32 | 34.4%11 W · 21 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -40.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1844…e8f5backed No | 2c | 1,407$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf123…686fbacked No | 4c | 750$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x14dd…13eebacked No | 2c | 619.04$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13 | 32 | 3.1%1 W · 31 L | -2.6wins | -0.08per pick | 11cpaid | -94.6%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x96b5…f5e7backed No | 4c | 593.97$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.98 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 30cpaid | -55.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb113…8bc6backed No | 4c | 573.43$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.22 | 215 | 48.8%105 W · 110 L | -5.8wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xac61…f5f7backed No | 2c | 573$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.46 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -1.2wins | -0.24per pick | 24cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf0b0…8cabbacked No | 7c | 515.11$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.21 | 660 | 31.2%206 W · 454 L | -13.0wins | -0.02per pick | 33cpaid | -23.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb293…cb90backed No | 4c | 482.52$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.51 | 13 | 0%0 W · 13 L | -1.2wins | -0.09per pick | 9cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9524…86cfbacked No | 8c | 455$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.4 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | +0.3wins | +0.04per pick | 34cpaid | -37.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x93c6…d9dbbacked No | 8c | 361.04$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.36 | 16 | 18.8%3 W · 13 L | -1.1wins | -0.07per pick | 26cpaid | -45.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0a38…f931backed No | 19c | 200$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 25cpaid | +19%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdc08…6bd3backed No | 51c | 195.31$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -0.6wins | -0.07per pick | 45cpaid | -32.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9e10…d3e8backed No | 14c | 142.86$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.14per pick | 14cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa0e1…d6f0backed No | 11c | 133.31$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.24 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | -1.2wins | -0.15per pick | 40cpaid | -65%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3dd8…5ddcbacked No | 14c | 104.99$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | -0.9wins | -0.10per pick | 44cpaid | -35.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5f41…83f5backed No | 24c | 104.99$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.07 | 73 | 43.8%32 W · 41 L | +2.6wins | +0.04per pick | 40cpaid | -11.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa823…851fbacked No | 16c | 100$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | -0.9wins | -0.13per pick | 28cpaid | -69.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe762…cfa8backed Yes | 77c | 95$73 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.85 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.23per pick | 77cpaid | +29.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc356…8dddbacked No | 23c | 95$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.85 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.23per pick | 23cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1180…bfd5backed No | 12c | 85$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.2 | 16 | 50%8 W · 8 L | -0.6wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -12.2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x18a7…d21abacked No | 26c | 60$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.6 | 11 | 0%0 W · 11 L | -0.6wins | -0.06per pick | 6cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf660…333fbacked Yes | 80c | 30$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -1.3wins | -0.25per pick | 45cpaid | -75%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa8b7…ee3cbacked Yes | 76c | 25.65$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.11 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | +1.1wins | +0.12per pick | 21cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x01e4…1d1ebacked Yes | 78c | 25.64$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.64 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.22per pick | 78cpaid | +28.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6c82…6150backed Yes | 78c | 24.34$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.45 | 297 | 51.9%154 W · 143 L | -1.8wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x86a9…54e7backed Yes | 79c | 15.19$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.19 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.21per pick | 79cpaid | +26.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Premier League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 7 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Southampton be relegated?this page
- Will Everton be relegated?No won
- Will Ipswich Town be relegated?Yes won
- Will Leicester City be relegated?Yes won
- Will Manchester City be relegated?No won
- Will Nottingham Forest be relegated?No won
- Will Wolverhampton be relegated?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.