Premier League · resolved market
Will Everton be relegated?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x2a7764f7e0845d6aef7971f7b584fe0fdaf231f2fa72a89c37cc3ae85f8c1632
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Premier Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $781,961
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $1,485,417
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $781,961 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 32 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Premier League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Premier League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x51fd…4272backed Yes | 3c | 8,484$284 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$284.06 | 208 | 19.2%40 W · 168 L | -7.7wins | -0.04per pick | 23cpaid | -29.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9977…3020backed Yes | 3c | 5,462$175 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$174.59 | 32 | 34.4%11 W · 21 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -40.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x047b…ef6fbacked Yes | 35c | 2,526$873 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$873.04 | 33 | 60.6%20 W · 13 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 61cpaid | +9.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x53d2…0c3fbacked No | 78c | 1,053$818 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$234.95 | 15 | 66.7%10 W · 5 L | +1.9wins | +0.13per pick | 54cpaid | +11.2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe5c0…3f84backed No | 64c | 1,000$640 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$360.01 | 35 | 51.4%18 W · 17 L | +1.3wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcc2e…2358backed No | 65c | 1,000$650 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$350 | 74 | 47.3%35 W · 39 L | +1.9wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1dbd…af92backed No | 72c | 844.28$608 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$236.4 | 86 | 52.3%45 W · 41 L | +2.1wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf0b0…8cabbacked Yes | 13c | 838.94$107 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$107.45 | 660 | 31.2%206 W · 454 L | -13.0wins | -0.02per pick | 33cpaid | -23.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfe91…70ffbacked Yes | 28c | 794.92$222 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$222.49 | 108 | 48.1%52 W · 56 L | +1.4wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +28.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4e25…d7a7backed Yes | 5c | 759.61$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.43 | 37 | 18.9%7 W · 30 L | -7.0wins | -0.19per pick | 38cpaid | -63.6%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xa40d…ea7abacked Yes | 20c | 573.33$114 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$114.1 | 57 | 12.3%7 W · 50 L | +1.2wins | +0.02per pick | 10cpaid | -39.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x74f1…16a8backed Yes | 18c | 500$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90 | 253 | 29.2%74 W · 179 L | +11.3wins | +0.04per pick | 25cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x31cf…8834backed Yes | 30c | 381$113 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$113.2 | 90 | 37.8%34 W · 56 L | +1.0wins | +0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -17.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5d7a…b5f7backed Yes | 22c | 345.36$76 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75.98 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -29.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9ed8…c2a1backed Yes | 36c | 276.41$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.36per pick | 36cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6834…2bd2backed Yes | 41c | 240.03$99 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99 | 29 | 55.2%16 W · 13 L | -1.4wins | -0.05per pick | 60cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe7e1…bb47backed Yes | 24c | 169.23$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 15 | 73.3%11 W · 4 L | +2.4wins | +0.16per pick | 57cpaid | +29.9%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x3c50…472fbacked Yes | 27c | 132.94$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.53 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.24per pick | 24cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8fc0…5cdbbacked Yes | 28c | 111.11$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.11 | 27 | 51.9%14 W · 13 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1d00…d499backed No | 72c | 111.11$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.11 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.3wins | +0.07per pick | 43cpaid | -16.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc581…2f24backed No | 50c | 109$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54.5 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.6wins | +0.11per pick | 49cpaid | +22.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x903c…a673backed Yes | 50c | 109$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54.5 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -0.6wins | -0.10per pick | 43cpaid | -35.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x93c6…d9dbbacked Yes | 19c | 100$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.5 | 16 | 18.8%3 W · 13 L | -1.1wins | -0.07per pick | 26cpaid | -45.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7167…8ea3backed Yes | 11c | 100$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.9wins | -0.23per pick | 23cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x40ba…2063backed Yes | 19c | 100$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | +0.4wins | +0.04per pick | 36cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe10b…5fe3backed Yes | 19c | 85$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.15 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | 0.0wins | +0.01per pick | 33cpaid | -29.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9593…5432backed No | 80c | 81.25$65 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.25 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +1.4wins | +0.20per pick | 51cpaid | +32.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdbed…13a9backed Yes | 28c | 71.43$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -2.5wins | -0.35per pick | 64cpaid | -63.3%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x4c03…0cc1backed Yes | 25c | 56.47$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.12 | 153 | 28.8%44 W · 109 L | -4.0wins | -0.03per pick | 31cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbad6…9963backed No | 77c | 45.53$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.53 | 22 | 54.5%12 W · 10 L | -1.6wins | -0.07per pick | 62cpaid | -12.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0d77…058dbacked No | 79c | 37.97$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.97 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | +0.2wins | +0.03per pick | 37cpaid | -42.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xeb9c…0d7cbacked No | 79c | 25.32$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.32 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.21per pick | 79cpaid | +26.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Premier League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 7 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Everton be relegated?this page
- Will Ipswich Town be relegated?Yes won
- Will Leicester City be relegated?Yes won
- Will Manchester City be relegated?No won
- Will Nottingham Forest be relegated?No won
- Will Southampton be relegated?Yes won
- Will Wolverhampton be relegated?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.