Premier League · resolved market
Will Leicester City be relegated?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x45876ac8b2da1131f9536472b0895d37fb61dc96aa18bc17e5e3386e61de9339
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Premier Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $536,536
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $465,757
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $536,536 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 196 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Premier League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Premier League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xa2f1…2d22backed No | 0c | 21,600$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.6 | 21 | 42.9%9 W · 12 L | -1.6wins | -0.08per pick | 51cpaid | -29%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x51fd…4272backed No | 12c | 15,505$1,883 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,883.01 | 208 | 19.2%40 W · 168 L | -7.7wins | -0.04per pick | 23cpaid | -29.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0dfa…c0e3backed No | 0c | 8,000$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 50 | 0%0 W · 50 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe5c0…3f84backed Yes | 58c | 5,815$3,383 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,432.15 | 35 | 51.4%18 W · 17 L | +1.3wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x53d2…0c3fbacked Yes | 66c | 5,716$3,795 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,921.35 | 15 | 66.7%10 W · 5 L | +1.9wins | +0.13per pick | 54cpaid | +11.2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x578d…fbb3backed No | 41c | 5,689$2,340 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,340 | 47 | 66%31 W · 16 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 65cpaid | +3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcc81…cf78backed Yes | 56c | 2,000$1,120 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$880 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.44per pick | 56cpaid | +78.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5aa6…968dbacked No | 44c | 2,000$880 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$880 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.44per pick | 44cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa4fb…4fd8backed No | 44c | 2,000$880 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$880 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.44per pick | 44cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x16e8…c9fbbacked Yes | 56c | 2,000$1,120 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$880 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.44per pick | 56cpaid | +78.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3261…da8cbacked No | 50c | 1,970$985 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$985 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.3wins | -0.63per pick | 63cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3e59…52dcbacked Yes | 50c | 1,970$985 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$985 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.50per pick | 50cpaid | +100%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcc2e…2358backed No | 43c | 1,535$660 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$660.16 | 74 | 47.3%35 W · 39 L | +1.9wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb852…ac8ebacked Yes | 56c | 1,508$844 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$663.52 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe242…142fbacked No | 44c | 1,508$664 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$663.52 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -20.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1a2b…8f6dbacked No | 44c | 1,478$650 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$650.32 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -20.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3376…30c2backed Yes | 56c | 1,478$828 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$650.32 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcf95…7865backed No | 41c | 1,152$468 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$467.96 | 75 | 40%30 W · 45 L | +1.2wins | +0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf0b0…8cabbacked No | 33c | 1,138$377 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$377.46 | 660 | 31.2%206 W · 454 L | -13.0wins | -0.02per pick | 33cpaid | -23.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x33bc…37dcbacked Yes | 80c | 1,060$848 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$212.07 | 200 | 40.5%81 W · 119 L | -4.5wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5452…d448backed Yes | 72c | 1,053$761 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$292.79 | 25 | 40%10 W · 15 L | +1.3wins | +0.05per pick | 35cpaid | -20.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfec2…d3a5backed No | 6c | 936.72$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54.99 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.06per pick | 6cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4c03…0cc1backed Yes | 55c | 819.65$452 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$367.65 | 153 | 28.8%44 W · 109 L | -4.0wins | -0.03per pick | 31cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe87a…6d01backed Yes | 60c | 720.99$435 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$285.94 | 66 | 30.3%20 W · 46 L | -6.5wins | -0.10per pick | 40cpaid | -30.7%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xb113…8bc6backed Yes | 71c | 640.97$458 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$183.43 | 215 | 48.8%105 W · 110 L | -5.8wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x74f1…16a8backed Yes | 77c | 560.2$431 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$129.43 | 253 | 29.2%74 W · 179 L | +11.3wins | +0.04per pick | 25cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8837…f23abacked No | 30c | 527.94$160 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$160.2 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -1.1wins | -0.21per pick | 21cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf1d5…5dc0backed Yes | 58c | 513.89$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$213.89 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.06per pick | 60cpaid | +19.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x420b…c128backed No | 26c | 414.4$108 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$108 | 49 | 26.5%13 W · 36 L | -1.1wins | -0.02per pick | 29cpaid | +12.1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1dbd…af92backed Yes | 51c | 391.98$198 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$193.85 | 86 | 52.3%45 W · 41 L | +2.1wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa40d…ea7abacked Yes | 71c | 357.45$253 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$104.95 | 57 | 12.3%7 W · 50 L | +1.2wins | +0.02per pick | 10cpaid | -39.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x53ec…df91backed Yes | 73c | 356.53$259 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$97.52 | 38 | 44.7%17 W · 21 L | +1.4wins | +0.04per pick | 41cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc21d…4ed8backed No | 51c | 356.43$180 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$180.22 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | +1.4wins | +0.14per pick | 36cpaid | +106.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4337…8882backed No | 42c | 333.01$140 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$139.86 | 168 | 48.8%82 W · 86 L | +9.5wins | +0.06per pick | 43cpaid | +6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5f41…83f5backed Yes | 57c | 300.01$172 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$128.3 | 73 | 43.8%32 W · 41 L | +2.6wins | +0.04per pick | 40cpaid | -11.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdb82…eeb9backed Yes | 42c | 300$126 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$174 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.07per pick | 41cpaid | -20.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5233…30f9backed No | 58c | 300$174 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$174 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.09per pick | 59cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x01b1…88ffbacked No | 58c | 300$174 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$174 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.07per pick | 59cpaid | +11.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x270e…81b6backed Yes | 42c | 300$126 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$174 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.09per pick | 41cpaid | +19%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2a2c…94c9backed No | 58c | 300$174 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$174 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.07per pick | 60cpaid | +10.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xccad…d877backed Yes | 42c | 300$126 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$174 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.07per pick | 40cpaid | -20.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb293…cb90backed No | 7c | 251.19$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.57 | 13 | 0%0 W · 13 L | -1.2wins | -0.09per pick | 9cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0363…d67abacked No | 8c | 250$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 26 | 34.6%9 W · 17 L | +0.7wins | +0.03per pick | 32cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xac61…f5f7backed No | 28c | 250$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -1.2wins | -0.24per pick | 24cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x21ff…0d71backed No | 24c | 235.65$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57.02 | 108 | 50%54 W · 54 L | +1.3wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -16.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x73d3…3b1ebacked No | 44c | 220$97 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96.8 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.44per pick | 44cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe54f…ea9bbacked Yes | 56c | 220$123 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$96.8 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.44per pick | 56cpaid | +78.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7705…a442backed No | 24c | 216.13$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.78 | 196 | 32.7%64 W · 132 L | +2.8wins | +0.01per pick | 31cpaid | +10.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1af9…0941backed No | 43c | 212$91 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$91.16 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.8wins | -0.40per pick | 40cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5d95…778bbacked Yes | 57c | 212$121 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$91.16 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.8wins | +0.40per pick | 60cpaid | +67.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe783…aa3abacked Yes | 69c | 207$143 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$64.27 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.6wins | +0.14per pick | 36cpaid | -14.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3883…6973backed No | 50c | 205$104 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$103.51 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.5wins | +0.14per pick | 36cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfe3a…c574backed Yes | 50c | 205$101 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$103.51 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.5wins | -0.14per pick | 39cpaid | -49.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5e4f…1c75backed Yes | 42c | 200$84 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$116 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.4wins | +0.46per pick | 54cpaid | +89.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xdb9a…8e4ebacked No | 58c | 200$116 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$116 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.07per pick | 60cpaid | +10.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x37b3…9407backed No | 58c | 200$116 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$116 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.19per pick | 52cpaid | -44.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1a25…295bbacked Yes | 42c | 200$84 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$116 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.6wins | +0.19per pick | 48cpaid | +34%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x586c…bb1dbacked Yes | 42c | 200$84 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$116 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.6wins | +0.19per pick | 47cpaid | +34.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4261…dc23backed No | 58c | 200$116 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$116 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.4wins | -0.46per pick | 46cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe3c1…c804backed Yes | 42c | 200$84 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$116 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.07per pick | 40cpaid | -20.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe3e1…463ebacked No | 58c | 200$116 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$116 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.19per pick | 53cpaid | -44.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfe91…70ffbacked No | 43c | 195.59$85 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$84.89 | 108 | 48.1%52 W · 56 L | +1.4wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +28.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9977…3020backed No | 25c | 191.32$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.82 | 32 | 34.4%11 W · 21 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -40.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x069f…c4d2backed Yes | 56c | 191$107 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$84.04 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.8wins | +0.40per pick | 60cpaid | +68.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2726…0465backed No | 44c | 191$84 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$84.04 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.44per pick | 44cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x16cb…2704backed Yes | 61c | 185$113 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$72.1 | 907 | 51.3%465 W · 442 L | -1.2wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xed3d…7b9dbacked Yes | 42c | 180$76 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$104.4 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.6wins | +0.19per pick | 48cpaid | +34.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x559b…9cddbacked No | 58c | 180$104 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$104.4 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.19per pick | 52cpaid | -43.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x22ff…458bbacked Yes | 56c | 176.99$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$76.99 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +1.2wins | +0.24per pick | 56cpaid | +26.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc57d…12b5backed No | 29c | 163.67$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.33 | 29 | 51.7%15 W · 14 L | +1.1wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2370…0e10backed No | 53c | 147.94$78 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$78.15 | 42 | 11.9%5 W · 37 L | -0.7wins | -0.02per pick | 14cpaid | -67.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdc9e…45e0backed Yes | 49c | 133.46$65 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$68.46 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x10b3…9a76backed Yes | 52c | 121$63 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$57.64 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4b89…53c9backed No | 44c | 119.06$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.78 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -1.9wins | -0.32per pick | 48cpaid | -74.8%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0d90…85aabacked No | 45c | 106.78$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.35 | 13 | 38.5%5 W · 8 L | -1.1wins | -0.08per pick | 47cpaid | -24.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1180…bfd5backed No | 47c | 106.38$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 16 | 50%8 W · 8 L | -0.6wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -12.2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3c4b…6916backed No | 47c | 106.33$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.11per pick | 45cpaid | +19%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x71cd…912dbacked No | 60c | 101.85$61 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$61.36 | 197 | 43.7%86 W · 111 L | +32.4wins | +0.16per pick | 27cpaid | +142.5%equal weight | 66+0.15 edge/pick |
| 0x9641…7cfabacked No | 43c | 101$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.43 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.43per pick | 43cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7b67…e554backed Yes | 57c | 101$58 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.43 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.43per pick | 57cpaid | +75.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc581…2f24backed No | 45c | 101$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.45 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.6wins | +0.11per pick | 49cpaid | +22.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x903c…a673backed Yes | 55c | 101$56 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45.45 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -0.6wins | -0.10per pick | 43cpaid | -35.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe3fe…978fbacked Yes | 72c | 100$72 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.8 | 26 | 84.6%22 W · 4 L | +4.3wins | +0.17per pick | 68cpaid | +24.9%equal weight | 59+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xaeed…7b71backed Yes | 42c | 100$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.58per pick | 42cpaid | +138.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4a40…f737backed No | 58c | 100$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.58per pick | 58cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x40ba…2063backed No | 47c | 100$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | +0.4wins | +0.04per pick | 36cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdfaa…79a7backed No | 29c | 99.51$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.52 | 26 | 38.5%10 W · 16 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 38cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe6bf…1ceabacked No | 43c | 99$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.57 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.43per pick | 43cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbd97…f518backed Yes | 57c | 99$56 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.57 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.43per pick | 57cpaid | +75.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x06da…e446backed Yes | 56c | 97$54 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.68 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.44per pick | 56cpaid | +78.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3a21…b164backed No | 44c | 97$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.68 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.44per pick | 44cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6c82…6150backed No | 34c | 92.32$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.72 | 297 | 51.9%154 W · 143 L | -1.8wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf903…3707backed No | 44c | 88$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.72 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.44per pick | 44cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x36a8…9ec5backed Yes | 56c | 88$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.72 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.44per pick | 56cpaid | +78.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe10b…5fe3backed Yes | 50c | 84.98$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.49 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | 0.0wins | +0.01per pick | 33cpaid | -29.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1c38…4756backed Yes | 53c | 83$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.98 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.9wins | +0.47per pick | 53cpaid | +90.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xea15…6757backed No | 47c | 83$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.4 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1679…8527backed No | 47c | 83$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.4 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.0wins | -0.48per pick | 48cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd431…2fd7backed No | 39c | 82.01$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.93 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x40c5…b4dfbacked Yes | 54c | 82$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.13 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.9wins | +0.47per pick | 53cpaid | +89.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Premier League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 7 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Leicester City be relegated?this page
- Will Everton be relegated?No won
- Will Ipswich Town be relegated?Yes won
- Will Manchester City be relegated?No won
- Will Nottingham Forest be relegated?No won
- Will Southampton be relegated?Yes won
- Will Wolverhampton be relegated?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.