Fifa International · resolved market
Will Iceland win on 2025-11-16?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xbcbe86b0b60cac9728ccd8f2eb76c473fc4fa3ec74e14a56b732363e50a7421c
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $219,018
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $223,775
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $219,018 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 194 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Fifa International | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x8c30…322abacked Yes | 25c | 101,424$24,928 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24,928 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -22.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked No | 75c | 77,466$58,260 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19,205.36 | 760 | 48.7%370 W · 390 L | -2.9wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0bcc…8f80backed Yes | 25c | 26,512$6,728 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,728.42 | 22 | 36.4%8 W · 14 L | -1.1wins | -0.05per pick | 41cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed No | 78c | 21,734$17,031 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,702.85 | 4,595 | 40.3%1,850 W · 2,745 L | -91.3wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -23.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9e5c…d8e6backed No | 75c | 12,040$8,970 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,070 | 281 | 33.1%93 W · 188 L | -1.6wins | -0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x057a…3bacbacked No | 77c | 6,282$4,830 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,451.58 | 73 | 54.8%40 W · 33 L | +3.4wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb786…b18dbacked No | 74c | 5,201$3,849 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,352.26 | 173 | 45.7%79 W · 94 L | -0.9wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2c33…0563backed No | 79c | 4,373$3,471 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$901.3 | 747 | 52.2%390 W · 357 L | +2.4wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2699…29f6backed No | 75c | 3,615$2,716 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$898.5 | 55 | 38.2%21 W · 34 L | -2.2wins | -0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -19.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x90ba…63f3backed Yes | 20c | 3,100$620 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$620 | 605 | 11.4%69 W · 536 L | -16.5wins | -0.03per pick | 14cpaid | -38%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2e…2b46backed Yes | 21c | 2,824$600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$600.06 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.24per pick | 24cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb1fe…9974backed Yes | 21c | 2,500$525 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$525 | 57 | 40.4%23 W · 34 L | -1.1wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5c52…54fdbacked Yes | 21c | 2,398$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.21per pick | 21cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xde04…fa37backed No | 77c | 2,112$1,619 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$493.44 | 218 | 37.2%81 W · 137 L | -0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 37cpaid | -18.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6b7c…5f83backed No | 76c | 1,928$1,465 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$462.57 | 85 | 38.8%33 W · 52 L | -4.4wins | -0.05per pick | 44cpaid | -23.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2839…0efebacked Yes | 24c | 1,744$419 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$418.55 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | +1.4wins | +0.17per pick | 33cpaid | +29.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1538…8c7ebacked Yes | 21c | 1,469$302 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$301.86 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.18per pick | 18cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9731…9b35backed No | 79c | 1,452$1,146 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$305.56 | 170 | 48.2%82 W · 88 L | +8.8wins | +0.05per pick | 43cpaid | +15.7%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3850…c4b4backed Yes | 18c | 1,329$239 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$239.15 | 31 | 12.9%4 W · 27 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 12cpaid | -50.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdbb9…ed8dbacked No | 76c | 1,307$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$307.24 | 89 | 60.7%54 W · 35 L | +7.2wins | +0.08per pick | 53cpaid | +8.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf4a9…b5b4backed Yes | 23c | 1,232$284 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$283.92 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.23per pick | 23cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x63d2…c736backed Yes | 23c | 1,062$240 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$240 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.30per pick | 30cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x03f7…c0ccbacked Yes | 18c | 1,022$184 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$183.91 | 105 | 35.2%37 W · 68 L | -1.1wins | -0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -11.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe671…a682backed Yes | 12c | 1,000$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120 | 77 | 40.3%31 W · 46 L | -2.9wins | -0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x086c…d02abacked Yes | 21c | 966.24$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | -1.4wins | -0.16per pick | 61cpaid | -34.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf177…d6fbbacked Yes | 21c | 953$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200.13 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.24per pick | 24cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd209…23babacked Yes | 22c | 947.79$207 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$206.54 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.04per pick | 37cpaid | -33.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8def…08fabacked Yes | 23c | 871.21$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.23per pick | 23cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x908a…ad16backed No | 80c | 830.83$664 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$166.41 | 346 | 30.1%104 W · 242 L | -21.8wins | -0.06per pick | 36cpaid | -39.3%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x723c…01ebbacked Yes | 26c | 779.96$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 35 | 20%7 W · 28 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 19cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf713…a97bbacked Yes | 20c | 775.41$153 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$153.08 | 63 | 31.7%20 W · 43 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 30cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa1d7…a70cbacked Yes | 27c | 746.24$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 62 | 29%18 W · 44 L | -3.2wins | -0.05per pick | 34cpaid | -37.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x88de…1091backed No | 75c | 695.67$522 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$173.92 | 210 | 16.7%35 W · 175 L | -0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 17cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2dd2…b035backed Yes | 5c | 689.77$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.81 | 30 | 13.3%4 W · 26 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 15cpaid | -33.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd7be…ee50backed Yes | 22c | 668.72$149 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$149.45 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.22per pick | 22cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x53ab…65aabacked No | 78c | 600$468 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$132 | 114 | 44.7%51 W · 63 L | -0.8wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -12.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x54b5…4b31backed No | 76c | 599.98$456 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$144 | 214 | 44.4%95 W · 119 L | +8.5wins | +0.04per pick | 40cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfa14…f085backed Yes | 25c | 598.07$149 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$149.45 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.25per pick | 25cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x422c…9840backed Yes | 19c | 526.32$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 38 | 18.4%7 W · 31 L | -6.0wins | -0.16per pick | 34cpaid | -58.7%equal weight | 39-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xaaa8…5d61backed Yes | 19c | 526.32$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.7wins | -0.16per pick | 16cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x74fb…96cfbacked Yes | 19c | 526.32$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 16 | 18.8%3 W · 13 L | -2.0wins | -0.12per pick | 31cpaid | -56%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9020…2cfcbacked Yes | 19c | 526.32$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 51 | 27.5%14 W · 37 L | +1.2wins | +0.02per pick | 25cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8deb…d8e2backed No | 79c | 511.91$406 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$105.63 | 48 | 39.6%19 W · 29 L | -2.0wins | -0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -12.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x16b9…3d59backed Yes | 20c | 500$101 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$101 | 13 | 30.8%4 W · 9 L | +1.1wins | +0.08per pick | 23cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5c76…e720backed Yes | 20c | 500$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.20per pick | 20cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6f9b…608bbacked Yes | 20c | 490.76$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.20per pick | 20cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xec73…6af3backed Yes | 20c | 465.42$94 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$94.38 | 16 | 50%8 W · 8 L | -1.2wins | -0.07per pick | 57cpaid | -29.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x962c…962bbacked Yes | 22c | 454.55$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.22per pick | 22cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa4a5…bb7ebacked Yes | 22c | 454.27$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.94 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.22per pick | 22cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfa1d…96a9backed Yes | 24c | 416.67$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.24per pick | 24cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2a35…53f2backed Yes | 24c | 405.79$98 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$97.79 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -0.7wins | -0.12per pick | 28cpaid | +51.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4cca…aa4ebacked Yes | 25c | 402.08$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.25per pick | 25cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1c80…1c3bbacked Yes | 23c | 400$93 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$92.75 | 31 | 29%9 W · 22 L | -1.6wins | -0.05per pick | 34cpaid | -39.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9614…8048backed Yes | 21c | 375.56$79 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$78.87 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.21per pick | 21cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1677…1126backed No | 79c | 354$280 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$74.34 | 140 | 40.7%57 W · 83 L | -5.3wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x972b…78babacked No | 78c | 334.94$262 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$72.75 | 550 | 45.1%248 W · 302 L | -9.6wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x634b…363bbacked Yes | 24c | 333.33$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -0.9wins | -0.15per pick | 32cpaid | -67.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0345…d366backed Yes | 21c | 313.38$66 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65.81 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.21per pick | 21cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4d6a…4bbcbacked Yes | 21c | 300$63 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$63 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.7wins | -0.22per pick | 22cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb0ec…4900backed Yes | 22c | 300$66 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$66 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | +0.1wins | +0.02per pick | 13cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5ce0…a1ebbacked Yes | 22c | 270.24$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 14 | 42.9%6 W · 8 L | +3.4wins | +0.24per pick | 18cpaid | +117.1%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xa9d3…9d4bbacked No | 79c | 262.04$206 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.2 | 423 | 52%220 W · 203 L | -1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | +1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked No | 78c | 246.44$192 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54.03 | 287 | 54.7%157 W · 130 L | +6.5wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7382…dda3backed Yes | 21c | 241.9$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.8 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.21per pick | 21cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5913…3bbebacked Yes | 21c | 238.1$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 116 | 60.3%70 W · 46 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 60cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5fbb…0160backed No | 77c | 233.77$180 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.77 | 4 | 100%4 W · 0 L | +1.1wins | +0.28per pick | 72cpaid | +40.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa3da…ef04backed Yes | 21c | 233.33$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.21per pick | 21cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9363…3608backed Yes | 24c | 208.78$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.1 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | -1.2wins | -0.12per pick | 52cpaid | -18.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9041…ef0dbacked Yes | 21c | 208.49$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.35 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.5wins | +0.12per pick | 38cpaid | +4.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5cae…fdc1backed Yes | 24c | 208.33$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 58 | 44.8%26 W · 32 L | +4.9wins | +0.08per pick | 36cpaid | +18.8%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2113…e5c0backed Yes | 24c | 207.88$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.89 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.16per pick | 50cpaid | -33.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xaa43…3006backed Yes | 24c | 207.63$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.83 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.24per pick | 24cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8b5f…fe0fbacked Yes | 24c | 207.5$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.8 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.24per pick | 24cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8c46…be29backed Yes | 24c | 200$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48 | 111 | 37.8%42 W · 69 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 38cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2ee8…c732backed Yes | 21c | 200$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.21per pick | 21cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb82b…3a09backed No | 75c | 200$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50 | 45 | 33.3%15 W · 30 L | -1.2wins | -0.03per pick | 36cpaid | -40.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfc35…9a7ebacked Yes | 20c | 190.45$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.99 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.20per pick | 20cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x62c4…0ed4backed Yes | 24c | 187.29$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.95 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.24per pick | 24cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdadd…fbe7backed Yes | 21c | 177.9$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.36 | 50 | 46%23 W · 27 L | -1.0wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -17.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe68a…5e25backed No | 77c | 173$133 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.79 | 37 | 32.4%12 W · 25 L | -4.5wins | -0.12per pick | 45cpaid | -40.3%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x6a5c…b3f2backed No | 79c | 171.25$135 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.95 | 81 | 45.7%37 W · 44 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9a74…a307backed Yes | 25c | 160$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 14 | 50%7 W · 7 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +7.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4730…c394backed Yes | 21c | 147.62$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.24per pick | 24cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe7b4…103fbacked Yes | 21c | 146.76$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.82 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.21per pick | 21cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbbe6…9b73backed Yes | 21c | 142.86$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.21per pick | 21cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4f0b…ed1abacked Yes | 24c | 141.67$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34 | 13 | 46.2%6 W · 7 L | +0.6wins | +0.05per pick | 41cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdce0…2dafbacked Yes | 20c | 134.08$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.19 | 169 | 25.4%43 W · 126 L | +7.0wins | +0.04per pick | 21cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x64ae…ead9backed Yes | 19c | 131.58$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 66 | 43.9%29 W · 37 L | +2.1wins | +0.03per pick | 41cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x420b…965bbacked No | 79c | 129.99$103 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.3 | 140 | 49.3%69 W · 71 L | +0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -11.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x16ce…b3dcbacked No | 77c | 129.87$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.87 | 96 | 67.7%65 W · 31 L | +3.1wins | +0.03per pick | 64cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1802…d00fbacked No | 77c | 129.87$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.87 | 19 | 31.6%6 W · 13 L | -0.8wins | -0.04per pick | 36cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xaac2…df3abacked Yes | 24c | 128.84$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31 | 27 | 63%17 W · 10 L | +3.0wins | +0.11per pick | 52cpaid | +14.3%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x32e3…ba7cbacked Yes | 22c | 127.82$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.12 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.28per pick | 28cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x03fd…83f7backed No | 79c | 126.58$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.58 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.04per pick | 71cpaid | +4%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5212…bd97backed Yes | 19c | 125.84$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.44 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.19per pick | 19cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x71c1…e358backed Yes | 20c | 125$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 104 | 31.7%33 W · 71 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 32cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0ef4…4e4ebacked No | 79c | 125$99 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.25 | 45 | 44.4%20 W · 25 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe60a…6a47backed Yes | 20c | 125$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.82 | 300 | 31%93 W · 207 L | -5.8wins | -0.02per pick | 33cpaid | -22.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x865f…e88ebacked Yes | 19c | 121.9$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.61 | 1,045 | 29.3%306 W · 739 L | -10.8wins | -0.01per pick | 30cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7017…bd84backed Yes | 20c | 120$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.20per pick | 20cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Iceland win on 2025-11-16?this page
- Will Ukraine vs. Iceland end in a draw?No won
- Will Ukraine win on 2025-11-16?Yes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.