TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x9977…3020

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
185
Categories scored
22
Categories below 50
10

Best Category: Weather, grading 63 out of 100 (+0.12 per pick).

Best Category Weather at 63 out of 100; worst Serie A at 45.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
Weather Inactivelast resolved May 28, 2026, EDT5853.4%31 W · 27 L+9.8wins+0.17per pick37cpaid+188.3%equal weight63+0.12 edge/pick
Weather — the 58 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Weather, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will the highest temperature in London be 24°C on May 27?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$38Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 28, 2026, EDT+10,423.9%+$4,009.54
Will the highest temperature in Paris be 18°C on May 10?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$437Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 10, 2026, EDT+50.8%+$222.37
Will the highest temperature in London be 22°C on May 2?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$44Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 2, 2026, EDT+28.7%+$12.71
Will the highest temperature in London be 16°C on April 18?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$794Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 18, 2026, EDT+144.4%+$1,146.66
Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 22°C on April 7?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$81Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 7, 2026, EDT+35.3%+$28.74
Will the highest temperature in London be 14°C on April 5?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$66Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$66.17
Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 16°C on March 26?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$120Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 26, 2026, EDT+44.6%+$53.53
Will the highest temperature in London be 8°C on February 15?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$886Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 15, 2026, EST+152.1%+$1,347.96
Will the highest temperature in London be 8°C or higher on January 8?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$1,116Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 8, 2026, EST+263.2%+$2,937.31
Will the highest temperature in London be between 56-57°F on December 8?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$39Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 8, 2025, EST+159.1%+$61.4
Will the highest temperature in London be 50°F or higher on November 30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$36Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 30, 2025, EST-100%-$35.68
Will the highest temperature in London be between 59-60°F on November 27?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$31Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 27, 2025, EST-100%-$30.73
Will the highest temperature in London be 61°F or higher on November 27?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 27, 2025, EST-100%-$13
Will the highest temperature in London be between 58-59°F on November 14?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$143Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 14, 2025, EST-100%-$142.76
Will the highest temperature in London be between 56-57°F on November 14?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$258Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 14, 2025, EST+205.4%+$529.95
Will the highest temperature in London be between 60-61°F on November 13?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$75Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 13, 2025, EST-100%-$74.91
Will the highest temperature in London be between 61-62°F on November 1?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$32Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 1, 2025, EDT+50.5%+$16.37
Will the highest temperature in London be between 59-60°F on November 1?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$372Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 31, 2025, EDT+40.2%+$149.54
Will the highest temperature in London be 63°F or higher on October 20?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 20, 2025, EDT-100%-$12.88
Will the highest temperature in London be 59°F or below on October 9?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$1,044Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 9, 2025, EDT+163.9%+$1,710.89
Will the highest temperature in London be between 62-63°F on October 1?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 1, 2025, EDT-100%-$11.07
Will the highest temperature in London be between 63-64°F on September 29?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 29, 2025, EDT-100%-$14.56
Will the highest temperature in London be between 69-70°F on September 20?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 20, 2025, EDT-100%-$17.23
Will the highest temperature in London be between 68-69°F on September 10?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 10, 2025, EDT-100%-$15.95
Will the highest temperature in London be between 68-69°F on September 3?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$125Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 3, 2025, EDT+116%+$145
Showing 25 of 58 picks, newest first.
Premier League Inactivelast resolved Apr 18, 2026, EDT3234.4%11 W · 21 L-0.4wins-0.01per pick36cpaid-40.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Premier League — the 32 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Premier League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Tottenham Hotspur FC leading at halftime?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$14Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 18, 2026, EDT+26.8%+$3.76
Will Brentford FC win on 2026-04-18?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$21,000Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$21,000
Will Chelsea FC win on 2026-04-12?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$16,474Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 12, 2026, EDT+28.2%+$4,650.03
Will Chelsea FC vs. Manchester City FC end in a draw?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$1,402Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 12, 2026, EDT+33.3%+$467.49
Will Leeds United FC win on 2026-04-04?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$3,748Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 5, 2026, EDT+48%+$1,800.55
Will Manchester United FC win on 2026-03-20?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$5,733Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 20, 2026, EDT+75.1%+$4,305
Will AFC Bournemouth vs. Manchester United FC end in a draw?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$401Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$400.83
Will Tottenham Hotspur FC win on 2026-03-05?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$331Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 5, 2026, EST-100%-$330.69
Will Erling Haaland be the top goalscorer in the EPL?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$103Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 25, 2025, EDT-100%-$102.6
Will Mohamed Salah be the top goalscorer in the EPL?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$341Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 25, 2025, EDT+96.3%+$328.75
Will Newcastle United finish in the top 4 of EPL?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$410Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 25, 2025, EDT+82.8%+$339.04
Will Nottingham Forest finish in the top 4 of EPL?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$972Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 25, 2025, EDT+40.4%+$392.42
Will Chelsea finish in the top 4 of the EPL?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$463Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 25, 2025, EDT-100%-$462.85
Will Manchester City finish in the top 4 of the EPL?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$380Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 25, 2025, EDT-100%-$379.78
Arsenal wins the Premier League?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$2,881Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 27, 2025, EDT-100%-$2,881.15
Liverpool wins the Premier League?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$19,373Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 27, 2025, EDT+35.1%+$6,792.4
Will Ipswich Town be relegated?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$98Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 26, 2025, EDT-100%-$97.92
Will Leicester City be relegated?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$48Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 20, 2025, EDT-100%-$47.82
Will Everton be relegated?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$175Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 20, 2025, EDT-100%-$174.59
Manchester City wins the Premier League?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$471Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 13, 2025, EDT-100%-$470.99
Chelsea wins the Premier League?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$415Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 13, 2025, EDT-100%-$415.2
Will Southampton be relegated?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$77Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 6, 2025, EDT-100%-$77.23
Will Newcastle United win the 2024 Carabao Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$272Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 16, 2025, EDT+258%+$702.21
Will Liverpool win the 2024 Carabao Cup?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$934Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 16, 2025, EDT+92.4%+$862.42
Will Manchester City be relegated?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$120Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 15, 2025, EDT-100%-$120.43
Showing 25 of 32 picks, newest first.
World Politics Inactivelast resolved Feb 26, 2026, EST1612.5%2 W · 14 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick13cpaid-83.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
World Politics — the 16 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in World Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will António José Seguro win the second round by 40–50%?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$2,006Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 26, 2026, EST+28.2%+$565.18
Will turnout in the second round of the 2026 Portuguese presidential election be between 52% and 54%?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$405Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 26, 2026, EST-100%-$404.62
Will Catherine Connolly win by 15–20%?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 26, 2025, EDT-100%-$10.27
Will Heather Humphreys win the Irish Presidential Election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$46Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 25, 2025, EDT-100%-$46.4
Will Na Kyung-won be elected the next president of South Korea?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 3, 2025, EDT-100%-$20
Will Kim Kyoung-soo be elected the next president of South Korea?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 3, 2025, EDT-100%-$18
Will Kim Boo-kyum be elected the next president of South Korea?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 3, 2025, EDT-100%-$20
Will Lee Nak-yon be elected the next president of South Korea?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 3, 2025, EDT-100%-$20
Will Cho Kuk be elected the next president of South Korea?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 3, 2025, EDT-100%-$20
Will Won Hee-ryong be elected the next president of South Korea?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 3, 2025, EDT-100%-$19
Will Pedro Nuno Santos be the next Prime Minister of Portugal after the 2025 election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$143Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 20, 2025, EDT-100%-$143.15
Will the Liberal Initiative win the most seats in the 2025 Portuguese legislative election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$23Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 19, 2025, EDT-100%-$23.35
Will the Left Bloc win the most seats in the 2025 Portuguese legislative election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$24Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 19, 2025, EDT-100%-$23.81
Will the Democratic Alliance win the most seats in the 2025 Portuguese legislative election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$7,643Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 19, 2025, EDT+30.2%+$2,311.6
Will the People-Animals-Nature Party win the most seats in the 2025 Portuguese legislative election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 19, 2025, EDT-100%-$24.89
Will Călin Georgescu win the Romanian presidential election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$57Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 19, 2025, EDT-100%-$56.55
All 16 picks, newest first.
Champions League Inactivelast resolved May 30, 2026, EDT1464.3%9 W · 5 L+3.3wins+0.23per pick41cpaid+30.1%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
Champions League — the 14 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Champions League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Arsenal win the 2025–26 Champions League?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$7,125Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 30, 2026, EDT+42.1%+$3,000.38
Will PSG win the 2025–26 Champions League?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$37,144Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 30, 2026, EDT+207.9%+$77,217.89
Will Bayern Munich win the 2025–26 Champions League?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$78,972Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 6, 2026, EDT+44%+$34,736.18
Will FC Bayern München vs. Real Madrid CF end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$646Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$645.57
Will Liverpool win the 2025–26 Champions League?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$27Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$26.91
Will Club Atlético de Madrid vs. FC Barcelona end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$1,200Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,199.84
Will Paris Saint-Germain win the UEFA Champions League?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$410Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 31, 2025, EDT+272.1%+$1,115.01
Champions League Final: PSG vs. Inter Milanbacked PSG · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$1,062Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 31, 2025, EDT+75.4%+$801.23
Will Barcelona win the UEFA Champions League?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$4,160Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 6, 2025, EDT+28.5%+$1,186.03
Will Paris Saint-Germain or Liverpool advance in the UCL Round of 16?backed PSG · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$111Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 11, 2025, EDT+170.3%+$189
Will Benfica or FC Barcelona advance in the UCL Round of 16?backed Benfica · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$109Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 11, 2025, EDT-100%-$108.95
Will Paris Saint-Germain advance to the Round of 16 in the 2024-25 UEFA Champions League?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$32Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 19, 2025, EST-100%-$31.5
Will the match between Sporting CP and Arsenal end in a draw?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$55Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 26, 2024, EST+38.9%+$21.28
Will Sporting CP beat Arsenal?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$39Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 26, 2024, EST+42.9%+$16.5
All 14 picks, newest first.
Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Jul 19, 2026, EDT1435.7%5 W · 9 L-0.9wins-0.06per pick42cpaid-37.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 14 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Europe (UEFA) win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$106Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT+26.6%+$28.14
Will a Goal be Scored During 1-15 Minute?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$18
World Cup Finals: Own Goal Scored?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$17.83
England vs. Argentina: O/U 2.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$51Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$51.31
Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$1,941Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,941.46
Will Spain finish 3rd place in the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$403Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 14, 2026, EDT+49.3%+$198.43
Will Morocco win on 2026-07-09?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$375Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$375.32
Belgium vs. Senegal: O/U 2.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$160Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$160
Scotland vs. Brazil: Both Teams to Score in First Halfbacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$6,148Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$6,148.14
Scotland vs. Brazil: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$5,747Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$5,746.61
Will Denmark win on 2026-06-07?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$49.53
Will Portugal win the UEFA Nations League?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$248Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 8, 2025, EDT+47%+$116.6
Will Germany beat France?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$2,207Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 8, 2025, EDT+74.6%+$1,646.13
Will France beat Germany?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$1,168Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 8, 2025, EDT+175.5%+$2,050.43
All 14 picks, newest first.
La Liga Inactivelast resolved May 10, 2026, EDT1338.5%5 W · 8 L-0.9wins-0.07per pick45cpaid-28.9%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
La Liga — the 13 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in La Liga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
FC Barcelona vs. Real Madrid CF: Both Teams to Scorebacked No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$126Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 10, 2026, EDT+150%+$188.5
Will Real Madrid win the 2025–26 La Liga?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$1,967Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,966.86
Will Villarreal CF win on 2026-04-12?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$8,000Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$8,000
Will Real Oviedo win on 2026-04-12?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$961Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$961
Will RCD Mallorca vs. Rayo Vallecano de Madrid end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$4,000Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$4,000
Will Real Betis Balompié win on 2026-04-12?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$150Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 12, 2026, EDT+33.3%+$50
Will CA Osasuna vs. Real Betis Balompié end in a draw?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$26Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$25.97
Will Barcelona win La Liga?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$13,689Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 15, 2025, EDT+97.5%+$13,345.39
Will Real Madrid win La Liga?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$5,986Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 15, 2025, EDT-100%-$5,985.55
Will Atletico Madrid win La Liga?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$654Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 11, 2025, EDT-100%-$653.91
Will Atletico Madrid beat Barcelona?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$32Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 21, 2024, EST-100%-$31.5
Will Barcelona beat Atletico Madrid?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$73Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 21, 2024, EST+108.3%+$79.21
Will the match between Barcelona and Atletico Madrid end in a draw?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$78Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 21, 2024, EST+35.1%+$27.3
All 13 picks, newest first.
Middle East Inactivelast resolved Sep 1, 2025, EDT50%0 W · 5 L-0.6wins-0.13per pick13cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Middle East — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Middle East, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Us Politics Inactivelast resolved Aug 22, 2025, EDT425%1 W · 3 L+0.8wins+0.19per pick6cpaid+41.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
Us Politics — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Us Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Tweets Inactivelast resolved Feb 12, 2025, EST366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.7wins+0.25per pick42cpaid+11.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
Tweets — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tweets, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Tennis Inactivelast resolved Jun 8, 2025, EDT366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.6wins+0.21per pick45cpaid-1.8%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
Tennis — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tennis, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Other European Leagues Inactivelast resolved Apr 29, 2026, EDT366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.4wins+0.14per pick53cpaid+35.4%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
Other European Leagues — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Other European Leagues, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Sporting CP win on 2026-04-29?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$6,753Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 29, 2026, EDT+173.8%+$11,733.62
Will Vitória SC vs. FC Alverca end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$717Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 28, 2026, EST+32.4%+$232.22
Will Sporting CP beat FC Porto?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$952Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 7, 2025, EST-100%-$951.85
All 3 picks, newest first.
F1 Inactivelast resolved Dec 7, 2025, EST333.3%1 W · 2 L+0.1wins+0.02per pick31cpaid-56.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
F1 — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in F1, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Serie A Inactivelast resolved Apr 12, 2026, EDT30%0 W · 3 L-1.3wins-0.43per pick43cpaid-100%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
Serie A — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Serie A, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Movies Inactivelast resolved Mar 16, 2026, EDT2100%2 W · 0 L+0.7wins+0.36per pick64cpaid+65.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
Movies — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Movies, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Bundesliga Inactivelast resolved Apr 12, 2026, EDT250%1 W · 1 L+0.2wins+0.12per pick38cpaid-23.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Bundesliga — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Bundesliga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will 1. FSV Mainz 05 win on 2026-04-12?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$9,800Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 12, 2026, EDT+53.1%+$5,200
Will 1. FC Köln win on 2026-04-12?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$33Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$32.83
All 2 picks, newest first.
Music Inactivelast resolved May 18, 2025, EDT250%1 W · 1 L+0.1wins+0.07per pick43cpaid-36.7%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
Music — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Music, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Finland win Eurovision 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$473Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 18, 2025, EDT-100%-$472.85
Will Sweden win Eurovision 2025?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$130Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 18, 2025, EDT+26.6%+$34.64
All 2 picks, newest first.
Ukraine Inactivelast resolved Jul 1, 2025, EDT20%0 W · 2 L-0.1wins-0.03per pick3cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Ukraine — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ukraine, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Putin meet with Zelenskyy before July?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2025, EDT-100%-$49.72
Will Zelenskyy apologize to Trump by Sunday?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$35Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 3, 2025, EST-100%-$35.06
All 2 picks, newest first.
Europa Conference Leaguelast resolved Aug 13, 2026, EDT20%0 W · 2 L-0.8wins-0.38per pick38cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
Europa Conference League — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Europa Conference League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Token Launches Inactivelast resolved Jan 18, 2025, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.28per pick72cpaid+39.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Token Launches — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Token Launches, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will $TRUMP hit $25B FDV by Sunday?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$567Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 18, 2025, EST+39.3%+$223.11
All 1 picks, newest first.
Us Midterms Inactivelast resolved Jan 1, 2026, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.2wins+0.20per pick80cpaid+25%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Us Midterms — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Us Midterms, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Senate passes bill to purchase 1m Bitcoin in 2025?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$16Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST+25%+$4
All 1 picks, newest first.
AI Inactivelast resolved Jan 1, 2025, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.06per pick6cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
AI — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in AI, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Elon Musk settle lawsuit with OpenAI before 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2025, EST-100%-$13.06
All 1 picks, newest first.
NHL Inactivelast resolved Apr 11, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.20per pick20cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
NHL — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NHL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Hurricanes vs. Utahbacked Utah · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$327Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$327.34
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.