TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0xe5cf…c348

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
89
Categories scored
18
Categories below 50
9

Best Category: Ukraine, grading 56 out of 100 (+0.05 per pick).

Best Category Ukraine at 56 out of 100; worst Champions League at 43.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
Bundesliga Inactivelast resolved Jan 17, 2026, EST1844.4%8 W · 10 L+0.2wins+0.01per pick44cpaid-9.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Bundesliga — the 18 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Bundesliga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will FC Schalke 04 win on 2026-01-17?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$432Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 17, 2026, EST-100%-$432.2
Will FC Bayern München win on 2026-01-17?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$210Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 17, 2026, EST+75.4%+$158.42
Will TSG 1899 Hoffenheim win on 2026-01-17?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$90Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 17, 2026, EST+132.6%+$119.7
Will Bayer 04 Leverkusen win on 2026-01-10?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$155Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 10, 2026, EST-100%-$155
Will SG Dynamo Dresden win on 2025-12-20?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 20, 2025, EST-100%-$11.5
Will TSG 1899 Hoffenheim win on 2025-12-20?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$29Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 20, 2025, EST-100%-$29
Will TSV Fortuna 95 Düsseldorf win on 2025-12-20?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 20, 2025, EST-100%-$30
Will 1. FC Köln win on 2025-12-06?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 6, 2025, EST-100%-$15.2
Will 1899 Hoffenheim win on 2025-11-29?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$44Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 29, 2025, EST+81.8%+$35.99
Will RB Leipzig win on 2025-11-01?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$14Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 1, 2025, EDT+117.4%+$16.2
Will 1. FC Heidenheim win on 2025-11-01?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$43Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 1, 2025, EDT+39.5%+$17
Will Borussia Mönchengladbach win on 2025-11-01?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$48Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 1, 2025, EDT-100%-$48.3
Will VfB Stuttgart win on 2025-10-26?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$44Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 26, 2025, EDT+122.6%+$54.14
Will Hamburger SV win on 2025-10-25?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 25, 2025, EDT-100%-$16
Will Eintracht Frankfurt win on 2025-10-25?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$23Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 25, 2025, EDT+75.4%+$17.2
Will Union Berlin win on 2025-10-24?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 24, 2025, EDT-100%-$10.85
Will 1899 Hoffenheim win on 2025-10-19?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$49Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 19, 2025, EDT+190.3%+$92.49
Will 1899 Hoffenheim win on 2025-10-03?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$125Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 3, 2025, EDT-100%-$125.14
All 18 picks, newest first.
NFL Inactivelast resolved Dec 8, 2025, EST1241.7%5 W · 7 L-0.4wins-0.03per pick45cpaid-19.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
NFL — the 12 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NFL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Texans vs. Chiefsbacked Texans · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$17Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 8, 2025, EST+194.1%+$33
Bears vs. Packersbacked Bears · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 7, 2025, EST-100%-$13
Titans vs. Brownsbacked Browns · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$49Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 7, 2025, EST-100%-$49.5
Vikings vs. Lionsbacked Lions · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$32Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 2, 2025, EST-100%-$31.5
Buccaneers vs. Saintsbacked Buccaneers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$26Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 26, 2025, EDT+53.8%+$14
Bears vs. Ravensbacked Bears · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 26, 2025, EDT-100%-$16.63
49ers vs. Texansbacked 49ers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 26, 2025, EDT-100%-$11.75
Bills vs. Panthersbacked Panthers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 26, 2025, EDT-100%-$11
Buccaneers vs. Lionsbacked Buccaneers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 21, 2025, EDT-100%-$15
Packers vs. Cardinalsbacked Packers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$52Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 19, 2025, EDT+64.1%+$33.2
Panthers vs. Jetsbacked Panthers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$86Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 19, 2025, EDT+56.5%+$48.75
Patriots vs. Titansbacked Patriots · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$23Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 19, 2025, EDT+100%+$23
All 12 picks, newest first.
Lol Inactivelast resolved Nov 9, 2025, EST1050%5 W · 5 L+1.5wins+0.15per pick35cpaid-7.9%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
Lol — the 10 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Lol, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
LoL: T1 vs KT Rolster - Game 3 Winnerbacked T1 · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$64Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 9, 2025, EST-100%-$64.4
LoL: T1 vs KT Rolster - Game 2 Winnerbacked T1 · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$154Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 9, 2025, EST-100%-$153.8
LoL: T1 vs KT Rolster - Game 1 Winnerbacked T1 · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$97Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 9, 2025, EST+200.2%+$193.4
LoL: T1 vs Top Esports (BO5)backed T1 · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$43Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 2, 2025, EST+38.9%+$16.8
LoL: T1 vs Top Esports - Game 3 Winnerbacked T1 · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$108Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 2, 2025, EST+57%+$61.7
LoL: T1 vs Top Esports - Game 2 Winnerbacked T1 · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 2, 2025, EST+58.7%+$29.6
LoL: T1 vs Top Esports - Game 1 Winnerbacked T1 · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$60Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 2, 2025, EST+65.8%+$39.7
LoL: G2 Esports vs Top Esports (BO5)backed G2 Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$54Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 30, 2025, EDT-100%-$54.29
LoL: KT Rolster vs CTBC Flying Oyster (BO5)backed CTBC Flying Oyster · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$69Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 29, 2025, EDT-100%-$68.9
LoL: Gen.G vs Hanwha Life Esports (BO5)backed Hanwha Life Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 28, 2025, EDT-100%-$17.2
All 10 picks, newest first.
Champions League Inactivelast resolved Oct 22, 2025, EDT812.5%1 W · 7 L-2.0wins-0.25per pick38cpaid-80.2%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
Champions League — the 8 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Champions League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Premier League Inactivelast resolved Jan 4, 2026, EST633.3%2 W · 4 L-0.9wins-0.15per pick48cpaid-37.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
Premier League — the 6 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Premier League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Ukraine Inactivelast resolved Jan 1, 2026, EST5100%5 W · 0 L+1.5wins+0.31per pick69cpaid+44.4%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
Ukraine — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ukraine, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

World Politics Inactivelast resolved May 16, 2025, EDT580%4 W · 1 L+0.9wins+0.18per pick62cpaid+39.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
World Politics — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in World Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

La Liga Inactivelast resolved Oct 27, 2025, EDT450%2 W · 2 L-0.1wins-0.03per pick53cpaid-27%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
La Liga — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in La Liga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Nov 16, 2025, EST425%1 W · 3 L-0.5wins-0.14per pick39cpaid-12.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

AI Inactivelast resolved Dec 4, 2025, EST366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.5wins+0.17per pick50cpaid-1.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
AI — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in AI, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Middle East Inactivelast resolved Aug 1, 2025, EDT366.7%2 W · 1 L0.0wins+0.01per pick66cpaid-3.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Middle East — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Middle East, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Us Politics Inactivelast resolved Nov 2, 2025, EST333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.3wins-0.09per pick42cpaid-37.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Us Politics — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Us Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Earnings Inactivelast resolved Nov 6, 2025, EST2100%2 W · 0 L+1.2wins+0.62per pick38cpaid+188.1%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
Earnings — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Earnings, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will US Foods Holding (USFD) beat quarterly earnings?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$33Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 6, 2025, EST+105.2%+$34.76
Will DoorDash (DASH) beat quarterly earnings?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$81Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 5, 2025, EST+271.1%+$219.15
All 2 picks, newest first.
Serie A Inactivelast resolved Jan 4, 2026, EST250%1 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.06per pick56cpaid-19.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Serie A — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Serie A, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will ACF Fiorentina win on 2026-01-04?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$80Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 4, 2026, EST-100%-$80
Will AC Milan win on 2026-01-02?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$74Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 2, 2026, EST+61.3%+$45.6
All 2 picks, newest first.
Ligue 1 Inactivelast resolved Dec 6, 2025, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.41per pick59cpaid+69.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Ligue 1 — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ligue 1, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Racing Club de Lens win on 2025-12-06?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$24Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 6, 2025, EST+69.5%+$16.4
All 1 picks, newest first.
Venezuela Inactivelast resolved Jan 1, 2026, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.2wins+0.23per pick77cpaid+30.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Venezuela — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Venezuela, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Maduro out in 2025?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$23Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST+30.4%+$7
All 1 picks, newest first.
Europa Conference League Inactivelast resolved Apr 17, 2025, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.12per pick12cpaid-100%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
Europa Conference League — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Europa Conference League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Frankfurt win the UEFA Europa League?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$56Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 17, 2025, EDT-100%-$55.96
All 1 picks, newest first.
Mls Inactivelast resolved Oct 29, 2025, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.35per pick35cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Mls — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Mls, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Charlotte FC win on 2025-10-28?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 29, 2025, EDT-100%-$10.5
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.