Fifa International · resolved market
Will Germany beat France?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xb21a7ab2d80daff88b23d3bd745d2b6c09417bc2c37b6b3c4a34bbf90ad95917
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $79,060
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $83,690
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $79,060 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 108 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Fifa International | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x9caf…94dcbacked Yes | 21c | 9,408$1,989 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,989.09 | 94 | 40.4%38 W · 56 L | -1.0wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -16.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3693…d79ebacked Yes | 44c | 8,694$3,869 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,868.82 | 19 | 26.3%5 W · 14 L | +0.6wins | +0.03per pick | 23cpaid | -15.9%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2765…7ee4backed No | 79c | 7,217$5,667 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,550.7 | 70 | 51.4%36 W · 34 L | +6.4wins | +0.09per pick | 42cpaid | +17%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x325f…d8acbacked No | 55c | 5,325$2,940 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,385.12 | 52 | 51.9%27 W · 25 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x94a1…ec2fbacked No | 73c | 4,657$3,394 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,262.72 | 17 | 47.1%8 W · 9 L | -2.1wins | -0.12per pick | 59cpaid | -17.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xed61…9aa3backed Yes | 22c | 4,469$996 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$996.1 | 88 | 55.7%49 W · 39 L | +9.0wins | +0.10per pick | 45cpaid | +27.7%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x9b97…5e12backed No | 60c | 4,182$2,491 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,691.67 | 21 | 66.7%14 W · 7 L | +4.8wins | +0.23per pick | 44cpaid | +70.8%equal weight | 62+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x9977…3020backed No | 57c | 3,853$2,207 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,646.13 | 14 | 35.7%5 W · 9 L | -0.9wins | -0.06per pick | 42cpaid | -37.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb786…b18dbacked No | 54c | 3,744$2,022 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,722.28 | 173 | 45.7%79 W · 94 L | -0.9wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcd59…c3a5backed Yes | 40c | 2,050$820 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$820 | 9 | 22.2%2 W · 7 L | -2.2wins | -0.25per pick | 47cpaid | -56.1%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x62a8…97d0backed Yes | 39c | 1,803$695 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$695.18 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.0wins | -0.51per pick | 51cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf520…0637backed No | 69c | 1,581$1,091 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$489.07 | 79 | 48.1%38 W · 41 L | -0.8wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x29c0…efaabacked Yes | 38c | 1,522$581 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$581.13 | 107 | 48.6%52 W · 55 L | +3.0wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdbb9…ed8dbacked Yes | 37c | 1,477$542 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$542.09 | 89 | 60.7%54 W · 35 L | +7.2wins | +0.08per pick | 53cpaid | +8.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8889…a9d1backed No | 62c | 1,244$775 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$469.01 | 31 | 54.8%17 W · 14 L | +0.5wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaf88…c6f6backed No | 60c | 1,000$600 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$400 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.8wins | +0.42per pick | 58cpaid | +72.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x480d…f219backed No | 65c | 1,000$645 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$354.63 | 102 | 63.7%65 W · 37 L | +11.7wins | +0.11per pick | 52cpaid | +24.8%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x3d75…a73abacked Yes | 40c | 995$398 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$398 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.2wins | +0.06per pick | 44cpaid | +47.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe01a…445ebacked No | 60c | 945$567 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$378 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.34per pick | 66cpaid | +52.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x51e6…9fe4backed Yes | 40c | 925$370 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$370 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.06per pick | 56cpaid | -30.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb8bf…9281backed No | 60c | 865$519 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$346 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.04per pick | 64cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3e8e…a0bdbacked Yes | 6c | 834.32$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.22 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | +0.4wins | +0.05per pick | 33cpaid | +29.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcf83…1007backed Yes | 40c | 820$328 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$328 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x02c9…f79bbacked Yes | 40c | 815$326 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$326 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.4wins | -0.46per pick | 46cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xdeb3…5e73backed No | 62c | 803.1$498 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$305.18 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.9wins | -0.31per pick | 65cpaid | -46.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x47fb…74d6backed Yes | 22c | 748.26$161 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$161 | 55 | 18.2%10 W · 45 L | -1.4wins | -0.03per pick | 21cpaid | -27.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf6f0…7dcebacked Yes | 40c | 664.77$263 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$263 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.9wins | -0.47per pick | 47cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6332…6128backed No | 64c | 625$400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$225 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfba6…375cbacked Yes | 37c | 619.98$230 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$229.79 | 24 | 66.7%16 W · 8 L | +2.9wins | +0.12per pick | 54cpaid | +22%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc8b4…f05dbacked No | 59c | 600$354 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$246 | 124 | 51.6%64 W · 60 L | +4.5wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +7.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x78a6…a804backed No | 60c | 555$333 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$222 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.14per pick | 64cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3505…f7a3backed No | 63c | 515.84$325 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$190.86 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.0wins | +0.33per pick | 67cpaid | +50.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7f90…fb00backed Yes | 25c | 504.1$129 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$128.51 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.25per pick | 25cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x71c1…e358backed Yes | 20c | 500$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 104 | 31.7%33 W · 71 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 32cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xedc0…1b66backed Yes | 9c | 500$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45 | 11 | 63.6%7 W · 4 L | +3.5wins | +0.32per pick | 32cpaid | +103.6%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x6f40…eb64backed Yes | 40c | 500$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 98 | 38.8%38 W · 60 L | +3.0wins | +0.03per pick | 36cpaid | +16.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3fd4…db03backed Yes | 3c | 500$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | +0.5wins | +0.07per pick | 8cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4f36…4e9cbacked Yes | 10c | 500$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -1.4wins | -0.34per pick | 34cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc9c8…44fbbacked No | 60c | 500$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$200 | 22 | 50%11 W · 11 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -12.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x16cb…2704backed No | 61c | 479.74$291 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$189.23 | 162 | 44.4%72 W · 90 L | -1.7wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8e58…205abacked Yes | 22c | 474.66$104 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$104 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.6wins | -0.21per pick | 21cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6562…4e48backed No | 63c | 411.7$260 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$151.7 | 254 | 55.9%142 W · 112 L | -10.0wins | -0.04per pick | 60cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6f19…b9ffbacked No | 60c | 282.63$169 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$113.36 | 169 | 46.2%78 W · 91 L | +7.8wins | +0.05per pick | 42cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xcced…9ffebacked No | 69c | 274.29$190 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$84.74 | 17 | 41.2%7 W · 10 L | -1.2wins | -0.07per pick | 48cpaid | -31.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc67d…d885backed No | 65c | 269.37$175 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$94.34 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.08per pick | 58cpaid | -23.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9320…95ddbacked No | 80c | 237$190 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.4 | 14 | 71.4%10 W · 4 L | +2.5wins | +0.18per pick | 53cpaid | +26.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x29de…02aabacked Yes | 9c | 218.2$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 13 | 23.1%3 W · 10 L | -2.2wins | -0.17per pick | 40cpaid | -42.9%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x3a4f…829ebacked No | 79c | 203.31$161 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.63 | 50 | 40%20 W · 30 L | -2.6wins | -0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -22.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0591…780bbacked No | 61c | 200$122 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$78 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.39per pick | 61cpaid | +63.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3c6a…a621backed No | 60c | 200$120 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$80 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.40per pick | 60cpaid | +66.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd469…6255backed Yes | 41c | 197.56$81 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$81 | 21 | 52.4%11 W · 10 L | +1.5wins | +0.07per pick | 45cpaid | +12.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf8d8…8d55backed No | 61c | 189.18$116 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$72.92 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.9wins | +0.21per pick | 29cpaid | +93.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9336…1e99backed No | 60c | 160$96 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$64 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.40per pick | 60cpaid | +66.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdc4b…5a92backed No | 63c | 158.09$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58.09 | 115 | 54.8%63 W · 52 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | +8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8b7e…6a9fbacked No | 64c | 156.25$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.25 | 79 | 50.6%40 W · 39 L | -3.3wins | -0.04per pick | 55cpaid | -15.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9af8…07ccbacked Yes | 40c | 150$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.14per pick | 48cpaid | -57.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9304…f693backed Yes | 38c | 148.11$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56.02 | 20 | 25%5 W · 15 L | -2.0wins | -0.10per pick | 35cpaid | -55.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc6c9…bb9ebacked No | 77c | 138$106 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.72 | 12 | 50%6 W · 6 L | -0.3wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xeaf6…8e9abacked Yes | 30c | 137$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.69 | 48 | 35.4%17 W · 31 L | +3.5wins | +0.07per pick | 28cpaid | +28.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x46c9…871bbacked No | 60c | 135$81 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.6wins | +0.21per pick | 46cpaid | +56.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc646…27fdbacked No | 61c | 135$82 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.65 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.39per pick | 61cpaid | +63.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa8f3…e544backed Yes | 39c | 130$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.7 | 200 | 36%72 W · 128 L | -9.0wins | -0.04per pick | 40cpaid | -20.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5845…1c4ebacked Yes | 40c | 130$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.1wins | -0.54per pick | 54cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5327…3b80backed Yes | 40c | 127.93$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.17 | 11 | 27.3%3 W · 8 L | -1.6wins | -0.15per pick | 42cpaid | -35%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2728…4f96backed Yes | 20c | 125$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 185 | 44.9%83 W · 102 L | +9.2wins | +0.05per pick | 40cpaid | +20.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x934f…5bd8backed No | 61c | 119.57$73 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.59 | 36 | 61.1%22 W · 14 L | +2.7wins | +0.08per pick | 54cpaid | +16.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb9c1…c1b8backed Yes | 44c | 113.4$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 98 | 36.7%36 W · 62 L | +4.2wins | +0.04per pick | 32cpaid | +19.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbb32…b21ebacked No | 46c | 108.7$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58.7 | 22 | 50%11 W · 11 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4133…e834backed No | 46c | 108.7$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58.7 | 31 | 64.5%20 W · 11 L | +3.3wins | +0.11per pick | 54cpaid | +21.7%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9f98…0b6cbacked Yes | 19c | 105.26$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.7wins | -0.35per pick | 35cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5530…d38dbacked No | 61c | 100$61 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39 | 170 | 50.6%86 W · 84 L | +2.5wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa895…4935backed Yes | 40c | 100$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.5wins | -0.10per pick | 50cpaid | -17%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbeb2…7a1cbacked No | 62c | 100$62 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x162e…941ebacked No | 61c | 85$52 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.15 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.8wins | +0.42per pick | 59cpaid | +71.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6473…1fa0backed No | 60c | 85$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.40per pick | 60cpaid | +66.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xef34…1d61backed Yes | 32c | 84.94$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.86 | 132 | 62.9%83 W · 49 L | +9.4wins | +0.07per pick | 56cpaid | +11.7%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x31ae…0d69backed Yes | 41c | 80$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.8 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.41per pick | 41cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3622…af32backed Yes | 40c | 75$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.1wins | -0.54per pick | 54cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9b6b…b084backed No | 63c | 63.49$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.49 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.05per pick | 55cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbf27…3cebbacked Yes | 38c | 63.16$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.38per pick | 38cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbcab…d73bbacked Yes | 19c | 59.99$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.4 | 34 | 29.4%10 W · 24 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 30cpaid | -22.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcdb8…e969backed No | 63c | 56.95$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.07 | 80 | 53.8%43 W · 37 L | -4.6wins | -0.06per pick | 59cpaid | -12.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x779d…9792backed Yes | 45c | 56$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.2 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -0.7wins | -0.14per pick | 34cpaid | +25.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x81c3…84b0backed No | 60c | 55$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.6wins | +0.21per pick | 45cpaid | +56.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x43d3…5ea8backed Yes | 39c | 51.03$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.5wins | -0.09per pick | 49cpaid | -7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf282…038bbacked Yes | 20c | 50$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.3wins | -0.45per pick | 45cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xeee1…398abacked Yes | 20c | 50$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 14 | 50%7 W · 7 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -17.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6a03…6e17backed Yes | 43c | 50$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.5 | 213 | 62%132 W · 81 L | +0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 62cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3185…937abacked Yes | 20c | 50$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 25cpaid | -41.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3fb5…6530backed Yes | 40c | 49.8$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.92 | 31 | 48.4%15 W · 16 L | -2.2wins | -0.07per pick | 55cpaid | +11.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xed6c…8267backed Yes | 42c | 48.01$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5b12…30d8backed Yes | 44c | 45.45$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | -0.5wins | -0.06per pick | 56cpaid | -12%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xed3c…974fbacked Yes | 40c | 45$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.13per pick | 38cpaid | +42.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf8d3…6364backed Yes | 40c | 45$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.13per pick | 37cpaid | +51.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb963…b478backed Yes | 40c | 43.81$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.6 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.08per pick | 42cpaid | -53.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1781…a0ecbacked No | 63c | 41$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.17 | 32 | 43.8%14 W · 18 L | +0.8wins | +0.03per pick | 41cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf95b…1692backed Yes | 41c | 40$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.4 | 13 | 23.1%3 W · 10 L | -2.8wins | -0.21per pick | 44cpaid | -56.9%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xa315…a1ccbacked Yes | 40c | 39.83$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.93 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.40per pick | 40cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa337…9e54backed No | 63c | 39.68$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.68 | 23 | 52.2%12 W · 11 L | -2.9wins | -0.13per pick | 65cpaid | -20%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe5cf…c348backed Yes | 39c | 39.23$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.3 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.5wins | -0.14per pick | 39cpaid | -12.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Germany beat France?this page
- Will France beat Germany?Yes won
- Will Germany vs. France end in a draw?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.